CNN State of the Union: Interview with Ted Strickland and Bob McDonnell

Face the Nation: Interview with Strickland, McDonnell, Diaz-Balart, and Rendell

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio Survey on Governor John Kasich

PPP (D) Ohio Poll on Governor John Kasich

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor John Kasich’s job performance?

• Approve 38% {33%} [33%] (37%) {36%} [33%] (35%)
• Disapprove 49% {53%} [57%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (54%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 12% {9%} [7%] (10%) {11%} [13%] (7%)
• Disapprove 76% {80%} [84%] (80%) {80%} [79%] (82%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 66% {58%} [63%] (67%) {67%} [58%] (71%)
• Disapprove 20% {25%} [26%] (23%) {21%} [28%] (18%)

Among Independents

• Approve 36% {38%} [33%] (43%) {36%} [33%] (33%)
• Disapprove 53% {47%} [57%] (49%) {52%} [55%] (54%)

Among Men

• Approve 44% {38%} [39%] (45%) {41%} [41%] (42%)
• Disapprove 46% {52%} [55%] (48%) {50%} [50%] (48%)

Among Women

• Approve 32% {28%} [28%] (28%) {31%} [25%] (29%)
• Disapprove 53% {55%} [59%] (60%) {56%} [62%] (58%)

2014 Gubernatorial Election

• Ted Strickland (D) 47%
• John Kasich (R) 40%

• Tim Ryan (D) 41%
• John Kasich (R) 40%

• Richard Cordray (D) 42%
• John Kasich (R) 42%

Survey of 875 Ohio voters was conducted May 3-6, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 41% {42%} [41%] (47%) {44%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 39% {36%} [35%] (37%) {34%} [35%] (35%) Republican; 20% {21%} [24%] (16%) {22%} [20%] (21%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 31% {30%} [31%] (30%) {31%} [33%] (29%) Moderate; 22% {21%} [25%] (19%) {24%} [25%] (28%) Somewhat conservative; 19% {21%} [18%] (19%) {17%} [13%] (15%) Very conservative; 18% {18%} [20%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (19%) Somewhat liberal;  9% {10%} [7%] (10%) {8%} [13%] (7%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 4-6, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

Issue 2 is a referendum on Senate Bill 5, which is a new law relative to government union contracts and other government employment contracts and policies. If the election was today, would you vote yes to approve this law or no to reject this law?

• Would vote yes on Issue 2 to approve Senate Bill 36% (36%) {39%}
• Would vote no on Issue 2 to reject Senate Bill 59% (56%) {50%} 

Among Democrats

• Would vote yes on Issue 2 to approve Senate Bill 10% (13%) {21%}
• Would vote no on Issue 2 to reject Senate Bill 86% (80%) {69%} 

Among Republicans 

• Would vote yes on Issue 2 to approve Senate Bill 66% (61%) {58%}
• Would vote no on Issue 2 to reject Senate Bill 30% (30%) {29%} 

On Tuesday, Ohio will have a referendum on whether to approve or reject Senate Bill 5, which was passed earlier this year, and limits collective bargaining rights for public employees. If the election was today, would you vote to approve or reject Senate Bill 5?

• Approve SB5 33%
• Reject 59%

Among Democrats 

• Approve SB5 7%
• Reject 84% 

Among Republicans

• Approve SB5 62%
• Reject 31%

Issue 3 is a proposed constitutional amendment to preserve the freedom of Ohioans to choose their health care and health care coverage. If the election was today, would you vote yes or no on Issue 3?

• Yes 49% (55%)
• No 35% (24%)

Among Democrats

• Yes 29% (41%)
• No 51% (35%)

Among Republicans

• Yes 69% (70%)
• No 18% (12%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor John Kasich’s job performance?

• Approve 33% (37%) {36%} [33%] (35%)
• Disapprove 57% (54%) {53%} [56%] (54%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 7% (10%) {11%} [13%] (7%)
• Disapprove 84% (80%) {80%} [79%] (82%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 63% (67%) {67%} [58%] (71%)
• Disapprove 26% (23%) {21%} [28%] (18%)

Among Independents

• Approve 33% (43%) {36%} [33%] (33%)
• Disapprove 57% (49%) {52%} [55%] (54%)

Among Men

• Approve 39% (45%) {41%} [41%] (42%)
• Disapprove 55% (48%) {50%} [50%] (48%)

Among Women

• Approve 28% (28%) {31%} [25%] (29%)
• Disapprove 59% (60%) {56%} [62%] (58%)

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Ted Strickland or Republican John Kasich?

• Ted Strickland 55% (54%) {54%} [59%] (55%)
• John Kasich 37% (40%) {39%} [34%] (40%)

Survey of 1,022 likely voters was conducted November 4-6, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% (47%) {44%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 35% (37%) {34%} [35%] (35%) Republican; 24% (16%) {22%} [20%] (21%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 31% (30%) {31%} [33%] (29%) Moderate; 25% (19%) {24%} [25%] (28%) Somewhat conservative; 20% (21%) {19%} [16%] (19%) Somewhat liberal; 18% (19%) {17%} [13%] (15%) Very conservative; 7% (10%) {8%} [13%] (7%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor John Kasich’s job performance?

• Approve 37% {36%} [33%] (35%)
• Disapprove 54% {53%} [56%] (54%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 10% {11%} [13%] (7%)
• Disapprove 80% {80%} [79%] (82%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 67% {67%} [58%] (71%)
• Disapprove 23% {21%} [28%] (18%)

Among Independents

• Approve 43% {36%} [33%] (33%)
• Disapprove 49% {52%} [55%] (54%)

Among Men

• Approve 45% {41%} [41%] (42%)
• Disapprove 48% {50%} [50%] (48%)

Among Women

• Approve 28% {31%} [25%] (29%)
• Disapprove 60% {56%} [62%] (58%)

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Ted Strickland or Republican John Kasich?

• Ted Strickland 54% {54%} [59%] (55%)
• John Kasich 40% {39%} [34%] (40%)

This fall, Ohio will have a referendum on whether to approve or reject Senate Bill 5, which was passed earlier this year and limits collective bargaining rights for public employees. If the election was today, would you vote to approve or reject Senate Bill 5?

• Approve SB5 36% {39%}
• Reject 56% {50%}

Among Democrats

• Approve SB5 13% {21%}
• Reject 80% {69%} 

Among Republicans 

• Approve SB5 61% {58%}
• Reject 30% {29%} 

Issue 3 would preserve the freedom of Ohioans to choose their health care and health care coverage. If the election was today, would you vote for or against this amendment?

• For 55%
• Against 24%

Among Democrats

• For 41%
• Against 35%

Among Republicans

• For 70%
• Against 12%

Survey of 581 Ohio voters was conducted October 13-16, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 47% {44%} [45%] (43%) Democrat; 37% {34%} [35%] (35%) Republican; 16% {22%} [20%] (21%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% {31%} [33%] (29%) Moderate; 21% {19%} [16%] (19%) Somewhat liberal; 19% {24%} [25%] (28%) Somewhat conservative; 19% {17%} [13%] (15%) Very conservative; 10% {8%} [13%] (7%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor John Kasich’s job performance?

• Approve 36% [33%] (35%)
• Disapprove 53% [56%] (54%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 11% [13%] (7%)
• Disapprove 80% [79%] (82%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 67% [58%] (71%)
• Disapprove 21% [28%] (18%)

Among Independents

• Approve 36% [33%] (33%)
• Disapprove 52% [55%] (54%)

Among Men

• Approve 41% [41%] (42%)
• Disapprove 50% [50%] (48%)

Among Women

• Approve 31% [25%] (29%)
• Disapprove 56% [62%] (58%)

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Ted Strickland or Republican John Kasich?

• Ted Strickland 54% [59%] (55%)
• John Kasich 39% [34%] (40%)

This fall, Ohio will have a referendum on whether to approve or reject Senate Bill 5, which was passed earlier this year and limits collective bargaining rights for public employees. If the election was today, would you vote to approve or reject Senate Bill 5?

• Approve SB5 39%
• Reject 50%

Survey of 792 Ohio voters was conducted August 11-14, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 44% [45%] (43%) Democrat; 34% [35%] (35%) Republican; 22% [20%] (21%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 31% [33%] (29%) Moderate; 24% [25%] (28%) Somewhat conservative; 19% [16%] (19%) Somewhat liberal; 17% [13%] (15%) Very conservative; 8% [13%] (7%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor John Kasich’s job performance?

• Approve 33% (35%)
• Disapprove 56% (54%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 13% (7%)
• Disapprove 79% (82%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 58% (71%)
• Disapprove 28% (18%)

Among Independents

• Approve 33% (33%)
• Disapprove 55% (54%)

Among Men

• Approve 41% (42%)
• Disapprove 50% (48%)

Among Women

• Approve 25% (29%)
• Disapprove 62% (58%)

Ohio may have a referendum on repealing Senate Bill 5, which was passed earlier this year and limits collective bargaining rights for public employees. Would you vote to repeal Senate Bill 5, or would you vote to let the law stand?

• Would vote to repeal SB5: 55% (54%)
• Would vote to let the law stand: 35% (31%)

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Ted Strickland or Republican John Kasich?

• Ted Strickland 59% (55%)
• John Kasich 34% (40%)

Would you support or oppose an amendment to the state constitution guaranteeing the right to collective bargaining?

• Support 45%
• Oppose 32%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job House Speaker John Boehner is doing?

• Approve 37%
• Disapprove 37%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Dennis Kucinich?

• Favorable 26%
• Unfavorable 39%

If there was an election for Congress today do you think you would vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate from your district?

• Democratic candidate 43%
• Republican candidate 34%

Do you think gay marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 31%
• Illegal 53%

Survey of 565 Ohio voters was conducted May 19-22, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 45% (43%) Democrat; 35% (35%) Republican; 20% (21%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% (29%) Moderate; 25% (28%) Somewhat conservative; 16% (19%) Somewhat liberal; 13% (15%) Very conservative; 13% (7%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio Union Conflict Survey

PPP (D) Ohio Union Conflict Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor John Kasich’s job performance?

• Approve 35%
• Disapprove 54%

Among Democrats

• Approve 7%
• Disapprove 82%

Among Republicans

• Approve 71%
• Disapprove 18%

Among Independents

• Approve 33%
• Disapprove 54%

Among Men

• Approve 42%
• Disapprove 48%

Among Women

• Approve 29%
• Disapprove 58%

Do you generally have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the labor unions in Ohio?

• Favorable 51%
• Unfavorable 37%

Among Democrats

• Favorable 77%
• Unfavorable 12%

Among Republicans

• Favorable 19%
• Unfavorable 70%

Among Independents

• Favorable 54%
• Unfavorable 34%

Among Men

• Favorable 48%
• Unfavorable 45%

Among Women

• Favorable 54%
• Unfavorable 30%

In the current conflict between Governor Kasich and public employee unions in Ohio, do you side more with Governor Kasich or the unions?

• The unions 57%
• Governor Kasich 36%

Among Democrats

• The unions 85%
• Governor Kasich 9%

Among Republicans

• Governor Kasich 71%
• The unions 21%

Among Independents

• The unions 59%
• Governor Kasich 33%

Among Men

• The unions 51%
• Governor Kasich 43%

Among Women

• The unions 62%
• Governor Kasich 31%

Do you think public employees in Ohio should or should not have a right to collective bargaining for wages, benefits, and working environment rules?

• Should have a right to collective bargaining 63%
• Should not 29%

Do you think public employees in Ohio should or should not have the right to strike?

• Should have the right to strike 52%
• Should not 42%

Do you think that public employees in Ohio should have more rights, fewer rights, or about the same amount of rights they have now?

• More rights 18%
• Fewer rights 32%
• About the same amount of rights 47%

If Senate Bill 5, which would limit collective bargaining rights for public employees, passes the legislature and is signed by the Governor there may be a statewide vote this fall on repealing the bill. Would you vote to repeal Senate Bill 5 or would you vote to let the law stand?

• Would vote to repeal SB 5: 54%
• Would vote to let the law stand: 31%

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Ted Strickland or Republican John Kasich?

• Ted Strickland 55%
• John Kasich 40%

In the election for Governor last year did you vote for Democrat Ted Strickland or Republican John Kasich, or did you not vote in the election?

• Ted Strickland 49%
• John Kasich 46%

Survey of 559 Ohio voters was conducted March 10-13, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 43% Democrat; 35% Republican; 21% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% Moderate; 28% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 15% Very conservative; 7% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

• John Kasich (R) 47% [49%] {51%} (50%) [54%] {38%} (38%) [38%] {39%} (40%) [36%] {38%} (32%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 46% [43%] {41%} (41%) [37%] {43%} (44%) [43%] {44%} (40%) [46%] {43%} (51%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Kasich 47% [43%] {47%} (46%) [47%] {28%} (27%) [24%] {26%} (23%) [22%] {26%} (22%) / 37% [37%] {33%} (30%) [27%] {19%} (10%) [10%] {10%} (7%) [10%] {7%} (7%) {+10%}
• Ted Strickland 45% [43%] {43%} (41%) [36%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {45%} (38%) [43%] {42%} (53%) / 45% [45%] {47%} (47%) [52%] {37%} (32%) [35%] {36%} (37%) [34%] {37%} (25%) {0%}

Survey of 848 likely voters was conducted October 25-30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 18-24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12-17, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-14, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 22-27, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 21-26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 23-29, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 5-9, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26 – July 1, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 28 – May 4, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

Gubernatorial Election

• John Kasich (R)  52% [49%] (51%) {49%} [44%] (51%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 48% [47%] (43%) {45%} [49%] (45%)

Senatorial Election

• Rob Portman (R) 60% [58%] (58%) {55%} [46%]
• Lee Fisher (D) 39% [39%] (36%) {40%} [47%]

Survey of 930 likely voters was conducted October 27-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-20, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-20, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-19, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

• John Kasich (R) 48% (47%) {49%} [47%] (49%) {45%} [47%] (48%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 44% (43%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {43%} [41%] (43%)
• Other 4% (4%) [3%] (2%) {3%} {2%} [2%] (4%)
• Not sure 4% (6%) {5%} [9%] (5%) {10%} [10%] (5%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Kasich 45% (43%) {46%} [40%] (45%) / 43% (39%) {41%} [36%] (35%) {+2%}
• Ted Strickland 43% (44%) {45%} [42%] (42%) / 49% (47%) {50%} [48%] (49%) {-6%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 39% (39%) {37%} [33%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (39%)
• Disapprove 56% (53%) {57%} [58%] (56%) {54%} [57%] (55%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 23, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 2, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 25, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 11, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• John Kasich (R) 49% {50%} [43%] (42%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 48% {40%} [41%] (37%)

Among Men

• John Kasich (R) 53%
• Ted Strickland (D) 44%

Among Women

• Ted Strickland (D) 51%
• John Kasich (R) 46%

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ted Strickland’s job performance?

• Approve 41% {34%} [37%] (33%)
• Disapprove 50% {52%} [48%] (47%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Kasich?

• Favorable 43% {33%} [28%] (25%)
• Unfavorable 42% {33%} [30%] (24%)

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Rob Portman (R) 57% {45%} [38%] (41%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 39% {38%} [40%] (36%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rob Portman 50% {29%} [22%] (16%) / 25% {28%} [25%] (19%) {+25%}
• Lee Fisher 30% {24%} [28%] (22%) / 46% {32%} [27%] (24%) {-16%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Sherrod Brown's job performance?

• Approve 31% {33%}
• Disapprove 40% {36%}

Would you like John Boehner to be the next Speaker of the House?

• Yes 36%
• No 34%

Among Republicans

• Yes 65%
• No 9%

Among Independents

• Yes 37%
• No 34%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama's job performance?

• Approve 38% {41%} [42%] (40%)
• Disapprove 55% {54%} [54%] (53%)

Survey of 1,356 likely voters was conducted October 28-30, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% {40%} [44%] Democrat; 37% {40%} [38%] Republican; 20% {20%} [18%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 43% {40%} [37%] Conservative; 40% {44%} [45%] Moderate; 17% {16%} [18%] Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-29, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 20-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Ohio Political Survey

SurveyUSA Ohio Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Rob Portman (R) 52% [49%]
• Lee Fisher (D) 37% [40%]
• Michael Pryce (I) 3% [4%]
• Eric Deaton (C) 2% [2%]
• Dan LaBotz (S) 1% [1%]
• Undecided 4% [4%]

Gubernatorial Election

• John Kasich / Mary Taylor (R) 49% [52%]
• Ted Strickland / Yvette McGee Brown (D) 44% [40%]
• Ken Matesz / Margaret Ann Leech (L) 3% [2%]
• Dennis Spisak / Anita Rios (G) 1% [3%]
• Undecided 4% [3%]

Attorney General

• Mike DeWine (R) 46% [47%]
• Richard Cordray (D) 44% [40%]
• Marc Feldman (L) 3% [4%]
• Robert Owens (C) 3% [4%]
• Undecided 4% [4%]

Survey of 613 likely and actual voters was conducted October 22-26, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown:  39% [38%] Democrat; 37% [39%] Republican; 22% [21%] Independent.  Political ideology: 40% [41%] Moderate; 39% [37%] Conservative; 15% [15%] Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

• John Kasich (R) 48% (47%) {49%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [49%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (46%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 44% (43%) {41%} [40%] (39%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [42%] (45%) {45%} [38%] (41%) {40%} [39%] (45%)
• Other 4% (4%) {4%} [3%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {2%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [3%] (3%)
• Not sure 4% (6%) {6%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {10%} [8%] (6%) {7%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [11%] (7%)

With Leaners

• John Kasich (R) 48% (48%) {50%} [50%] (52%) {52%}
• Ted Strickland (D) 44% (45%) {42%} [43%] (40%) {42%}
• Other 3% (3%) {3%} [2%] (4%) {2%}
• Not sure 4% (4%) {4%} [5%] (4%) {4%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• John Kasich (R) 54% (52%) {54%} [55%] (55%) {56%}
• Ted Strickland (D) 45% (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {44%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Kasich 52% (53%) {51%} [50%] (48%) {51%} [47%] (49%) {44%} (51%) {46%} [48%] (47%) [45%] (47%) / 41% (40%) {37%} [37%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (31%) {32%} (27%) {29%} [29%] (30%) [24%] (25%) {+11%}
• Ted Strickland 44% (47%) {46%} [39%] (42%) {44%} [43%] (46%) {44%} (47%) {46%} [46%] (44%) [46%] (48%) / 49% (50%) {52%} [55%] (53%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {49%} (48%) {48%} [48%] (51%) [46%] (46%) {-5%}

How would you rate the job Ted Strickland has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 24% (22%) {19%} [14%] (14%) {18%} [17%] (15%) {13%} [13%] (13%) {15%} [14%] (13%) {15%} [11%] (15%)
• Somewhat approve 21% (23%) {22%} [27%] (25%) {23%} [26%] (29%) {30%} [30%] (35%) {32%} [29%] (33%) {28%} [37%] (32%)
• Somewhat disapprove 18% (23%) {18%} [21%] (29%) {23%} [25%] (25%) {25%} [25%] (26%) {32%} [27%] (28%) {28%} [26%] (24%)
• Strongly disapprove 36% (31%) {40%} [36%] (30%) {33%} [29%] (30%) {30%} [30%] (23%) {20%} [26%] (25%) {26%} [24%] (26%)

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 26, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 37% (36%) {41%} Democrat; 35% (34%) {30%} Republican; 27% (30%) {29%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 27, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 2, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 3, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 30, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Kasich now has the support of 79% of the state’s GOP voters. Seventy-six percent (76%) of Democrats back Strickland. The Republican has an 18-point advantage among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

• John Kasich (R) 49% {51%} (50%) [54%] {38%} (38%) [38%] {39%} (40%) [36%] {38%} (32%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 43% {41%} (41%) [37%] {43%} (44%) [43%] {44%} (40%) [46%] {43%} (51%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Kasich 43% {47%} (46%) [47%] {28%} (27%) [24%] {26%} (23%) [22%] {26%} (22%) / 37% {33%} (30%) [27%] {19%} (10%) [10%] {10%} (7%) [10%] {7%} (7%) {+6%}
• Ted Strickland 43% {43%} (41%) [36%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {45%} (38%) [43%] {42%} (53%) / 45% {47%} (47%) [52%] {37%} (32%) [35%] {36%} (37%) [34%] {37%} (25%) {-2%}

Survey of 686 likely voters was conducted October 18-24, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 12-17, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-14, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 22-27, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 21-26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 23-29, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 5-9, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26 – July 1, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 28 – May 4, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

Gubernatorial Election

• John Kasich (R)  49% (51%) {49%} [44%] (51%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 47% (43%) {45%} [49%] (45%)

Senatorial Election

• Rob Portman (R) 58% (58%) {55%} [46%]
• Lee Fisher (D) 39% (36%) {40%} [47%]

Survey of 839 likely voters was conducted October 14-18, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-20, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-20, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-19, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Ohio Political Survey

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Ohio Political Survey

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Ted Strickland (D) 48% (44%)
• John Kasich (R) 47% (51%)

Among Democrats

• Ted Strickland (D) 93% (84%)
• John Kasich (R) 5% (14%)

Among Republicans

• John Kasich (R) 90% (89%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 6% (7%)

Among Independents

• John Kasich (R) 51% (54%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 42% (38%)

Among Men

• John Kasich (R) 52% (57%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 45% (39%)

Among Women

• Ted Strickland (D) 51% (49%)
• John Kasich (R) 43% (46%)

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Rob Portman (R) 55% (52%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 40% (41%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 42%
• Disapprove 53%

Survey of 863 likely voters was conducted October 15-19, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-14, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

• John Kasich (R) 51% (50%) [54%] {38%} (38%) [38%] {39%} (40%) [36%] {38%} (32%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 41% (41%) [37%] {43%} (44%) [43%] {44%} (40%) [46%] {43%} (51%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Kasich 47% (46%) [47%] {28%} (27%) [24%] {26%} (23%) [22%] {26%} (22%) / 33% (30%) [27%] {19%} (10%) [10%] {10%} (7%) [10%] {7%} (7%) {+14%}
• Ted Strickland 43% (41%) [36%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {45%} (38%) [43%] {42%} (53%) / 47% (47%) [52%] {37%} (32%) [35%] {36%} (37%) [34%] {37%} (25%) {-4%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 39% (40%) [34%] {44%} (47%) [49%] {48%} (45%) [48%] {46%} (57%)
• Disapprove 54% (53%) [59%] {42%} (38%) [40%] {40%} (43%) [42%] {42%} (29%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling the economy?

• Approve 36% (35%) [31%] {33%} (36%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [33%] {33%} (43%)
• Disapprove 57% (58%) [63%] {54%} (53%) [52%] {53%} (52%) [54%] {53%} (43%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job rebuilding Ohio’s economy?

• John Kasich 52% (51%) [55%] {39%} (41%) [38%] {41%} (41%)
• Ted Strickland 38% (39%) [32%] {38%} (39%) [38%] {35%} (33%)

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you believe most shares your values?

• John Kasich 48% (49%) [53%] {38%} (36%) [34%] {36%}
• Ted Strickland 40% (40%) [35%] {39%} (42%) [42%] {40%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 40% (39%)
• Disapprove 56% (57%)

Survey of 1,188 likely voters was conducted October 12-17, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-14, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 22-27, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 21-26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 23-29, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 5-9, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26 – July 1, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 28 – May 4, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

Gubernatorial Election

• John Kasich (R) 51% {49%} [44%] (51%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 43% {45%} [49%] (45%)

Senatorial Election

• Rob Portman (R) 58% {55%} [46%]
• Lee Fisher (D) 36% {40%} [47%]

Survey of 705 likely voters was conducted October 8-13, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-20, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-20, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-19, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Ohio Gubernatorial Survey

• John Kasich (R) 47% {49%} [48%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [49%] (47%) {47%} [48%] (46%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 43% {41%} [40%] (39%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [42%] (45%) {45%} [38%] (41%) {40%} [39%] (45%)
• Other 4% {4%} [3%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {2%} [6%] (5%) {4%} [3%] (3%)
• Not sure 6% {6%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {10%} [8%] (6%) {7%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [11%] (7%)

With Leaners

• John Kasich (R) 48% {50%} [50%] (52%) {52%}
• Ted Strickland (D) 45% {42%} [43%] (40%) {42%}
• Other 3% {3%} [2%] (4%) {2%}
• Not sure 4% {4%} [5%] (4%) {4%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• John Kasich (R) 52% {54%} [55%] (55%) {56%}
• Ted Strickland (D) 48% {46%} [45%] (45%) {44%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Kasich 53% {51%} [50%] (48%) {51%} [47%] (49%) {44%} (51%) {46%} [48%] (47%) [45%] (47%) / 40% {37%} [37%] (37%) {33%} [34%] (31%) {32%} (27%) {29%} [29%] (30%) [24%] (25%) {+13%}
• Ted Strickland 47% {46%} [39%] (42%) {44%} [43%] (46%) {44%} (47%) {46%} [46%] (44%) [46%] (48%) / 50% {52%} [55%] (53%) {51%} [51%] (50%) {49%} (48%) {48%} [48%] (51%) [46%] (46%) {-3%}

How would you rate the job Ted Strickland has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 22% {19%} [14%] (14%) {18%} [17%] (15%) {13%} [13%] (13%) {15%} [14%] (13%) {15%} [11%] (15%)
• Somewhat approve 23% {22%} [27%] (25%) {23%} [26%] (29%) {30%} [30%] (35%) {32%} [29%] (33%) {28%} [37%] (32%)
• Somewhat disapprove 23% {18%} [21%] (29%) {23%} [25%] (25%) {25%} [25%] (26%) {32%} [27%] (28%) {28%} [26%] (24%)
• Strongly disapprove 31% {40%} [36%] (30%) {33%} [29%] (30%) {30%} [30%] (23%) {20%} [26%] (25%) {26%} [24%] (26%)

Survey of 750 Likely Voters was conducted October 11, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 36% {41%} Democrat; 34% {30%} Republican; 30% {29%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 27, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 2, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 3, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 30, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Kasich now has the support of 83% of the state’s GOP voters. Seventy-eight percent (78%) of Democrats back Strickland. The Republican has a five-point edge among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.