Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio Senatorial Survey

• Rob Portman (R) 56% [53%] (55%) {55%} [40%] (37%) {37%} [40%] (39%) {31%} [33%] (31%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 37% [36%] (36%) {35%} [42%] (40%) {41%} [37%] (36%) {42%} [37%] (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rob Portman 52% [50%] (45%) {44%} [26%] (25%) {25%} [25%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (22%) / 20% [21%] (18%) {20%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (9%) {+32%}
• Lee Fisher 31% [32%] (30%) {29%} [28%] (27%) {27%} [26%] (25%) {33%} [29%] (37%) / 43% [42%] (44%) {36%} [17%] (13%) {13%} [12%] (15%) {13%} [17%] (13%) {-12%}

Survey of 848 likely voters was conducted October 25-30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-24, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 22-27, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 21-26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 23-29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 5-9, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 25 – July 1, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 28 – May 4, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

Gubernatorial Election

• John Kasich (R)  52% [49%] (51%) {49%} [44%] (51%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 48% [47%] (43%) {45%} [49%] (45%)

Senatorial Election

• Rob Portman (R) 60% [58%] (58%) {55%} [46%]
• Lee Fisher (D) 39% [39%] (36%) {40%} [47%]

Survey of 930 likely voters was conducted October 27-31, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 14-18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-20, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-20, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-19, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

PPP (D) Ohio Political Survey

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• John Kasich (R) 49% {50%} [43%] (42%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 48% {40%} [41%] (37%)

Among Men

• John Kasich (R) 53%
• Ted Strickland (D) 44%

Among Women

• Ted Strickland (D) 51%
• John Kasich (R) 46%

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Ted Strickland’s job performance?

• Approve 41% {34%} [37%] (33%)
• Disapprove 50% {52%} [48%] (47%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Kasich?

• Favorable 43% {33%} [28%] (25%)
• Unfavorable 42% {33%} [30%] (24%)

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Rob Portman (R) 57% {45%} [38%] (41%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 39% {38%} [40%] (36%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rob Portman 50% {29%} [22%] (16%) / 25% {28%} [25%] (19%) {+25%}
• Lee Fisher 30% {24%} [28%] (22%) / 46% {32%} [27%] (24%) {-16%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Sherrod Brown's job performance?

• Approve 31% {33%}
• Disapprove 40% {36%}

Would you like John Boehner to be the next Speaker of the House?

• Yes 36%
• No 34%

Among Republicans

• Yes 65%
• No 9%

Among Independents

• Yes 37%
• No 34%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama's job performance?

• Approve 38% {41%} [42%] (40%)
• Disapprove 55% {54%} [54%] (53%)

Survey of 1,356 likely voters was conducted October 28-30, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% {40%} [44%] Democrat; 37% {40%} [38%] Republican; 20% {20%} [18%] Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 43% {40%} [37%] Conservative; 40% {44%} [45%] Moderate; 17% {16%} [18%] Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 27-29, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 20-21, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Ohio Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Ohio Senatorial Survey

• Rob Portman (R) 56% (54%) {49%} [46%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (41%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 33% (32%) {41%} [39%] (39%) {37%} [40%] (39%) {39%} [43%] (43%) {38%} [39%] (39%) {37%} [36%] (40%)
• Other 3% (4%) {2%} [4%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (6%)
• Not Sure 7% (10%) {8%} [11%] (11%) {13%} [11%] (11%) {13%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [12%] (13%) {14%} [18%] (14%)

With Leaners

• Rob Portman (R) 57% (57%) {51%} [49%] (47%) {48%}
• Lee Fisher (D) 33% (34%) {42%} [41%] (41%) {39%}
• Other 3% (2%) {1%} [2%] (4%) {3%}
• Not Sure 7% (7%) {6%} [8%] (9%) {10%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Rob Portman (R) 64% (61%) {55%} [58%] (53%) {52%}
• Lee Fisher (D) 35% (39%) {45%} [42%] (47%) {48%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rob Portman 66% (61%) {57%} [52%] (49%) {51%} [46%] (47%) {48%} [49%] {45%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (45%) / 25% (27%) {31%} [27%] (28%) {23%} [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] {26%} [27%] (24%) {25%} [21%] (23%) {+41%}
• Lee Fisher 39% (38%) {45%} [44%] (47%) {41%} [40%] (41%) {45%} [46%] {39%} [41%] (38%) {41%} [36%] (42%) / 50% (52%) {45%} [38%] (35%) {34%} [41%] (37%) {34%} [33%] {38%} [37%] (39%) {39%} [35%] (34%) {-14%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 27% (29%) {35%} [32%] (27%) {25%} [29%] (31%) {31%} [34%] (29%) {32%} [29%] (29%) {29%} [31%] (33%)
• Somewhat approve 15% (18%) {13%} [12%] (18%) {20%} [17%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (19%) {14%} [18%] (20%) {17%} [15%] (15%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% (8%) {7%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [11%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (10%)
• Strongly disapprove 50% (43%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [42%] (46%) {44%} [42%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (40%)

Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted October 26, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 37% (36%) Democrat; 35% (34%) Republican; 27% (30%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 27, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 5, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 30, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 4, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Portman has the backing of 88% of Ohio Republicans, while only 63% of Democrats support Fisher. The Republican leads by a 59% to 28% margin among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Ohio Political Survey

SurveyUSA Ohio Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Rob Portman (R) 52% [49%]
• Lee Fisher (D) 37% [40%]
• Michael Pryce (I) 3% [4%]
• Eric Deaton (C) 2% [2%]
• Dan LaBotz (S) 1% [1%]
• Undecided 4% [4%]

Gubernatorial Election

• John Kasich / Mary Taylor (R) 49% [52%]
• Ted Strickland / Yvette McGee Brown (D) 44% [40%]
• Ken Matesz / Margaret Ann Leech (L) 3% [2%]
• Dennis Spisak / Anita Rios (G) 1% [3%]
• Undecided 4% [3%]

Attorney General

• Mike DeWine (R) 46% [47%]
• Richard Cordray (D) 44% [40%]
• Marc Feldman (L) 3% [4%]
• Robert Owens (C) 3% [4%]
• Undecided 4% [4%]

Survey of 613 likely and actual voters was conducted October 22-26, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown:  39% [38%] Democrat; 37% [39%] Republican; 22% [21%] Independent.  Political ideology: 40% [41%] Moderate; 39% [37%] Conservative; 15% [15%] Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio Senatorial Survey

• Rob Portman (R) 53% (55%) {55%} [40%] (37%) {37%} [40%] (39%) {31%} [33%] (31%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 36% (36%) {35%} [42%] (40%) {41%} [37%] (36%) {42%} [37%] (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rob Portman 50% (45%) {44%} [26%] (25%) {25%} [25%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (22%) / 21% (18%) {20%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (9%) {+29%}
• Lee Fisher 32% (30%) {29%} [28%] (27%) {27%} [26%] (25%) {33%} [29%] (37%) / 42% (44%) {36%} [17%] (13%) {13%} [12%] (15%) {13%} [17%] (13%) {-10%}

Survey of 686 likely voters was conducted October 18-24, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 22-27, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 21-26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 23-29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 5-9, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 25 – July 1, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 28 – May 4, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

Gubernatorial Election

• John Kasich (R)  49% (51%) {49%} [44%] (51%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 47% (43%) {45%} [49%] (45%)

Senatorial Election

• Rob Portman (R) 58% (58%) {55%} [46%]
• Lee Fisher (D) 39% (36%) {40%} [47%]

Survey of 839 likely voters was conducted October 14-18, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-20, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-20, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-19, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Ohio Political Survey

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Ohio Political Survey

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Ted Strickland (D) 48% (44%)
• John Kasich (R) 47% (51%)

Among Democrats

• Ted Strickland (D) 93% (84%)
• John Kasich (R) 5% (14%)

Among Republicans

• John Kasich (R) 90% (89%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 6% (7%)

Among Independents

• John Kasich (R) 51% (54%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 42% (38%)

Among Men

• John Kasich (R) 52% (57%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 45% (39%)

Among Women

• Ted Strickland (D) 51% (49%)
• John Kasich (R) 43% (46%)

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Rob Portman (R) 55% (52%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 40% (41%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 42%
• Disapprove 53%

Survey of 863 likely voters was conducted October 15-19, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-14, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

Gubernatorial Election

• John Kasich (R) 51% {49%} [44%] (51%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 43% {45%} [49%] (45%)

Senatorial Election

• Rob Portman (R) 58% {55%} [46%]
• Lee Fisher (D) 36% {40%} [47%]

Survey of 705 likely voters was conducted October 8-13, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 16-20, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-20, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-19, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Ohio Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Ohio Senatorial Survey

• Rob Portman (R) 54% {49%} [46%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (41%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 32% {41%} [39%] (39%) {37%} [40%] (39%) {39%} [43%] (43%) {38%} [39%] (39%) {37%} [36%] (40%)
• Other 4% {2%} [4%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (6%)
• Not Sure 10% {8%} [11%] (11%) {13%} [11%] (11%) {13%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [12%] (13%) {14%} [18%] (14%)

With Leaners

• Rob Portman (R) 57% {51%} [49%] (47%) {48%}
• Lee Fisher (D) 34% {42%} [41%] (41%) {39%}
• Other 2% {1%} [2%] (4%) {3%}
• Not Sure 7% {6%} [8%] (9%) {10%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Rob Portman (R) 61% {55%} [58%] (53%) {52%}
• Lee Fisher (D) 39% {45%} [42%] (47%) {48%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rob Portman 61% {57%} [52%] (49%) {51%} [46%] (47%) {48%} [49%] {45%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (45%) / 27% {31%} [27%] (28%) {23%} [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] {26%} [27%] (24%) {25%} [21%] (23%) {+34%}
• Lee Fisher 38% {45%} [44%] (47%) {41%} [40%] (41%) {45%} [46%] {39%} [41%] (38%) {41%} [36%] (42%) / 52% {45%} [38%] (35%) {34%} [41%] (37%) {34%} [33%] {38%} [37%] (39%) {39%} [35%] (34%) {-14%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 29% {35%} [32%] (27%) {25%} [29%] (31%) {31%} [34%] (29%) {32%} [29%] (29%) {29%} [31%] (33%)
• Somewhat approve 18% {13%} [12%] (18%) {20%} [17%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (19%) {14%} [18%] (20%) {17%} [15%] (15%)
• Somewhat disapprove 8% {7%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [11%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (10%)
• Strongly disapprove 43% {44%} [46%] (46%) {45%} [42%] (46%) {44%} [42%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (40%)

Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted October 11, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 36% Democrat; 34% Republican; 30% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 27, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 5, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 30, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 4, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Portman has the backing of 91% of Ohio Republicans, while only 69% of Democrats support Fisher. The Republican leads by a 63% to 24% margin among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Ohio Political Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Ohio Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Rob Portman (R) 52% (53%) {50%} [49%] (48%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 35% (37%) {37%} [36%] (41%)
• Other 3% (2%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
• Not sure 9% (8%) {11%} [11%] (8%)

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• John Kasich (R) 47% (49%) {45%} [47%] (48%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 42% (43%) {43%} [41%] (43%)
• Other 3% (2%) {2%} [2%] (4%)
• Not sure 9% (5%) {10%} [10%] (5%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Kasich 40% (45%) / 36% (35%) {+4%}
• Ted Strickland 42% (42%) / 48% (49%) {-6%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 33% (38%) {39%} [38%] (39%)
• Disapprove 58% (56%) {54%} [57%] (55%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 9, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 2, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 25, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 11, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Ohio Political Survey

Suffolk University Ohio Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Rob Portman (R) 47%
• Lee Fisher (D) 37%
• Other 8%
• Undecided 7%

Gubernatorial Election

• John Kasich (R) 46%
• Ted Strickland (D) 42%
• Other 6%
• Undecided 5% 

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Ted Strickland is doing as Governor?

• Approve 44%
• Disapprove 44%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 48%

Do you believe that the federal stimulus plan has been effective in Ohio?

• Yes 27%
• No 59%

A bill recently re-introduced in Congress called The DREAM act provides a path to citizenship for young people who came to the U.S. as children and are not legal citizens. Under the act, eligible students could apply for a conditional legal status provided they graduate from a two-year college, complete two years of a four-year university, or serve in the military for two years. Would you say that you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the DREAM act?

• Strongly support 27%
• Somewhat support 30%
• Somewhat oppose 14%
• Strongly oppose 19%

Earlier this year Ohio's legislature rejected House bill 478 to legalize medical marijuana. The bill would have made Ohio the 15th state to allow persons suffering from debilitating conditions to legally possess marijuana if prescribed to them by a doctor. At this time, which of the following describes how you feel about legalizing marijuana in Ohio?

• Marijuana should be fully legal for personal use 20%
• Marijuana should be legalized only for medical purposes 43%
• Marijuana laws should remain as is, decriminalized but not fully legal 12%
• Marijuana should be illegal under any circumstances 23% 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 60% / 33% {+27%}
• Rob Portman 35% / 20% {+15%}
• George Voinovich 39% / 33% {+6%}
• Sherrod Brown 38% / 32% {+6%}
• Barack Obama 48% / 46% {+2%}
• John Kasich 36% / 34% {+2%}
• Ted Strickland 43% / 45% {-2%}
• Lee Fisher 27% / 37% {-10%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 4-6, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 39% Democrat; 31% Republican; 28% Independent.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Ohio Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio Senatorial Survey

• Rob Portman (R) 55% {55%} [40%] (37%) {37%} [40%] (39%) {31%} [33%] (31%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 36% {35%} [42%] (40%) {41%} [37%] (36%) {42%} [37%] (42%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rob Portman 45% {44%} [26%] (25%) {25%} [25%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (22%) / 18% {20%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [6%] (9%) {+27%}
• Lee Fisher 30% {29%} [28%] (27%) {27%} [26%] (25%) {33%} [29%] (37%) / 44% {36%} [17%] (13%) {13%} [12%] (15%) {13%} [17%] (13%) {-14%}

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you - believe most shares your values?

• Rob Portman 52% {49%} [36%]
• Lee Fisher 33% {33%} [31%]

Would you like to see the next United States Senator elected from Ohio generally support Barack Obama's policies or oppose Barack Obama's policies?

• Support 39% {37%} [46%] (45%) {44%}
• Oppose 54% {58%} [48%] (48%) {46%}

Would you prefer to have the Democrats or the Republicans control the U.S Senate next year, or doesn't it matter to you?

• Republicans 44% {49%}
• Democrats 33% {31%}
• Doesn't matter 20% {16%}

Survey of 1,025 likely voters was conducted September 29 - October 3, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.   Results from the poll conducted September 9-14, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 22-27, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 21-26, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 23-29, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 5-9, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 25 – July 1, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 28 – May 4, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Ohio Political Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Ohio Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Rob Portman (R) 53% {50%} [49%] (48%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 37% {37%} [36%] (41%)
• Other 2% {3%} [3%] (3%)
• Not sure 8% {11%} [11%] (8%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rob Portman 48% / 25% {+23%}
• Lee Fisher 30% / 44% {-14%}

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• John Kasich (R) 49% {45%} [47%] (48%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 43% {43%} [41%] (43%)
• Other 2% {2%} [2%] (4%)
• Not sure 5% {10%} [10%] (5%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Kasich 45% / 35% {+10%}
• Ted Strickland 42% / 49% {-7%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 38% {39%} [38%] (39%)
• Disapprove 56% {54%} [57%] (55%)

A series of tax cuts passed at the beginning of former President George W. Bush’s term are set to expire this year. Should the Bush tax cuts continue for everyone, should the tax cuts only continue for those with income under $250,000 or should the tax cuts expire for everyone?

• Tax cuts should continue for everyone: 47%
• Tax cuts should only continue for those with income less than $250K: 42%
• Tax cuts should expire for everyone: 6%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 2, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 25, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 11, 2010 are in parentheses.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Reuters/Ipsos Ohio Political Survey

Reuters/Ipsos Ohio Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Rob Portman (R) 50% (43%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 37% (36%)

Gubernatorial Election

• John Kasich (R) 47% (48%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 46% (39%)

Survey of 440 likely voters was conducted September 23-25, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-8, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times Ohio Political Survey

CBS News/New York Times Ohio Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Rob Portman (R) 45%
• Lee Fisher (D) 34%

Gubernatorial Election

• John Kasich (R) 43%
• Ted Strickland (D) 42%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Ted Strickland is handling his job as Governor?

• Approve 38%
• Disapprove 49%

Do you think Ted Strickland does or does not have a clear plan for creating jobs in Ohio?

• Does 29%
• Does not 56%

Do you think John Kasich does or does not have a clear plan for creating jobs in Ohio?

• Does 23%
• Does not 41%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 43%
• Disapprove 47%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling the economy?

• Approve 38%
• Disapprove 55%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling job creation?

• Approve 34%
• Disapprove 59%

Do you think Barack Obama does or does not have a clear plan for creating jobs?

• Approve 37%
• Disapprove 54%

Since he took office, has Barack Obama made real progress in fixing the economy or hasn’t he made real progress in fixing the economy?

• Made real progress 32%
• Hasn't made real progress 61%

In general which comes closest to your feelings about the Obama presidency so far --- Would you say you are very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, somewhat disappointed or very disappointed?

• Very satisfied 7%
• Somewhat satisfied 33%
• Somewhat disappointed 28%
• Very disappointed 30%

If the 2010 election for U.S. House of Representatives were being held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or the Democratic candidate in your district?

• Republican candidate 43%
• Democratic candidate 39%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, would you prefer that the Democrats keep control of the House of Representatives, that the Republicans win control of the House of Representatives, or does it not matter to you one way or the other?

• Prefer Republicans 35%
• Prefer Democrats 33%
• Doesn't matter 28%

Regardless of how you usually vote, do you think the Republican party or the Democratic party is more likely to create new jobs?

• Republican Party 41%
• Democratic Party 38%

From what you've heard or read, do you approve or disapprove of the health care law that was enacted last March?

• Approve 37%
• Disapprove 51%

From what you know so far, which comes closest to your own view? 1. the economic stimulus package has already created a substantial number of new jobs in Ohio OR 2. it will create a substantial number of new jobs but hasn't done that yet OR 3. it will not create a substantial number of new jobs?

• Has already created jobs 8%
• Will create jobs 38%
• Will never create new jobs 48%

Survey of 941 likely voters was conducted September 23-27, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Ohio Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Ohio Senatorial Survey

• Rob Portman (R) 49% [46%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (45%) {43%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (41%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 41% [39%] (39%) {37%} [40%] (39%) {39%} [43%] (43%) {38%} [39%] (39%) {37%} [36%] (40%)
• Other 2% [4%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (6%)
• Not Sure 8% [11%] (11%) {13%} [11%] (11%) {13%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [12%] (13%) {14%} [18%] (14%)

With Leaners

• Rob Portman (R) 51% [49%] (47%) {48%}
• Lee Fisher (D) 42% [41%] (41%) {39%}
• Other 1% [2%] (4%) {3%}
• Not Sure 6% [8%] (9%) {10%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Rob Portman (R) 55% [58%] (53%) {52%}
• Lee Fisher (D) 45% [42%] (47%) {48%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rob Portman 57% [52%] (49%) {51%} [46%] (47%) {48%} [49%] {45%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (45%) / 31% [27%] (28%) {23%} [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] {26%} [27%] (24%) {25%} [21%] (23%) {+26%}
• Lee Fisher 45% [44%] (47%) {41%} [40%] (41%) {45%} [46%] {39%} [41%] (38%) {41%} [36%] (42%) / 45% [38%] (35%) {34%} [41%] (37%) {34%} [33%] {38%} [37%] (39%) {39%} [35%] (34%) {0%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 35% [32%] (27%) {25%} [29%] (31%) {31%} [34%] (29%) {32%} [29%] (29%) {29%} [31%] (33%)
• Somewhat approve 13% [12%] (18%) {20%} [17%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (19%) {14%} [18%] (20%) {17%} [15%] (15%)
• Somewhat disapprove 7% [8%] (8%) {9%} [11%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (10%)
• Strongly disapprove 44% [46%] (46%) {45%} [42%] (46%) {44%} [42%] (43%) {44%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [41%] (40%)

Survey of 500 Likely Voters was conducted September 27, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 19, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 5, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 30, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 4, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Portman is backed by 95% of Ohio Republicans, while Fisher draws support from 81% of the state's Democrats. Portman holds a 37-point advantage among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Ohio Political Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Ohio Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Rob Portman (R) 50% [49%] (48%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 37% [36%] (41%)
• Other 3% [3%] (3%)
• Not sure 11% [11%] (8%)

Gubernatorial Election

• John Kasich (R) 45% [47%] (48%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 43% [41%] (43%)
• Other 2% [2%] (4%)
• Not sure 10% [10%] (5%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 39% [38%] (39%)
• Disapprove 54% [57%] (55%)

Have the policies of the Obama administration helped or hurt Ohio's economy, or have they not made much of a difference either way?

• Helped 25% [25%] (24%)
• Hurt 42% [45%] (44%)
• Not made much of a difference 28% [26%] (26%)

All in all, would you rather have bigger government that provides more services or smaller government that provides fewer services?

• Bigger government that provides more services 31% [32%]
• Smaller government that provides fewer services 56% [59%]

How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

• Strongly support 25% [24%]
• Somewhat support 23% [21%]
• Somewhat oppose 8% [12%]
• Strongly oppose 26% [25%]

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 25, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 11, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

University of Cincinnati Ohio Political Survey

Gubernatorial Election

• John Kasich (R) 49% [44%] (51%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 45% [49%] (45%)

Senatorial Election

• Rob Portman (R) 55% [46%]
• Lee Fisher (D) 40% [47%]

Survey of 852 likely voters was conducted September 16-20, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted May 11-20, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 13-19, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Ohio Political Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Ohio Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Rob Portman (R) 49% (48%)
• Lee Fisher (D) 36% (41%)
• Other 3% (3%)
• Not sure 11% (8%)

Gubernatorial Election

• John Kasich (R) 47% (48%)
• Ted Strickland (D) 41% (43%)
• Other 2% (4%)
• Not sure 10% (5%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 38% (39%)
• Disapprove 57% (55%)

Would you say your feelings about President Obama are based mainly on his policies and programs, mainly on the way he has governed or mainly on the condition of the economy?

• Mainly on his policies and programs 66%
• Mainly on the way he has governed 19%
• Mainly on the condition of the economy 12%

Have the policies of the Obama administration helped or hurt Ohio's economy, or have they not made much of a difference either way?

• Helped 25% (24%)
• Hurt 45% (44%)
• No difference 26% (26%)

All in all, would you rather have bigger government that provides more services or smaller government that provides fewer services?

• Bigger government that provides more services 32%
• Smaller government that provides fewer services 59%

Thinking about the health care law that was passed earlier this year, would you favor repealing the new law to keep it from going into effect, or would you oppose repealing the new law?

• Favor repealing the health care law 56% (54%)
• Oppose repealing the health care law 35% (34%)

How do you feel about the Tea Party movement?

• Strongly support 24%
• Somewhat support 21%
• Somewhat oppose 12%
• Strongly oppose 25%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted September 18, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 11, 2010 are in parentheses.