This Week: Is the U.S. Headed Toward Bankruptcy?

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Senate Poll

• Bob Casey (D) 46%
• Tom Smith (R) 36%
• Undecided 18%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tom Smith?

• Favorable 14%
• Unfavorable 22%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bob Casey's job performance?

• Approve 36%
• Disapprove 36%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat Toomey's job performance?

• Approve 32%
• Disapprove 30%

Survey of 758 Pennsylvania voters was conducted July 21-23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 47% Democrat; 43% Republican; 10% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% Moderate; 26% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 16% Very conservative; 10% Very liberal. 

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% [49%] (45%) {44%} [42%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 42% [42%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48% [47%] (49%) {44%} [47%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 43% [48%] (39%) {44%} [38%] (43%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 56% [50%] (51%) {45%} [46%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 36% [38%] (40%) {43%} [39%] (38%)

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Tom Ridge for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Ridge 43%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Tom Corbett for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 49%
• Romney-Corbett 43%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Rick Santorum for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 51%
• Romney-Santorum 43%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Pat Toomey for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 49%
• Romney-Toomey 40%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Lynn Swann for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Swann 37%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Ridge 50% / 32% {+18%}
• Mitt Romney 37% [30%] (32%) {35%} [31%] (34%) / 51% [60%] (51%) {46%} [41%] (38%) {-14%} 
• Rick Santorum 36% [41%] (31%) {31%} [37%] (38%) / 53% [51%] (53%) {54%} [47%] (44%) {-17%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 46% [36%] (33%) {37%} [39%] (32%) / 47% [56%] (52%) {50%} [43%] (46%) {-1%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 28% [24%] (30%) {32%} [24%] (37%) / 55% [64%] (50%) {41%} [40%] (31%) {-27%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 48% [47%] (42%) {46%} [42%] (46%)
• Disapprove 49% [47%] (53%) {48%} [52%] (49%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Tom Corbett’s job performance?

• Approve 37%
• Disapprove 50%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat Toomey's job performance?

• Approve 33%
• Disapprove 36%

Survey of 671 Pennsylvania voters was conducted May 17-20, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 46% [46%] (49%) {50%} [51%] (48%) Democrat; 42% [41%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (43%) Republican; 12% [13%] (9%) {11%} [11%] (9%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% [30%] (26%) {30%} [33%] Moderate; 22% [25%] (28%) {21%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 19% [19%] (18%) {17%} [17%] Very conservative; 18% [16%] (18%) {22%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 12% [10%] (11%) {10%} [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

This Week: Interview with Sen. Pat Toomey

Sen. Pat Toomey on Face the Nation

Sen. Pat Toomey (R-PA) Delivers Weekly GOP Address on Spending & Deficit Reduction

Sen. Toomey and Rep. Clyburn on Fox News Sunday

Poll Watch: Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 36%
• Mitt Romney 30%
• Other 8%
• Don't know 27%

• Barack Obama 39%
• Rick Santorum 31%
• Other 10%
• Do not know 20%

• Barack Obama 38%
• Rick Perry 27%
• Other 10%
• Don't know 26%

• Barack Obama 42%
• Michele Bachmann 23%
• Other 12%
• Don't know 22%

Do you believe that Barack Obama has done a good enough job as President to deserve re-election, or do you believe it is time for a change?

• Deserves re-election 41%
• Time for a change 52%

How would you rate the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Excellent 9% (7%)
• Good 25% (28%)
• Fair 33% (30%)
• Poor 33% (34%)

How would you rate the way that Tom Corbett is handling his job as Governor?

• Excellent 6% (5%)
• Good 26% (26%)
• Fair 46% (39%)
• Poor 14% (13%)

How would you rate the way that Bob Casey, Jr. is handling his job as U.S. Senator?

• Excellent 5% (3%)
• Good 27% (26%)
• Fair 43% (39%)
• Poor 9% (9%)

How would you rate the way that Pat Toomey is handling his job as U.S. Senator?

• Excellent 5% (3%)
• Good 24% (25%)
• Fair 37% (36%)
• Poor 14% (10%)

The state legislature is considering several proposals related to gay marriage and civil unions. Would you favor or oppose a constitutional amendment that would allow homosexual couples to get legally married?

• Strongly favor 33%
• Somewhat favor 17%
• Somewhat oppose 5%
• Strongly oppose 37%

Would you favor or oppose a state law that would allow homosexual couples to legally form civil unions, giving them some of the legal rights of married couples?

• Strongly favor 37%
• Somewhat favor 25%
• Somewhat oppose 5%
• Strongly oppose 29%

Survey of 407 registered voters was conducted August 22-29, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 54% Democrat; 35% Republican; 11% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 37% Conservative; 32% Moderate; 24% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted in March 2011 are in parentheses.

Follow @ArgoJournal

Sen. Pat Toomey Delivers Weekly GOP Address on Government Regulation and the Economy

Follow @ArgoJournal

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

REPUBLICAN NOMINATION

• Mitt Romney 21% [21%]
• Rick Santorum 14% [16%]
• Sarah Palin 12% [11%]
• Michele Bachmann 11% [5%]
• Rick Perry 8%
• Ron Paul 5% [6%]
• Herman Cain 4% [8%]
• Newt Gingrich 4% [5%]
• Tim Pawlenty 2% [4%]
• Jon Huntsman 1% [1%]
• Thaddeus McCotter 0%
• Someone else (vol.) 3% [2%]
• Wouldn't vote (vol.) 2% [3%]
• Don't know 14% [17%]

GENERAL ELECTION

• Mitt Romney 44% [40%]
• Barack Obama 42% [47%]

• Barack Obama 45% [49%]
• Rick Santorum 43% [38%]

• Barack Obama 45%
• Rick Perry 39%

• Barack Obama 47%
• Michele Bachmann 39%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 43% [48%] {42%} (51%) [44%]
• Disapprove 54% [48%] {53%} (44%) [43%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 42% [48%] {42%} (48%) [44%]
• No/Does not 52% [46%] {52%} (45%) [45%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 48% [47%] {44%} (44%) [39%]
• Disapprove 29% [26%] {26%} (24%) [29%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator... If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Bob Casey Jr. the Democratic candidate, or for the Republican candidate?

• Bob Casey 47% [47%] {46%} (45%) [43%]
• Republican 35% [32%] {34%} (35%) [35%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 8% [10%] {9%} (9%) [11%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Bob Casey Jr. deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 47% [47%] {48%} (46%) [40%]
• No/Does not 33% [31%] {31%} (28%) [33%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Toomey is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 44% [45%] {43%} (41%)
• Disapprove 31% [28%] {25%} (21%)

Who do you think is behaving more responsibly in the negotiations over the national debt ceiling: President Obama or Republicans in Congress?

• Obama 44%
• Republicans 37%

Who do you think is behaving more responsibly in the negotiations over the national debt ceiling: Democrats in Congress or Republicans in Congress?

• Democrats 37%
• Republicans 37%

Have you heard or read anything about Michele Bachmann's migraines?

• Yes 54%
• No 45%

(If Yes) Do you think the news media coverage of Michele Bachmann's migraines has been sexist or not?

• Yes 42%
• No 53%

Does Michele Bachmann having migraines make you more likely to vote for her for President, less likely to vote for her, or doesn't it make a difference?

• More likely 1%
• Less likely 9%
• No difference 87%

Survey of 1,358 registered voters, including a subsample of 532 Republicans, was conducted June 7-12, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.3 percentage points among Republicans. Results from the poll conducted June 7-12, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-13, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Tom Corbett’s job performance?

• Approve 35% [34%]
• Disapprove 46% [44%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 17% [16%]
• Disapprove 65% [61%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 58% [60%]
• Disapprove 22% [22%]

Among Men

• Approve 39% [42%]
• Disapprove 49% [42%]

Among Women

• Approve 31% [28%]
• Disapprove 43% [46%]

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Dan Onorato or Republican Tom Corbett?

• Dan Onorato 47% [49%]
• Tom Corbett 44% [44%]

Among Democrats

• Dan Onorato 73% [75%]
• Tom Corbett 18% [18%]

Among Republicans

• Tom Corbett 76% [80%]
• Dan Onorato 16% [14%]

Among Men

• Tom Corbett 49% [47%]
• Dan Onorato 44% [48%]

Among Women

• Dan Onorato 51% [49%]
• Tom Corbett 37% [40%]

Have Tom Corbett’s actions as Governor made it more or less likely that you’ll vote for a Republican for President next year, or has it not made a difference?

• More likely 25%
• Less likely 33%
• Hasn't made a difference 43%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat Toomey's job performance?

• Approve 30% [32%]
• Disapprove 29% [31%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 14% [19%]
• Disapprove 44% [44%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 52% [51%]
• Disapprove 12% [15%]

Among Men

• Approve 35% [38%]
• Disapprove 39% [33%]

Among Women

• Approve 26% [26%]
• Disapprove 19% [29%]

If there was an election for the US House today, would you vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate from your district?

• Democrat 46%
• Republican 40%

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 38%
• Illegal 51%

Among Democrats

• Legal 53%
• Illegal 32%

Among Republicans

• Legal 15%
• Illegal 76%

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 32%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 36%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 31%

Among Democrats

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 47%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 32%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 20%

Among Republicans

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 10%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 41%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 48%

Is your favorite pro sports team in Pennsylvania the Philadelphia Eagles, Philadelphia Flyers, Philadelphia Phillies, Philadelphia 76ers, Pittsburgh Penguins, Pittsburgh Pirates, or Pittsburgh Steelers?

• Steelers 30%
• Phillies 22%
• Eagles 12%
• Penguins 12%
• Pirates 6%
• Flyers 4%
• 76ers 2%

Survey of 545 Pennsylvania voters was conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011. No interviews were conducted July 3rd or 4th. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 50% [51%] Democrat; 39% [38%] Republican; 11% [11%] Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% [33%] Moderate; 22% [19%] Somewhat liberal; 21% [23%] Somewhat conservative; 17% [17%] Very conservative; 10% [8%] Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

REPUBLICAN NOMINATION

• Mitt Romney 21%
• Rick Santorum 16%
• Sarah Palin 11%
• Herman Cain 8%
• Ron Paul 6%
• Michele Bachmann 5%
• Newt Gingrich 5%
• Tim Pawlenty 4%
• Jon Huntsman 1%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Someone else (vol.) 2%
• Wouldn't vote (vol.) 3%
• Don't know 17%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 18%
• Rick Santorum 15%
• Sarah Palin 12%
• Michele Bachmann 8%
• Herman Cain 8%
• Ron Paul 8%
• Newt Gingrich 7%
• Tim Pawlenty 4%
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Gary Johnson 1%
• Someone else (vol.) 2%
• Wouldn't vote (vol.) 3%
• Don't know 14%

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 24%
• Rick Santorum 18%
• Sarah Palin 11%
• Herman Cain 7%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Michele Bachmann 3%
• Newt Gingrich 3%
• Tim Pawlenty 3%
• Jon Huntsman 0%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Someone else (vol.) 3%
• Wouldn't vote (vol.) 3%
• Don't know 20%

GENERAL ELECTION

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 40%

• Barack Obama 49%
• Rick Santorum 38%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 44%
• Barack Obama 41%

• Barack Obama 44%
• Rick Santorum 42%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 37%

• Barack Obama 53%
• Rick Santorum 35%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 48% {42%} (51%) [44%]
• Disapprove 48% {53%} (44%) [43%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 80% {76%} (81%) [72%]
• Disapprove 16% {18%} (14%) [17%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 11% {9%} (15%) [18%]
• Disapprove 86% {89%} (80%) [75%]

Among Independents

• Approve 48% {37%} (50%) [41%]
• Disapprove 47% {57%} (46%) [42%]

Among Men

• Approve 43% {35%} (47%) [43%]
• Disapprove 54% {60%} (49%) [43%]

Among Women

• Approve 52% {48%} (55%) [45%]
• Disapprove 43% {47%} (39%) [42%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 48% {42%} (48%) [44%]
• No/Does not 46% {52%} (45%) [45%]

Among Democrats

• Yes/Deserves 84% {77%} (82%) [76%]
• No/Does not 10% {16%} (12%) [14%]

Among Republicans

• Yes/Deserves 10% {6%} (7%) [9%]
• No/Does not 84% {91%} (86%) [84%]

Among Independents

• Yes/Deserves 46% {37%} (47%) [40%]
• No/Does not 49% {56%} (42%) [40%]

Among Men

• Yes/Deserves 44% {35%} (44%) [44%]
• No/Does not 51% {60%} (48%) [44%]

Among Women

• Yes/Deserves 52% {48%} (51%) [44%]
• No/Does not 41% {46%} (42%) [46%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 47% {44%} (44%) [39%]
• Disapprove 26% {26%} (24%) [29%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator... If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Bob Casey Jr. the Democratic candidate, or for the Republican candidate?

• Bob Casey 47% {46%} (45%) [43%]
• Republican 32% {34%} (35%) [35%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 10% {9%} (9%) [11%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Bob Casey Jr. deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 47% {48%} (46%) [40%]
• No/Does not 31% {31%} (28%) [33%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Toomey is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 45% {43%} (41%)
• Disapprove 28% {25%} (21%)

Survey of 1,277 registered voters, including a subsample of 523 Republicans, was conducted June 7-12, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 4.3 percentage points among Republicans. Results from the poll conducted April 19-25, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-13, 2010 are in square brackets.

Sen. Pat Toomey on Morning Joe

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Political Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 42% (51%) [44%]
• Disapprove 53% (44%) [43%]

Among Democrats

• Approve 76% (81%) [72%]
• Disapprove 18% (14%) [17%]

Among Republicans

• Approve 9% (15%) [18%]
• Disapprove 89% (80%) [75%]

Among Independents

• Approve 37% (50%) [41%]
• Disapprove 57% (46%) [42%]

Among Men

• Approve 35% (47%) [43%]
• Disapprove 60% (49%) [43%]

Among Women

• Approve 48% (55%) [45%]
• Disapprove 47% (39%) [42%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President... If the 2012 election for President were being held today, do you think you would vote for Barack Obama the Democratic candidate, or for the Republican candidate?

• Republican candidate 41% (39%) [37%]
• Barack Obama 40% (45%) [41%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 13% (11%) [14%]

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 78% (82%) [77%]
• Republican candidate 9% (7%) [7%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 11% (7%) [9%]

Among Republicans

• Republican candidate 84% (87%) [81%]
• Barack Obama 4% (4%) [5%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 8% (8%) [11%]

Among Independents

• Republican candidate 36% (33%) [36%]
• Barack Obama 29% (43%) [32%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 23% (19%) [21%]

Among Men

• Republican candidate 45% (41%) [39%]
• Barack Obama 33% (42%) [41%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 16% (11%) [13%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama 45% (48%) [42%]
• Republican candidate 37% (37%) [36%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 12% (11%) [14%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for President, do you feel that Barack Obama deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 42% (48%) [44%]
• No/Does not 52% (45%) [45%]

Among Democrats

• Yes/Deserves 77% (82%) [76%]
• No/Does not 16% (12%) [14%]

Among Republicans

• Yes/Deserves 6% (7%) [9%]
• No/Does not 91% (86%) [84%]

Among Independents

• Yes/Deserves 37% (47%) [40%]
• No/Does not 56% (42%) [40%]

Among Men

• Yes/Deserves 35% (44%) [44%]
• No/Does not 60% (48%) [44%]

Among Women

• Yes/Deserves 48% (51%) [44%]
• No/Does not 46% (42%) [46%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bob Casey Jr. is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 44% (44%) [39%]
• Disapprove 26% (24%) [29%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator... If the 2012 election for United States Senator were being held today, do you think you would vote for Bob Casey Jr. the Democratic candidate, or for the Republican candidate?

• Bob Casey 46% (45%) [43%]
• Republican 34% (35%) [35%]
• Depends on candidate (vol.) 9% (9%) [11%]

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Bob Casey Jr. deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?

• Yes/Deserves 48% (46%) [40%]
• No/Does not 31% (28%) [33%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Pat Toomey is handling his job as United States Senator?

• Approve 43% (41%)
• Disapprove 25% (21%)

What do you think is more important, to protect the right of Americans to own guns or to control gun ownership?

• Protect rights 48%
• Control ownership 47%

Among Democrats

• Protect rights 29%
• Control ownership 66%

Among Republicans

• Protect rights 69%
• Control ownership 28%

Among Independents

• Protect rights 49%
• Control ownership 44%

Among Men

• Protect rights 58%
• Control ownership 35%

Among Women

• Protect rights 39%
• Control ownership 56%

Among Gun Owners (43%)

• Protect rights 68%
• Control ownership 28%

Among Non-Gun Owners (54%)

• Protect rights 32%
• Control ownership 62%

Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by fighting the war in Afghanistan now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Afghanistan now?

• Doing the right thing 30% (40%) [38%]
• Should not be involved 64% (52%) [56%]

Among Democrats

• Doing the right thing 26% (29%) [27%]
• Should not be involved 72% (61%) [68%]

Among Republicans

• Doing the right thing 36% (55%) [54%]
• Should not be involved 60% (36%) [41%]

Among Independents

• Doing the right thing 29% (39%) [40%]
• Should not be involved 62% (54%) [54%]

Among Men

• Doing the right thing 36% (47%) [44%]
• Should not be involved 58% (46%) [50%]

Among Women

• Doing the right thing 25% (32%) [33%]
• Should not be involved 70% (57%) [61%]

Do you think the U.S. is doing the right thing by using military force in Libya now, or should the U.S. not be involved in Libya now?

• Doing the right thing 27%
• Should not be involved 68%

Among Democrats

• Doing the right thing 31%
• Should not be involved 65%

Among Republicans

• Doing the right thing 25%
• Should not be involved 71%

Among Independents

• Doing the right thing 23%
• Should not be involved 72%

Among Men

• Doing the right thing 32%
• Should not be involved 64%

Among Women

• Doing the right thing 23%
• Should not be involved 72%

Do you think Congress should try to repeal the new health care law, or should they let it stand?

• Repeal it 52% (48%) [45%]
• Let it stand 40% (42%) [45%]

Among Democrats

• Repeal it 24% (22%) [22%]
• Let it stand 66% (69%) [68%]

Among Republicans

• Repeal it 76% (81%) [73%]
• Let it stand 17% (12%) [20%]

Among Independents

• Repeal it 59% (47%) [42%]
• Let it stand 35% (40%) [45%]

Among Men

• Repeal it 55% (54%) [45%]
• Let it stand 38% (38%) [45%]

Among Women

• Repeal it 49% (43%) [44%]
• Let it stand 41% (46%) [46%]

Survey of 1,366 registered voters was conducted April 19-25, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 8-14, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-13, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Tom Corbett’s job performance?

• Approve 34%
• Disapprove 44%

Among Democrats

• Approve 16%
• Disapprove 61%

Among Republicans

• Approve 60%
• Disapprove 22%

Among Men

• Approve 42%
• Disapprove 42%

Among Women

• Approve 28%
• Disapprove 46%

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Dan Onorato or Republican Tom Corbett?

• Dan Onorato 49%
• Tom Corbett 44%

Among Democrats

• Dan Onorato 75%
• Tom Corbett 18%

Among Republicans

• Tom Corbett 80%
• Dan Onorato 14%

Among Men

• Dan Onorato 48%
• Tom Corbett 47%

Among Women

• Dan Onorato 49%
• Tom Corbett 40%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat Toomey's job performance?

• Approve 32%
• Disapprove 31%

Among Democrats

• Approve 19%
• Disapprove 44%

Among Republicans

• Approve 51%
• Disapprove 15%

Among Men

• Approve 38%
• Disapprove 33%

Among Women

• Approve 26%
• Disapprove 29%

Survey of 593 Pennsylvania voters was conducted April 7-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 51% Democrat; 38% Republican; 11% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% Moderate; 23% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 17% Very conservative; 8% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

• Pat Toomey (R) 50% {48%} [50%] (43%) {42%} [42%] (39%) {40%} [38%] (39%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 45% {46%} [43%] (43%) {40%} [34%] (36%) {35%} [35%] (35%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 47% {46%} [44%] (35%) {29%} [29%] (26%) {35%} [34%] (34%) / 32% {37%} [31%] (13%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [12%] (10%) {+15%}
• Joe Sestak 40% {45%} [44%] (31%) {32%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [21%] (23%) / 40% {36%} [34%] (20%) {14%} [11%] (6%) {9%} [8%] (7%) {0%}

Survey of 1,244 likely voters was conducted October 25-30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 13-17, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 6-11, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 4-10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 8-14, 2009 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-28, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 14-19, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey 

• Pat Toomey (R) 51% (45%) {45%} [41%] (42%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 46% (46%) {36%} [41%] (36%)
• Undecided 4% (9%) {20%} [18%] (22%)

Among Men

• Pat Toomey (R) 51% (50%) {50%} [45%] (48%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 46% (42%) {37%} [40%] (31%)
• Undecided 3% (8%) {14%} [16%] (20%)

Among Women

• Pat Toomey (R) 50% (41%) {40%} [38%] (37%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 46% (49%) {35%} [42%] (39%)
• Undecided 4% (10%) {25%} [20%] (24%) 

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Pat Toomey?

• Favorable 45% (41%) {36%} [30%] (20%)
• Unfavorable 40% (41%) {33%} [28%] (22%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Joe Sestak?

• Favorable 39% (43%) {28%} [29%] (16%)
• Unfavorable 43% (39%) {38%} [28%] (18%)

If the candidates for Senate this fall had been Democrat Arlen Specter and Republican Pat Toomey, who would you have voted for?

• Pat Toomey 49%
• Arlen Specter 40%
• Undecided 10%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Arlen Specter’s job performance?

• Approve 29% (32%) {27%} [30%] (34%)
• Disapprove 60% (57%) {57%} [55%] (52%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bob Casey's job performance?

• Approve 36%
• Disapprove 40%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 40% (43%) {40%} [43%] (46%)
• Disapprove 54% (51%) {55%} [50%] (50%)  

Survey of 772 likely voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 46% (48%) {46%} [50%] (47%) Democrat; 44% (41%) {44%} [42%] (41%) Republican; 10% (11%) {9%} [8%] (12%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 43% (37%) {39%} [43%] (41%) Moderate; 39% (44%) {44%} [39%] (40%) Conservative; 18% (19%) {16%} [17%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 17-18, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Muhlenberg/Morning Call Pennsylvania Political Survey

Senatorial Election

• Pat Toomey (R) 45% [46%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {41%} [45%] (46%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 43% [41%] (40%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (39%)
• Undecided 12% [12%] (12%) {11%} [13%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (14%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joe Sestak 38% [37%] (35%) / 35% [40%] (38%) {+3%}
• Pat Toomey 37% [37%] (36%) / 38% [39%] (37%) {-1%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Tom Corbett (R) 50% [52%] (50%) {50%} [49%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (46%)
• Dan Onorato (D) 41% [38%] (39%) {41%} [41%] (40%) {40%} [36%] (37%)
• Undecided 9% [10%] (11%) {9%} [10%] (11%) {14%} [16%] (17%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Tom Corbett 46% [46%] (44%) / 29% [29%] (28%) {+17%}
• Dan Onorato 37% [38%] (36%) / 39% [41%] (40%) {-2%}

Survey of 480 likely voters was conducted October 26-29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party registration breakdown: 47% Democrat; 45% Republican; 6% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 23-26, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 22-25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-22, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 18-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 28 - October 4, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marist/McClatchy Pennsylvania Political Survey

Marist/McClatchy Pennsylvania Political Survey

SENATORIAL ELECTION

• Pat Toomey (R) 52% [51%]
• Joe Sestak (D) 45% [42%]
• Other 1% [1%]
• Undecided 2% [6%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 49% [48%] / 35% [34%] {+14%}
• Joe Sestak 45% [46%] / 40% [39%] {+5%}

GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION

• Tom Corbett (R) 51% [53%]
• Dan Onorato (D) 44% [41%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in office as president?

• Approve 43% [41%]
• Disapprove 52% [54%]

Do you think the current economic conditions are mostly something President Obama inherited or are they mostly a result of his own policies?

• Economic conditions mostly inherited 50%
• Economic conditions mostly a result of his own policies 41%

Survey of 461 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% Republican; 39% Democrat;  18% Independent. Political ideology: 45% Conservative; 34% Moderate; 21% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted September 26-28, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Pennsylvania Senatorial Survey

• Pat Toomey (R) 48% [47%] {47%} (47%) <47%> [45%] {46%} (45%) <45%> [45%] {45%} (42%) <42%> [47%] {42%} (43%) <43%> [44%] {37%} (43%)
• Joe Sestak (D) 45% [43%] {37%} (38%) <37%> [39%] {37%} (39%) <38%> [39%] {38%} (46%) <40%> [36%] {37%} (35%) <35%> [38%] {38%} (35%)

With Leaners

• Pat Toomey (R) 50% [48%] {49%} (49%) <49%> [48%] {48%}
• Joe Sestak (D) 46% [44%] {39%} (40%) <41%> [42%] {40%}

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Pat Toomey (R) 52% [52%] {55%} (57%) <53%> [57%] {55%}
• Joe Sestak (D) 48% [48%] {45%} (43%) <47%> [43%] {45%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Pat Toomey 55% [55%] {54%} (54%) <57%> [56%] {56%} (57%) <56%> [53%] {55%} (56%) <51%> [54%] {53%} (57%) <57%> [51%] {52%} (54%) / 40% [39%] {36%} (34%) <33%> [34%] {30%} (30%) <29%> [31%] {30%} (25%) <36%> [29%] {33%} (28%) <27%> [29%] {27%} (26%) {+15%}
• Joe Sestak 51% [48%] {43%} (45%) <47%> [43%] {44%} (48%) <50%> [51%] {49%} (52%) <50%> [38%] {40%} (33%) <37%> [36%] {37%} / 46% [46%] {48%} (44%) <42%> [48%] {44%} (42%) <35%> [40%] {40%} (33%) <37%> [39%] {38%} (42%) <37%> [38%] {34%} {+5%}

How would you rate the job Ed Rendell has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 18% [17%] {14%} (14%) <19%> [12%] {13%} (14%) <16%> [14%] {16%} <13%> [13%] {14%} (14%) <14%> [11%] {9%}
• Somewhat approve 23% [26%] {26%} (28%) <26%> [27%] {26%} (28%) <26%> [26%] {28%} <27%> [29%] {33%} (30%) <29%> [28%] {28%}
• Somewhat disapprove 23% [21%] {20%} (19%) <21%> [23%] {29%} (24%) <25%> [27%] {23%} <25%> [24%] {25%} (22%) <27%> [21%] {24%}
• Strongly disapprove 35% [35%] {38%} (36%) <32%> [37%] {31%} (35%) <32%> [33%] {32%} <33%> [32%] {27%} (32%) <29%> [38%] {37%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly favor 28% [30%] {25%} (27%) <26%> [25%] {26%} (26%) <25%> [26%] {28%} (27%) <26%> [29%] {32%} (28%) <28%> [27%] {32%} (29%)
• Somewhat favor 18% [17%] {14%} (19%) <21%> [17%] {17%} (20%) <20%> [21%] {20%} (20%) <24%> [17%] {16%} (16%) <18%> [23%] {19%} (22%)
• Somewhat oppose 10% [6%] {12%} (7%) <11%> [10%] {11%} (9%) <12%> [13%] {11%} (13%) <8%> [12%] {11%} (11%) <14%> [10%] {10%} (12%)
• Strongly oppose 43% [45%] {48%} (46%) <40%> [48%] {45%} (45%) <42%> [40%] {41%} (39%) <39%> [42%] {40%} (43%) <39%> [38%] {38%} (35%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 41% [43%] {45%} (44%) Democrat; 39% [40%] {37%} (39%) Republican; 20% [17%] {17%} (17%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 30, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 28, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 14, 2010 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 6, 2010 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 18, 2010 are in angle brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 8, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 13, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11, 2009 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Toomey now has the support of 86% of Pennsylvania Republicans, while 82% of the state’s Democrats favor Sestak. Toomey leads by 16 points among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties.