Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Senate Poll

• Claire McCaskill (D) 48% (46%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (45%) {46%} [45%]
• Todd Akin (R) 44% (40%) {40%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (43%) {45%} [44%] 
• Jonathan Dine (L) 6% (6%) {9%}
• Undecided 2% (8%) {5%}
  

Among Men

• Todd Akin (R) 52% (45%) {40%} [48%] (50%) {46%} [45%] 
• Claire McCaskill (D) 38% (47%) {44%} [40%] (36%) {44%} [43%] 
• Jonathan Dine (L) 6% (4%) {10%}
• Undecided 3% (5%) {6%}
  

Among Women

• Claire McCaskill (D) 55% (45%) {47%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [43%]
  
• Todd Akin (R) 38% (36%) {40%} [42%] (39%) {43%} [41%]
• Jonathan Dine (L) 6% (9%) {8%}
• Undecided 1% (10%) {4%}
  

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Todd Akin 29% (31%) {33%} [33%] (24%) {21%} [19%] (18%) {18%}[20%] / 56% (57%) {55%} [56%] (58%) {21%} [28%] (26%) {21%} [24%] {-27%}

Among Men

• Todd Akin 31% (33%) {34%} [36%] (27%) {24%} [20%] / 53% (58%) {54%} [56%] (55%) {25%} [32%] {-22%} 

Among Women

• Todd Akin 27% (30%) {32%} [31%] (22%) {18%} [17%] / 58% (56%) {55%} [56%] (60%) {18%} [24%] {-31%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Claire McCaskill’s job performance?

• Approve 42% (44%) {44%} [40%] (41%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {46%} [46%] (43%)
• Disapprove 50% (51%) {49%} [55%] (53%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {47%} [45%] (44%)

Survey of 835 likely Missouri voters was conducted November 2-3, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% (37%) {33%} [35%] (39%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (39%) Republican; 33% (34%) {32%} [33%] (30%) {35%} [39%] (33%) {37%} [38%] (36%) Democrat; 32% (30%) {35%} [32%] (32%) {33%} [27%] (30%) {25%} [25%] (26%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 28% (26%) {29%} [33%] (27%) {30%} [27%] (27%) {32%} [27%] Moderate; 27% (26%) {27%} [29%] (29%) {25%} [22%] (26%) {25%} [27%] Somewhat conservative; 20% (20%) {20%} [19%] (19%) {21%} [20%] (23%) {20%} [22%] Very conservative; 13% (16%) {14%} [12%] (16%) {14%} [21%] (14%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 12% (12%) {11%} [8%] (9%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 19-21, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted October 1-3, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 28-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: We Ask America (R) Missouri 2012 Senatorial Survey

We Ask America (R) Missouri 2012 Senate Poll

• Claire McCaskill (D) 48.6% (46.0%)
• Todd Akin (R) 45.2% (45.2%)
• Jonathan Dine (L) 6.2% 

Survey of 1,217 likely voters was conducted October 30, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Missouri 2012 Senatorial Survey

Mason-Dixon Missouri 2012 Senate Poll

• Claire McCaskill (D) 45% [50%] (44%)
• Todd Akin (R) 43% [41%] (49%)
• Jonathan Dine (L) 4%
• Undecided 8%
  

Among Men

• Todd Akin (R) 48% [46%] (52%)
• Claire McCaskill (D) 43% [44%] (42%)
• Jonathan Dine (L) 3%
• Undecided 6%
  

Among Women

• Claire McCaskill (D) 47% [55%] (47%)
  
• Todd Akin (R) 38% [37%] (46%)
• Jonathan Dine (L) 5%
• Undecided 10%
  

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Claire McCaskill 40% [39%] (37%) / 47% [41%] (44%) {-7%} 
• Todd Akin 28% [17%] (24%) / 42% [56%] (11%) {-14%}

Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted October 23-25, 2012 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% Republican; 31% Democrat; 34% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-23, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Senate Poll

• Claire McCaskill (D) 46% {46%} [45%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (45%) {46%} [45%]
• Todd Akin (R) 40% {40%} [44%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (43%) {45%} [44%] 
• Jonathan Dine (L) 6% {9%}
• Undecided 8% {5%}
  

Among Men

• Claire McCaskill (D) 47% {44%} [40%] (36%) {44%} [43%] 
• Todd Akin (R) 45% {40%} [48%] (50%) {46%} [45%]
• Jonathan Dine (L) 4% {10%}
• Undecided 5% {6%}
  

Among Women

• Claire McCaskill (D) 45% {47%} [49%] (49%) {45%} [43%]
  
• Todd Akin (R) 36% {40%} [42%] (39%) {43%} [41%]
• Jonathan Dine (L) 9% {8%}
• Undecided 10% {4%}
  

(Among Dine Voters) If you had to choose between Democrat Claire McCaskill and Republican Todd Akin, who would you vote for?

• Todd Akin 45% {33%}
• Claire McCaskill 23% {19%}
• Not sure 32% {48%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Todd Akin 31% {33%} [33%] (24%) {21%} [19%] (18%) {18%}[20%] / 57% {55%} [56%] (58%) {21%} [28%] (26%) {21%} [24%] {-26%}

Among Men

• Todd Akin 33% {34%} [36%] (27%) {24%} [20%] / 58% {54%} [56%] (55%) {25%} [32%] {-25%} 

Among Women

• Todd Akin 30% {32%} [31%] (22%) {18%} [17%] / 56% {55%} [56%] (60%) {18%} [24%] {-26%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jonathan Dine?

• Favorable 4%
• Unfavorable 15%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Claire McCaskill’s job performance?

• Approve 44% {44%} [40%] (41%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {46%} [46%] (43%)
• Disapprove 51% {49%} [55%] (53%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {47%} [45%] (44%)

Survey of 582 likely Missouri voters was conducted October 19-21, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 37% {33%} [35%] (39%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (39%) Republican; 34% {32%} [33%] (30%) {35%} [39%] (33%) {37%} [38%] (36%) Democrat; 30% {35%} [32%] (32%) {33%} [27%] (30%) {25%} [25%] (26%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 26% {29%} [33%] (27%) {30%} [27%] (27%) {32%} [27%] Moderate; 26% {27%} [29%] (29%) {25%} [22%] (26%) {25%} [27%] Somewhat conservative; 20% {20%} [19%] (19%) {21%} [20%] (23%) {20%} [22%] Very conservative; 16% {14%} [12%] (16%) {14%} [21%] (14%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 12% {11%} [8%] (9%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 1-3, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 28-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Senate Poll

• Claire McCaskill (D) 46% [45%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (45%) {46%} [45%]
• Todd Akin (R) 40% [44%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (43%) {45%} [44%] 
• Jonathan Dine (L) 9%
• Undecided 5%
  

Among Men

• Claire McCaskill (D) 44% [40%] (36%) {44%} [43%] 
• Todd Akin (R) 40% [48%] (50%) {46%} [45%]
• Jonathan Dine (L) 10%
• Undecided 6%
  

Among Women

• Claire McCaskill (D) 47% [49%] (49%) {45%} [43%]
  
• Todd Akin (R) 40% [42%] (39%) {43%} [41%]
• Jonathan Dine (L) 8%
• Undecided 4%
  

(Among Dine Voters) If you had to choose between Democrat Claire McCaskill and Republican Todd Akin, who would you vote for?

• Todd Akin 33%
• Claire McCaskill 19%
• Not sure 48%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Todd Akin 33% [33%] (24%) {21%} [19%] (18%) {18%}[20%] / 55% [56%] (58%) {21%} [28%] (26%) {21%} [24%] {-22%}

Among Men

• Todd Akin 34% [36%] (27%) {24%} [20%] / 54% [56%] (55%) {25%} [32%] {-20%} 

Among Women

• Todd Akin 32% [31%] (22%) {18%} [17%] / 55% [56%] (60%) {18%} [24%] {-23%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Claire McCaskill’s job performance?

• Approve 44% [40%] (41%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {46%} [46%] (43%)
• Disapprove 49% [55%] (53%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {47%} [45%] (44%)

Do you consider Claire McCaskill to be ‘ladylike,’ or not?

• She is 46%
• She is not 27%
• Not sure 27%

Do you think women can become pregnant from being raped, or not?

• They can 93%
• They cannot 4%
• Not sure 4%

Survey of 700 likely Missouri voters was conducted October 1-3, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 33% [35%] (39%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (39%) Republican; 32% [33%] (30%) {35%} [39%] (33%) {37%} [38%] (36%) Democrat; 35% [32%] (32%) {33%} [27%] (30%) {25%} [25%] (26%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% [33%] (27%) {30%} [27%] (27%) {32%} [27%] Moderate; 27% [29%] (29%) {25%} [22%] (26%) {25%} [27%] Somewhat conservative; 20% [19%] (19%) {21%} [20%] (23%) {20%} [22%] Very conservative; 14% [12%] (16%) {14%} [21%] (14%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 11% [8%] (9%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 28-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Missouri Senatorial Survey

Mason-Dixon Missouri Senatorial Survey

• Roy Blunt (R) 49% [48%]
• Robin Carnahan (D) 40% [42%]
• Jerry Beck (C) 2%
• Jonathan Dine (L) 1%
• Undecided 8% [10%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Roy Blunt 45% [39%] / 35% [23%] {+10%}
• Robin Carnahan 34% [39%] / 48% [38%] {-14%}
• Barack Obama 35% [33%] / 51% [55%] {-16%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama's job performance as President?

• Approve 34% [34%]
• Disapprove 60% [57%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama's handling of the economy?

• Approve 29% [33%]
• Disapprove 60% [61%]

Would you say that you generally support the agenda of the Tea Party movement, or not?

• Yes 46% [44%]
• No 37% [39%]

Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted October 18-20, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Missouri Senatorial Survey

• Roy Blunt (R) 46% {45%} (45%) [42%]
• Robin Carnahan (D) 41% {38%} (41%) [43%]
• Jerry Beck (C) 3% {5%}
• Jonathan Dine (L) 3% {3%}
• Undecided 7% {9%} (13%) [15%]

Favorable/Unfavorable

• Roy Blunt 42% {41%} (25%) [30%] / 45% {42%} (41%) [38%] {-3%}
• Robin Carnahan 39% {41%} (38%) [40%] / 53% {50%} (43%) [36%] {-14%}

Survey of 646 likely voters was conducted October 17-18, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 36% {33%} (36%) [36%] Democrat; 35% {38%} (35%) [32%] Republican; 29% {29%} (29%) [33%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-28, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2009 are in square brackets.