Showing posts with label Rape. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Rape. Show all posts

Friday, November 02, 2012

Poll Watch: Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground 2012 Senatorial Survey

Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground 2012 Senate Poll
  • Joe Donnelly (D) 47% [40%] (35%)
  • Richard Mourdock (R) 36% [38%] (35%)
  • Andrew Horning (L) 6% [7%]
  • Undecided 11%
Among Independents
  • Joe Donnelly (D) 51%
  • Richard Mourdock (R) 17%
Among Men
  • Joe Donnelly (D) 43% [38%]
  • Richard Mourdock (R) 41% [42%] 
Among Women
  • Joe Donnelly (D) 50% [41%] 
  • Richard Mourdock (R) 31.5% [35%] 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Joe Donnelly 36% [24%] / 31% [21%] {+5%}
  • Richard Mourdock 30% [26%] (15%) / 49% [32%] (18%) {-19%}
In the past week or so, has your opinion of Richard Mourdock become more favorable, less favorable, or has it stayed the same?
  • More favorable 11%
  • Less favorable 43%
  • Stayed the same 46% 
Are you aware or unaware of comments Richard Mourdock made during the final Senate debate regarding his views on abortion in the case of rape? 
  • Aware 87%
  • Unaware 13% 
Did what he had to say on this make you more likely or less likely to vote for Richard Mourdock, or did it not make much difference in your decision? 
  • More likely 6%
  • Less likely 40%
  • Didn't make much difference 54%
Among Independents
  • More likely 3%
  • Less likely 44%
Among Women
  • More likely 5%
  • Less likely 44%
Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted October 28-30, 2012, by Republican pollster Christine Matthews, the president of Alexandria, Va.-based Bellwether Research, and Democratic pollster Fred Yang, of D.C.-based Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 45% [43%] Republican; 34% [38%] Democrat; 21% [19%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-20 and 23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26-28, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Mourdock has not consolidated his GOP base. He is only polling 70% of the Republican vote, an indicator that he never brought in the Lugar wing of the GOP, nor did the campaign attempt to try, instead sending out a post-primary fundraising letter citing Lugar’s “betrayal” to conservatives. In the September survey, Mourdock was polling only 71% of the GOP.  Mourdock is only polling 31.5% of the female vote and just 77% of his base, the Tea Party.
Donnelly has consolidated Democrats, winning 88% of the vote among his own party.
In the Republican-rich doughnut counties, Mourdock's fav/unfavs stood at 30/50%. With independent women he stood at 12/48% and with independent men, 23/51%. Donnelly’s fav/unfav in the doughnut was 36/32% and with independent women, 31/16%.
In the Indiana Congressional Districts, Mourdock has his strongest support in 3rd, 4th, 5th, and 9th districts where he barely polls above 40%. Mourdock only has 29% support his home 8th district. In comparison, Donnelly leads in all districts except the 3rd and 4th.

Wednesday, October 03, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Senatorial Survey

  • Claire McCaskill (D) 46% [45%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (45%) {46%} [45%]
  • Todd Akin (R) 40% [44%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (43%) {45%} [44%] 
  • Jonathan Dine (L) 9%
  • Undecided 5%
Among Men
  • Claire McCaskill (D) 44% [40%] (36%) {44%} [43%] 
  • Todd Akin (R) 40% [48%] (50%) {46%} [45%]
  • Jonathan Dine (L) 10%
  • Undecided 6%
Among Women
  • Claire McCaskill (D) 47% [49%] (49%) {45%} [43%]
  • Todd Akin (R) 40% [42%] (39%) {43%} [41%]
  • Jonathan Dine (L) 8%
  • Undecided 4%
(Among Dine Voters) If you had to choose between Democrat Claire McCaskill and Republican Todd Akin, who would you vote for?
  • Todd Akin 33%
  • Claire McCaskill 19%
  • Not sure 48%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Todd Akin 33% [33%] (24%) {21%} [19%] (18%) {18%}[20%] / 55% [56%] (58%) {21%} [28%] (26%) {21%} [24%] {-22%}
Among Men
  • Todd Akin 34% [36%] (27%) {24%} [20%] / 54% [56%] (55%) {25%} [32%] {-20%} 
Among Women
  • Todd Akin 32% [31%] (22%) {18%} [17%] / 55% [56%] (60%) {18%} [24%] {-23%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Claire McCaskill’s job performance?
  • Approve 44% [40%] (41%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {46%} [46%] (43%)
  • Disapprove 49% [55%] (53%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {47%} [45%] (44%)
Do you consider Claire McCaskill to be ‘ladylike,’ or not?
  • She is 46%
  • She is not 27%
  • Not sure 27%
Do you think women can become pregnant from being raped, or not?
  • They can 93%
  • They cannot 4%
  • Not sure 4%
Survey of 700 likely Missouri voters was conducted October 1-3, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 33% [35%] (39%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (39%) Republican; 32% [33%] (30%) {35%} [39%] (33%) {37%} [38%] (36%) Democrat; 35% [32%] (32%) {33%} [27%] (30%) {25%} [25%] (26%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% [33%] (27%) {30%} [27%] (27%) {32%} [27%] Moderate; 27% [29%] (29%) {25%} [22%] (26%) {25%} [27%] Somewhat conservative; 20% [19%] (19%) {21%} [20%] (23%) {20%} [22%] Very conservative; 14% [12%] (16%) {14%} [21%] (14%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 11% [8%] (9%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 28-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Thursday, September 13, 2012

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York Survey on Abortion

Quinnipiac New York Poll on Abortion

Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
  • Legal in all cases 39% (30%)
  • Legal in most cases 33% (37%)
  • Illegal in most cases 14% (19%)
  • Illegal in all cases 7% (10%)
Democrats
  • Legal in all cases 50% (37%)
  • Legal in most cases 33% (41%)
  • Illegal in most cases 8% (10%)
  • Illegal in all cases 6% (8%)
Republicans
  • Legal in all cases 19% (17%)
  • Legal in most cases 35% (27%)
  • Illegal in most cases 25% (39%)
  • Illegal in all cases 13% (13%)
Independents
  • Legal in all cases 39% (26%)
  • Legal in most cases 33% (40%)
  • Illegal in most cases 12% (19%)
  • Illegal in all cases 5% (9%)
Age 18-34
  • Legal in all cases 45% (35%)
  • Legal in most cases 29% (39%)
  • Illegal in most cases 13% (19%)
  • Illegal in all cases 7% (6%)
Age 35-54
  • Legal in all cases 45% (34%)
  • Legal in most cases 35% (34%)
  • Illegal in most cases 12% (18%)
  • Illegal in all cases 4% (9%)
Age 55+
  • Legal in all cases 33% (23%)
  • Legal in most cases 33% (39%)
  • Illegal in most cases 15% (19%)
  • Illegal in all cases 11% (13%)
College Degree
  • Legal in all cases 46% (36%)
  • Legal in most cases 35% (39%)
  • Illegal in most cases 11% (15%)
  • Illegal in all cases 3% (7%)
No College Degree
  • Legal in all cases 35% (26%)
  • Legal in most cases 32% (36%)
  • Illegal in most cases 15% (21%)
  • Illegal in all cases 10% (11%)
Among Men
  • Legal in all cases 35% (29%)
  • Legal in most cases 35% (39%)
  • Illegal in most cases 14% (20%)
  • Illegal in all cases 8% (7%)
Among Women
  • Legal in all cases 43% (30%)
  • Legal in most cases 31% (35%)
  • Illegal in most cases 13% (18%)
  • Illegal in all cases 7% (12%)
How about when the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest? Do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal?
  • Legal 88%
  • Illegal 7%
Survey of 1,486 likely voters was conducted September 4-9, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2012 are in parentheses.

Thursday, September 06, 2012

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New Jersey Survey on Abortion

Quinnipiac New Jersey Poll on Abortion

Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
  • Legal in all cases 33%
  • Legal in most cases 35%
  • Illegal in most cases 17%
  • Illegal in all cases 8%
Among Democrats
  • Legal in all cases 45%
  • Legal in most cases 35%
  • Illegal in most cases 10%
  • Illegal in all cases 6%
Among Republicans
  • Legal in all cases 19%
  • Legal in most cases 31%
  • Illegal in most cases 30%
  • Illegal in all cases 13%
Among Independents
  • Legal in all cases 33%
  • Legal in most cases 37%
  • Illegal in most cases 16%
  • Illegal in all cases 6%
Among Men
  • Legal in all cases 32%
  • Legal in most cases 36%
  • Illegal in most cases 19%
  • Illegal in all cases 7%
Among Women
  • Legal in all cases 35%
  • Legal in most cases 35%
  • Illegal in most cases 15%
  • Illegal in all cases 9%
Age 18-34
  • Legal in all cases 42%
  • Legal in most cases 33%
  • Illegal in most cases 14%
  • Illegal in all cases 8%
Age 35-54
  • Legal in all cases 34%
  • Legal in most cases 35%
  • Illegal in most cases 17%
  • Illegal in all cases 7%
Age 55+
  • Legal in all cases 30%
  • Legal in most cases 36%
  • Illegal in most cases 18%
  • Illegal in all cases 9%
College Degree
  • Legal in all cases 38%
  • Legal in most cases 39%
  • Illegal in most cases 13%
  • Illegal in all cases 5%
No College Degree
  • Legal in all cases 29%
  • Legal in most cases 33%
  • Illegal in most cases 20%
  • Illegal in all cases 10%
How about when the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest? Do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal?
  • Legal 84%
  • Illegal 9%
Survey of 1,472 likely voters was conducted August 22-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.

Thursday, August 30, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Senatorial Survey

  • Claire McCaskill (D) 45% (43%) {44%} [43%] (45%) {46%} [45%]
  • Todd Akin (R) 44% (44%) {45%} [43%] (43%) {45%} [44%]
Among Men
  • Todd Akin (R) 48% (50%) {46%} [45%]
  • Claire McCaskill (D) 40% (36%) {44%} [43%]
Among Women
  • Claire McCaskill (D) 49% (49%) {45%} [43%]
  • Todd Akin (R) 42% (39%) {43%} [41%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Todd Akin 33% (24%) {21%} [19%] (18%) {18%}[20%] / 56% (58%) {21%} [28%] (26%) {21%} [24%] {-23%}
Among Men
  • Todd Akin 36% (27%) {24%} [20%] / 56% (55%) {25%} [32%] {-20%} 
Among Women
  • Todd Akin 31% (22%) {18%} [17%] / 56% (60%) {18%} [24%] {-25%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Claire McCaskill’s job performance?
  • Approve 40% (41%) {40%} [42%] (43%) {46%} [46%] (43%)
  • Disapprove 55% (53%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {47%} [45%] (44%)
Do you think Todd Akin should withdraw from the U.S. Senate race, or not?
  • He should withdraw 37%
  • He should not 54%
Do you accept Todd Akin’s apology for the comments he made last week, or not?
  • Accept his apology 53%
  • Do not 40%
Survey of 621 likely Missouri voters was conducted August 28-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID: 35% (39%) {33%} [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (39%) Republican; 33% (30%) {35%} [39%] (33%) {37%} [38%] (36%) Democrat; 32% (32%) {33%} [27%] (30%) {25%} [25%] (26%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% (27%) {30%} [27%] (27%) {32%} [27%] Moderate; 29% (29%) {25%} [22%] (26%) {25%} [27%] Somewhat conservative; 19% (19%) {21%} [20%] (23%) {20%} [22%] Very conservative; 12% (16%) {14%} [21%] (14%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 8% (9%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 20, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, August 28, 2012

Poll Watch: CBS News Survey on Abortion and the 2012 Presidential Election

CBS News Poll on Abortion and the 2012 Presidential Election

VIEWS ON ABORTION
  • Permitted in all cases 35%
  • Permitted with greater restrictions 13%
  • Only in cases of rape/incest/save woman’s life 27%
  • Only to save woman’s life 10%
  • Not permitted at all 11%
Among Democrats
  • Permitted in all cases 49%
  • Permitted with greater restrictions 11%
  • Only in cases of rape/incest/save woman’s life 24%
  • Only to save woman’s life 4%
  • Not permitted at all 8%
Among Republicans
  • Permitted in all cases 17%
  • Permitted with greater restrictions 13%
  • Only in cases of rape/incest/save woman’s life 35%
  • Only to save woman’s life 16%
  • Not permitted at all 17%
Among Independents
  • Permitted in all cases 35%
  • Permitted with greater restrictions 14%
  • Only in cases of rape/incest/save woman’s life 23%
  • Only to save woman’s life 12%
  • Not permitted at all 10%
Among Men
  • Permitted in all cases 32%
  • Permitted with greater restrictions 15%
  • Only in cases of rape/incest/save woman’s life 27%
  • Only to save woman’s life 9%
  • Not permitted at all 12%
Among Women
  • Permitted in all cases 38%
  • Permitted with greater restrictions 11%
  • Only in cases of rape/incest/save woman’s life 26%
  • Only to save woman’s life 12%
  • Not permitted at all 10%
Permitted in all cases/Permitted with greater restrictions
  • Barack Obama 61%
  • Mitt Romney 30%
Permitted only in few cases/Not permitted at all
  • Mitt Romney 61%
  • Barack Obama 29%
Possible You Would Vote for Candidate That Disagrees With You on Abortion
  • Yes 57%
  • No 34%
Among Democrats
  • Yes 56%
  • No 37%
Among Republicans
  • Yes 68%
  • No 27%
Among Independents
  • Yes 50%
  • No 37%
Among Men
  • Yes 62%
  • No 29%
Among Women
  • Yes 53%
  • No 38%
    Heard or Read About Todd Akin's Comments
    • A lot 35%
    • Some 21%
    • Not much 41%
    Do Todd Akin’s Comments Reflect Those of Most Republicans?
    • Yes 13%
    • No 59%
    • Don't know 27%
    Among Democrats
    • Yes 24%
    • No 44%
    • Don't know 32%
    Among Republicans
    • Yes 5%
    • No 66%
    • Don't know 29%
    Among Independents
    • Yes 9%
    • No 56%
    • Don't know 36%
    Survey of 1,051 registered voters was conducted August 22-26, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Party ID: 33.2% Democrat; 30.7% Republican; 36.1% Independent.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut Survey on Abortion

    Quinnipiac Connecticut Poll on Abortion

    Do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
    • Legal in all cases 35%
    • Legal in most cases 35%
    • Illegal in most cases 16%
    • Illegal in all cases 7%
    Among Democrats
    • Legal in all cases 47%
    • Legal in most cases 37%
    • Illegal in most cases 7%
    • Illegal in all cases 5%
    Among Republicans
    • Legal in all cases 22%
    • Legal in most cases 31%
    • Illegal in most cases 32%
    • Illegal in all cases 10%
    Among Independents
    • Legal in all cases 36%
    • Legal in most cases 36%
    • Illegal in most cases 15%
    • Illegal in all cases 5%
      Among Men
      • Legal in all cases 30%
      • Legal in most cases 39%
      • Illegal in most cases 17%
      • Illegal in all cases 6%
        Among Women
        • Legal in all cases 40%
        • Legal in most cases 31%
        • Illegal in most cases 15%
        • Illegal in all cases 8%
        Age 18-34
        • Legal in all cases 46%
        • Legal in most cases 36%
        • Illegal in most cases 12%
        • Illegal in all cases 5%
        Age 35-54
        • Legal in all cases 40%
        • Legal in most cases 34%
        • Illegal in most cases 15%
        • Illegal in all cases 6%
        Age 55+
        • Legal in all cases 29%
        • Legal in most cases 35%
        • Illegal in most cases 18%
        • Illegal in all cases 10%
        College Degree
        • Legal in all cases 41%
        • Legal in most cases 34%
        • Illegal in most cases 15%
        • Illegal in all cases 4%
        No College Degree
        • Legal in all cases 31%
        • Legal in most cases 35%
        • Illegal in most cases 17%
        • Illegal in all cases 10%
        How about when the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest? Do you think abortion should be legal in that situation or illegal?
        • Legal 87%
        • Illegal 8%
          Survey of 1,472 likely voters was conducted August 22-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% Democrat; 22% Republican; 40% Independent; 5% Other.

          Saturday, August 25, 2012

          Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Missouri 2012 Senatorial Survey

          • Claire McCaskill (D) 50% (44%)
          • Todd Akin (R) 41% (49%)
          Among Men
          • Todd Akin (R) 46% (52%)
          • Claire McCaskill (D) 44% (42%) 
          Among Women
          • Claire McCaskill (D) 55% (47%)
          • Todd Akin (R) 37% (46%)
          Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
          • Claire McCaskill 39% (37%) / 41% (44%) {-2%
          • Todd Akin 17% (24%) / 56% (11%) {-39%}
          In the wake of his comments about rape and abortion, do you feel Senate candidate Todd Akin should or should not withdraw as the Republican Party nominee?
          • Should withdraw 47%
          • Should not withdraw 37%
          Among Men
          • Should withdraw 41%
          • Should not withdraw 39%
          Among Women
          • Should withdraw 53%
          • Should not withdraw 35%
          Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted August 22-23, 2012 for the St. Louis Post-Dispatch and KMOV-TV.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-25, 2012 are in parentheses.

          Friday, August 24, 2012

          Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Survey on Abortion

          CNN/ORC 2012 Abortion Poll

          Do you think abortion should be legal under any circumstances, legal under only certain circumstances, or illegal in all circumstances? (If only certain circumstances:) Do you think abortion should be legal in most circumstances or only a few circumstances?
          • Legal under any circumstances 36% (25%)
          • Legal in most circumstances 11% (12%)
          • Legal in a few circumstances 37% (41%)
          • Illegal in all circumstances 13% (21%)
          Among Democrats
          • Legal under any circumstances 48% (34%)
          • Legal in most circumstances 13% (14%)
          • Legal in a few circumstances 27% (36%)
          • Illegal in all circumstances 11% (16%)
          Among Republicans
          • Legal under any circumstances 20% (11%)
          • Legal in most circumstances 9% (8%)
          • Legal in a few circumstances 48% (53%)
          • Illegal in all circumstances 22% (27%)
          Among Independents
          • Legal under any circumstances 35% (25%)
          • Legal in most circumstances 6% (13%)
          • Legal in a few circumstances 38% (38%)
          • Illegal in all circumstances 14% (21%)
          Among Moderates
          • Legal under any circumstances 41% (29%)
          • Legal in most circumstances 11% (11%)
          • Legal in a few circumstances 33% (41%)
          • Illegal in all circumstances 11% (18%)
          Among Men
          • Legal under any circumstances 31% (23%)
          • Legal in most circumstances 9% (11%)
          • Legal in a few circumstances 39% (43%)
          • Illegal in all circumstances 14% (21%)
          Among Women
          • Legal under any circumstances 39% (27%)
          • Legal in most circumstances 10% (13%)
          • Legal in a few circumstances 34% (38%)
          • Illegal in all circumstances 15% (21%)
            Now I am going to read some specific situations under which an abortion might be considered. For each one, please say whether you think abortion should be legal in that situation, or illegal.

            When the woman's life is endangered
            • Legal 89%
            • Illegal 8%
            When the woman's physical health is endangered
            • Legal 85%
            • Illegal 11%
            When the pregnancy was caused by rape or incest
            • Legal 84%
            • Illegal 13%
            Survey of 924 registered voters was conducted August 22-23, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2011 are in parentheses. 

            Thursday, August 23, 2012

            Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Missouri 2012 Senatorial Survey

            Rasmussen (R) Missouri 2012 Senate Poll
            • Claire McCaskill (D) 48% [44%] (42%) {43%} [43%] (47%)
            • Todd Akin (R) 38% [47%] (50%) {48%} [50%] (45%) 
            • Some other candidate 9% [4%] (2%) {2%} [4%]
            • Not sure 5% [5%] (7%) {7%} [4%]
            I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.

            Claire McCaskill
            • Very favorable 19%
            • Somewhat favorable 29%
            • Somewhat unfavorable 12%
            • Very unfavorable 36%
            Todd Akin
            • Very favorable 11%
            • Somewhat favorable 24%
            • Somewhat unfavorable 16%
            • Very unfavorable 47%
            Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
            • Claire McCaskill 48% / 48% {0%}
            • Todd Akin 35% / 63% {-28%}
            How closely have you followed news stories concerning Todd Akin’s comments about rape?
            • Very closely 64%
            • Somewhat closely 29%
            • Not very closely 5%
            • Not at all 1%
            Should Akin withdraw from the campaign and have the Republicans select another candidate to run against Senator Claire McCaskill?
            • 41% Yes
            • 42% No
            • 17% Not sure
            Note: Most Republicans (53%) think Akin should quit; most Democrats (56%) do not, and unaffiliated voters are evenly divided.

            Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted August 22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 30, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 7, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 14-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9, 2011 are in parentheses.
            Inside the numbers:
            Male voters are evenly divided between the two candidates, but McCaskill holds a 20-point lead among female voters. Akin has a slight 44% to 40% lead among married voters, but among unmarrieds he now trails by a whopping 70% to 21% margin.

            Seventy-three percent (73%) of conservatives continue to support Akin, but 63% of moderates and 93% of liberals favor McCaskill.

            Notably, 13% of Republicans now prefer a third party candidate as do 14% of unaffiliated voters. Among Democrats, none now favor a third party option and Democratic support for McCaskill has solidified. She now earns 96% of the vote from her party. Only 70% of Republicans would vote for the current nominee of their party. That’s down from 86% earlier.

            Monday, August 20, 2012

            Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Senatorial Survey

            • Todd Akin (R) 44% {45%} [43%] (43%) {45%} [44%]
            • Claire McCaskill (D) 43% {44%} [43%] (45%) {46%} [45%]
            Among Men
            • Todd Akin (R) 50% {46%} [45%]
            • Claire McCaskill (D) 36% {44%} [43%]
            Among Women
            • Claire McCaskill (D) 49% {45%} [43%]
            • Todd Akin (R) 39% {43%} [41%]
            Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
            • Todd Akin 24% {21%} [19%] (18%) {18%}[20%] / 58% {21%} [28%] (26%) {21%} [24%] {-34%}
            Among Men
            • Todd Akin 27% {24%} [20%] / 55% {25%} [32%] {-28%} 
            Among Women
            • Todd Akin 22% {18%} [17%] / 60% {18%} [24%] {-38%}
            Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Claire McCaskill’s job performance?
            • Approve 41% {40%} [42%] (43%) {46%} [46%] (43%)
            • Disapprove 53% {50%} [49%] (47%) {47%} [45%] (44%)
            Do you think Todd Akin’s recent comments over the weekend about rape were appropriate or inappropriate, or are you not familiar with what Akin said about rape?
            • Appropriate 9%
            • Inappropriate 75%
            • Not familiar with Akin's comments 16%
            This past weekend, Todd Akin said that abortion should be illegal even in the case of rape, because, “If it's a legitimate rape, the female body has ways to try to shut that whole thing down.” Do you strongly agree, somewhat agree, somewhat disagree, or strongly disagree with Akin’s comments?
            • Strongly agree 6%
            • Somewhat agree 12%
            • Somewhat disagree 14%
            • Strongly disagree 65%
            • Not sure 4%
            Generally speaking, do you identify as pro-choice or pro-life on the issue of abortion?
            • Pro-choice 40%
            • Pro-life 52%
            • Not sure 7%
            Among Republicans
            • Pro-choice 23%
            • Pro-life 73%
            • Not sure 4%
            Among Democrats
            • Pro-choice 66%
            • Pro-life 22%
            • Not sure 12%
            Which of the following statements comes closest to your position on abortion: it should be legal in all cases; it should generally be illegal with exception for rape, incest, or protection of the mother’s life; or should it be completely illegal?
            • Legal in all cases 33%
            • Illegal except for rape, incest, or the mother's life 47%
            • Completely illegal 14%
            • Not sure 5%
            Among Republicans
            • Legal in all cases 16%
            • Illegal except for rape, incest, or the mother's life 55%
            • Completely illegal 24%
            • Not sure 5%
            Among Democrats
            • Legal in all cases 59%
            • Illegal except for rape, incest, or the mother's life 34%
            • Completely illegal 4%
            • Not sure 3%
              Survey of 500 likely Missouri voters was conducted on the evening of August 20, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 39% {33%} [35%] (37%) {37%} [37%] (39%) Republican; 30% {35%} [39%] (33%) {37%} [38%] (36%) Democrat;  32% {33%} [27%] (30%) {25%} [25%] (26%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% {25%} [22%] (26%) {25%} [27%] Somewhat conservative; 27% {30%} [27%] (27%) {32%} [27%] Moderate; 19% {21%} [20%] (23%) {20%} [22%] Very conservative; 16% {14%} [21%] (14%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 9% {9%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [8%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 27-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 9-12, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010 are in parentheses.