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Monmouth University Indiana 2016 Presidential Poll
- Donald Trump (R) 50% [45%] (47%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [41%] (36%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 4% [9%] (10%)
Among Men
- Donald Trump (R) 54% [52%] (51%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 35% [34%] (29%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 3% [11%] (15%)
Among Women
- Donald Trump (R) 47% [38%] (44%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [47%] (43%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 5% [7%] (5%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Donald Trump (R) 35% [31%] (33%) / 51% [58%] (54%) {-16}
- Hillary Clinton (D) 27% [30%] (28%) / 63% [59%] (62%) {-36}
Survey of 402 likely Republican primary voters was conducted October 27-30, 2016.
The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 11-13, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2016 are in parentheses.
Monmouth University Indiana 2016 Presidential Poll
- Donald Trump (R) 45% (47%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (36%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 9% (10%)
Among Men
- Donald Trump (R) 52% (51%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 34% (29%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 11% (15%)
Among Women
- Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (43%)
- Donald Trump (R) 38% (44%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 7% (5%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Donald Trump (R) 31% (33%) / 58% (54%) {-27}
- Hillary Clinton (D) 30% (28%) / 59% (62%) {-29}
Survey of 402 likely Republican primary voters was conducted October 11-13, 2016.
The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2016 are in parentheses.
WTHR/HPI Indiana 2016 Presidential Poll
- Donald Trump (R) 43% (43%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (36%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 11% (11%)
Among Men
- Donald Trump (R) 50% (49%)
- Hillary Clinton (D) 29% (29%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 13% (12%)
Among Women
- Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (42%)
- Donald Trump (R) 38% (39%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 9% (9%)
Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters was conducted October 3-5, 2016.
The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2016 are in parentheses.
WTHR/HPI Indiana 2016 Presidential Poll
- Donald Trump (R) 43%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
- Gary Johnson (L) 11%
Among Men
- Donald Trump (R) 49%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 29%
- Gary Johnson (L) 12%
Among Women
- Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
- Donald Trump (R) 39%
- Gary Johnson (L) 9%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Donald Trump (R) 42% / 54% {-12%}
- Hillary Clinton (D) 34% / 62% {-28%}
Survey of 600 likely Republican primary voters was conducted September 6-8, 2016.
The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.
Monmouth University Indiana 2016 Presidential Poll
- Donald Trump (R) 47%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
- Gary Johnson (L) 10%
Among Men
- Donald Trump (R) 51%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 29%
- Gary Johnson (L) 15%
Among Women
- Donald Trump (R) 44%
- Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
- Gary Johnson (L) 5%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Donald Trump (R) 33% / 54% {-21%}
- Hillary Clinton (D) 28% / 62% {-34%}
Survey of 403 likely Republican primary voters was conducted August 13-16, 2016.
The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.
- Donald Trump 44%
- Ted Cruz 27%
- John Kasich 9%
- Uncertain 19%
Survey of 379 likely Republican primary voters was
conducted April 28-29, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.
- Hillary Clinton 51%
- Bernie Sanders 43%
- Other 1%
- Undecided 5%
Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was
conducted April 27-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.
- Donald Trump 41%
- Ted Cruz 32%
- John Kasich 21%
- Undecided 6%
Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was
conducted April 27-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.
- John Kasich 56%
- Hillary Clinton 37%
- Donald Trump 48%
- Hillary Clinton 41%
- Ted Cruz 50%
- Hillary Clinton 43%
Survey of 2,149 registered voters was
conducted April 26-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.1 percentage points.
- Hillary Clinton 50%
- Bernie Sanders 46%
Survey of 449 likely Democratic primary voters was
conducted April 26-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.
- Donald Trump 49%
- Ted Cruz 34%
- John Kasich 13%
Survey of 645 likely Republican primary voters was
conducted April 26-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.
- Hillary Clinton 46%
- Bernie Sanders 42%
Among Men
- Bernie Sanders 55%
- Hillary Clinton 34%
Among Women
- Hillary Clinton 55%
- Bernie Sanders 31%
College Degree
- Bernie Sanders 47%
- Hillary Clinton 42%
No College Degree
- Hillary Clinton 49%
- Bernie Sanders 37%
Survey of 603 likely Democratic primary voters was
conducted April 18-21, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.
- Donald Trump 41%
- Ted Cruz 33%
- John Kasich 16%
College Degree
- Ted Cruz 36%
- Donald Trump 35%
- John Kasich 21%
No College Degree
- Donald Trump 46%
- Ted Cruz 30%
- John Kasich 12%
Survey of 602 likely Republican primary voters was
conducted April 18-21, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.
- Hillary Clinton 48%
- Bernie Sanders 45%
Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was
conducted April 18-21, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.47 percentage points.
- Donald Trump 37%
- Ted Cruz 31%
- John Kasich 22%
Survey of 500 likely Republican primary voters was
conducted April 18-21, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.
Rasmussen (R) Indiana 2012 Presidential Poll
- Mitt Romney 52% {54%} [51%] (48%)
- Barack Obama 43% {41%} [35%] (42%)
- Some other candidate 1% {1%} [3%] (5%)
- Undecided 4% {4%} [11%] (5%)
Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?
- Very favorable 33% {30%}
- Somewhat favorable 21% {28%}
- Somewhat unfavorable 13% {16%}
- Very unfavorable 30% {24%}
How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?
- Strongly approve 21% {20%}
- Somewhat approve 25% {24%}
- Somewhat disapprove 11% {12%}
- Strongly disapprove 42% {43%}
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted November 1, 2012. The margin of
error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 10-11, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 1, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Twenty percent (20%) of voters in the state have already cast their ballots, and among those voters, Obama has a narrow 49% to 47% lead.
Both candidates draw at least 90% support from their respective parties, but voters not affiliated with either major political party are much more divided: 44% support Obama, 43% Romney.
Fifty-four percent (54%) of Indiana voters trust Romney more when it comes to handling the economy, while 39% have more faith in the president. Romney leads 50% to 43% in terms of voter trust in the area of national security.
A plurality (48%) of all voters in the state think the economy will get better if Romney is elected and Republicans take full control of Congress. Only 34% expect an improved economy if Obama is reelected and Democrats are in charge of Congress. If Romney and the GOP win, 32% think the economy will get worse, but 47% believe that to be true if Obama and the Democrats come out on top.
Rasmussen (R) Indiana 2012 Senate Poll
- Joe Donnelly (D) 45% [42%] (40%)
- Richard Mourdock (R) 42% [47%] (42%)
- Some other candidate 6% [2%] (3%)
- Undecided 6% [8%] (15%)
I’m going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each,
please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable,
somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression.
Joe Donnelly
- Very favorable 13% [13%]
- Somewhat favorable 30% [31%]
- Somewhat unfavorable 23% [22%]
- Very unfavorable 22% [15%]
Richard Mourdock
- Very favorable 13% [13%]
- Somewhat favorable 27% [31%]
- Somewhat unfavorable 14% [20%]
- Very unfavorable 39% [20%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Joe Donnelly 43% [44%] / 45% [37%] {-2%}
- Richard Mourdock 40% [44%] / 53% [40%] {-13%}
Survey of 600 likely voter was conducted November 1, 2012. The
margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll
conducted October 10-11, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll
conducted July 31 - August 1, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Twenty percent (20%) of likely Indiana voters have cast their ballots already, and Donnelly leads 48% to 42% among these voters.
Mourdock leads by 10 points among male voters but trails by 15 among female voters. However, 13% of both groups either prefer a third-party alternative or are undecided.
Donnelly has the support of 81% of Indiana Democrats and 11% of the state’s Republicans. Eighty-three percent (83%) of GOP voters back Mourdock. Among voters in Indiana not affiliated with either party, Donnelly leads 53% to 29%, but 19% of these voters favor another candidate or are undecided.
Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground 2012 Presidential Poll
- Mitt Romney (R) 51% [52%] (49%)
- Barack Obama (D) 41% [40%] (40%)
- Gary Johnson (L) 2%
- Undecided 7%
Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted October 28-30, 2012, by Republican
pollster Christine Matthews, the president of Alexandria, Va.-based
Bellwether Research, and Democratic pollster Fred Yang, of D.C.-based
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group. The margin of error is
+/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 45% [43%] Republican; 34% [38%] Democrat; 21% [19%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 19-20 and 23, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26-28, 2012 are in parentheses.
Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground 2012 Senate Poll
- Joe Donnelly (D) 47% [40%] (35%)
- Richard Mourdock (R) 36% [38%] (35%)
- Andrew Horning (L) 6% [7%]
- Undecided 11%
Among Independents
- Joe Donnelly (D) 51%
- Richard Mourdock (R) 17%
Among Men
- Joe Donnelly (D) 43% [38%]
- Richard Mourdock (R) 41% [42%]
Among Women
- Joe Donnelly (D) 50% [41%]
- Richard Mourdock (R) 31.5% [35%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Joe Donnelly 36% [24%] / 31% [21%] {+5%}
- Richard Mourdock 30% [26%] (15%) / 49% [32%] (18%) {-19%}
In the past week or so, has your opinion of Richard Mourdock become more favorable, less favorable, or has it stayed the same?
- More favorable 11%
- Less favorable 43%
- Stayed the same 46%
Are you aware or unaware of comments Richard Mourdock made during the final Senate debate regarding his views on abortion in the case of rape?
Did what he had to say on this make you more likely or less likely to vote for Richard Mourdock, or did it not make much difference in your decision?
- More likely 6%
- Less likely 40%
- Didn't make much difference 54%
Among Independents
- More likely 3%
- Less likely 44%
Among Women
- More likely 5%
- Less likely 44%
Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted October 28-30, 2012, by Republican
pollster Christine Matthews, the president of Alexandria, Va.-based
Bellwether Research, and Democratic pollster Fred Yang, of D.C.-based
Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group. The margin of error is
+/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 45% [43%] Republican; 34% [38%] Democrat; 21% [19%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 19-20 and 23, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 26-28, 2012 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Mourdock has not consolidated his GOP base. He is only polling 70% of the Republican vote, an indicator that he never brought in the Lugar wing of the GOP, nor did the campaign attempt to try, instead sending out a post-primary fundraising letter citing Lugar’s “betrayal” to conservatives. In the September survey, Mourdock was polling only 71% of the GOP. Mourdock is only polling 31.5% of the female vote and just 77% of his base, the Tea Party.
Donnelly has consolidated Democrats, winning 88% of the vote among his own party.
In the Republican-rich doughnut counties, Mourdock's fav/unfavs stood at 30/50%. With independent women he stood at 12/48% and with independent men, 23/51%. Donnelly’s fav/unfav in the doughnut was 36/32% and with independent women, 31/16%.
In the Indiana Congressional Districts, Mourdock has his strongest support in 3rd, 4th, 5th, and 9th districts where he barely polls above 40%. Mourdock only has 29% support his home 8th district. In comparison, Donnelly leads in all districts except the 3rd and 4th.
