Poll Watch: FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Survey

FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2013 Gubernatorial Poll

• Chris Christie (R) 58% [64%]
• Barbara Buono (D) 22% [21%]

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?

• Approve 66% [73%] {77%} (56%) [51%] {55%} (56%) [54%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {44%} (51%) [51%] {53%}
• Disapprove 20% [19%] {17%} (33%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (36%) [36%] {44%} (41%) [39%] {36%}

Among Democrats

• Approve 55% [62%] {67%} (26%) [28%] {33%} (36%) [30%] {26%} (27%) [31%] {20%} (27%) [27%] {33%}
• Disapprove 29% [29%] {26%} (59%) [55%] {56%} (51%) [52%] {62%} (60%) [54%] {69%} (63%) [61%] {56%}

Among Republicans

• Approve 83% [90%] {87%} (86%) [84%] {82%} (83%) [85%] {90%} (81%) [81%] {75%} (83%) [82%] {80%}
• Disapprove 6% [7%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {13%} (11%) [9%] {7%} (11%) [16%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {14%}

Among Independents

• Approve 61% [80%] {92%} (60%) [55%] {65%} (53%) [60%] {52%} (50%) [64%] {47%} (49%) [54%] {50%}
• Disapprove 26% [13%] {5%} (20%) [30%] {23%} (31%) [27%] {36%} (35%) [26%] {32%} (36%) [28%] {32%}

Among Men

• Approve 71% [77%] {76%} (64%) [54%] {61%} (64%) [62%] {63%} (58%) [61%] {52%} (58%) [61%] {59%}
• Disapprove 17% [17%] {19%} (28%) [32%] {32%} (27%) [27%] {30%} (31%) [31%] {36%} (34%) [32%] {32%}

Among Women

• Approve 62% [70%] {77%} (49%) [49%] {49%} (48%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {36%} (45%) [41%] {47%}
• Disapprove 24% [22%] {15%} (37%) [39%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {45%} (41%) [42%] {53%} (47%) [47%] {40%}

Was the governor’s recent decision to accept federal money in order to expand health insurance for the state’s poor through Medicaid the right or wrong decision for New Jersey?  

• Right 69%
• Wrong 13%

Among Democrats

• Right 86%
• Wrong 4%

Among Republicans

• Right 49%
• Wrong 25%

Among Independents

• Right 64%
• Wrong 17%

Survey of 702 registered voters was conducted March 4-10, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 46% [48%] {49%} [48%] {47%} Democrat; 34% [33%] {34%} [33%] {33%} Republican; 20% [19%] {17%} [19%] {21%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Paul Ryan Speaks to Seniors in Florida

Fox News Sunday: Interview with DNC Chair Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz

Govs. Rick Scott and Terry Branstad on Fox News Sunday

CNN State of the Union: Interview with Govs. Deval Patrick and Bob McDonnell (Part 2)

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Survey on ObamaCare and the Supreme Court

CNN/ORC Poll on ObamaCare and the Supreme Court

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Among Registered Voters

• Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts 42% / 25% {+17%}

Among Democrats

• Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts 51% / 12% {+39%}

Among Republicans

• Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts 30% / 38% {-8%}

Among Independents 

• Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts 39% / 26% {+13%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Supreme Court is handling its job?

Among Registered Voters

• Approve 52%
• Disapprove 45%

Among Democrats

• Approve 73%
• Disapprove 24%

Among Republicans

• Approve 31%
• Disapprove 65%

Among Independents 

• Approve 53%
• Disapprove 43%

In general, do you think the current Supreme Court is too liberal, too conservative, or just about right?

Among Registered Voters

• Too liberal 32%
• Too conservative 23%
• About right 44%

Among Democrats

• Too liberal 6%
• Too conservative 35%
• About right 58%

Among Republicans

• Too liberal 59%
• Too conservative 7%
• About right 32%

Among Independents 

• Too liberal 31%
• Too conservative 22%
• About right 45%

If you had to choose, would you rather see Congress vote to repeal all of the provisions in the health care law or would you rather see Congress vote to leave in place all the provisions in the health care law?

Among Registered Voters

• Repeal all provisions 52%
• Keep all provisions in place 46%

Among Democrats

• Repeal all provisions 16%
• Keep all provisions in place 80%

Among Republicans

• Repeal all provisions 86%
• Keep all provisions in place 13%

Among Independents 

• Repeal all provisions 56%
• Keep all provisions in place 42%

Now thinking specifically about the provision in that law that will require all Americans who do not have health insurance to get it, do you favor or oppose that provision?

Among Registered Voters

• Favor 47%
• Oppose 51%

Among Democrats

• Favor 79%
• Oppose 20%

Among Republicans

• Favor 17%
• Oppose 82%

Among Independents 

• Favor 44%
• Oppose 55%

Regardless of how you feel about that provision, do you consider it a tax on Americans, or don't you feel that way?

Among Registered Voters

• Yes, is a tax 60%
• No, not a tax 39%

Among Democrats

• Yes, is a tax 41%
• No, not a tax 58%

Among Republicans

• Yes, is a tax 83%
• No, not a tax 15%

Among Independents 

• Yes, is a tax 59%
• No, not a tax 39%

The Supreme Court's decision also affected Medicaid, the federal health program for the poor. The decision gives state governments the option not to expand their Medicaid programs without losing funding for their existing Medicaid system. Based on what you have read or heard about this, do you agree or disagree with this decision?

Among Registered Voters

• Agree 51%
• Disagree 42%

Among Democrats

• Agree 54%
• Disagree 40%

Among Republicans

• Agree 48%
• Disagree 43%

Among Independents 

• Agree 47%
• Disagree 47%

Survey of 1,517 adults, including a subsample of 1,390 registered voters, was conducted June 28 - July 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.

Chuck Schumer and Tom Coburn on Face the Nation

Nancy Pelosi on Meet the Press

Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Mitch McConnell on Fox News Sunday

Martin O'Malley & Scott Walker on Face the Nation

Meet the Press Roundtable

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Bobby Jindal and Howard Dean on Meet the Press

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Paul Ryan on Fox News Sunday

Paul Ryan on Face the Nation

Sens. Kyl and Kerry on Meet the Press

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Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Rep. Jeb Hensarling on Deficit Reduction Plan

Sen. Tom Coburn on Morning Joe

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Fox News Special Report: Gary Johnson in the Center Seat

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

• Rick Perry 31% [33%] (12%)
• Mitt Romney 18% [20%] (20%) {27%} [20%] (28%) {25%} [24%]
• Ron Paul 11% [6%] (9%) {6%} [11%] (12%) {13%} [12%]
• Newt Gingrich 10% [8%] (7%) {12%} [13%] (26%) {23%} [24%]
• Michele Bachmann 9% [16%] (21%) {13%} [13%] (11%) {8%}
• Herman Cain 8% [6%] (11%) {20%} [12%]
• Rick Santorum 2% [4%]
• Jon Huntsman 2% [3%] (3%) {3%} [4%]

If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Rick Perry and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Rick Perry 49% [52%]
• Mitt Romney 37% [36%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Perry 58% [64%] / 24% [17%] {+34%}
• Mitt Romney 52% [51%] (50%) {55%} [54%] (52%) {50%} [51%] (55%) {52%} [56%] (57%) {57%} [59%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (58%) / 32% [33%] (31%) {27%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [29%] (25%) {28%} [24%] (21%) {21%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [24%] (17%) {+20%}
• Michele Bachmann 45% [51%] (48%) / 36% [32%] (26%) {+9%}
• Newt Gingrich 46% {36%} [39%] (54%) {50%} [50%] (55%) {58%} [57%] (57%) {65%} [63%] (58%) {57%} / 39% {49%} [44%] (30%) {33%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {19%} [14%] (18%) {21%} {+7%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 38%
• No 46%

Note: With Republicans who don't identify as members of the Tea Party movement, Romney leads Perry 28-26. But with active Tea Partiers, he's stuck all the way back in a tie for 4th with Newt Gingrich at 10%, well behind Perry's 33%, Bachmann's 14%, and Cain's 13%. 

Do you believe in global warming or not?

• Believe in global warming 27%
• Do not 62%

Note: Romney leads Perry 23-18 among GOP voters who believe in global warming...With the 62% who don't believe in it, Perry's up 38-14. 

Do you believe in evolution or not?

• Believe in evolution 40%
• Do not 48%

Note: Perry leads Romney by just two percent, 25-23, among GOP voters who believe in evolution...With the 48% of GOP voters who don't believe in evolution, however, Perry holds a commanding lead, 36-15.

Would you support eliminating Social Security or not?

• Would support eliminating Social Security 17%
• Would not 75%

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? “Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme.”

• Agree 33%
• Disagree 53%

Note: Perry is really running up the score with those who agree that Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme, leading 40-15. That makes up for the fact that he has only a 24-23 advantage on Romney with voters who disagree with him on that front.

Would you support eliminating Medicare or not?

• Would support eliminating Medicare 12%
• Would not 78%

Note: Perry leads Romney only 27-23 among GOP voters opposed to ending Medicare. But with the 12% who do support eliminating it Perry leads Romney 43-5, accounting for much of his overall lead.

Would you support eliminating Medicaid or not?

• Would support eliminating Medicaid 25%
• Would not 61%

Do you think that natural disasters are messages from God or not?

• Natural disasters are a message from God 27%
• They are not 61%

Do you support or oppose capital punishment?

• Support 80%
• Oppose 14%

Do you think executing convicted murderers is something to cheer about or not?

• Executing convicted murderers is something to cheer about 22%
• It is not 70%

Do you think Barack Obama is a Socialist or not?

• He is a Socialist 71%
• He is not 17%

Note: With Republicans who don't think Barack Obama is a Socialist, Romney leads Perry 26-13...but with the 71% who do think Obama is a Socialist Perry is ahead 35-16.

Survey of 500 usual Republican primary voters was conducted September 8-11, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 79% Republican; 19% Independent/Other; 2% Democrat.  Political ideology: 43% [42%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (38%) {44%} [40%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 33% [35%] (37%) {35%} [38%] (39%) {31%} [38%] (39%) Very conservative;  19% [17%] (20%) {18%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [19%] (15%) Moderate; 4% [3%] (4%) {3%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 1% [2%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 18-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.

PIX11 Interview with Rudy Giuliani

Part 1

Part 2


Marvin Scott of PIX11 reports:

Former Mayor Rudy Giuliani, who made an unsuccessful run for President in 2008, is still considering giving it another shot next year. In an exclusive local television interview on "PIX 11 Newscloseup," Giuliani declared, "I'm not ready to make a decision." He said he would decide one way or another within two months and vowed not to make any announcements that would coincide with the tenth anniversary of the attacks of Sept. 11. 

Asked what factors are going into his consideration, Giuliani said, "I have to factor what kind of chance I would have in states like New Hampshire, where I think I would have a pretty good chance because there are a lot of independent voters who don't find my being a more moderate Republican so difficult." He noted, "The party has a sense that if you're moderate about anything, you're not the right candidate, and I have different views than the majority of the party on a few things, mostly the social issues." With polls showing a dramatic GOP shift to the right, many moderate Republicans feel disenfranchised, and Giuliani recognizes that could be an opportunity for him, particularly in New Hampshire, which he pointed out is "very fiscally conservative and somewhat more moderate on social issues than other states." He acknowledged that even though he's undecided, he already has part of a team in place in the Granite State, a team he said he built last time and a team he's built over the past couple of elections, campaigning for other candidates." 

The man dubbed "America's Mayor" after 9/11, said it was important to get beyond thinking just about New Hampshire, and "thinking about whether I can win in other primaries and that depends on how other candidates do, whether I think there's another candidate who has a better chance of both, getting the nomination and beating President Obama." Without naming anyone, he said he likes several of the Republican candidates already in the race, but isn't ready to endorse any of them yet. He applauded the entry over the weekend of Texas Governor Rick Perry, a friend who endorsed Giuliani four years ago. He called Perry "a formidable candidate. He's got a record where he can show that he's done things for Texas that need to be done for the nation." He dismissed the buzz among some bloggers that Giuliani and Perry could be the magical ticket for the Republicans next year. 

During the half-hour broadcast, Giuliani castigated President Obama for what he called "his significant lack of leadership on the debt crisis, and a significant lack of leadership on the economy." He called Obama's speech on the financial crisis in the markets last week "almost mind-boggling. He was saying all the wrong things," Giuliani insisted, and added, "It would have been better if they had locked him in the Oval Office and not let him go out." 

Giuliani said he has learned lessons from his failed candidacy four years ago and noted that if he does decide to run this time, the centerpiece of his campaign would be the restoration of fiscal stability. "We need a President who is willing to lay out a plan how we're going to fix the economy with tough choices." He said he recognized that tough choices are not particularly popular and added, "The American people don't seem to want to hear that we are spending too much money on health care. We cannot survive with these escalating rates for Medicare and Medicaid for the next ten years." He insisted, "We have to cut Medicare, Medicaid. We cannot afford all of the benefits we are giving. We don't have to take them to zero, but we have to take down 10%-15%, maybe 20% over a period of 10 years. There's only so much we can afford." As for Social Security, other than considering a possible extension of the retirement age, he would keep it intact. 

Giuliani, who turned a $2 1/2 billion deficit into an almost $3 billion surplus during his years as mayor, said a 10% cut in government agencies would also help to bring spending down. As for taxes, he said he favors lowering them, particularly the corporate tax, which he'd like to see eliminated. He called for "Giving every corporation benefits for bringing money back to the U.S. We cannot survive with the second highest corporate tax in the world." 

When I asked Giuliani if he thought the GOP had lost its way, he conceded,"The party has to define itself around fiscal integrity, fiscal common sense and strong national security. It's got to leave personal issues to people's consciences. I think that would be more consistent with a libertarian philosophy for the Republican Party, and I think it would make us the majority party if we did that."

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