Bill Nye: Stop Teaching Creationism to Children

Poll Watch: USA Today/Gallup Survey on Evolution and Creationism

USA Today/Gallup Poll on Evolution and Creationism

Which of the following statements comes closest to your views on the origin and development of human beings?

1) Human beings have developed over millions of years from less advanced forms of life, but God guided this process; 2) Human beings have developed over millions of years from less advanced forms of life, but God had no part in this process; 3) God created human beings pretty much in their present form at one time within the last 10,000 years or so.

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 15%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 32%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 46%

Democrats

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 19%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 32%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 41%

Republicans

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 5%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 31%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 58%

Independents

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 19%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 34%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 39%

Attend Church Weekly

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 3%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 25%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 67%

Attend Church Almost Every Week/Monthly

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 10%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 31%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 55%

Attend Church Seldom/Never

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 26%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 38%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 25%

Postgraduate

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 29%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 42%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 25%

College graduate

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 14%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 35%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 46%

Some college

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 13%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 36%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 47%

High school or less

• Humans evolved, God had no part in process 11%
• Humans evolved, God guided process 25%
• God created humans in present form within last 10,000 years 52%

Survey of 1,012 adults was conducted May 10-13, 2012. The margin of error is ±4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas Political Survey

PPP (D) Texas Political Survey

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Tea Party?

• Favorable 44%
• Unfavorable 41%

Among Democrats

• Favorable 13%
• Unfavorable 74%

Among Republicans

• Favorable 73%
• Unfavorable 8%

Among Independents

• Favorable 35%
• Unfavorable 54%

Very Conservative

• Favorable 82%
• Unfavorable 6%

Somewhat Conservative

• Favorable 60%
• Unfavorable 17%

Moderate

• Favorable 18%
• Unfavorable 68%

Somewhat Liberal

• Favorable 11%
• Unfavorable 83%

Among Men

• Favorable 48%
• Unfavorable 41%

Among Women

• Favorable 39%
• Unfavorable 42%

Among Whites

• Favorable 54%
• Unfavorable 30%

Among Hispanics

• Favorable 33%
• Unfavorable 54%

Do you believe in global warming or not?

• Believe in global warming 48%
• Do not 40%

Among Democrats

• Believe in global warming 81%
• Do not 10%

Among Republicans

• Believe in global warming 18%
• Do not 67%

Among Independents

• Believe in global warming 53%
• Do not 34%

Very Conservative

• Believe in global warming 13%
• Do not 76%

Somewhat Conservative

• Believe in global warming 23%
• Do not 53%

Moderate

• Believe in global warming 69%
• Do not 21%

Somewhat Liberal

• Believe in global warming 86%
• Do not 10%

Do you believe in evolution or not?

• Believe in evolution 46%
• Do not 41%

Among Democrats

• Believe in evolution 59%
• Do not 30%

Among Republicans

• Believe in evolution 28%
• Do not 55%

Among Independents

• Believe in evolution 61%
• Do not 31%

Very Conservative

• Believe in evolution 22%
• Do not 64%

Somewhat Conservative

• Believe in evolution 36%
• Do not 48%

Moderate

• Believe in evolution 57%
• Do not 31%

Somewhat Liberal

• Believe in evolution 64%
• Do not 22%

Among Men

• Believe in evolution 51%
• Do not 34%

Among Women

• Believe in evolution 41%
• Do not 48%

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme.”

• Agree 28%
• Disagree 55%

Among Democrats

• Agree 9%
• Disagree 80%

Among Republicans

• Agree 47%
• Disagree 28%

Among Independents

• Agree 23%
• Disagree 69%

Somewhat Liberal

• Agree 4%
• Disagree 82%

Moderate

• Agree 14%
• Disagree 73%

Somewhat Conservative

• Agree 38%
• Disagree 41%

Very Conservative

• Agree 53%
• Disagree 21%

Do you support or oppose requiring girls entering the 6th grade to be vaccinated against the human papilloma virus, also known as HPV?

• Support 25%
• Oppose 57%

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Perry’s handling of the wildfires?

• Approve 48%
• Disapprove 33%

Do you think Rick Perry running for President is a good thing or a bad thing for Texas?

• Good thing 47%
• Bad thing 40%

Among Independents

• Good thing 34%
• Bad thing 53%

Moderate

• Good thing 25%
• Bad thing 65%

Very Conservative

• Good thing 79%
• Bad thing 11%

Do you think Texas should secede from the United States and form its own country, or not?

• Texas should secede 14%
• It should not 76%

Very Conservative

• Texas should secede 21%
• It should not 57%

Moderate

• Texas should secede 7%
• It should not 87%

Do you think Massachusetts should secede from the United States and form its own country, or not?

• Massachusetts should secede 10%
• It should not 78%

Very Conservative

• Massachusetts should secede 17%
• It should not 61%

Moderate

• Massachusetts should secede 3%
• It should not 87%

Which system would you prefer for dispensing Texas’ electoral votes: giving all of them to the statewide winner or giving one to the winner of each individual Congressional District?

• One should be given to the winner of each Congressional District 37%
• Electoral votes should all go to the statewide winner 33%

Somewhat Liberal

• One should be given to the winner of each Congressional District 53%
• Electoral votes should all go to the statewide winner 23%

Moderate

• One should be given to the winner of each Congressional District 40%
• Electoral votes should all go to the statewide winner 30%

Somewhat Conservative

• One should be given to the winner of each Congressional District 36%
• Electoral votes should all go to the statewide winner 34%

Very Conservative

• One should be given to the winner of each Congressional District 16%
• Electoral votes should all go to the statewide winner 47%

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 29%
• Illegal 61%

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 24%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 35%
• There should be no recognition of a gay couple's relationship 40%

Among Democrats

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 43%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 30%
• There should be no recognition of a gay couple's relationship 24%

Among Republicans

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 5%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 36%
• There should be no recognition of a gay couple's relationship 59%

Among Independents

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 31%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 41%
• There should be no recognition of a gay couple's relationship 28%

Somewhat Liberal

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 48%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 30%
• There should be no recognition of a gay couple's relationship 19%

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 39%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 34%
• There should be no recognition of a gay couple's relationship 25%

Somewhat Conservative

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 5%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 45%
• There should be no recognition of a gay couple's relationship 50%

Very Conservative

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 4%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 28%
• There should be no recognition of a gay couple's relationship 68%

Survey of 569 Texas voters was conducted September 15-18, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 44% Republican; 36% Democrat; 20% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 26% Moderate; 26% Somewhat conservative; 23% Very conservative; 14% Somewhat liberal; 10% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Texas 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Rick Perry 49% (31%) {9%} [8%]
• Mitt Romney 10% (15%) {10%} [14%]
• Newt Gingrich 8% (8%) {17%} [23%]
• Michele Bachmann 7% (11%)
• Herman Cain 7% (6%)
• Ron Paul 7% (9%) {10%} [8%]
• Rick Santorum 3%
• Jon Huntsman 2%
• Gary Johnson 0%
• Someone else/Undecided 7% (9%) [5%]

If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Rick Perry and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Rick Perry 72%
• Mitt Romney 18%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Newt Gingrich 50% / 36% {+14%}
• Mitt Romney 37% (49%) {52%} / 44% (34%) {27%} {-7%}
• Michele Bachmann 38% (51%) / 46% (27%) {-8%}
• Ron Paul 35% (37%) / 49% (45%) {-14%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Rick Perry’s job performance?

• Approve 72%
• Disapprove 19%

Do you believe in global warming or not?

• Believe in global warming 20%
• Do not 64%

Do you believe in evolution or not?

• Believe in evolution 32%
• Do not 53%

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: “Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme.”

• Agree 46%
• Disagree 35%

Do you support or oppose requiring girls entering the 6th grade to be vaccinated against the human papilloma virus, also known as HPV?

• Support 19%
• Oppose 60%

Survey of 400 usual Texas Republican primary voters was conducted September 15-18, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 82% Republican; 17% Independent/Other; 2% Democrat.  Political ideology: 41% (34%) Somewhat conservative; 38% (43%) Very conservative; 14% (15%) Moderate; 4% (5%) Somewhat liberal; 3% (3%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted June 25-27, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 19-20, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University/7NEWS New Hampshire 2012 Republican Nomination Survey

Suffolk University/7NEWS New Hampshire 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

• Mitt Romney 41% [36%] (35%)
• Ron Paul 14% [8%] (8%)
• Jon Huntsman 10% [4%] (0%)
• Rick Perry 8% [2%]
• Sarah Palin 6% [4%] (7%)
• Michele Bachmann 5% [11%] (3%)
• Newt Gingrich 4% [2%] (3%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [1%] (2%)
• Herman Cain 1% [2%] (2%)
• Buddy Roemer 1% [0%] (0%)
• Gary Johnson 0% [0%] (1%)
• Fred Karger 0% [0%] (0%)
• Thad McCotter 0%
• Undecided 11% [21%] (13%)

If your first choice for the Republican Presidential nominee dropped out of the race, who would you vote for instead?

• Mitt Romney 21% [14%] (17%)
• Rick Perry 20% [2%]
• Ron Paul 9% [4%] (6%)
• Michele Bachmann 6% [12%] (4%)
• Newt Gingrich 5% [3%] (8%)
• Jon Huntsman 5% [3%] (1%)
• Herman Cain 3% [2%] (1%)
• Rick Santorum 3% [4%] (1%)
• Sarah Palin 2% [5%] (4%)
• Gary Johnson 1% [1%] (1%)
• Fred Karger 0% [0%] (0%)
• Thad McCotter 0%
• Buddy Roemer 0% [0%] (0%)
• Undecided 27% [38%] (30%)

Despite who you're personally voting for, who do you expect the next president will be - Barack Obama or one of the Republican candidates?

• Mitt Romney 28% [27%] (20%)
• Barack Obama 22% [24%] (28%)
• Rick Perry 12% [1%]
• Ron Paul 3% [2%] (1%)
• Jon Huntsman 1% [0%] (0%)
• Sarah Palin 1% [2%] (2%)
• Michele Bachmann 1% [7%] (1%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (1%)
• Herman Cain 0% [0%] (1%)
• Newt Gingrich 0% [1%] (1%)
• Gary Johnson 0% [0%] (0%)
• Fred Karger 0% [0%] (0%)
• Buddy Roemer 0% [0%] (0%)
• Thad McCotter 0%
• Undecided 32% [34%] (30%)

How satisfied are you with the Republican field of candidates?

• Very satisfied 16% [18%] (10%)
• Somewhat satisfied 52% [48%] (43%)
• Somewhat dissatisfied 19% [18%] (27%)
• Very dissatisfied 11% [10%] (13%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 69% [64%] (65%) / 20% [19%] (22%) {+49%}
• Ron Paul 46% [36%] (41%) / 34% [36%] (32%) {+12%}
• Herman Cain 29% [24%] / 18% [15%] {+11%}
• Rick Perry 36% / 32% {+4%}
• Rick Santorum 26% [27%] / 23% [20%] {+3%}
• Jon Hunstman 26% [19%] (8%) / 24% [18%] (7%) {+2%}
• Michele Bachmann 33% [44%] (25%) / 45% [22%] (22%) {-12%}
• Newt Gingrich 36% [24%] (38%) / 52% [56%] (38%) {-16%}
• Sarah Palin 35% [37%] (42%) / 56% [50%] (46%) {-21%}
• Barack Obama 22% [25%] (36%) / 72% [70%] (59%) {-50%}

Is Rick Perry too conservative to be elected president?

• Yes 29%
• No 51%

Do you trust Mitt Romney to say what he believes, even if it is unpopular?

• Yes 60%
• No 30%

Do you trust Rick Perry to say what he believes, even if it is unpopular?

• Yes 54%
• No 25%

Do you think Mitt Romney is comfortable around regular people?

• Yes 68%
• No 18%

Is Rick Perry over the top?

• Yes 35%
• No 40%

Which of the two candidates - Perry or Romney - would you like to have a beer with?

• Romney 49%
• Perry 29%

Which of the two candidates - Perry or Romney - would handle an international crisis better?

• Romney 63%
• Perry 17%

Rick Perry says evolution is a theory. Do you think evolution is a theory or a fact?

• Fact 54%
• Theory 32%

Mitt Romney has changed his position on several social issues. Do those changes disqualify him from getting your vote?

• Yes 18% [24%]
• No 72% [69%]

Do you agree or disagree that raising taxes should be an option for helping to reduce the national debt?

• Agree 38% [28%] (32%)
• Disagree 57% [67%] (63%)

Do you think that the near-universal health care bill passed by Democrats last year should be repealed, modified or left alone?

• Repealed 55% [53%] (52%)
• Modified 30% [27%] (34%)
• Left alone 11% [13%] (10%)

Are your values similar to the values of the Tea Party?

• Yes 48%
• No 40%

Survey of 400 likely GOP primary voters was conducted September 18-20, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 50% [48%] (50%) Republican; 42% [39%] (38%) Independent; 6% [9%] (10%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 49% [54%] (45%) Conservative; 42% [38%] (43%) Moderate; 7% [6%] (9%) Liberal.   Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted June 25-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 2, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Survey on the Theory of Evolution

CNN/ORC Survey on the Theory of Evolution

Do you believe that the theory of evolution is definitely true, probably true, probably false, or definitely false?

• Definitely true 21%
• Probably true 36%
• Probably false 16%
• Definitely false 25%

Among Democrats

• Definitely true 32%
• Probably true 35%
• Probably false 14%
• Definitely false 16%

Among Republicans

• Definitely true 6%
• Probably true 29%
• Probably false 23%
• Definitely false 36%

Among Independents

• Definitely true 20%
• Probably true 40%
• Probably false 13%
• Definitely false 25%

Support Tea Party

• Definitely true 11%
• Probably true 28%
• Probably false 20%
• Definitely false 38%

Oppose Tea Party

• Definitely true 45%
• Probably true 27%
• Probably false 11%
• Definitely false 14%

Among Liberals

• Definitely true 43%
• Probably true 31%
• Probably false 11%
• Definitely false 12%

Among Moderates

• Definitely true 18%
• Probably true 44%
• Probably false 16%
• Definitely false 20%

Among Conservatives

• Definitely true 10%
• Probably true 30%
• Probably false 19%
• Definitely false 37%

Attended College

• Definitely true 29%
• Probably true 35%
• Probably false 14%
• Definitely false 21%

No College Education

• Definitely true 9%
• Probably true 37%
• Probably false 20%
• Definitely false 31%

Survey of 1,038 adult Americans was conducted September 9-11, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

PPP (D) 2012 GOP Nomination Survey

• Rick Perry 31% [33%] (12%)
• Mitt Romney 18% [20%] (20%) {27%} [20%] (28%) {25%} [24%]
• Ron Paul 11% [6%] (9%) {6%} [11%] (12%) {13%} [12%]
• Newt Gingrich 10% [8%] (7%) {12%} [13%] (26%) {23%} [24%]
• Michele Bachmann 9% [16%] (21%) {13%} [13%] (11%) {8%}
• Herman Cain 8% [6%] (11%) {20%} [12%]
• Rick Santorum 2% [4%]
• Jon Huntsman 2% [3%] (3%) {3%} [4%]

If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Rick Perry and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Rick Perry 49% [52%]
• Mitt Romney 37% [36%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Perry 58% [64%] / 24% [17%] {+34%}
• Mitt Romney 52% [51%] (50%) {55%} [54%] (52%) {50%} [51%] (55%) {52%} [56%] (57%) {57%} [59%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (58%) / 32% [33%] (31%) {27%} [30%] (29%) {29%} [29%] (25%) {28%} [24%] (21%) {21%} [14%] (14%) {19%} [24%] (17%) {+20%}
• Michele Bachmann 45% [51%] (48%) / 36% [32%] (26%) {+9%}
• Newt Gingrich 46% {36%} [39%] (54%) {50%} [50%] (55%) {58%} [57%] (57%) {65%} [63%] (58%) {57%} / 39% {49%} [44%] (30%) {33%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [28%] (25%) {19%} [14%] (18%) {21%} {+7%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 38%
• No 46%

Note: With Republicans who don't identify as members of the Tea Party movement, Romney leads Perry 28-26. But with active Tea Partiers, he's stuck all the way back in a tie for 4th with Newt Gingrich at 10%, well behind Perry's 33%, Bachmann's 14%, and Cain's 13%. 

Do you believe in global warming or not?

• Believe in global warming 27%
• Do not 62%

Note: Romney leads Perry 23-18 among GOP voters who believe in global warming...With the 62% who don't believe in it, Perry's up 38-14. 

Do you believe in evolution or not?

• Believe in evolution 40%
• Do not 48%

Note: Perry leads Romney by just two percent, 25-23, among GOP voters who believe in evolution...With the 48% of GOP voters who don't believe in evolution, however, Perry holds a commanding lead, 36-15.

Would you support eliminating Social Security or not?

• Would support eliminating Social Security 17%
• Would not 75%

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? “Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme.”

• Agree 33%
• Disagree 53%

Note: Perry is really running up the score with those who agree that Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme, leading 40-15. That makes up for the fact that he has only a 24-23 advantage on Romney with voters who disagree with him on that front.

Would you support eliminating Medicare or not?

• Would support eliminating Medicare 12%
• Would not 78%

Note: Perry leads Romney only 27-23 among GOP voters opposed to ending Medicare. But with the 12% who do support eliminating it Perry leads Romney 43-5, accounting for much of his overall lead.

Would you support eliminating Medicaid or not?

• Would support eliminating Medicaid 25%
• Would not 61%

Do you think that natural disasters are messages from God or not?

• Natural disasters are a message from God 27%
• They are not 61%

Do you support or oppose capital punishment?

• Support 80%
• Oppose 14%

Do you think executing convicted murderers is something to cheer about or not?

• Executing convicted murderers is something to cheer about 22%
• It is not 70%

Do you think Barack Obama is a Socialist or not?

• He is a Socialist 71%
• He is not 17%

Note: With Republicans who don't think Barack Obama is a Socialist, Romney leads Perry 26-13...but with the 71% who do think Obama is a Socialist Perry is ahead 35-16.

Survey of 500 usual Republican primary voters was conducted September 8-11, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 79% Republican; 19% Independent/Other; 2% Democrat.  Political ideology: 43% [42%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (38%) {44%} [40%] (41%) Somewhat conservative; 33% [35%] (37%) {35%} [38%] (39%) {31%} [38%] (39%) Very conservative;  19% [17%] (20%) {18%} [16%] (17%) {17%} [19%] (15%) Moderate; 4% [3%] (4%) {3%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 1% [2%] (2%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (1%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 18-21, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 23-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-16, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) 2012 Presidential Survey

• Barack Obama 49% (45%) {45%} [47%] (49%) {47%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [48%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [46%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {47%} [48%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (49%) {48%} [53%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 45% (45%) {45%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [43%] (46%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {42%} [44%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [43%] (40%) {39%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [35%] (39%)

• Barack Obama 52% (49%)
• Rick Perry 41% (43%)

• Barack Obama 53% [52%] (51%) {52%} [52%] (50%) {49%} [51%] (49%) {47%} [49%] (45%) {47%} [49%] (45%) [49%] (50%) {49%} [53%] (52%)
• Newt Gingrich 41% [39%] (37%) {38%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (46%) {39%} [42%] (45%) [41%] (42%) {41%} [36%] (39%)

• Barack Obama 53% (50%) {48%}
• Michele Bachmann 39% (42%) {41%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 44% (39%) {46%} [35%] (39%) {36%} [36%] (36%) {39%} [46%] (43%) {38%} [40%] (48%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {37%} [42%] (40%) {35%} [41%] (43%) {42%} [30%] (35%)
• Barack Obama 42% (48%) {37%} [52%] (45%) {40%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [41%] (35%) {33%} [41%] (40%) {38%} [38%] (37%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {46%} [41%] (42%) {35%} [55%] (52%)

• Barack Obama 48% (56%)
• Rick Perry 38% (32%)

• Barack Obama 50% (57%) {45%}
• Michele Bachmann 33% (33%) {39%}

• Barack Obama 53% [59%] (47%) {49%} [53%] (53%) {50%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [49%] (39%) {34%} [48%] (44%) [45%] (46%) {41%} [54%] (54%)
• Newt Gingrich 33% [25%] (34%) {33%} [35%] (32%) {35%} [40%] (44%) {37%} [36%] (50%) {42%} [34%] (40%) [38%] (39%) {42%} [31%] (38%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 44% of the Independent vote (29% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Independent vote. 

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 87% (83%) {83%} [86%] (77%) {81%} [81%] (77%) {77%} [78%] (87%) {82%} [80%] (82%) {79%} [78%] (82%) {80%} [80%] (77%) {78%} [83%] (77%) {72%} [74%] (71%) {74%} [66%] (71%)
• Barack Obama 9% (5%) {8%} [9%] (13%) {10%} [7%] (9%) {7%} [12%] (9%) {7%} [5%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (6%) {7%} [10%] (9%) {8%} [6%] (10%) {14%} [11%] (18%) {19%} [18%] (16%)

• Newt Gingrich 85% [80%] (70%) {75%} [75%] (75%) {77%} [72%] (81%) {80%} [84%] (83%) {73%} [82%] (82%) [76%] (80%) {76%} [73%] (75%)
• Barack Obama 9% [11%] (16%) {14%} [13%] (10%) {9%} [14%] (10%) {9%} [7%] (6%) {11%} [10%] (6%) [13%] (11%) {16%} [16%] (14%)

• Rick Perry 82% (82%)
• Barack Obama 11% (10%)

• Michele Bachmann 78% (81%) {79%}
• Barack Obama 11% (9%) {8%}

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 90% of the Republican vote (32% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 93% of the Republican vote.

Among Democrats 

• Barack Obama 85% (80%) {80%} [78%] (84%) {83%} [83%] (82%) {82%} [86%] (83%) {82%} [83%] (80%) {82%} [80%] (86%) {76%} [78%] (82%) {80%} [86%] (82%) {78%} [81%] (77%) {79%} [81%] (77%) 
• Mitt Romney 11% (13%) {13%} [14%] (12%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {10%} [8%] (12%) {12%} [9%] (14%) {12%} [13%] (10%) {16%} [13%] (7%) {14%} [11%] (12%) {14%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [11%] (14%)

• Barack Obama 88% (83%) {82%}
• Michele Bachmann 10% (11%) {11%}

• Barack Obama 89% (81%)
• Rick Perry 9% (13%)

• Barack Obama 89% [84%] (86%) {86%} [87%] (85%) {86%} [88%] (84%) {81%} [86%] (83%) {83%} [82%] (86%) [82%] (84%)
• Newt Gingrich 8% [11%] (10%) {11%} [6%] (10%) {8%} [8%] (10%) {15%} [8%] (12%) {10%} [12%] (11%) [12%] (12%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 10% of the Democratic vote (39% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 11% of the Democratic vote.

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 63% (59%) {54%} [60%] (59%) {60%} [58%] (57%) {63%} [62%] (60%) {59%} [55%] (55%) {58%} [59%] (62%) {55%} [54%] (58%) {65%} [59%] (60%) {57%} [57%] (56%) {57%} [64%] (63%)
• Mitt Romney 26% (24%) {33%} [30%] (28%) {27%} [26%] (28%) {21%} [28%] (33%) {31%} [29%] (33%) {26%} [30%] (27%) {31%} [31%] (26%) {24%} [31%] (28%) {30%} [30%] (32%) {28%} [24%] (26%)

• Barack Obama 70% (66%)
• Rick Perry 23% (18%)

• Barack Obama 72% [69%] (64%) {66%} [66%] (65%) {68%} [66%] (64%) {62%} [62%] (58%) {61%} [65%] (66%) [60%] (61%)
• Newt Gingrich 21% [17%] (22%) {20%} [24%] (24%) {19%} [22%] (26%) {28%} [25%] (31%) {25%} [25%] (25%) [28%] (30%)

• Barack Obama 71% (67%) {63%}
• Michele Bachmann 19% (22%) {22%}

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 39% of the Moderate vote (44% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 45% of the Moderate vote.

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 52% (51%) {52%} [49%] (48%) {46%} [42%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (49%) {48%} [47%] (45%) {44%} [46%] (46%) {49%} [45%] (45%) {49%} [42%] (46%) {46%} [44%] (46%) {44%} [38%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 42% (40%) {38%} [41%] (44%) {42%} [48%] (41%) {42%} [44%] (43%) {40%} [40%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (46%) {39%} [45%] (44%) {42%} [48%] (46%) {44%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [49%] (49%)

• Rick Perry 48% (47%)
• Barack Obama 47% (45%)

• Newt Gingrich 47% [42%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (44%) {44%} [44%] (50%) {49%} [46%] (46%) {42%} [44%] (46%) [46%] (49%) {46%} [40%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 47% [48%] (45%) {44%} [52%] (45%) {45%} [45%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (47%) {44%} [48%] (46%) [45%] (44%) {46%} [50%] (48%)

• Barack Obama 47% (46%) {41%}
• Michele Bachmann 45% (47%) {48%}

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 48% of the Male vote (47% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 55% of the Male vote.

Among Women

• Barack Obama 54% (50%) {52%} [53%] (53%) {52%} [46%] (53%) {51%} [54%] (51%) {50%} [50%] (42%) {48%} [47%] (43%) {49%} [45%] (43%) {50%} [47%] (50%) {52%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [56%] (52%)
• Mitt Romney 38% (39%) {38%} [41%] (37%) {38%} [41%] (36%) {36%} [39%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (48%) {39%} [41%] (44%) {39%} [42%] (39%) {35%} [44%] (36%) {34%} [36%] (35%) {37%} [31%] (34%)

• Barack Obama 58% [56%] (56%) {59%} [52%] (56%) {53%} [57%] (54%) {52%} [52%] (43%) {50%} [49%] (45%) [53%] (54%) {53%} [56%] (56%)
• Newt Gingrich 35% [36%] (32%) {33%} [35%] (33%) {36%} [34%] (37%) {38%} [38%] (47%) {35%} [39%] (43%) [35%] (35%) {36%} [32%] (33%)

• Barack Obama 57% (54%) {55%}
• Michele Bachmann 34% (38%) {34%}

• Barack Obama 57% (53%)
• Rick Perry 34% (39%)

Note: In 2008, John McCain received 43% of the Female vote (53% of the electorate). In 2004, George W. Bush received 48% of the Female vote.

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 37% (35%) {36%} [37%] (35%) {32%} [32%] (32%) {33%} [36%] (36%) {33%} [35%] (32%) {31%} [33%] (33%) {32%} [37%] (36%) {32%} [30%] (34%) {33%} [37%] (37%) {41%} [40%] (40%) / 44% (48%) {42%} [47%] (48%) {41%} [43%] (44%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {35%} [37%] (33%) {36%} [36%] (42%) {39%} [28%] (32%) {36%} [39%] (34%) {38%} [34%] (37%){36%} [36%] (35%) {-7%}
• Rick Perry 30% (33%) / 50% (47%) {-20%}
• Michele Bachmann 30% (34%) {29%} / 53% (52%) {45%} {-23%}
• Newt Gingrich 28% [16%] (19%) {29%} [28%] (26%) {27%} [31%] (33%) {30%} [31%] (32%) {28%} [29%] (34%) [33%] (36%) {35%} [30%] (36%) / 57% [68%] (64%) {53%} [55%] (57%) {52%} [52%] (53%) {50%} [48%] (42%) {46%} [48%] (47%) [42%] (42%) {46%} [47%] (44%) {-29%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 44% (35%) {45%} [37%] (39%) {29%} [27%] (33%) {28%} [43%] (33%) {31%} [34%] (30%) {34%} [32%] (30%) {37%} [44%] (41%) {28%} [31%] (38%) {38%} [40%] (45%) {40%} [37%] (36%) / 39% (47%) {39%} [49%] (45%) {40%} [44%] (45%) {42%} [31%] (46%) {36%} [40%] (34%) {32%} [35%] (41%) {34%} [22%] (32%) {39%} [37%] (28%) {33%} [31%] (28%) {33%} [42%] (39%) {+5%}
• Rick Perry 23% (29%) / 51% (55%) {-28%}
• Michele Bachmann 23% (26%) {28%} / 58% (60%) {47%} {-35%}
• Newt Gingrich 22% [10%] (12%) {24%} [29%] (20%) {20%} [28%] (31%) {21%} [24%] (32%) {27%} [27%] (29%) [34%] (31%) / 60% [76%] (68%) {58%} [56%] (65%) {60%} [51%] (54%) {56%} [51%] (40%) {43%} [51%] (51%) [45%] (44%) {-38%}

Among Republicans

• Rick Perry 61% (62%) / 21% (16%) {+40%}
• Mitt Romney 59% (51%) {49%} [53%] (50%) {48%} [50%] (47%) {54%} [50%] (59%) {56%} [57%] (54%) {49%} [55%] (52%) {57%} [58%] (56%) {51%} [48%] (54%) {50%} [52%] (54%) {63%} [67%] (60%) / 26% (35%) {31%} [32%] (32%) {30%} [24%] (26%) {23%} [30%] (21%) {20%} [18%] (18%) {18%} [17%] (25%) {20%} [14%] (17%) {15%} [19%] (20%) {21%} [18%] (25%) {21%} [17%] (21%) {+33%}
• Newt Gingrich 53% [32%] (38%) {52%} [52%] (49%) {54%} [55%] (58%) {54%} [61%] (60%) {50%} [55%] (62%) [56%] (65%) / 34% [50%] (45%) {32%} [28%] (30%) {23%} [26%] (27%) {23%} [21%] (17%) {22%} [19%] (17%) [21%] (17%) {+19%}
• Michele Bachmann 45% (57%) {45%} / 39% (28%) {27%} {+6%}

Among Democrats

• Michele Bachmann 21% (16%) {16%} / 62% (69%) {58%} {-41%}
• Mitt Romney 15% (20%) {20%} [23%] (18%) {20%} [19%] (17%) {16%} [20%] (19%) {15%} [16%] (14%) {16%} [16%] (15%) {10%} [15%] (12%) {18%} [14%] (15%) {15%} [23%] (20%) {24%} [20%] (27%) / 63% (61%) {52%} [60%] (64%) {51%} [60%] (60%) {58%} [55%] (59%) {49%} [53%] (45%) {53%} [51%] (60%) {56%} [44%] (47%) {53%} [56%] (48%) {55%} [49%] (52%) {49%} [49%] (45%) {-48%}
• Newt Gingrich 10% [6%] (7%) {13%} [5%] (9%) {6%} [11%] (13%) {13%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [7%] (9%) [13%] (13%) / 74% [78%] (80%){67%} [79%] (77%) {76%} [75%] (74%) {71%} [71%] (66%) {66%} [72%] (74%) [57%] (61%) {-64%}
• Rick Perry 9% (10%) / 74% (71%) {-65%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 30% (32%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {27%} [31%] (30%) {23%} [31%] (33%) {30%} [29%] (26%) {26%} [29%] (25%) {22%} [37%] (30%) {23%} [26%] (29%) {32%} [34%] (33%) {35%} [35%] (34%) / 46% (51%) {39%} [47%] (45%) {45%} [44%] (45%) {41%} [42%] (45%) {39%} [42%] (34%) {42%} [36%] (49%) {48%} [29%] (38%) {44%} [37%] (37%) {41%} [36%] (39%) {40%} [42%] (44%) {-16%}
• Michele Bachmann 19% (19%) {17%} / 58% (66%) {53%} {-39%}
• Rick Perry 19% (17%) / 58% (60%) {-39%}
• Newt Gingrich 14% [7%] (11%) {15%} [23%] (15%) {10%} [18%] (18%) {17%} [19%] (19%) {19%} [18%] (18%) [24%] (24%) {23%} [21%] (23%) / 66% [81%] (76%) {65%} [63%] (69%) {63%} [65%] (67%) {63%} [59%] (53%) {55%} [59%] (64%) [49%] (52%) {53%} [58%] (60%) {-52%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 40% (38%) {40%} [41%] (40%) {32%} [29%] (34%) {39%} [40%] (39%) {37%} [40%] (31%) {33%} [34%] (34%) {37%} [40%] (42%) {37%} [32%] (39%) {34%} [42%] (42%) {44%} [45%] (45%) / 46% (48%) {43%} [48%] (46%) {42%} [46%] (47%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [37%] (36%) {39%} [41%] (49%) {38%} [29%] (35%) {37%} [41%] (35%) {43%} [37%] (38%) {38%} [34%] (39%) {-6%}
• Rick Perry 36% (38%) / 51% (47%) {-15%}
• Newt Gingrich 31% [18%] (20%) {31%} [32%] (32%) {34%} [36%] (40%) {36%} [37%] (32%) {32%} [30%] (37%) [38%] (44%) / 55% [70%] (65%) {52%} [56%] (55%) {51%} [50%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (45%) {46%} [50%] (51%) [41%] (37%) {-24%}
• Michele Bachmann 31% (37%) {32%} / 55% (50%) {48%} {-24%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 35% (32%) {32%} [34%] (30%) {32%} [34%] (30%) {27%} [32%] (34%) {31%} [30%] (34%) {30%} [33%] (31%) {27%} [35%] (31%) {27%} [28%] (29%) {31%} [33%] (34%) {39%} [36%] (36%) / 43% (48%) {41%} [47%] (49%) {40%} [40%] (41%) {40%} [38%] (42%) {32%} [38%] (29%) {34%} [31%] (35%) {40%} [27%] (30%) {35%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [32%] (36%) {34%} [38%] (32%) {-8%}
• Michele Bachmann 28% (31%) {26%} / 51% (53%) {42%} {-23%}
• Rick Perry 25% (29%) / 49% (48%) {-24%}
• Newt Gingrich 24% [15%] (19%) {26%} [24%] (20%) {21%} [26%] (26%) {25%} [26%] (32%) {23%} [28%] (31%) [28%] (28%) / 58% [65%] (64%) {54%} [54%] (60%) {54%} [53%] (57%) {53%} [49%] (39%) {46%} [47%] (43%) [42%] (46%) {-34%}

If you could redo the 2008 election for President, would you vote for Democrat Barack Obama or Republican John McCain?

• Barack Obama 51%
• John McCain 46%

Do you believe in global warming or not?

• Believe in global warming 54%
• Do not 37%

Do you believe in evolution or not?

• Believe in evolution 51%
• Do not 37%

Would you support eliminating Social Security or not?

• Would support eliminating Social Security 10%
• Would not 82%

Do you agree or disagree with the following statement? “Social Security is a Ponzi Scheme.”

• Agree 20%
• Disagree 70%

Survey of 665 registered voters was conducted September 8-11, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% (41%) {42%} [40%] (39%) {40%} [38%] (40%) {42%} [40%] (42%) {41%} [39%] (39%) {43%} [41%] (38%) {43%} [40%] {38%} (36%) [39%] Democrat; 34% (37%) {33%} [35%] (35%) {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%} [37%] (35%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {34%} [35%] (38%) {33%} [34%] {34%} (35%) [34%] Republican; 25% (21%) {25%} [25%] (25%) {27%} [28%] (24%) {20%} [23%] (23%) {23%} [25%] (27%) {24%} [24%] (24%) {24%} [26%] {28%} (29%) [27%] Independent/Other. Political views: 31% (31%) {36%} [31%] (31%) {33%} [34%] (33%) {30%} Moderate; 24% (25%) {21%} [23%] (24%) {22%} [27%] (25%) {25%} Somewhat conservative; 17% (18%) {15%} [19%] (17%) {18%} [18%] (17%) {18%} Somewhat liberal; 16% (17%) {17%} [18%] (18%) {18%} [14%] (17%) {19%} Very conservative; 12% (9%) {10%} [9%] (9%) {9%} [8%] (8%) {8%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted August 18-21, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9-12, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 23-25, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 31 - April 3, 2011 are in angle brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 11-14, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conductedJanuary 14-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-13, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 6-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2010 are in parentheses.Results from the poll conducted June 4-7, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 7-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 12-14, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 13-15, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll onducted October 16-19, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conductedAugust 14-17, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15-16, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-16,2009 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-18, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-19, 2009 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2009 are in angle brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2012 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2012 GOP Caucus Survey

If the candidates for President next year were Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Sarah Palin, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum, who would you vote for?

• Rick Perry 21%
• Mitt Romney 18% (21%) {25%}
• Michele Bachmann 15% (11%) {10%}
• Ron Paul 12% (8%) {15%}
• Sarah Palin 10% (15%) {15%}
• Newt Gingrich 7% (12%) {15%}
• Herman Cain 6% (15%)
• Rick Santorum 5%
• Jon Huntsman 3% (0%)
• Someone Else/Undecided 4% (8%) {11%}

If Sarah Palin didn’t run, and the candidates were just Michele Bachmann, Herman Cain, Newt Gingrich, Jon Huntsman, Ron Paul, Rick Perry, Mitt Romney, and Rick Santorum. Who would you vote for?

• Rick Perry 22%
• Mitt Romney 19% (26%) {28%}
• Michele Bachmann 18% (14%) {15%}
• Ron Paul 16% (11%) {16%}
• Herman Cain 7% (16%)
• Rick Santorum 5%
• Newt Gingrich 5% (15%) {19%}
• Jon Huntsman 3% (1%)
• Someone Else/Undecided 5% (8%) {12%}

If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Michele Bachmann, Rick Perry, and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Rick Perry 34%
• Mitt Romney 28%
• Michele Bachmann 24%

If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Michele Bachmann and Mitt Romney, who would you vote for?

• Michele Bachmann 44% (38%)
• Mitt Romney 42% (46%)

If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Rick Perry and Mitt Romney, who would
you vote for?

• Rick Perry 48%
• Mitt Romney 30%

If the Republican Presidential race came down to just Michele Bachmann and Rick Perry, who would you vote for?

• Rick Perry 51%
• Michele Bachmann 27%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Rick Perry 56% (21%) / 24% (16%) {+32%}
• Ron Paul 53% (42%) {55%} [47%] / 29% (29%) {17%} [23%] {+24%}
• Rick Santorum 44% (29%) {27%} [28%] / 22% (18%) {11%} [9%] {+22%}
• Chris Christie 43% (42%) / 21% (12%) {+22%}
• Paul Ryan 38% (42%) / 21% (14%) {+17%}
• Sarah Palin 52% (59%) {58%} [60%] / 36% (31%) {29%} [29%] {+16%}
• Michele Bachmann 47% (53%) {49%} / 35% (16%) {13%} {+12%}
• Rudy Giuliani 43% (49%) {48%} [49%] / 34% (31%) {25%} [30%] {+9%}
• Mitt Romney 45% (51%) {55%} [57%] / 38% (34%) {25%} [26%] {+7%}
• Herman Cain 42% (38%) {15%} / 35% (24%) {9%} {+7%}
• Newt Gingrich 42% (39%) {47%} [53%] / 44% (41%) {26%} [27%] {-2%}
• Fred Karger 3% (2%) / 25% (17%) {-22%}
• Gary Johnson 5% (4%) {2%} / 31% (18%) {8%} {-26%}
• Jon Huntsman 13% (7%) {5%} / 40% (23%) {8%} {-27%}
• Buddy Roemer 1% (4%) {2%} / 34% (21%) {10%} {-33%}

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 33% (31%) {28%}
• No 51% (48%) {48%}

Do you think Barack Obama was born in the United States?

• Yes 48% (42%) {26%}
• No 32% (36%) {48%}
• Not sure 20% (23%) {26%}

Do you believe in evolution or not?

• Believe in evolution 35%
• Do not 48%

Do you believe in global warming or not?

• Believe in global warming 21%
• Do not 66%

Survey of 317 usual Iowa Republican primary voters was conducted August 19-21, 2011.  The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points.  Political ideology: 38% (41%) {44%} Very conservative; 34% (37%) {33%} Somewhat conservative; 21% (14%) {17%} Moderate; 3% (6%) {4%} Somewhat liberal; 3% (2%) {2%} Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 27-30, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 7-9, 2011 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

• Romney up 12 on Perry with evolution believers, 22 with global warming believers.
• 32% of Iowa Republicans are still birthers. Perry leads Romney by 12 points with them.
• 48% of Iowa Republicans don't believe in evolution. Perry leads Romney by 17 points with them.
• 66% of Iowa Republicans don't believe in global warming. Perry leads Romney by 15 points with them.
• Huge divide in the Iowa GOP base. Among Tea Partiers Perry leads Romney 32-6. Among non-Tea Partiers Romney leads Perry 30-16.

This Week: Full Interview with Jon Huntsman

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Priebus Plays Hardball

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Visit msnbc.com for breaking news, world news, and news about the economy

Is Michele Bachmann About to Make History?

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Poll Watch: Strategic National (R) 2012 New Hampshire Republican Primary Survey

Strategic National (R) 2012 New Hampshire Republican Primary Survey

• Mitt Romney 33.51%
• Mike Huckabee 13.83%
• Sarah Palin 12.77%
• Newt Gingrich 8.62%
• Tim Pawlenty 5.21%
• Mitch Daniels 1.60%
• Rick Santorum 1.28%
• Haley Barbour 0.96%
• John Thune 0.21%
• Other/Undecided 22.02%

Was the earth created in six days?

• Yes 45.00%
• No 37.98%
• Unsure 17.02%

The Earth is...

• Several billion years old 50.74%
• Around 10,000 years old 32.13%
• Unsure 17.13%

Are science and the biblical story of creation in conflict?

• Yes 39.15%
• No 42.45%
• Unsure 18.40%

Survey of 940 New Hampshire Republican primary voters was conducted January 19, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.