Dick Lugar on Face the Nation

Poll Watch: Howey/DePauw Indiana 2012 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Howey/DePauw Indiana 2012 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Richard Mourdock 48% (35%) 
• Richard Lugar 38% (42%)
• Undecided 14% (23%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Richard Mourdock 47% (24%) / 25% (18%) {+22%} 
• Richard Lugar 43% (47%) / 43% (31%) {0%} 

Survey of 700 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 30 - May 1, 2012, by Republican pollster Christine Matthews, the president of Alexandria, Va.-based Bellwether Research, and Democratic pollster Fred Yang, of D.C.-based Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group. The margin of error for each sample is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 76% Republican; 23% Independent; 1% Democrat.  Political ideology: 44% Very conservative; 33% Somewhat conservative; 19% Moderate; 1% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 26-28, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Indiana 2012 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Indiana 2012 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Richard Lugar 44% 
• Richard Mourdock 42% 
• Undecided 14% 

Survey of 400 likely GOP primary voters was conducted May 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

While Lugar leads Mourdock by 11 points among women, Mourdock enjoys an 8-point advantage among men.

Mourdock holds a 42-point advantage among self-described “tea party” members, 62 percent to 20 percent. Among those who do not consider themselves tea party members, Lugar leads 64 percent to 19 percent.

Self-identifying “conservatives” side with Mourdock, but only narrowly, 42 percent to 38 percent.

Poll Watch: Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground 2012 Senatorial Survey

Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground 2012 Senate Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Richard Lugar 42% 
• Richard Mourdock 35% 
• Undecided 23% 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

• Richard Lugar 47% / 31% {+16%} 
• Richard Mourdock 24% / 18% {+6%} 

GENERAL ELECTION 

• Richard Lugar (R) 50% 
• Joe Donnelly (D) 29% 

• Joe Donnelly (D) 35% 
• Richard Mourdock (R) 35% 

Survey of 503 likely voters, including an oversample of 503 likely GOP primary voters, was conducted March 26-28, 2012, by Republican pollster Christine Matthews, the president of Alexandria, Va.-based Bellwether Research, and Democratic pollster Fred Yang, of D.C.-based Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group. The margin of error for each sample is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

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