Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Nevada Survey on Governor Brian Sandoval

Rasmussen (R) Nevada Poll on Gov. Brian Sandoval

How would you rate the job Brian Sandoval has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 24% {27%} (20%)
• Somewhat approve 39% {42%} (47%)
• Somewhat disapprove 15% {16%} (17%)
• Strongly disapprove 13% {8%} (9%)

Governor Brian Sandoval Job Approval

• Approve 63% {69%} [62%] (67%)
  
• Disapprove 28% {24%} [32%] (26%)

Survey of 500 likely Nevada voters was conducted September 18, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 24, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 30, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Nevada Survey on Governor Brian Sandoval

Rasmussen (R) Nevada Poll on Gov. Brian Sandoval

How would you rate the job Brian Sandoval has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 27% (20%)
• Somewhat approve 42% (47%)
• Somewhat disapprove 16% (17%)
• Strongly disapprove 8% (9%)

• Approve 69% [62%] (67%)
  
• Disapprove 24% [32%] (26%)

Survey of 500 Nevada voters was conducted July 24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 30, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 19, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Vice Presidential Favorability Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 VP Favorability Poll 

I’m now going to read you a short list of people in the news. For each, please let me know if you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable impression. 

Marco Rubio

• Very favorable 22% (20%)
• Somewhat favorable 20% (15%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 20% (16%)
• Very unfavorable 11% (12%)
• No opinion 28% (37%)

Scott Walker

• Very favorable 20%
• Somewhat favorable 17%
• Somewhat unfavorable 13%
• Very unfavorable 17%
• No opinion 33%

Susana Martinez

• Very favorable 3% [5%]
• Somewhat favorable 19% [14%]
• Somewhat unfavorable 15% [14%]
• Very unfavorable 8% [9%]
• No opinion 54% [57%]
  

Rob Portman

• Very favorable 3% (2%)
• Somewhat favorable 20% (12%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 23% (15%)
• Very unfavorable 8% (11%)
• No opinion 47% (60%)
  

Brian Sandoval

• Very favorable 1%
• Somewhat favorable 17%
• Somewhat unfavorable 19%
• Very unfavorable 7%
• No opinion 56%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Marco Rubio 42% (35%) / 31% (28%) {+11%}
• Scott Walker 37% / 30% {+7%}
• Susana Martinez 22% [19%] / 23% [23%] {-1%}
• Rob Portman 23% (14%) / 31% (26%) {-8%}
• Brian Sandoval 18% / 26% {-8%}

National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted June 19-20, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 24-25, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10-11, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Unchanged from the previous survey are the 62% of Republicans who regard Marco Rubio favorably. Just 18% of Democrats now have a favorable opinion of Rubio, but that’s up from 11% in April. But perhaps most tellingly, he is viewed favorably by 43% of voters not affiliated with either major party, a 13-point increase from 30% two months ago. His unfavorables among these voters are essentially the same at 26%.

Sizable numbers of GOP voters (22%), Democrats (32%) and unaffiliateds (29%) still don’t know enough about Rubio to voice any kind of opinion of him.

Walker is especially popular among conservative voters and unpopular among liberals because of his successful move to strip some collective bargaining rights from public employee unions to help cut his state’s budget deficit. Not surprisingly, 57% of Republicans view Walker favorably, compared to just 13% of Democrats. Among unaffiliated voters, he earns favorables of 38% and unfavorables of 30%, with 32% undecided.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 48% [51%] (46%) {47%} [43%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 42% [43%] (46%) {46%} [46%] (46%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 37% [54%] (47%) {44%} [27%] (41%)
• Mitt Romney 35% [39%] (41%) {49%} [58%] (52%)
• Undecided 28%

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 57% [67%] (64%) {55%} [53%] (61%)
• Mitt Romney 30% [29%] (26%) {36%} [34%] (35%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 46% [41%] (51%) {51%} [51%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 43% [51%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (44%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 52% [51%] (50%) {51%} [47%] (49%)
• Mitt Romney 39% [44%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (45%)

If the Democratic ticket for President was Barack Obama and Joe Biden, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney and Brian Sandoval, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 47% [50%]
• Romney-Sandoval 44% [44%]
• Not sure 9% [6%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 41% [38%] (45%) {38%} [43%] (47%) / 53% [51%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (37%) {-12%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 32% [36%] (40%) {40%} [48%] (58%) / 54% [54%] (47%) {43%} [38%] (28%) {-22%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 29% [32%] (32%) {34%} [44%] (42%) / 64% [56%] (57%) {50%} [38%] (42%) {-35%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 41% [36%] (45%) {43%} [42%] (45%) / 54% [56%] (44%) {44%} [45%] (46%) {-13%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 40% [40%] (45%) {34%} [44%] (49%) / 52% [47%] (44%) {42%} [41%] (30%) {-12%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 49% [50%] (44%) {47%} [45%] (50%)
• Disapprove 47% [46%] (53%) {50%} [52%] (46%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Brian Sandoval’s job performance?

• Approve 52% [46%] (45%) {46%} [44%]
• Disapprove 28% [31%] (38%) {36%} [38%]

Survey of 500 Nevada voters was conducted June 7-10, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 40% [43%] (43%) {43%} [45%] (45%) Democrat; 38% [39%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 21% [18%] (19%) {19%} [20%] (16%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 34% [30%] (29%) {29%} [28%] Moderate; 23% [26%] (25%) {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 17% [17%] (18%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 14% [16%] (17%) {17%} [18%] Very conservative; 12% [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 1, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP/Project New America (D) Hispanic Swing State Survey

PPP/Project New America (D) Hispanic Swing State Poll

Florida

• Barack Obama 52%
• Mitt Romney 44%

• Barack Obama/Joe Biden 51%
• Mitt Romney/Marco Rubio 44%

New Mexico

• Barack Obama 66%
• Mitt Romney 27%

• Barack Obama/Joe Biden 65%
• Mitt Romney/Susana Martinez 28%

Nevada

• Barack Obama 66%
• Mitt Romney 26%

• Barack Obama/Joe Biden 64%
• Mitt Romney/Brian Sandoval 27%

Survey of 550 Hispanic voters in Florida and New Mexico, and 509 voters in Nevada was conducted April 16-18, 2012 on behalf of Project New America. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points in Florida and New Mexico, and +/- 4.3 percentage points in Nevada. This survey was conducted through automated telephone interviews with the option for either Spanish or English.

Inside the numbers:

Romney starts the general election season with high unfavorables in the Hispanic community, particularly in New Mexico, where 61 percent of likely Hispanic voters have a negative opinion of him, and Nevada, where 52 percent view him negatively. In Florida, Romney’s approval rating is buoyed by support from conservative Cuban voters. 43 percent of Florida Hispanics view the ex-Massachusetts governor unfavorably, but that number grows to 58 percent among self-identified Puerto Ricans, Dominicans and Mexicans, the fastest-growing growing Latino groups in the state.

Who Will Romney Pick As His Running Mate?

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Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% (47%)
• Ron Paul 42% (43%)

• Barack Obama 51% (46%) {47%} [43%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 43% (46%) {46%} [46%] (46%)

• Barack Obama 54% 
• Rick Santorum 40%

• Barack Obama 54% (49%) [46%] (51%)
• Newt Gingrich 39% (46%) [42%] (40%)

If the Democratic ticket for President was Barack Obama and Joe Biden, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney and Brian Sandoval, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 50%
• Romney-Sandoval 44%
• Not sure 6%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 38% (45%) {38%} [43%] (47%) / 51% (44%) {43%} [43%] (37%) {-13%}
• Ron Paul 35% (34%) / 53% (51%) {-18%} 
• Newt Gingrich 27% (38%) [33%] (35%) / 62% (52%) [53%] (51%) {-35%}
• Rick Santorum 25% / 64% {-39%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 50% (44%) {47%} [45%] (50%)
• Disapprove 46% (53%) {50%} [52%] (46%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Brian Sandoval’s job performance?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 31%

Survey of 553 Nevada voters was conducted March 29 - April 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 43% (43%) {43%} [45%] (45%) Democrat; 39% (38%) {38%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 18% (19%) {19%} [20%] (16%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% (29%) {29%} [28%] Moderate; 26% (25%) {25%} [25%] Somewhat conservative; 17% (18%) {18%} [19%] Somewhat liberal; 16% (17%) {17%} [18%] Very conservative; 10% (12%) {11%} [10%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 20-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 21-24, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada Political Survey

PPP (D) Nevada Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Brian Sandoval’s job performance?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 36%

If Brian Sandoval was the Republican candidate for Vice President next year would that make you more or less likely to vote for the Republican Presidential nominee, or would it not make a difference?

• More likely 20%
• Less likely 34%
• Wouldn't make a difference 46%

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again would you vote for Republican Brian Sandoval or Democrat Rory Reid?

• Brian Sandoval 53%
• Rory Reid 42%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Harry Reid’s job performance?

• Approve 44%
• Disapprove 51%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Sharron Angle?

• Favorable 17%
• Unfavorable 70%

If you could do last fall’s election for the Senate over again would you vote for Democrat Harry Reid or Republican Sharron Angle?

• Harry Reid 53%
• Sharron Angle 40%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of John Ensign?

• Favorable 22%
• Unfavorable 58%

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 45%
• Illegal 44%

Among Democrats

• Legal 67%
• Illegal 24%

Among Republicans

• Legal 20%
• Illegal 73%

Among Independents

• Legal 45%
• Illegal 33%

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 39%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 38%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 22%

Among Democrats

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 62%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 26%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 11%

Among Republicans

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 13%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 48%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 38%

Among Independents

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 38%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 45%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 16%

Do you think that prostitution should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 56%
• Illegal 32%

Among Men

• Legal 67%
• Illegal 25%

Among Women

• Legal 46%
• Illegal 39%

Do you think that online poker should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 40%
• Illegal 42%

Among Men

• Legal 44%
• Illegal 40%

Among Women

• Legal 36%
• Illegal 45%

Survey of 601 Nevada voters was conducted July 28-31, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 43% Democrat; 38% Republican; 19% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 18% Somewhat liberal; 17% Very conservative; 11% Very liberal.

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Poll Watch: Magellan Strategies (R) Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

Magellan Strategies (R) Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

• Shelley Berkley (D) 46%
• Dean Heller (R) 44%

• Dean Heller (R) 46%
• Byron Georgiou (D) 33%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Shelley Berkley 39% / 27% {+12%}
• Dean Heller 41% / 32% {+9%}
• Brian Sandoval 47% / 39% {+8%}
• Byron Georgiou 6% / 15% {-9%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Brian Sandoval is doing as Governor?

• Approve 44%
• Disapprove 39%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

• Approve 41%
• Disapprove 53%

Survey of 720 likely voters was conducted June 21-22, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.65 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 44% Democrat; 38% Republican; 18% Independent.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada Political Survey

PPP (D) Nevada Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Brian Sandoval’s job performance?

• Approve 44%
• Disapprove 38%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rory Reid?

• Favorable 31%
• Unfavorable 53%

If you could do last fall’s election for Governor over again, would you vote for Democrat Rory Reid or Republican Brian Sandoval?

• Brian Sandoval 51%
• Rory Reid 41%

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Harry Reid’s job performance?

• Approve 43% (46%)
• Disapprove 51% (50%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator John Ensign’s job performance?

• Approve 29% (35%)
• Disapprove 55% (50%)

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 33%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 41%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 25%

Survey of 491 Nevada voters was conducted April 21-24, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 45% (45%) Democrat; 35% (39%) Republican; 20% (16%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 28% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 18% Very conservative; 10% Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

• Brian Sandoval (R) 55% [52%] (52%)
• Rory Reid (D) 44% [43%] (38%)
• Undecided 1% [5%] (11%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Brian Sandoval 56% [52%] (42%) / 33% [32%] (31%) {+23%}
• Rory Reid 39% [38%] (34%) / 51% [44%] (48%) {-12%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Jim Gibbons’ job performance?

• Approve 25% [25%] (25%)
• Disapprove 67% [61%] (63%)

Survey of 682 voters was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% [41%] (41%) Democrat; 40% [40%] (39%) Republican; 19% [19%] (20%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 42% [46%] (47%) Moderate; 41% [35%] (40%) Conservative; 17% [19%] (13%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 7-9, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

• Brian Sandoval (R) 54% (52%) {51%} [52%] (53%) {52%} [50%] (47%) {51%}
• Rory Reid (D) 38% (37%) {37%} [36%] (31%) {36%} [31%] (36%) {37%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Brian Sandoval 56% (53%) {53%} [51%] (48%) / 23% (21%) {23%} [21%] (17%) {+33%}
• Rory Reid 35% (34%) {34%} [32%] (27%) / 49% (45%) {43%} [45%] (43%) {-14%}

Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted October 25-27, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 43% (42%) {43%} Democrat; 42% (40%) {41%} Republican; 15% (18%) {16%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 11-12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-28, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1-3, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Nevada Political Survey

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Nevada Political Survey

• Sharron Angle (R) 49% [42%] (42%)
• Harry Reid (D) 45% [40%] (41%)
• Scott Ashjian (TP) 2% [7%] (5%)
• None of the above 3% [10%] (11%)

Among Men

• Sharron Angle (R) 53% [50%] (49%)
• Harry Reid (D) 40% [36%] (32%)
• Scott Ashjian (TP) 1% [7%] (7%)
• None of the above 4% [7%] (11%)

Among Women

• Harry Reid (D) 49% [45%] (51%)
• Sharron Angle (R) 45% [33%] (33%)
• Scott Ashjian (TP) 3% [7%] (3%)
• None of the above 2% [13%] (11%)

Gubernatorial Election

• Brian Sandoval (R) 58% [56%] (58%)
• Rory Reid (D) 34% [33%] (31%)
• None of the above 6% [10%] (10%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 39% [39%]
• Disapprove 59% [57%]

Survey of 773 likely voters was conducted October 20-26, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 1-5, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-14, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

• Brian Sandoval (R) 58% {56%} [55%] (53%) {53%} [52%] (58%) {52%} [50%] (57%) {55%} [54%] (53%) {55%} [53%] (45%) 
• Rory Reid (D) 35% {37%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [39%] (33%) {36%} [40%] (36%) {33%} [31%] (35%) {34%} [35%] (33%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Brian Sandoval 62% {60%} [62%] (59%) {59%} [59%] (64%) {60%} [62%] (63%) {62%} [62%] (53%) {49%} [55%] (53%) / 33% {35%} [34%] (38%) {38%} [36%] (31%) {33%} [32%] (31%) {27%} [29%] (28%) {29%} [30%] (30%) {+29%} 
• Rory Reid 40% {42%} [43%] (41%) {43%} [44%] (41%) {42%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {36%} [43%] (40%) / 56% {54%} [55%] (57%) {52%} [50%] (49%) {51%} [52%] (53%) {48%} [50%] (48%) {53%} [48%] (52%) {-16%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 25, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 39% {37%} [37%] (41%) {37%} Democrat; 35% {37%} [37%] (35%) {33%} Republican; 26% {26%} [26%] (24%) {30%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 17, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 27, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 31, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Sandoval draws support from 93% of Republicans in Nevada. Seventy-four percent (74%) of Democrats favor Reid. Among voters not affiliated with either political party, Sandoval holds a 43-point advantage over Reid.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

• Brian Sandoval (R) 56% [55%] (53%) {53%} [52%] (58%) {52%} [50%] (57%) {55%} [54%] (53%) {55%} [53%] (45%) 
• Rory Reid (D) 37% [40%] (40%) {40%} [39%] (33%) {36%} [40%] (36%) {33%} [31%] (35%) {34%} [35%] (33%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Brian Sandoval 60% [62%] (59%) {59%} [59%] (64%) {60%} [62%] (63%) {62%} [62%] (53%) {49%} [55%] (53%) / 35% [34%] (38%) {38%} [36%] (31%) {33%} [32%] (31%) {27%} [29%] (28%) {29%} [30%] (30%) {+25%} 
• Rory Reid 42% [43%] (41%) {43%} [44%] (41%) {42%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {36%} [43%] (40%) / 54% [55%] (57%) {52%} [50%] (49%) {51%} [52%] (53%) {48%} [50%] (48%) {53%} [48%] (52%) {-12%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 17, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 37% [37%] (41%) {37%} Democrat; 37% [37%] (35%) {33%} Republican; 26% [26%] (24%) {30%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 11, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 27, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 31, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Sandoval draws support from 89% of Republicans in Nevada. Seventy-one percent (71%) of Democrats favor Reid. Among voters not affiliated with either political party, Sandoval holds a 22-point advantage over Reid.

Poll Watch: Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

• Brian Sandoval (R) 52% {51%} [52%] (53%) {52%} [50%] (47%) {51%}
• Rory Reid (D) 37% {37%} [36%] (31%) {36%} [31%] (36%) {37%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Brian Sandoval 53% {53%} [51%] (48%) / 21% {23%} [21%] (17%) {+32%}
• Rory Reid 34% {34%} [32%] (27%) / 45% {43%} [45%] (43%) {-11%}

Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted October 11-12, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% {43%} Democrat; 40% {41%} Republican; 18% {16%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23-25, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-28, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-14, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 1-3, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

• Brian Sandoval (R) 52% (52%)
• Rory Reid (D) 43% (38%)
• Undecided 5% (11%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Brian Sandoval 52% (42%) / 32% (31%) {+20%}
• Rory Reid 38% (34%) / 44% (48%) {-6%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Jim Gibbons’ job performance?

• Approve 25% (25%)
• Disapprove 61% (63%)

Survey of 504 voters was conducted October 7-9, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 41% (41%) Democrat; 40% (39%) Republican; 19% (20%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 46% (47%) Moderate; 35% (40%) Conservative; 19% (13%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

• Brian Sandoval (R) 55% (53%) {53%} [52%] (58%) {52%} [50%] (57%) {55%} [54%] (53%) {55%} [53%] (45%) 
• Rory Reid (D) 40% (40%) {40%} [39%] (33%) {36%} [40%] (36%) {33%} [31%] (35%) {34%} [35%] (33%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Brian Sandoval 62% (59%) {59%} [59%] (64%) {60%} [62%] (63%) {62%} [62%] (53%) {49%} [55%] (53%) / 34% (38%) {38%} [36%] (31%) {33%} [32%] (31%) {27%} [29%] (28%) {29%} [30%] (30%) {+28%} 
• Rory Reid 43% (41%) {43%} [44%] (41%) {42%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {36%} [43%] (40%) / 55% (57%) {52%} [50%] (49%) {51%} [52%] (53%) {48%} [50%] (48%) {53%} [48%] (52%) {-12%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 11, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 37% (41%) {37%} Democrat; 37% (35%) {33%} Republican; 26% (24%) {30%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted October 5, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 27, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 31, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Sandoval draws support from 88% of Republicans in Nevada. Seventy-nine percent (79%) of Democrats favor Reid. Among voters not affiliated with either political party, Sandoval holds a better than two-to-one advantage over Reid.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Nevada Political Survey

Suffolk University Nevada Political Survey

• Harry Reid (D) 46%
• Sharron Angle (R) 43%
• Scott Ashjian (TP) 2%
• Someone else 3%
• None of these candidates 4%
• Undecided 3%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Harry Reid 43% / 54% {-11%}
• Sharron Angle 41% / 52% {-11%}

Gubernatorial Election

• Brian Sandoval (R) 50%
• Rory Reid (D) 39%
• Someone else 2%
• None of these candidates 3%
• Undecided 5%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Brian Sandoval 52% / 32% {+20%}
• Rory Reid 39% / 44% {-5%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 49%
• Disapprove 47%

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Harry Reid is doing as your United States Senator?

• Approve 49%
• Disapprove 47%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 8-11, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Nevada Gubernatorial Survey

• Brian Sandoval (R) 53% {53%} [52%] (58%) {52%} [50%] (57%) {55%} [54%] (53%) {55%} [53%] (45%) 
• Rory Reid (D) 40% {40%} [39%] (33%) {36%} [40%] (36%) {33%} [31%] (35%) {34%} [35%] (33%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Brian Sandoval 59% {59%} [59%] (64%) {60%} [62%] (63%) {62%} [62%] (53%) {49%} [55%] (53%) / 38% {38%} [36%] (31%) {33%} [32%] (31%) {27%} [29%] (28%) {29%} [30%] (30%) {+21%} 
• Rory Reid 41% {43%} [44%] (41%) {42%} [43%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {36%} [43%] (40%) / 57% {52%} [50%] (49%) {51%} [52%] (53%) {48%} [50%] (48%) {53%} [48%] (52%) {-16%}

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 5, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% {37%} Democrat; 35% {33%} Republican; 24% {30%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 22, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 27, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 31, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 3, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 3, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Sandoval is backed by 90% of Republicans in the state, while Reid is supported by 78% of Nevada Democrats. The Republican holds a 35-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party.