Showing posts with label John Hickenlooper. Show all posts
Showing posts with label John Hickenlooper. Show all posts

Thursday, May 23, 2019

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Monmouth University 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 33% {27%} [28%] (29%)
  • Bernie Sanders 15% {20%} [25%] (16%)
  • Kamala Harris 11% {8%} [10%] (11%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10% {6%} [8%] (8%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 6% {8%} [0%] (0%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 4% {4%} [6%] (7%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 3% {1%} [3%] (2%)
  • Cory Booker 1% {2%} [5%] (4%)
  • Julián Castro 1% {0%} [1%] (1%)
  • Bill de Blasio 1% {1%} [1%]
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% {0%} [0%] (1%) 
  • Marianne Williamson 1% {0%} [0%]
  • Andrew Yang 1% {0%} [1%] (1%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% {0%} [0%]
  • John Delaney 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% {0%} [0%] (1%)
  • John Hickenlooper 0% {2%} [1%] (1%)
  • Jay Inslee 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Tim Ryan 0% {0%}
  • Steve Bullock 0% {0%} [0%]
  • Mike Gravel 0%
  • Wayne Messam 0% {0%}
  • Seth Moulton 0% {0%}
  • Eric Swalwell 0% {0%}
  • Other (vol.) 0% {1%} [0%] (1%)
  • No one (vol.) 2% {3%} [0%] (3%)
  • Undecided (vol.) 9% {14%} [8%] (9%)
Among Men
  • Joe Biden 27% {31%} [28%] (35%
  • Bernie Sanders 20% {22%} [30%] (17%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 9% {4%} [6%] (7%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 7% {10%} [0%] (0%)
  • Kamala Harris 7% {6%} [5%] (5%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 6% {2%} [5%] (5%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 5% {1%} [4%] (1%)
Among Women
  • Joe Biden 37% {24%} [27%] (26%)
  • Kamala Harris 13% {10%} [13%] (14%)
  • Bernie Sanders 12% {19%} [21%] (16%) 
  • Elizabeth Warren 11% {7%} [9%] (8%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 6% {7%} [0%] (0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 2% {1%} [2%] (2%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 2% {5%} [6%] (8%)
Age 18-49
  • Joe Biden 26% {25%} [22%] (21%)
  • Bernie Sanders 25% {30%} [29%] (27%)
  • Kamala Harris 10% {7%} [13%] (13%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10% {2%} [8%] (8%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 6% {10%} [0%] (0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 3% {1%} [2%] (2%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 3% {3%} [4%] (8%)
Age 50+
  • Joe Biden 40% {28%} [34%] (38%)
  • Kamala Harris 11% {10%} [7%] (8%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10% {10%} [8%] (7%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 6% {7%} [0%] (0%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 5% {5%} [8%] (7%)
  • Cory Booker {4%} [4%] (5%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 4% {2%} [3%] (2%)
  • Bernie Sanders 4% {10%} [19%] (5%)
Favorable/Unfavorable (Net)
  • Joe Biden 74% {72%} [76%] (80%) / 17% {16%} [13%] (9%) (+57)
  • Kamala Harris 58% {50%} [53%] (46%) / 9% {10%} [11%] (13%) (+49)
  • Elizabeth Warren 60% {51%} [49%] (57%) / 14% {19%} [19%] (17%) (+46)
  • Bernie Sanders 65% {65%} [70%] (68%) / 21% {21%} [17%] (19%) (+44)
  • Cory Booker 41% {40%} [43%] (44%) / 13% {16%} [12%] (11%) (+28)
  • Pete Buttigieg 35% {35%} (8%) / 11% {6%} (6%) (+24)
  • Amy Klobuchar 32% {27%} [26%] (23%) / 10% {13%} [13%] (8%) (+22)
  • Beto O'Rourke 40% {43%} [38%] (41%) / 19% {12%} [12%] (9%) (+21)
Among Men
  • Bernie Sanders 69% {70%} [69%] (70%) / 20% {20%} [21%] (20%) (+49)
  • Elizabeth Warren 59% {46%} [49%] (56%) / 15% {25%} [27%] (23%) (+44)
  • Kamala Harris 53% {47%} [53%] (50%) / 11% {13%} [15%] (13%) (+42)
  • Joe Biden 65% {68%} [77%] (84%) / 25% {19%} [16%] (12%) (+40)
  • Cory Booker 39% {39%} [44%] (48%) / 20% {20%} [19%] (15%) (+19)
  • Beto O'Rourke 38% {41%} [42%] (42%) / 19% {16%} [14%] (12%) (+19)
  • Pete Buttigieg 32% {41%} (12%) / 14% {8%} (7%) (+18)
  • Amy Klobuchar 25% {24%} [32%] (28%) / 12% {18%} [17%] (7%) (+13)
Among Women
  • Joe Biden 80% {74%} [75%] (78%) / 12% {13%} [11%] (8%) (+68)
  • Kamala Harris 61% {52%} [54%] (44%) / 7% {9%} [9%] (12%) (+54)
  • Elizabeth Warren 61% {54%} [50%] (57%) / 14% {15%} [15%] (14%) (+47)
  • Bernie Sanders 63% {62%} [71%] (68%) / 21% {21%} [15%] (18%) (+42)
  • Cory Booker 43% {41%} [42%] (42%) / 9% {13%} [8%] (9%) (+34)
  • Pete Buttigieg 37% {32%} (6%) / 8% {5%} (6%) (+29)
  • Amy Klobuchar 36% {29%} [22%] (20%) / 9% {10%} [10%] (9%) (+27)
  • Beto O'Rourke 41% {45%} [36%] (40%) / 18% {9%} [11%] (7%) (+23)
Age 18-49
  • Bernie Sanders 73% {75%} [79%] (77%) / 16% {14%} [15%] (12%) (+57)
  • Kamala Harris 58% {48%} [54%] (43%) / 9% {10%} [14%] (11%) (+49)
  • Joe Biden 68% {67%} [75%] (77%) / 25% {18%} [13%] (9%) (+43)
  • Elizabeth Warren 57% {47%} [52%] (51%) / 15% {19%} [18%] (15%) (+42)
  • Pete Buttigieg 29% {32%} (9%) / 6% {5%} (3%) (+23)
  • Cory Booker 35% {36%} [41%] (37%) / 17% {19%} [17%] (8%) (+18)
  • Amy Klobuchar 26% {18%} [23%] (18%) / 9% {12%} [17%] (9%) (+17)
  • Beto O'Rourke 33% {45%} [37%] (37%) / 20% {13%} [13%] (8%) (+13)
Age 50+
  • Joe Biden 81% {77%} [77%] (84%) / 9% {13%} [13%] (9%) (+72)
  • Kamala Harris 59% {53%} [53%] (49%) / 9% {11%} [9%] (14%) (+50)
  • Elizabeth Warren 63% {55%} [46%] (62%) / 14% {18%} [21%] (19%) (+49)
  • Cory Booker 49% {45%} [45%] (50%) / 8% {12%} [7%] (13%) (+41)
  • Bernie Sanders 57% {56%} [60%] (59%) / 26% {28%} [19%] (26%) (+31)
  • Beto O'Rourke 48% {42%} [39%] (45%) / 17% {11%} [11%] (9%) (+31)
  • Amy Klobuchar 38% {36%} [29%] (27%) / 10% {13%} [8%] (8%) (+28)
  • Pete Buttigieg 42% {32%} (8%) / 15% {5%} (11%) (+27)
Survey of 334 registered Democrats and leaning Democratic voters was conducted May 16-20, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted April 11-15, 2019 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2019 are in parentheses.

Sunday, April 28, 2019

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Washington Post/ABC News 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 19% (9%)
  • Bernie Sanders 10% (4%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 6%
  • Kamala Harris 5% (8%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 4% (2%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 4% (3%)
  • Hillary Clinton 2% (1%)
  • Michelle Obama 2% (2%)
  • Cory Booker 1% (1%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 1% (1%)
  • Donald Trump 1% (4%) 
  • Michael Bennet *
  • Michael Bloomberg * (*)
  • Julián Castro * (*)
  • John Hickenlooper * (*)
  • Howard Schultz *
  • Andrew Yang *
  • Barack Obama 0%
  • Other 4% (4%)
  • None of them 4% (7%)
  • No opinion 33% (43%)
Survey of registered Democrats and Dem-leaners was conducted April 22-25 2019.  Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2019 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, April 23, 2019

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Monmouth University 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 27% [28%] (29%)
  • Bernie Sanders 20% [25%] (16%) 
  • Pete Buttigieg 8% [0%] (0%)
  • Kamala Harris 8% [10%] (11%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 6% [8%] (8%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 4% [6%] (7%)
  • Cory Booker 2% [5%] (4%)
  • John Hickenlooper 2% [1%] (1%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 1% [3%] (2%)
  • Bill de Blasio 1% [1%]
  • Julián Castro 0% [1%] (1%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% [0%] (1%)
  • Jay Inslee 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Terry McAuliffe 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Wayne Messam 0%
  • Seth Moulton 0%
  • Eric Swalwell 0%
  • Marianne Williamson 0% [0%]
  • Andrew Yang 0% [1%] (1%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% [0%]
  • Steve Bullock 0% [0%]
  • John Delaney 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% [0%] (1%)
  • Tim Ryan 0%
  • Other (vol.) 1% [0%] (1%)
  • No one (vol.) 3% [0%] (3%)
  • Undecided (vol.) 14% [8%] (9%)
Among Men
  • Joe Biden 31% [28%] (35%
  • Bernie Sanders 22% [30%] (17%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 10% [0%] (0%)
  • Kamala Harris 6% [5%] (5%)
  • John Hickenlooper 4% [2%] (1%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 4% [6%] (7%)
  • Cory Booker 3% [3%] (7%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 2% [5%] (5%)
  • Bill de Blasio 1% [0%]
  • Amy Klobuchar 1% [4%] (1%)
  • Wayne Messam 1%
  • Terry McAuliffe 1% [0%] (0%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% [0%]
  • Steve Bullock 0% [0%]
  • Julián Castro 0% [1%] (0%)
  • John Delaney 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% [1%] (3%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% [0%] (1%)
  • Jay Inslee 0% [0%] (1%)
  • Seth Moulton 0%
  • Tim Ryan 0%
  • Eric Swalwell 0%
  • Marianne Williamson 0% [0%]
  • Andrew Yang 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Other (vol.) 2% [0%] (0%)
  • No one (vol.) 4% [1%] (4%)
  • Undecided (vol.) 11% [6%] (6%)
Among Women
  • Joe Biden 24% [27%] (26%)
  • Bernie Sanders 19% [21%] (16%) 
  • Kamala Harris 10% [13%] (14%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 7% [9%] (8%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 7% [0%] (0%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 5% [6%] (8%)
  • Cory Booker 2% [6%] (2%)
  • Julián Castro 1% [1%] (1%)
  • Bill de Blasio 1% [2%]
  • John Hickenlooper 1% [0%] (1%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 1% [2%] (2%)
  • Seth Moulton 1%
  • Marianne Williamson 1% [0%]
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% [1%] (1%)
  • Jay Inslee 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Andrew Yang 0% [1%] (1%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% [0%]
  • Steve Bullock 0% [0%] 
  • John Delaney 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Terry McAuliffe 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Wayne Messam 0%
  • Tim Ryan 0%
  • Eric Swalwell 0%
  • Other (vol.) 0% [0%] (2%)
  • No one (vol.) 2% [0%] (2%)
  • Undecided (vol.) 17% [10%] (10%)
Age 18-49
  • Bernie Sanders 30% [29%] (27%)
  • Joe Biden 25% [22%] (21%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 10% [0%] (0%)
  • Kamala Harris 7% [13%] (13%)
  • John Hickenlooper 3% [1%] (1%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 3% [4%] (8%)
  • Bill de Blasio 2% [2%]
  • Elizabeth Warren 2% [8%] (8%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 1% [2%] (2%)
  • Seth Moulton 1%
  • Marianne Williamson 1% [0%]
  • Cory Booker 0% [6%] (3%)
  • Julián Castro 0% [0%] (1%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% [0%] (1%)
  • Jay Inslee 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Terry McAuliffe 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Wayne Messam 0%
  • Andrew Yang 0% [1%] (1%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% [0%]
  • Steve Bullock 0% [0%]
  • John Delaney 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% [1%] (2%)
  • Tim Ryan 0%
  • Eric Swalwell 0%
  • Other (vol.) 0% [0%] (0%)
  • No one (vol.) 1% [0%] (2%)
  • Undecided (vol.) 13% [6%] (6%)
Age 50+
  • Joe Biden 28% [34%] (38%)
  • Kamala Harris 10% [7%] (8%)
  • Bernie Sanders 10% [19%] (5%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10% [8%] (7%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 7% [0%] (0%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 5% [8%] (7%)
  • Cory Booker 4% [4%] (5%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 2% [3%] (2%)
  • Julián Castro 1% [1%] (0%)
  • Bill de Blasio 1% [0%]
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 1% [0%] (1%)
  • John Hickenlooper 1% [0%] (1%)
  • Wayne Messam 1%
  • Eric Swalwell 1%
  • Jay Inslee 0% [0%] (1%)
  • Terry McAuliffe 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Seth Moulton 0%
  • Marianne Williamson 0% [0%]
  • Andrew Yang 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% [0%]
  • Steve Bullock 0% [0%]
  • John Delaney 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% [0%] (0%)
  • Tim Ryan 0%
  • Other (vol.) 1% [0%] (3%)
  • No one (vol.) 4% [1%] (3%)
  • Undecided (vol.) 15% [10%] (11%)
Favorable/Unfavorable (Net)
  • Joe Biden 72% [76%] (80%) / 16% [13%] (9%) (+56)
  • Bernie Sanders 65% [70%] (68%) / 21% [17%] (19%) (+44)
  • Kamala Harris 50% [53%] (46%) / 10% [11%] (13%) (+40)
  • Elizabeth Warren 51% [49%] (57%) / 19% [19%] (17%) (+32)
  • Beto O'Rourke 43% [38%] (41%) / 12% [12%] (9%) (+31)
  • Pete Buttigieg 35% (8%) / 6% (6%) (+29)
  • Cory Booker 40% [43%] (44%) / 16% [12%] (11%) (+24)
  • Amy Klobuchar 27% [26%] (23%) / 13% [13%] (8%) (+14)
Among Men
  • Bernie Sanders 70% [69%] (70%) / 20% [21%] (20%) (+50)
  • Joe Biden 68% [77%] (84%) / 19% [16%] (12%) (+49)
  • Kamala Harris 47% [53%] (50%) / 13% [15%] (13%) (+34)
  • Pete Buttigieg 41% (12%) / 8% (7%) (+33)
  • Beto O'Rourke 41% [42%] (42%) / 16% [14%] (12%) (+25)
  • Elizabeth Warren 46% [49%] (56%) / 25% [27%] (23%) (+21)
  • Cory Booker 39% [44%] (48%) / 20% [19%] (15%) (+19)
  • Amy Klobuchar 24% [32%] (28%) / 18% [17%] (7%) (+6)
Among Women
  • Joe Biden 74% [75%] (78%) / 13% [11%] (8%) (+61)
  • Kamala Harris 52% [54%] (44%) / 9% [9%] (12%) (+43)
  • Bernie Sanders 62% [71%] (68%) / 21% [15%] (18%) (+41)
  • Elizabeth Warren 54% [50%] (57%) / 15% [15%] (14%) (+39)
  • Beto O'Rourke 45% [36%] (40%) / 9% [11%] (7%) (+36)
  • Cory Booker 41% [42%] (42%) / 13% [8%] (9%) (+28)
  • Pete Buttigieg 32% (6%) / 5% (6%) (+27)
  • Amy Klobuchar 29% [22%] (20%) / 10% [10%] (9%) (+19)
Age 18-49
  • Bernie Sanders 75% [79%] (77%) / 14% [15%] (12%) (+61)
  • Joe Biden 67% [75%] (77%) / 18% [13%] (9%) (+49)
  • Kamala Harris 48% [54%] (43%) / 10% [14%] (11%) (+38)
  • Beto O'Rourke 45% [37%] (37%) / 13% [13%] (8%) (+32)
  • Elizabeth Warren 47% [52%] (51%) / 19% [18%] (15%) (+28)
  • Pete Buttigieg 32% (9%) / 5% (3%) (+27)
  • Cory Booker 36% [41%] (37%) / 19% [17%] (8%) (+17)
  • Amy Klobuchar 18% [23%] (18%) / 12% [17%] (9%) (+6)
Age 50+
  • Joe Biden 77% [77%] (84%) / 13% [13%] (9%) (+64)
  • Kamala Harris 53% [53%] (49%) / 11% [9%] (14%) (+42)
  • Elizabeth Warren 55% [46%] (62%) / 18% [21%] (19%) (+37)
  • Cory Booker 45% [45%] (50%) / 12% [7%] (13%) (+33)
  • Beto O'Rourke 42% [39%] (45%) / 11% [11%] (9%) (+31)
  • Bernie Sanders 56% [60%] (59%) / 28% [19%] (26%) (+28)
  • Pete Buttigieg 32% (8%) / 5% (11%) (+27)
  • Amy Klobuchar 36% [29%] (27%) / 13% [8%] (8%) (+23) 
Survey of 330 registered Democrats and leaning Democratic voters was conducted April 11-15, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted March 1-4, 2019 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2019 are in parentheses.

Sunday, March 24, 2019

Poll Watch: Emerson College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Survey

Emerson College Iowa 2020 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Joe Biden 25.3% (29.2%)
  • Bernie Sanders 24.1% (14.8%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 11.4% (0.0%)
  • Kamala Harris 10.3% (17.5%) 
  • Elizabeth Warren 8.5% (10.6%)
  • Cory Booker 5.9% (3.6%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 5.3% (6.1%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 1.7% (3.0%)
  • John Hickenlooper 1.0%
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0.9% (0.0%)
  • Julián Castro 0.5% (1.5%)
  • Jay Inslee 0.5%
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0.3% (0.8%)
  • Andrew Yang 0.0% (0.0%)
  • Someone else 4.3% (7.7%)
Among Men
  • Joe Biden 30.4% (25.0%)
  • Bernie Sanders 24.1% (18.3%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 16.7% (0.0%)
  • Kamala Harris 12.6% (19.5%) 
  • Elizabeth Warren 4.3% (10.2%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 3.6% (4.8%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 2.3% (3.6%)
  • John Hickenlooper 1.4%
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0.8% (0.0%)
  • Cory Booker 0.0% (2.1%)
  • Julián Castro 0.0% (0.0%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0.0% (1.0%)
  • Jay Inslee 0.0%
  • Andrew Yang 0.0% (0.0%)
  • Someone else 3.6% (9.8%)
Among Women
  • Bernie Sanders 24.1% (12.6%)
  • Joe Biden 21.0% (32.0%
  • Elizabeth Warren 12.0% (10.9%)
  • Cory Booker 10.8% (4.5%)
  • Kamala Harris 8.4% (16.2%)
  • Pete Buttigieg 6.9% (0.0%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 6.7% (7.0%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 1.3% (2.5%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1.0% (0.0%)
  • Julián Castro 0.9% (2.5%)
  • Jay Inslee 0.8%
  • John Hickenlooper 0.7%
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0.5% (0.7%)
  • Andrew Yang 0.0% (0.0%)
  • Someone else 4.8% (6.3%)
Survey of 249 likely Democratic caucus-goers was conducted March 21-24, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 6.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 2, 2019 are in parentheses. Click here to view crosstabs.

Monday, March 11, 2019

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2020 Democratic Nomination Survey

Monmouth University 2020 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Joe Biden 28% (29%)
  • Bernie Sanders 25% (16%) 
  • Kamala Harris 10% (11%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 8% (8%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 6% (7%)
  • Cory Booker 5% (4%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 3% (2%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 2% (4%)
  • Sherrod Brown 1% (1%)
  • Julián Castro 1% (1%)
  • Bill de Blasio 1%
  • John Hickenlooper 1% (1%)
  • Andrew Yang 1% (1%)
  • Michael Bennet 0% 
  • Pete Buttigieg 0% (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% (1%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% (1%)
  • Eric Holder 0% (1%)
  • Jay Inslee 0% (0%)
  • Terry McAuliffe 0% (0%)
  • Marianne Williamson 0%
  • Steve Bullock 0%
  • John Delaney 0% (0%)
  • Other (vol.) 0% (1%)
  • No one (vol.) 0% (3%)
  • Undecided (vol.) 8% (9%)
Among Men
  • Bernie Sanders 30% (17%)
  • Joe Biden 28% (35%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 6% (7%)
  • Kamala Harris 5% (5%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 5% (5%)
  • Michael Bloomberg 4% (4%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 4% (1%)
  • Cory Booker 3% (7%)
  • Sherrod Brown 3% (2%)
  • John Hickenlooper 2% (1%)
  • Julián Castro 1% (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 1% (3%)
  • Michael Bennet 0%
  • Steve Bullock 0%
  • Pete Buttigieg 0% (0%)
  • Bill de Blasio 0%
  • John Delaney 0% (0%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% (1%)
  • Jay Inslee 0% (1%)
  • Eric Holder 0% (0%)
  • Terry McAuliffe 0% (0%)
  • Marianne Williamson 0%
  • Andrew Yang 0% (0%)
  • Other (vol.) 0% (0%)
  • No one (vol.) 1% (4%)
  • Undecided (vol.) 6% (6%)
Among Women
  • Joe Biden 27% (26%)
  • Bernie Sanders 21% (16%) 
  • Kamala Harris 13% (14%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 9% (8%)
  • Cory Booker 6% (2%)
  • Beto O'Rourke 6% (8%)
  • Amy Klobuchar 2% (2%)
  • Bill de Blasio 2%
  • Julián Castro 1% (1%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 1% (1%)
  • Eric Holder 1% (1%)
  • Andrew Yang 1% (1%)
  • Michael Bennet 0%
  • Michael Bloomberg 0% (4%)
  • Sherrod Brown 0% (1%)
  • Steve Bullock 0% 
  • Pete Buttigieg 0% (0%)
  • John Delaney 0% (0%)
  • Tulsi Gabbard 0% (0%)
  • John Hickenlooper 0% (1%)
  • Jay Inslee 0% (0%)
  • Terry McAuliffe 0% (0%)
  • Marianne Williamson 0%
  • Other (vol.) 0% (2%)
  • No one (vol.) 0% (2%)
  • Undecided (vol.) 10% (10%)
Favorable/Unfavorable (Net)
  • Joe Biden 76% (80%) / 13% (9%) (+63)
  • Bernie Sanders 70% (68%) / 17% (19%) (+53)
  • Kamala Harris 53% (46%) / 11% (13%) (+42)
  • Cory Booker 43% (44%) / 12% (11%) (+31)
  • Elizabeth Warren 49% (57%) / 19% (17%) (+30)
  • Beto O'Rourke 38% (41%) / 12% (9%) (+26)
  • Amy Klobuchar 26% (23%) / 13% (8%) (+13)
  • Michael Bloomberg 27% (35%) / 26% (25%) (+1)
  • Jay Inslee 13% (11%) / 6% (8%) (+7)
  • Michael Bennet 13% / 7% (+6)
  • Marianne Williamson 8% / 4% (+4)
  • Steve Bullock 6% / 6% (0)
  • Bill de Blasio 18% / 24% (-6)
Survey of 310 registered Democrats and leaning Democratic voters was conducted March 1-4, 2019. The margin of error is +/- 5.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2019 are in parentheses.

Monday, November 03, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

  • Bob Beauprez (R) 45% [45%] (44%) {46%} [40%] (44%) {39%}
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 43% [40%] (45%) {42%} [50%] (43%) {48%}
  • Matthew Hess (L) 3% [4%] (1%) {5%} [3%]
  • Harry Hempy (G) 3% [2%] (2%) {1%} [3%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Bob Beauprez 46% [47%] (45%) {45%} [49%] (31%) {27%} / 39% [34%] (39%) {36%} [31%] (25%) {20%} {+7%}
  • John Hickenlooper 47% [46%] (51%) {48%} [43%] (43%) {51%} / 47% [46%] (42%) {44%} [51%] (42%) {37%} {0%}
Survey of 815 likely voters was conducted October 28 - November 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 32% [32%] (32%) {33%} [34%] (29%) {26%} Republican; 28% [27%] (29%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {28%} Democrat; 33% [34%] (32%) {32%} [33%] (37%) {37%} Independent; 7% [7%] (7%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {10%} Other. Results from the poll conducted October 22-27, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 15-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

The candidates for Governor this fall are Democrat John Hickenlooper, Republican Bob Beauprez, Green Party candidate Harry Hempy, Libertarian Matthew Hess, unaffiliated candidate Mike Dunafon, and unaffiliated candidate Paul Noel Fiorino. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
  • Bob Beauprez (R) 45.9% {44%}
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 45.9% {45%}
  • Harry Hempy (G) 2% {2%}
  • Matthew Hess (L) 2% {1%}
  • Mike Dunafon (I) 1% {1%}
  • Paul Noel Fiorino (I) 0% {0%}
  • Undecided 3% {7%}
Horse race, with third-party supporters and undecideds asked if they lean Hickenlooper or Beauprez:
  • Bob Beauprez (R) 49% (47%) {46%} [43%] (41%) {38%}
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 48% (47%) {46%} [44%] (48%) {48%}
Survey of 739 likely voters was conducted November 1-2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 28-29, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in curly brackets.

Saturday, November 01, 2014

Poll Watch: YouGov Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

YouGov Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 44.1% (48%) {49%} [45%] (47%)
  • Bob Beauprez (R) 41.7% (44%) {45%} [45%] (47%)
Survey of 1,417 likely voters was conducted October 25-31, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 16-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Thursday, October 30, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

  • Bob Beauprez (R) 47% {46%} [43%] (41%) {38%}
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 47% {46%} [44%] (48%) {48%}
Survey of 573 likely voters was conducted October 28-29, 2014 for The League of Conservation Voters. Results from the poll conducted October 16-19, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 17-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2014 are in curly brackets.

Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

  • Bob Beauprez (R) 45% (44%) {46%} [40%] (44%) {39%}
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 40% (45%) {42%} [50%] (43%) {48%}
  • Matthew Hess (L) 4% (1%) {5%} [3%]
  • Harry Hempy (G) 2% (2%) {1%} [3%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Bob Beauprez 47% (45%) {45%} [49%] (31%) {27%} / 34% (39%) {36%} [31%] (25%) {20%} {+13%}
  • John Hickenlooper 46% (51%) {48%} [43%] (43%) {51%} / 46% (42%) {44%} [51%] (42%) {37%} {0%}
Survey of 844 likely voters was conducted October 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 32% (32%) {33%} [34%] (29%) {26%} Republican; 27% (29%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {28%} Democrat; 34% (32%) {32%} [33%] (37%) {37%} Independent; 7% (7%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {10%} Other. Results from the poll conducted October 15-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Bob Beauprez (R) 49% {46%} [45%] (44%)
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 47% {50%} [44%] (44%)
Survey of 966 likely voters was conducted October 21-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 29-30, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 3-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 25-26, 2014 are in parentheses.

Monday, October 27, 2014

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 48% {49%} [45%] (47%)
  • Bob Beauprez (R) 44% {45%} [45%] (47%)
Survey of 1,611 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, October 22, 2013

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 64% {62%} [61%] (63%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 6%
  • Joe Biden 6% {8%} [7%] (10%)  
  • Deval Patrick 1% {5%} [3%] (1%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 2% {1%} [3%] (5%)
  • Evan Bayh 0% {0%} [1%] (1%)
  • Cory Booker 0% {2%} [1%] (2%)
  • Mark Warner 0% {0%} [2%] (0%)
  • Martin O'Malley 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% {0%}
  • John Hickenlooper 0% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Someone else 2% {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Don't know yet 18% {19%} [22%] (16%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 84% {85%} [88%] (87%) / 8% {13%} [5%] (7%) {+76%}
  • Elizabeth Warren 47% / 15% {+32%}
  • Deval Patrick 48% {57%} [51%] (52%) / 19% {16%} [23%] (22%) {+29%}
  • Joe Biden 54% {61%} [64%] (73%) / 31% {30%} [25%] (22%) {+23%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 35% {41%} [53%] (56%) / 21% {19%} [16%] (16%) {+14%}
  • Kirsten Gillibrand 12% {19%} / 5% {7%} {+7%}
  • Cory Booker 19% {16%} [22%] (31%) / 12% {11%} [10%] (11%) {+7%}  
  • Mark Warner 11% {15%} [18%] (14%) / 13% {11%} [18%] (14%) {-2%}
  • Martin O'Malley 5% {8%} [8%] (9%) / 7% {5%} [5%] (6%) {-2%}
  • Evan Bayh 9% {10%} [15%] (20%) / 12% {17%} [15%] (7%) {-3%
  • John Hickenlooper 4% {9%} [9%] (8%) / 9% {7%} [10%] (7%) {-5%}
Survey of 252 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted October 7-16, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 6.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, April 23, 2013

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Rand Paul (R) 45%
  • Not sure 7%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 44%
  • Not sure 8%
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 47%
  • Rand Paul (R) 45%
  • Not sure 8%
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 47%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 45%
  • Not sure 8%
Among Men
  • Rand Paul (R) 50%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Not sure 9%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 52%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Not sure 6%
    • Rand Paul (R) 51%
    • John Hickenlooper (D) 40%
    • Not sure 9%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 54%
    • John Hickenlooper (D) 42%
    • Not sure 4%
    Among Women 
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
    • Rand Paul (R) 41%
    • Not sure 6%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
    • Marco Rubio (R) 37%
    • Not sure 9%
      • John Hickenlooper (D) 53%
      • Rand Paul (R) 40%
      • Not sure 7%
      • John Hickenlooper (D) 51%
      • Marco Rubio (R) 38%
      • Not sure 11%
      Do you think John Hickenlooper should run for President in 2016, or not? 
      • He should 21%
      • He should not 65% 
      • Not sure 14%
      Survey of 500 Colorado voters was conducted April 11-14, 2013. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% Democrat; 34% Republican; 32% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 26% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 19% Somewhat liberal; 15% Very conservative; 15% Very liberal.

      Saturday, June 09, 2012

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Colorado Survey on Marijuana Legalization

      Rasmussen (R) Colorado Poll on Pot Legalization

      Should it be a crime for people to smoke marijuana in their own home or the home of a friend?
      • Yes, it should 21%
      • No, it should not 66%
      Would you favor or oppose legalizing marijuana and regulating it in the similar manner to the way alcohol and tobacco cigarettes are regulated today?
      • Favor 61%
      • Oppose 27%
      • Undecided 12%
      Suppose that marijuana was legalized and regulated so that it was illegal for people under 18 to buy, that those who drove while under the influence of marijuana received strict penalties, and that smoking marijuana was banned in public places like restaurants. With such regulations in place, would you favor or oppose legalizing and regulating marijuana?
      • Favor 62%
      • Oppose 28%
      Suppose that, if marijuana was legalized and regulated, it could be sold only in pharmacies. Drug dealers who sold marijuana on the street would be subject to strict jail sentences. Would that reduce the number of drug dealers in the country?
      • Yes, it would 43%
      • No, it would not 41%
      • Not sure 17%
      If marijuana was legalized and regulated, but could be sold only in pharmacies, would you favor or oppose legalizing and regulating marijuana?
      • Favor 57%
      • Oppose 29%
      • Not sure 14%
      Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted June 6, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

      Inside the numbers:
      Sixty-five percent (65%) of male voters in Colorado favor the legalization and regulation of pot, as do 57% of female voters.

      Voters under 40 (69%) show the greatest support for the measure, though 59% of those between the ages of 40 and 64 also are in favor. Those over 65 are evenly divided.

      Most Democrats (75%) and voters not affiliated with either major political party (69%) favor legalizing and regulating pot, but just 39% of Republicans agree.

      Fifty-three percent (53%) of voters who favor legalizing the drug if it is only sold in pharmacies support President Obama in the presidential election, while 36% of those voters back Mitt Romney. Romney leads among those who oppose such a measure by a 63% to 29% margin.

      Democratic Governor John Hickenlooper was the mayor of Denver when the city approved legalizing possession of marijuana under one ounce, making it the first major U.S. city to do so. Fifty-six percent (56%) approve of the job Hickenlooper has been doing as governor, while 36% disapprove.

      Thursday, August 11, 2011

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado Political Survey

      PPP (D) Colorado Political Survey

      Do you approve or disapprove of Governor John Hickenlooper’s job performance?
      • Approve 54% (52%)
      • Disapprove 24% (23%)
      Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Michael Bennet’s job performance?
      • Approve 44% (42%) {39%} [40%] (35%) {32%} [34%] (32%)
      • Disapprove 36% (40%) {47%} [51%] (49%) {48%} [44%] (46%)
      Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Ken Buck?
      • Favorable 25% {44%} [44%] (41%) {26%} [19%] (14%)
      • Unfavorable 46% {48%} [49%] (46%) {46%} [24%] (18%)
      If you could do last fall’s election for US Senate over again, would you vote for Democrat Michael Bennet or Republican Ken Buck?
      • Michael Bennet 55%
      • Ken Buck 38%
        Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mark Udall’s job performance?
        • Approve 45% (45%) {38%} [42%] (38%) {36%} [38%] (39%)
        • Disapprove 34% (35%) {35%} [40%] (39%) {41%} [41%] (42%)
        Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Scott McInnis?
        • Favorable 14%
        • Unfavorable 31%
        Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tom Tancredo?
        • Favorable 30% {44%} [45%] (35%) {27%}
        • Unfavorable 43% {43%} [44%] (45%) {50%}
        If there was an election for Congress today, would you vote for the Democratic or Republican candidate from your district?
        • Democratic candidate 45%
        • Republican candidate 40%
        Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?
        • Legal 45%
        • Illegal 45%
        Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?
        • Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 40% (40%)
        • Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 31% (32%)
        • There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 27% (25%)
        Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of the Tea Party?
        • Favorable 38%
        • Unfavorable 49%
        Do you think prostitution should be legal or illegal?
        • Legal 32%
        • Illegal 56%
        Do you think marijuana usage should be legal or illegal?
        • Legal 51%
        • Illegal 38%
        Would you support or oppose raising the income tax in Colorado from 4.63% to 5% and the sales tax from 2.9% to 3.0% in order to increase funding for public education?
        • Support 45%
        • Oppose 47%
        Survey of 510 Colorado voters was conducted August 4-7, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 41% Democrat; 33% Republican; 26% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 27% Moderate; 23% Somewhat conservative; 22% Somewhat liberal; 16% Very conservative; 13% Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted February 4-6, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-23, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-8, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-16, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 5-8, 2010 are in parentheses.

        Monday, November 01, 2010

        Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Colorado Political Survey

        Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Colorado Political Survey
        SENATORIAL ELECTION
        • Ken Buck (R) 50% {46%} [47%]
        • Michael Bennet (D) 46% {45%} [43%]
        • Other 3% {5%} [5%]
        • Not sure 1% {4%} [5%]
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Ken Buck 46% / 49% { -3% }
        • Michael Bennet 44% / 51% {-7%}
        Regardless of how you plan to vote, are Ken Buck’s positions on the issues too extreme?
        • Yes 47% {49%}
        • No 43% {39%}
        Regardless of how you plan to vote, does Michael Bennet agree with Barack Obama on issues too often, not often enough or about the right amount?
        • Too often 51% {50%}
        • Not often enough 3% {8%}
        • About the right amount 38% {33%}
        GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION
        • John Hickenlooper (D) 47% {45%} [44%]
        • Tom Tancredo (AC) 44% {40%} [34%]
        • Dan Maes (R) 6% {10%} [15%]
        • Other 1% {1%} [1%]
        • Not sure 2% {5%} [5%]
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • John Hickenlooper 54% / 41% {+13%}
        • Tom Tancredo 48% / 44% {+4%}
        Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
        • Approve 40% {40%} [38%]
        • Disapprove 53% {54%} [56%]
        Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 30, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25, 2010 are in square brackets.

        Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado Gubernatorial Survey

        PPP (D) Colorado Gubernatorial Survey
        • John Hickenlooper (D) 48% [47%] (47%) {48%}
        • Tom Tancredo (AC) 43% [44%] (33%) {22%}
        • Dan Maes (R) 8% [5%] (13%) {23%}
        • Undecided 1% [4%] (7%) {7%}
        Already Voted (66%)
        • John Hickenlooper (D) 52%
        • Tom Tancredo (AC) 41%
        • Dan Maes (R) 6%
        • Undecided 1%
        Did Not Vote Yet (34%)
        • Tom Tancredo (AC) 46%
        • John Hickenlooper (D) 41%
        • Dan Maes (R) 12%
        • Undecided 1%
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • John Hickenlooper 51% [51%] (51%) {50%} [47%] (51%) / 38% [41%] (37%) {33%} [33%] (27%) {+13%}
        • Tom Tancredo 44% [45%] (35%) {27%} / 43% [44%] (45%) {50%} {+1%}
        • Dan Maes 11% [8%] (12%) {23%} / 66% [75%] (58%) {38%} {-55%}
        Survey of 1,059 likely was conducted October 30-31, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 39% [38%] (37%) {39%} [33%] (36%) Republican; 38% [35%] (36%) {40%} [37%] (39%) Democrat; 23% [26%] (27%) {20%} [31%] (24%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 39% [42%] (42%) {39%} [44%] (42%) Moderate; 39% [38%] (36%) {37%} [37%] (35%) Conservative; 23% [19%] (23%) {24%} [20%] (23%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 21-23, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-8, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-16, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 5-8, 2010 are in parentheses.

        Saturday, October 30, 2010

        Poll Watch: Marist/McClatchy Colorado Political Survey

        Marist/McClatchy Colorado Political Survey
        SENATORIAL ELECTION
        • Ken Buck (R) 49% [50%]
        • Michael Bennet (D) 45% [42%] 
        • Other 3% [2%]
        • Undecided 3% [6%]
        Already Voted  (25%)
        • Michael Bennet (D) 50%
        • Ken Buck (R) 45%
        • Other 5%
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Michael Bennet 45% [42%] / 48% [45%] {-3%}
        • Ken Buck 44% [47%] / 48% [40%] {-4%}
        GUBERNATORIAL ELECTION
        • John Hickenlooper (D) 47% [48%]
        • Tom Tancredo (AC) 43% [29%]
        • Dan Maes (R) 7% [19%]
        • Undecided 3% [4%]
        Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing in office as president?
        • Approve 40% [39%]
        • Disapprove 55% [56%]
        Do you think the current economic conditions are mostly something President Obama inherited or are they mostly a result of his own policies?
        • Economic conditions mostly inherited 50%
        • Economic conditions mostly a result of his own policies 39%
        Survey of 615 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 36% Republican; 30% Democrat; 32% Independent.  Political ideology: 44% Conservative; 35% Moderate; 21% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 26-28, 2010 are in square brackets.