Tuesday, March 11, 2014

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

FDU PublicMind New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie  

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Chris Christie is doing as governor?
  • Approve 41% [48%] {61%} (62%) [58%] {61%} (66%) [73%] {77%} (56%) [51%] {55%} (56%) [54%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {44%} (51%) [51%] {53%}
  • Disapprove 44% [39%] {24%} (24%) [29%] {26%} (20%) [19%] {17%} (33%) [35%] {35%} (33%) [34%] {37%} (36%) [36%] {44%} (41%) [39%] {36%}
Among Democrats
  • Approve 24% [34%] {42%} (47%) [42%] {44%} (55%) [62%] {67%} (26%) [28%] {33%} (36%) [30%] {26%} (27%) [31%] {20%} (27%) [27%] {33%}
  • Disapprove 65% [54%] {40%} (38%) [44%] {38%} (29%) [29%] {26%} (59%) [55%] {56%} (51%) [52%] {62%} (60%) [54%] {69%} (63%) [61%] {56%}
Among Republicans
  • Approve 66% [73%] {84%} (85%) [79%] {84%} (83%) [90%] {87%} (86%) [84%] {82%} (83%) [85%] {90%} (81%) [81%] {75%} (83%) [82%] {80%}
  • Disapprove 19% [18%] {8%} (6%) [12%] {7%} (6%) [7%] {9%} (9%) [10%] {13%} (11%) [9%] {7%} (11%) [16%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {14%}
Among Independents
  • Approve 47% [41%] {66%} (60%) [62%] {64%} (61%) [80%] {92%} (60%) [55%] {65%} (53%) [60%] {52%} (50%) [64%] {47%} (49%) [54%] {50%}
  • Disapprove 36% [40%] {13%} (22%) [18%] {24%} (26%) [13%] {5%} (20%) [30%] {23%} (31%) [27%] {36%} (35%) [26%] {32%} (36%) [28%] {32%}
Among Men
  • Approve 42% [48%] {63%} (67%) [65%] {66%} (71%) [77%] {76%} (64%) [54%] {61%} (64%) [62%] {63%} (58%) [61%] {52%} (58%) [61%] {59%}
  • Disapprove 43% [41%] {23%} (19%) [26%] {22%} (17%) [17%] {19%} (28%) [32%] {32%} (27%) [27%] {30%} (31%) [31%] {36%} (34%) [32%] {32%}
Among Women
  • Approve 40% [48%] {58%} (56%) [52%] {56%} (62%) [70%] {77%} (49%) [49%] {49%} (48%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {36%} (45%) [41%] {47%}
  • Disapprove 46% [38%] {24%} (29%) [32%] {29%} (24%) [22%] {15%} (37%) [39%] {38%} (39%) [40%] {45%} (41%) [42%] {53%} (47%) [47%] {40%}
Survey of 703 registered voters was conducted March 3-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 45% [44%] {44%} (46%) [48%] {45%} (46%) [48%] {49%} [48%] {47%} Democrat; 30% [33%] {35%} (35%) [33%] {33%} (34%) [33%] {34%} [33%] {33%} Republican; 25% [23%] {21%} (19%) [22%] {22%} (20%) [19%] {17%} [19%] {21%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted January 20-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 24-30, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 5, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 10-16, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-6, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-18, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 26-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-12, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 23-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Monday, March 10, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 13th Congressional District Special Election Survey

PPP (D) FL-13 Special Election Poll
  • Alex Sink (D) 48%
  • David Jolly (R) 45%
  • Lucas Overby (L) 6%
  • Undecided 2%
Already Cast Ballot (60%)
  • Alex Sink (D) 52%
  • David Jolly (R) 45%
  • Lucas Overby (L) 3%
Plan to Vote on Election Day (37%) 
  • David Jolly (R) 45%
  • Alex Sink (D) 41%
  • Lucas Overby (L) 10%
  • Undecided 4%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Alex Sink 50% / 45% {+5%}
  • David Jolly 48% / 45% {+3%}
Survey of 702 likely voters in Florida’s 13th Congressional District was conducted March 7-9, 2014.  Party ID: 41% Republican; 34% Democrat; 24% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll
  • Mark Udall (D) 42%
  • Cory Gardner (R) 41%
  • Some other candidate 5%
  • Undecided 13%
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted March 5-6, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Thursday, March 06, 2014

Poll Watch: Suffolk University/Boston Herald New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Suffolk/Boston Herald New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Rand Paul 12.21%
  • Chris Christie 11.50%
  • Jeb Bush 9.39%
  • Paul Ryan 9.15%
  • Jon Huntsman 8.22%
  • Scott Walker 6.57%
  • Marco Rubio 5.63%
  • Mike Huckabee 5.40%
  • Ted Cruz 4.93%
  • Scott Brown 4.69%
  • Bobby Jindal 4.23%
  • Rick Santorum 2.35%
  • Undecided 14.32%
Who would be your second choice?
  • Chris Christie 12.26%
  • Ted Cruz 11.70%
  • Marco Rubio 11.14%
  • Jeb Bush 10.86% 
  • Rand Paul 10.03%
  • Mike Huckabee 7.80%
  • Paul Ryan 5.29%
  • Scott Walker 5.01%
  • Scott Brown 4.18%
  • Jon Huntsman 3.34%
  • Rick Santorum 3.06%
  • Bobby Jindal 2.79%
  • Undecided 12.53% 
Survey of 426 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 27 - March 5, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 33%
  • Some other candidate 14%
  • Undecided 6%
Among Independents
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 28%
Is Hillary Clinton too old to be president?
  • Yes 16%
  • No 72%
  • Not sure 12%
Does the fact that his father and his brother have both served as president make you more likely or less likely to vote for Jeb Bush?
  • More likely 14%
  • Less likely 50%
  • No impact on voting decision 34% 
National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted March 4-5, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. 

Inside the numbers:
Eighty-five of percent (85%) of Democrats support Clinton in this hypothetical matchup, while 72% of Republicans back Bush.
Thirty percent (30%) of GOP voters say they are more likely to vote for Bush because of his family’s presidential history, but nearly as many (26%) are less likely to support him for this reason. A plurality (43%) of Republicans says it's not important. Most Democrats (74%) are less likely to vote for Jeb because of his family’s time in the White House, as are 44% of unaffiliated voters. But the same number of unaffiliated voters (44%) say it has no impact.
Men are more likely than women to think Clinton is too old to be president. Voters 40 and over believe that more strongly than those who are younger.
Eighty-eight percent (88%) of Democrats say Clinton is not too old, a view shared by 50% of GOP voters and 73% of unaffiliateds.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arizona 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Arizona 2016 Presidential Poll 
  • Jeb Bush (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Chris Christie (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Rand Paul (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 41%
    Among Men
    • Jeb Bush (R) 48%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
    • Chris Christie (R) 44%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
    • Rand Paul (R) 46%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 42%
    Among Women 
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 43%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
    • Chris Christie (R) 39%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
    • Rand Paul (R) 41%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 40%
    Survey of 870 Arizona voters was conducted February 28 - March 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Republican; 31% Democrat; 30% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 29% Moderate; 26% Somewhat conservative; 18% Somewhat liberal; 17% Very conservative; 10% Very liberal.

    Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arizona 2016 Republican Primary Survey

    PPP (D) Arizona 2016 GOP Primary Poll
    • Ted Cruz 16%
    • Rand Paul 14%
    • Chris Christie 12%
    • Jeb Bush 11%
    • Mike Huckabee 11%
    • Paul Ryan 8% 
    • Scott Walker 8%
    • Marco Rubio 4%
    • Bobby Jindal 2%
    • Someone else/Not sure 13%
    Among Men
    • Ted Cruz 18%
    • Mike Huckabee 14%
    • Chris Christie 12%
    • Rand Paul 12%
    • Paul Ryan 10% 
    • Scott Walker 10%
    • Jeb Bush 9%
    • Marco Rubio 2%
    • Bobby Jindal 2%
    • Someone else/Not sure 11%
    Among Women
    • Rand Paul 16% 
    • Ted Cruz 14%
    • Chris Christie 13%
    • Jeb Bush 13%
    • Mike Huckabee 8%
    • Paul Ryan 6% 
    • Marco Rubio 6%
    • Scott Walker 5%
    • Bobby Jindal 2%
    • Someone else/Not sure 17%
    Survey of 403 Republican primary voters was conducted February 28 - March 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 39% Somewhat conservative; 31% Very conservative; 23% Moderate; 7% Somewhat liberal; 1% Very liberal.

    Wednesday, March 05, 2014

    Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

    • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
    • Chris Christie (R) 38%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 38%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
    • Ted Cruz (R) 36%
    Among Independents
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
      • Chris Christie (R) 31%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
      • Jeb Bush (R) 31%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
      • Ted Cruz (R) 31%
      Among Men
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
      • Chris Christie (R) 41%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
      • Jeb Bush (R) 41%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
      • Ted Cruz (R) 42%
      Among Women
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
      • Chris Christie (R) 35%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
      • Jeb Bush (R) 36%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
      • Ted Cruz (R) 32%
        National survey of 1,002 registered voters was conducted March 2-4, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 40% Democrat; 34% Republican; 23% Independent/Other.

        Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Texas 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

        Rasmussen (R) Texas 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
        • Greg Abbott (R) 53%
        • Wendy Davis (D) 41%
        • Some other candidate 1%
        • Undecided 4% 
        Among Men
        • Greg Abbott (R) 66%
        • Wendy Davis (D) 29%
        Among Women
        • Wendy Davis (D) 53% 
        • Greg Abbott (R) 41%
        Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted March 3-4, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

        Inside the numbers:
        Each candidate earns 91% support from voters in their respective party. Abbott leads 50% to 37% among unaffiliated voters.
        Abbott posts double-digit leads over Davis in voter trust when it comes to government spending – 51% to 33% - and taxes – 52% to 33%. The Republican is ahead by nine – 46% to 37% - in the area of government ethics and corruption.
        Davis, who made her mark in the state with a filibuster last year against anti-abortion legislation, trails by just six – 48% to 42% - when voters are asked whom they trust more on social issues.
        Both candidates are well-known in the state, but Davis, at this early juncture, is viewed Very Unfavorably by 34% of the state’s voters, compared to just 17% who feel that way about Abbott. Thirty-four percent (34%) have a Very Favorable opinion of the GOP candidate, while 22% view Davis Very Favorably.

        Tuesday, March 04, 2014

        Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

        • Tom Foley (R) 42% (43%)
        • Dannel Malloy (D) 42% (40%)
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Tom Foley 38% (35%) / 21% (18%) {+17%}
        • Dannel Malloy 46% (46%) / 43% (44%) {+3%}
        Do you approve or disapprove of the way Dannel Malloy is handling his job as Governor?
        • Approve 48% (47%)
        • Disapprove 45% (47%)
        Do you feel that Dannel Malloy deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
        • Yes/Deserves 45% (44%)
        • No/Does not 46% (46%)
        Survey of 1,878 registered voters was conducted February 26 - March 2, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 31% (34%) Democrat; 20% (21%) Republican; 42% (40%) Independent; 6% (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

        Poll Watch: Siena College New York 2016 Presidential Survey

        Siena College New York 2016 Presidential Poll
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 64% [60%] (56%)
        • Chris Christie (R) 28% [32%] (40%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 64%
        • Paul Ryan (R) 27%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 67%
        • Rand Paul (R) 24%
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Hillary Clinton 64% [68%] (67%) / 32% [29%] (31%) {+32%}
        • Andrew Cuomo 59% [66%] (61%) / 34% [28%] (32%) {+25%}
        • Chris Christie 42% [49%] (63%) / 46% [39%] (25%) {-4%
        • Paul Ryan 27% / 41% {-14%}
        • Rand Paul 22% / 41% {-19%}
        Survey of 720 registered voters was conducted February 22-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 48% [48%] (47%) Democrat; 23% [23%] (23%) Republican; 26% [26%] (26%) Independent/Other. Political views: 44% [45%] (42%) Moderate; 28% [26%] (25%) Liberal; 24% [26%] (29%) Conservative. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted January 12-16, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

        Poll Watch: Roanoke College Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

        • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
        • Chris Christie (R) 40%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
        • Paul Ryan (R) 40%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
        • Rand Paul (R) 38%
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Hillary Clinton 56% / 40% {+16%}
        • Paul Ryan 43% / 33% {+10%}
        • Chris Christie 40% / 38% {+2%}
        • Rand Paul 34% / 37% {-3%
        • Andrew Cuomo 27% / 33% {-6%}
        Survey of 707 registered voters was conducted February 22-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 29% Democrat; 24% Republican; 47% Independent/Other.

        Poll Watch: Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 Presidential Survey

        Rutgers-Eagleton New Jersey 2016 Presidential Poll
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
        • Chris Christie (R) 41%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
        • Paul Ryan (R) 33%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
        • Rand Paul (R) 29%
        Among Independents
        • Chris Christie (R) 45%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
        • Paul Ryan (R) 34%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
        • Rand Paul (R) 29%
        Among Moderates
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
        • Chris Christie (R) 41%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
        • Paul Ryan (R) 33%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
        • Rand Paul (R) 27%
        Among Men 
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
        • Chris Christie (R) 45%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
        • Paul Ryan (R) 38%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
        • Rand Paul (R) 34%
        Among Women
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
        • Chris Christie (R) 35%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 63%
        • Paul Ryan (R) 26%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 62%
        • Rand Paul (R) 24%
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Andrew Cuomo 47% / 19% {+28%}
        • Hillary Clinton 59% / 32% {+27%}
        • Chris Christie 48% / 40% {+8%}
        • Paul Ryan 29% / 29% {0%}
        • Rand Paul 26% / 34% {-8%}
        Survey of 729 registered voters was conducted February 22-28, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 36% Democrat; 23% Republican; 41% Independent/Other. Ideology: 48% Moderate; 27% Liberal; 24% Conservative. Click here to view crosstabs.

        Monday, March 03, 2014

        Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

        • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
        • Chris Christie (R) 41%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
        • Rand Paul (R) 40%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
        • Marco Rubio (R) 40%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
        • Ted Cruz (R) 37%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
        • Scott Walker (R) 35%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
        • Jeb Bush (R) 38%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
        • Paul Ryan (R) 37%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
        • Mike Huckabee (R) 37%
        Among Independents
        • Chris Christie (R) 42%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
        • Rand Paul (R) 37%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
        • Marco Rubio (R) 34%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
        • Ted Cruz (R) 37%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
        • Scott Walker (R) 33%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
        • Jeb Bush (R) 36%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
        • Paul Ryan (R) 36%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
        • Mike Huckabee (R) 36%
        Among Men
        • Chris Christie (R) 44%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
        • Rand Paul (R) 46%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
        • Marco Rubio (R) 42%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
        • Ted Cruz (R) 42%
        • Scott Walker (R) 49%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
        • Jeb Bush (R) 42%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
        • Paul Ryan (R) 42%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
        • Mike Huckabee (R) 40%
        Among Women
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
        • Chris Christie (R) 38%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
        • Rand Paul (R) 33%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
        • Marco Rubio (R) 38%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
        • Ted Cruz (R) 33%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
        • Scott Walker (R) 31%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
        • Jeb Bush (R) 35%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
        • Paul Ryan (R) 33%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 60%
        • Mike Huckabee (R) 34% 
        Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
        • Chris Christie 46% / 30% {+16%}
        • Hillary Clinton 51% / 42% {+9%}
        • Marco Rubio 29% / 27% {+2%}
        • Scott Walker 19% / 19% {0%}
        • Elizabeth Warren 18% / 25% {-7%}
        • Paul Ryan 29% / 38% {-9%}
        • Jeb Bush 30% / 42% {-12%}
        • Rand Paul 25% / 40% {-15%}
        • Mike Huckabee 28% / 44% {-16%}
        • Ted Cruz 16% / 34% {-18%}
        • Joe Biden 33% / 56% {-23%}
        Survey of 901 registered voters was conducted February 23-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 27% Democrat; 21% Republican; 50% Independent.

        Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

        CNU Virginia 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll
        • Hillary Clinton 66%
        • Joe Biden 19%
        • Elizabeth Warren 7%
        • Undecided 9%
        Survey of 391 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent voters was conducted February 23-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points.

        Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Republican Primary Survey

        CNU Virginia 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll
        • Chris Christie 19%
        • Jeb Bush 18%
        • Mike Huckabee 13%
        • Paul Ryan 13%
        • Ted Cruz 9% 
        • Rand Paul 7%
        • Marco Rubio 4% 
        • Scott Walker 3%
        • Undecided 13%
        Survey of 338 registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted February 23-28, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points.

        Friday, February 28, 2014

        Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

        Rasmussen (R) South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll
        • Mike Rounds (R) 51%
        • Rick Weiland (D) 31%
        • Some other candidate 6%
        • Undecided 11%
        Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted February 25-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

        Thursday, February 27, 2014

        Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

        PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Poll
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
        • Mike Huckabee (R) 42%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (50%)
                • Jeb Bush (R) 41% (36%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (48%)
                • Rand Paul (R) 42% (37%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (43%)
                • Chris Christie (R) 39% (36%)
                Among Independents
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 48%  
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
                • Chris Christie (R) 39% (34%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% (29%)
                • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (32%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% (47%)
                • Rand Paul (R) 45% (32%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (42%)
                Among Moderates
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 28% 
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (52%)
                • Chris Christie (R) 28% (25%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (65%)
                • Jeb Bush (R) 28% (18%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (61%)
                • Rand Paul (R) 27% (20%)
                Among Men
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 50%  
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
                • Chris Christie (R) 44% (43%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (38%)
                      • Jeb Bush (R) 48% (42%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% (47%)
                      • Rand Paul (R) 49% (42%)
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (45%)
                      Among Women
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53%
                      • Mike Huckabee (R) 36% 
                      • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (47%)
                      • Chris Christie (R) 33% (31%)
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (53%)
                            • Jeb Bush (R) 35% (31%)
                            • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% (51%)
                            • Rand Paul (R) 34% (33%)
                            Survey of 869 Iowa voters was conducted February 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (38%) Democrat; 31% (37%) Republican; 32% (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 30% (32%) Moderate; 24% (21%) Somewhat conservative; 22% (19%) Somewhat liberal; 14% (18%) Very conservative; 10% (9%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in parentheses.

                            Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

                            PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

                            Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Hillary Clinton, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
                            • Hillary Clinton 67% {71%} [68%] (58%) {60%} [62%] (44%)
                            • Joe Biden 12% {12%} [21%] (17%) {18%} [14%] (13%)
                            • Elizabeth Warren 5% {5%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [4%]
                            • Mark Warner 3% {2%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%)
                            • Andrew Cuomo 2% {1%} [2%] (6%) {3%} [4%] (7%)
                            • Cory Booker 1% {1%} (3%)
                            • Kirsten Gillibrand 0% {2%} [0%] 
                            • Martin O'Malley 0% {1%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%]
                            • Brian Schweitzer 0% {0%} [0%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
                            • Someone else/Not sure 10% {5%} [3%] (13%) {14%} [9%] (21%)
                            Given the choices of Joe Biden, Cory Booker, Andrew Cuomo, Kirsten Gillibrand, Martin O’Malley, Brian Schweitzer, Mark Warner, and Elizabeth Warren, who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for President in 2016?
                            • Joe Biden 40% {51%} [58%] (40%) {36%} [28%]
                            • Elizabeth Warren 13% {16%} [7%] (9%) {8%} [10%]
                            • Andrew Cuomo 8% {9%} [13%] (14%) {14%} [14%]
                            • Martin O'Malley 5% {2%} [0%] (4%) {2%} [0%]
                            • Cory Booker 2% {6%}
                            • Kirsten Gillibrand 2% {2%} [6%]
                            • Mark Warner 2% {1%} [2%] (1%) {3%} [1%]
                            • Brian Schweitzer 1% {0%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [2%]
                            • Someone else/Not sure 28% {13%} [11%] (28%) {34%} [36%]
                            If neither Hillary Clinton nor Joe Biden ran for President in 2016, who would you most like to see as the Democratic nominee?
                            • Elizabeth Warren 21% {20%} [17%] (13%) {11%} [13%]
                            • Andrew Cuomo 11% {18%} [26%] (30%) {20%} [17%]
                            • Cory Booker 8% {12%}
                            • Martin O'Malley 6% {4%} [8%] (3%) {2%} [3%]
                            • Kirsten Gillibrand 3% {7%} [5%]
                            • Brian Schweitzer 2% {3%} [2%] (2%) {4%} [4%]
                            • Mark Warner 2% {2%} [2%] (2%) {6%} [1%]
                            • Someone else/Not sure 47% {33%} [37%] (46%) {53%} [47%]
                            Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                            • Hillary Clinton 82% {87%} [90%] (86%) {90%} [88%] / 9% {7%} [5%] (11%) {6%} [6%] {+73%}
                            • Joe Biden 66% {80%} [84%] (85%) {79%} [76%] / 13% {8%} [9%] (15%) {11%} [6%] {+53%}
                            • Elizabeth Warren 43% {41%} [45%] (37%) {30%} [31%] / 8% {8%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [8%] {+35%}
                            • Cory Booker 30% {27%} / 11% {9%} {+19%}
                            • Andrew Cuomo 28% {34%} [35%] (38%) {26%} [26%] / 14% {15%} [13%] (16%) {19%} [17%] {+14%}
                            • Kirsten Gillibrand 20% {22%} [14%] / 10% {11%} [6%] {+10%} 
                            • Mark Warner 19% {14%} [10%] (12%) {10%} [10%] / 11% {10%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [11%] {+8%}
                            • Martin O'Malley 13% {12%} [8%] (9%) {4%} [6%] / 10% {6%} [6%] (13%) {8%} [7%] {+3%}
                            • Brian Schweitzer 12% {10%} [9%] (12%) {5%} [7%] / 12% {5%} [5%] (7%) {10%} [9%] {0%}
                            Survey of 335 Democratic voters was conducted February 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points.  Political ideology: 41% {37%} [33%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 28% {35%} [33%] (35%) {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 20% {18%} [26%] (20%) {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 9% {7%} [6%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 2% {2%} [2%] (5%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

                            Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

                            PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
                            • Mike Huckabee 17% (16%) {15%} [17%] (16%
                            • Rand Paul 14% [18%] (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
                            • Jeb Bush 13% [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%)
                            • Chris Christie 10% [16%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
                            • Ted Cruz 10% [10%] 
                            • Paul Ryan 9% [15%] (10%) {12%} [6%] (5%)
                            • Scott Walker 7% 
                            • Bobby Jindal 7% [2%] (3%)
                            • Marco Rubio 3% [11%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%)
                            • Someone else/Not sure 11% [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)
                            Among Men
                            • Mike Huckabee 19% (14%) {13%} [13%] (11%)
                            • Rand Paul 14% [21%] (14%) {6%} [16%] (10%) 
                            • Scott Walker 11%
                            • Ted Cruz 10% [13%]
                            • Jeb Bush 9% [13%] (16%) {11%} [8%] (9%)
                            • Bobby Jindal 9% [4%] (2%)
                            • Paul Ryan 8% [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
                            • Chris Christie 7% [17%] (12%) {14%} [15%] (17%)  
                            • Marco Rubio 3% [10%] (17%) {15%} [8%] (9%)
                            • Someone else/Not sure 9% [4%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (11%)
                            Among Women
                            • Jeb Bush 17% [15%] (12%) {11%} [8%] (12%)
                            • Chris Christie 15% [16%] (11%) {10%} [16%] (13%)
                            • Mike Huckabee 15% (18%) {17%} [21%] (22%)
                            • Rand Paul 14% [14%] (16%) {5%} [5%] (8%)
                            • Paul Ryan 9% [19%] (10%) {17%} [5%] (8%)
                            • Ted Cruz 9% [7%]
                            • Bobby Jindal 4% [0%] (5%)
                            • Marco Rubio 3% [12%] (16%) {10%} [11%] (4%)
                            • Scott Walker 1% 
                            • Someone else/Not sure 13% [10%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (10%)
                            Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
                            • Paul Ryan 63% [68%] (63%) {83%} [49%] (44%) / 13% [12%] (16%) {13%} [14%] (8%) {+50%}
                            • Mike Huckabee 63% (64%) {68%} [68%] (69%) / 19% (22%) {16%} [20%] (12%) {+44%}
                            • Rand Paul 59% [60%] (55%) {48%} [49%] (54%) / 15% [15%] (19%) {28%} [29%] (15%) {+44%}
                            • Sarah Palin 61% {60%} [60%] (70%) / 21% {26%} [26%] (17%) {+40%} 
                            • Jeb Bush 50% [58%] (55%) {60%} [53%] (62%) / 17% [17%] (17%) {11%} [19%] (9%) {+33%}  
                            • Rick Perry 45% (43%) / 17% (28%) {+28%}
                            • Marco Rubio 42% [54%] (54%) {59%} [57%] (46%) / 14% [14%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (7%) {+28%} 
                            • Scott Walker 39% / 12% {+27%}
                            • Ted Cruz 40% [27%] / 14% [12%] {+26%}
                            • Bobby Jindal 36% [42%] (43%) / 10% [14%] (11%) {+26%}  
                            • Rick Santorum 44% [57%] {64%} [65%] (68%) / 21% [15%] {18%} [22%] (17%) {+23%}
                            • Chris Christie 38% [45%] (36%) {55%} [57%] (50%) / 35% [27%] (33%) {21%} [17%] (16%) {+3%}  
                            • John Kasich 11% / 13% {-2%}
                            • Donald Trump 23% / 44% {-21%}
                            Survey of 283 Republican voters was conducted February 20-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.8 percentage points.  Political ideology: 39% [33%] (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 33% [45%] (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 21% [16%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 5% [5%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [1%] (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.