Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (43%) {44%} [38%] (38%)
• Donald Trump (R) 39% (40%) {40%} [40%] (37%)
  
• Gary Johnson (L) 9% (8%) {6%} [9%] (8%) 
• Jill Stein (G) 3% (2%) {3%}
• Some other candidate 3% (4%) {3%} [8%]
• Undecided 5% (3%) {4%} [4%]

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted August 15-16, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 9-10, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Clinton continues to earn more support among voters in her party (77%) than Trump does in his (69%), but support is down from last week in both parties. Trump still leads Clinton 38% to 29% among voters not affiliated with either major party.

Johnson has 11% GOP support, four percent (4%) of the Democratic vote and 12% of unaffiliated voters. Stein’s support among Republicans is at a statistical zero, and she picks up just one percent (1%) support from Democrats and eight percent (8%) from unaffiliateds.

Clinton now holds just a 43% to 39% edge over Trump among women. The race is even closer among men: 40% support Clinton, while 39% back Trump.

Voters under 40 give a narrow 39% to 35% edge to Clinton. The top two candidates are neck-and-neck among older voters. Johnson continues to poll best among voters under 40.

Black voters still overwhelmingly favor Clinton, while Trump holds a five-point lead among white voters. Other minority voters are evenly divided.