Thursday, April 23, 2015

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {47%} [47%] (51%) {52%} [51%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 43% {45%} [44%] (40%) {41%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [48%] (49%) {52%} [51%] (51%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 41% {45%} [43%] (42%) {39%} [42%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {47%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 42% {43%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {48%} (52%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 42% {42%} (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {48%}
  • Scott Walker (R) 40% {42%}
National survey of 1,012 registered voters was conducted April 19-21, 2015 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 62% {61%} [55%] (62%) {64%} [69%] (68%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 12% {11%} [12%] (12%) {9%} [6%] (7%)
  • Joe Biden 9% {12%} [17%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
  • Bernie Sanders 4% {3%} [3%] (3%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 3% {3%} [4%] (2%) {5%} [2%] (4%)
  • Martin O'Malley 1% {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Lincoln Chafee 0%
  • Jim Webb 0% {1%} [1%] (1%)
National survey of 388 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 19-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Marco Rubio 13% [8%] (5%) {9%} [8%] (8%)
  • Scott Walker 12% [15%] (9%) {4%} [5%] (6%)
  • Rand Paul 10% [9%] (13%) {11%} [14%] (11%) 
  • Jeb Bush 9% [12%] (15%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
  • Mike Huckabee 9% [10%] (13%)
  • Ted Cruz 8% [10%] (4%) {9%} [7%] (12%) 
  • Ben Carson 6% [11%] (10%)
  • Chris Christie 6% [4%] (6%) {10%} [15%] (16%)  
  • Donald Trump 5% [3%] 
  • John Kasich 2% [1%] (2%) {2%}
  • Rick Perry 2% [3%] (4%) {12%} [5%] (3%)  
  • Bobby Jindal 1% [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%]
  • Lindsey Graham 1% [0%] (1%)  
  • George Pataki 1% [1%]
  • Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (3%)
  • Carly Fiorina 0% [1%]
National survey of 383 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 19-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [46%] [50%]
  • Marco Rubio (R) 43% [41%] [34%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [47%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {49%} [53%] (50%) {49%}
      • Rand Paul (R) 42% [41%] (41%) {40%} [39%] (41%) {40%} [36%] (38%) {41%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [46%] (43%) {47%} [46%] (41%) {42%} [49%] (46%) [45%]
      • Chris Christie (R) 40% [39%] (42%) {38%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [36%] (40%) [37%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [47%] (46%) {49%}
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 42% [40%] (41%) {40%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [48%]
      • Scott Walker (R) 41% [39%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [48%] (48%) [50%] (50%) {51%} [54%]
      • Ted Cruz (R) 41% [38%] (37%) [35%] (37%) {36%} [31%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [45%] (46%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%}
      • Jeb Bush (R) 39% [42%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (39%) {40%}
      National survey of 1,353 registered voters was conducted April 16-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% [29%] (30%) {31%} [29%] (31%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 25% [32%] (31%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {27%} [25%] Republican; 34% [28%] (27%) {35%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [31%] (35%) {33%} [34%] Independent; 9% [11%] (12%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [7%] Other/Don't know. Race: 73% [73%] (74%) {73%} [74%] (74%) {72%} [72%] White; 12% [13%] (12%) {13%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; 6% [7%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [8%] Hispanic; 8% [7%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] Other. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 6-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 8, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 4, 2013 are in square brackets.

      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

      • Hillary Clinton 60% (56%) {57%} [58%] (65%) {66%} [61%] (65%)
      • Joe Biden 10% (10%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {8%} [11%] (13%)
      • Bernie Sanders 8% (4%) {4%}
      • Martin O'Malley 3% (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
      • Jim Webb 1% (1%) {1%} 
      • Lincoln Chafee 0%
      • Don't know 14% (14%) {14%} [15%] (13%) {12%} [15%] (14%)
      If Hillary Clinton does not run for President:
      • Joe Biden 40% (35%) {34%} (45%)
      • Bernie Sanders 11% (7%) {6%} 
      • Martin O'Malley 8% (1%) {2%} (3%)
      • Jim Webb 4% (3%) {2%}
      • Lincoln Chafee 1%
      • Don't know 30% (25%) {28%} (26%)
      National survey of 569 registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted April 16-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 25-29, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

      Quinnipiac 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
      • Marco Rubio 15% (5%) {3%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [12%] (19%)
      • Jeb Bush 13% (16%) {14%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
      • Scott Walker 11% (18%) {6%} [8%] (6%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
      • Ted Cruz 9% (6%) {5%} [8%] (9%) {13%} [10%]
      • Rand Paul 8% (6%) {8%} [11%] (13%) {14%} [17%] (15%)
      • Chris Christie 7% (8%) {11%} [10%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (14%)
      • Mike Huckabee 7% (8%) {7%} [10%]
      • Ben Carson 3% (7%) {9%} 
      • Rick Perry 3% (1%) {3%} [3%]
      • Lindsey Graham 2% (1%)
      • John Kasich 2% (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%}
      • Rick Santorum 2% (2%) {2%} [2%]
      • Carly Fiorina 1%
      • Bobby Jindal 1% (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
      • Don't know 14% (17%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (18%)
      Survey of 567 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted April 16-21, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26 - April 1, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Wednesday, April 22, 2015

      Poll Watch: FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2016 Republican Primary Survey

      FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll
      • Chris Christie 20% (51%)
      • Scott Walker 14%
      • Jeb Bush 13% (6%)
      • Ted Cruz 8% 
      • Rand Paul 8% (10%)
      • Other (vol.) 15% (10%)
      • Don't know (vol.) 22% (13%)
      Survey of 268 registered Republican primary voters was conducted April 13-19, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 21-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Tuesday, April 21, 2015

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

      PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {50%} [51%] (52%)
      • Rand Paul (R) 40% {37%} [41%] (41%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
      • Scott Walker (R) 40%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (52%)
      • Marco Rubio (R) 38% (38%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
      • Rick Perry (R) 38%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
      • Ben Carson (R) 38%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 38%
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {49%} [49%]
        • Jeb Bush (R) 36% {38%} [40%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {43%} [43%]
            • Chris Christie (R) 36% {39%} [39%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {51%} [50%]
            • Ted Cruz (R) 37% {32%} [38%]
            • Joe Biden (D) 44%
            • Scott Walker (R) 40%
            • Elizabeth Warren (D) 45%
            • Scott Walker (R) 40%
            Survey of 747 New Hampshire voters was conducted April 9-13, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 30% {27%} [30%] (29%) Republican; 28% {28%} [31%] (32%) Democrat; 43% {44%} [39%] (39%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 32% {34%} [33%] (31%) Moderate; 21% {18%} [19%] (18%) Somewhat liberal; 20% {25%} [21%] (23%) Somewhat conservative; 15% {10%} [12%] (13%) Very liberal; 12% {13%} [15%] (15%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

            Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
            • Jeb Bush 16% [10%] (14%)
            • Scott Walker 13% [24%] (10%) 
            • Marco Rubio 12% [7%] (4%)
            • Rand Paul 9% [10%] (8%) 
            • Ben Carson 9% [5%]
            • Mike Huckabee 8% [7%] (9%)
            • Ted Cruz 6% [4%] (7%)
            • Chris Christie 5% [9%] (5%) 
            • Carly Fiorina 3% [3%] 
            • Rick Santorum 2% [6%]
            • Unsure 17% [15%] (18%)
            Survey of 388 Iowa Republican voters was conducted April 13, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 12-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 5-7, 2015 are in parentheses.

            Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {45%}
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 43% {40%}
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {44%}
            • Rand Paul (R) 43% {39%}
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {45%}
            • Chris Christie (R) 39% {35%}
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {43%} [42.6%] (41%)
            • Jeb Bush (R) 40% {37%} [43.5%] (41%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
            • Marco Rubio (R) 42%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {47%}
            • Scott Walker (R) 41% {41%}
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
            • Carly Fiorina (R) 37%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
            • Ted Cruz (R) 40%
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
            • Ben Carson (R) 37%
            Survey of 1,259 registered Iowa voters was conducted April 13, 2015  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 12-13, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 20-21, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29-30, 2014 are in parentheses.