Thursday, July 21, 2016

Poll Watch: Suffolk University/USA Today Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

Suffolk University/USA Today Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll

If the general election was held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton or Republican Donald Trump, for whom will you vote or lean towards?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44.0%
  • Donald Trump (R) 43.8%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Donald Trump (R) 40%
Ohio’s presidential ballot may include Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. If the general election was held today and the candidates were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Green Party Jill Stein, or Libertarian Gary Johnson, for whom will you vote or lean?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42.6%
  • Donald Trump (R) 38.6%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4.8%
  • Jill Stein (G) 0.8%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40.8% / 51.4% {-10.6%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 37.6% / 53.4% {-15.8%}
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted July 18-20, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Donald Trump (R) 43% (44%) {42%} [43%] (39%) {39%} [38%] (38%) {39%} [42%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (37%) {40%} [39%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (39%) {40%} [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
  • Some other candidate 11% (13%) {13%} [12%] (11%) {14%} [15%] (18%) {14%} [13%] (15%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
  • Undecided 4% (6%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted July 18-19, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 12-13, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 5, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28-29, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 20-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 14-15, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 6-7, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 17-18, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Trump has the backing of 78% of Republicans and a slight 38% to 35% lead among voters not affiliated with either major party. Clinton earns 76% support among Democrats. The GOP nominee now picks up 16% of the Democratic vote, while 10% of Republicans like Clinton.
Trump is ahead by 13 points among men, while Clinton posts a 10-point lead among women.
Clinton runs strongest among those under 40, but voters in this age group are also far more likely than their elders to prefer some other candidate.
The likely Democratic nominee continues to maintain an overwhelming lead among blacks and is slightly ahead among other minority voters. Trump has a double-digit advantage among whites.
Trump is the choice of 70% of conservatives. Eighty percent (80%) of liberals and moderates by a 45% to 33% margin favor Clinton.

Tuesday, July 19, 2016

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University New York 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac New York 2016 Presidential Poll

If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (53%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 35% (33%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 44% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
Among Women 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Donald Trump (R) 28%
If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Donald Trump (R) 33%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 4%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 41% (45%) / 52% (49%) {-11%}
  • Donald Trump 32% (30%) / 61% (65%) {-29%}
Survey of 1,104 New York State voters was conducted July 13-17, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 22-29, 2016 are in parentheses.

Monday, July 18, 2016

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [44%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 43% [37%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5% [9%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 1% [4%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 35% / 54% {-19%}
  • Donald Trump 33% / 54% {-21%}
National survey of 688 likely voters was conducted July 14-16, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 15-19, 2016 are in square brackets.