Thursday, August 25, 2016

Poll Watch: Florida Chamber of Commerce Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Donald Trump (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9%
  • Jill Stein (G)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 
  • Donald Trump 43% / 52% {-9%}
  • Hillary Clinton 39% / 56% {-17%}
Survey of 608 likely voters was conducted August 17-22, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.6%
  • Donald Trump (R) 37.2%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5.4%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2.8%
  • Emidio Mimi Soltysik (NL) 0.2%
  • Darrell Castle (UST) 0.0%
  • Undecided 10.0%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9%
  • Jill Stein (G) 5%
  • Emidio Mimi Soltysik (NL) 0%
  • Darrell Castle (UST) 0%
  • Undecided 9%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
  • Donald Trump (R) 32%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 2%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
  • Emidio Mimi Soltysik (NL) 0%
  • Darrell Castle (UST) 0%
  • Undecided 11%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Donald Trump 33.4% / 55.2% {-21.8%}
  • Hillary Clinton 34.4% / 57.2% {-22.8%}
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted August 22-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {42%} [45%] (46%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [48%] (50%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 41% {40%} [41%] (40%) {43%} [41%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (32%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 48% {47%} [51%] (44%) {47%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (50%) {47%} [43%] (37%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {34%} [35%] (41%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {39%} [36%] (37%) {39%} [42%] (46%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 60% {50%} [54%] (51%) {48%} [52%] (54%) {56%} [55%] (53%) {51%} [54%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 36% {33%} [30%] (35%) {39%} [36%] (33%) {33%} [35%] (36%) {36%} [29%] (28%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {39%} [40%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% {37%} [38%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 10% {8%} [5%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 4% {4%} [3%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% / 53% {-12%}
  • Donald Trump 33% / 61% {-28%}
National survey of 1,498 likely voters was conducted August 18-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 21-27, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 24-30, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 16-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 10-15, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-20, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 23-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 20-25, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [41%] (43%) {44%} [38%] (38%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% [39%] (40%) {40%} [40%] (37%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9% [9%] (8%) {6%} [9%] (8%) 
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% [3%] (2%) {3%}
  • Some other candidate 3% [3%] (4%) {3%} [8%]
  • Undecided 7% [5%] (3%) {4%} [4%]
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted August 23-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.Results from the poll conducted August 15-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 9-10, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Clinton has 79% of the Democratic vote, while 76% of Republicans support Trump. The GOP nominee continues to hold a small lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party. Johnson draws nearly equally from both major parties and earns 20% of the unaffiliated vote.
Trump and Clinton are now virtually tied among male voters, while Clinton holds a nine-point advantage among women.
The Democrat leads by 15 points among those under 40, while the two are tied among older voters.
Whites still prefer Trump, while Clinton has an enormous lead among blacks and a double-digit advantage among other minority voters.

Wednesday, August 24, 2016

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Arizona 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 12%
  • Jill Stein (G) 4%
Survey of 842 registered voters was conducted August 18-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Donald Trump (R) 43%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 11%
Survey of 912 registered voters was conducted August 18-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Donald Trump (R) 42%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 36% / 52% {-16%}
  • Donald Trump 34% / 54% {-20%}
Survey of 401 likely voters was conducted August 20-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: FAU Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 42.9% {47.0%} [49.2%] (45.9%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40.7% {44.3%} [40.5%] (44.5%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7.6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2.1%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 
  • Donald Trump 40.9% / 56.3% {-15.4%}
  • Hillary Clinton 40.0% / 58.1% {-18.1%}
Survey of 1,200 likely voters was conducted August 19-22, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 15-16, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-20, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Mexico 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (41%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 31% (33%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 16% (14%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 4%
Survey of 1,103 New Mexico voters was conducted August 19-21, 2016 for NM Political Report. Results from the poll conducted May 13-15, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: The Feldman Group (D) South Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Donald Trump (R) 42%
Among Whites
  • Donald Trump (R) 63%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 25%
Among Blacks
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 91%
  • Donald Trump (R) 1%
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Donald Trump (R) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted August 18-21, 2016 for the South Carolina Democratic Party.

Tuesday, August 23, 2016

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Utah 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 53%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
  • Not sure 14%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 57%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 31%
  • Not sure 12%
Among Women
  • Donald Trump (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34%
  • Not sure 16%
Among Mormons
  • Donald Trump (R) 61%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 20%
  • Not sure 19%
Among Non-Mormons
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
  • Donald Trump (R) 36%
  • Not sure 7%
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Donald Trump (R) 39%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 24%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 12%
  • Evan McMullin (I) 9%
  • Darrell Castle (C) 2%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
  • Undecided 14%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Donald Trump 31% / 61% {-30%}
  • Hillary Clinton  23% / 72% {-49%}
Survey of 1,018 likely voters was conducted August 19-21, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Women 53%; Men 47%. Mormon: 65%; Non-Mormon 35%.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Missouri 2016 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University Missouri 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Donald Trump (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 8%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 11%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Donald Trump (R) 45%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Donald Trump 33% / 53% {-20%}
  • Hillary Clinton 32% / 56% {-24%}
Survey of 401 likely voters was conducted August 19-22, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.