Monday, November 02, 2020

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters (High Turnout)

  • Joe Biden 51% {54%} [49%] (52%)
  • Donald Trump 44% {43%} [46%] (42%)

Likely Voters (Low Turnout)

  • Joe Biden 50% {53%} [48%] (51%)
  • Donald Trump 45% {45%} [47%] (44%)

Registered Voters

  • Joe Biden 50% {54%} [49%] (53%)
  • Donald Trump 45% {42%} [45%] (40%)
Democrat
  • Joe Biden 90% {97%} [88%] (93%)
  • Donald Trump 8% {2%} [6%] (1%)
Republican
  • Donald Trump 92% {89%} [90%] (84%)
  • Joe Biden 5% {8%} [6%] (12%)
Independent
  • Joe Biden 53% {59%} [45%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump 35% {34%} [45%] (33%)
Men
  • Donald Trump 48% {49%} [56%] (47%)
  • Joe Biden 45% {48%} [37%] (45%)
Women
  • Joe Biden 54% {61%} [59%] (60%)
  • Donald Trump 42% {35%} [35%] (34%)

White, College

  • Joe Biden 56% {57%} [58%] (61%)
  • Donald Trump 40% {38%} [40%] (34%)

White, No Degree

  • Donald Trump 58% {53%} [57%] (55%)
  • Joe Biden 37% {44%} [35%] (39%)
Survey of 502 registered voters was conducted October 28 - November 1, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 4, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 28-31, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 9-13, 2020 are in parentheses.

Sunday, November 01, 2020

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Survey

New York Times/Siena College Wisconsin 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

  • Joe Biden 52% {51%} [48%] (49%)
  • Donald Trump 41% {41%} [43%] (38%)
Democrat
  • Joe Biden 97% {97%} [94%] (96%)
  • Donald Trump 2% {2%} [3%] (1%)
Republican
  • Donald Trump 94% {91%} [90%] (86%)
  • Joe Biden 4% {6%} [7%] (6%)
Independent
  • Joe Biden 59% {52%} [49%] (43%)
  • Donald Trump 29% {34%} [35%] (36%)
Men
  • Joe Biden 47% {50%} [44%] (43%)
  • Donald Trump 45% {43%} [46%] (43%)
Women
  • Joe Biden 56% {58%} [52%] (56%)
  • Donald Trump 37% {34%} [39%] (33%)

Whites with BA+

  • Joe Biden 62% {62%} [60%]
  • Donald Trump 34% {30%} [35%]

Whites without BA+

  • Donald Trump 47% {50%} [50%]
  • Joe Biden 45% {44%} [39%]
Survey of 1,253 likely voters was conducted October 26-30, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 8-11, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 8-10, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-15, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Survey

New York Times/Siena College Pennsylvania 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

  • Joe Biden 49% {49%} [49%] (48%)
  • Donald Trump 43% {42%} [40%] (41%)
Democrat
  • Joe Biden 90% {91%} [92%] (93%)
  • Donald Trump 6% {5%} [5%] (4%)
Republican
  • Donald Trump 89% {84%} [85%] (84%)
  • Joe Biden 8% {11%} [10%] (11%)
Independent
  • Joe Biden 48% {47%} [44%] (51%)
  • Donald Trump 36% {34%} [34%] (33%)
Men
  • Donald Trump 47% {46%} [49%] (45%)
  • Joe Biden 44% {44%} [41%] (42%)
Women
  • Joe Biden 54% {54%} [58%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump 40% {39%} [32%] (37%)

Whites with BA+

  • Joe Biden 58% {60%} [59%]
  • Donald Trump 36% {31%} [33%]

Whites without BA+

  • Donald Trump 56% {58%} [52%]
  • Joe Biden 39% {34%} [39%]
Survey of 1,862 likely voters was conducted October 26-31, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 2, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-16, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Florida 2020 Presidential Survey

New York Times/Siena College Florida 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

  • Joe Biden 47% [47%] (47%)
  • Donald Trump 44% [42%] (41%)
Democrat
  • Joe Biden 91% [93%] (92%)
  • Donald Trump 4% [3%] (4%)
Republican
  • Donald Trump 90% [87%] (87%)
  • Joe Biden 8% [11%] (5%)
Independent
  • Joe Biden 47% [45%] (48%)
  • Donald Trump 37% [33%] (30%)
Men
  • Donald Trump 47% [47%] (47%)
  • Joe Biden 45% [42%] (41%)
Women
  • Joe Biden 50% [52%] (52%)
  • Donald Trump 41% [38%] (37%)

Whites with BA+

  • Joe Biden 49% [45%]
  • Donald Trump 45% [42%]

Whites without BA+

  • Donald Trump 59% [60%]
  • Joe Biden 35% [33%]

Hispanic

  • Joe Biden 55% [58%] (52%)
  • Donald Trump 33% [34%] (29%)

Black

  • Joe Biden 78% [75%] (85%)
  • Donald Trump 11% [5%] (5%)
Survey of 1,451 likely voters was conducted October 27-31, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 1, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-18, 2020 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: New York Times/Siena College Arizona 2020 Presidential Survey

New York Times/Siena College Arizona 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

  • Joe Biden 49% {49%} [49%] (48%)
  • Donald Trump 43% {41%} [40%] (41%)
Democrat
  • Joe Biden 96% {95%} [94%] (93%)
  • Donald Trump 2% {3%} [3%] (4%)
Republican
  • Donald Trump 91% {90%} [89%] (84%)
  • Joe Biden 5% {6%} [8%] (11%)
Independent
  • Joe Biden 52% {53%} [54%] (51%)
  • Donald Trump 34% {28%} [23%] (33%)
Men
  • Donald Trump 49% {46%} [43%] (45%)
  • Joe Biden 41% {44%} [45%] (42%)
Women
  • Joe Biden 56% {55%} [54%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump 38% {37%} [37%] (37%)

Whites with BA+

  • Joe Biden 54% {46%} [55%]
  • Donald Trump 39% {45%} [40%]

Whites without BA+

  • Donald Trump 58% {51%} [50%]
  • Joe Biden 36% {41%} [39%]

Hispanic

  • Joe Biden 66% {65%} [57%] (66%)
  • Donald Trump 26% {27%} [26%] (26%)
Survey of 1,252 likely voters was conducted October 26-30, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 1-3, 2020 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-16, 2020 are in parentheses.

Monday, October 26, 2020

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Georgia 2020 Presidential Survey

CBS News/YouGov Georgia 2020 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

  • Joe Biden 49% [46%] (46%)
  • Donald Trump 49% [47%] (45%)
Democrat
  • Joe Biden 97% [96%] (94%)
  • Donald Trump 2% [0%] (1%)
Republican
  • Donald Trump 95% [93%] (92%)
  • Joe Biden 4% [4%] (3%)
Independent
  • Donald Trump 52% [45%] (43%)
  • Joe Biden 42% [38%] (39%)
Men
  • Donald Trump 53% [53%] (49%)
  • Joe Biden 44% [41%] (41%)
Women
  • Joe Biden 53% [51%] (50%)
  • Donald Trump 46% [42%] (43%)
Liberal
  • Joe Biden 93% [87%] (87%)
  • Donald Trump 5% [8%] (7%)
Moderate
  • Joe Biden 64% [59%] (60%)
  • Donald Trump 34% [28%] (27%)
Conservative
  • Donald Trump 86% [87%] (84%)
  • Joe Biden 12% [9%] (10%)
Age 18-29
  • Joe Biden 60% [64%] (61%)
  • Donald Trump 39% [28%] (23%)
Age 30-44
  • Joe Biden 55% [48%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump 41% [40%] (34%)
Age 45-64
  • Donald Trump 52% [53%] (50%)
  • Joe Biden 47% [42%] (42%)
Age 65+
  • Donald Trump 59% [55%] (58%)
  • Joe Biden 40% [40%] (38%)
White, College
  • Donald Trump 57% [54%]
  • Joe Biden 41% [39%]

White, No Degree

  • Donald Trump 76% [74%]
  • Joe Biden 22% [21%]
Black
  • Joe Biden 85% [83%] (85%)
  • Donald Trump 13% [8%] (7%)
Survey of 1,090 likely voters, including leaners, was conducted October 20-23, 2020. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2020 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 28-31, 2020 are in parentheses.