Thursday, August 27, 2015

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%) {45%} [46%] [50%]
  • Marco Rubio (R) 43% (41%) {43%} [41%] [34%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [41%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (46%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%}
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40% [42%] (37%) {39%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (39%) {40%}
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [48%] (50%)
    • Donald Trump (R) 41% [36%] (32%)
    If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Jeb Bush the Republican, and Donald Trump running as an independent, for whom would you vote? 
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
    • Jeb Bush (R) 24%
    • Donald Trump (I) 24%
    National survey of 1,563 registered voters was conducted August 20-25, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 34% [30%] (31%) {32%} [29%] (30%) {31%} [29%] (31%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 29% [26%] (23%) {25%} [32%] (31%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {27%} [25%] Republican; 26% [34%] (36%) {34%} [28%] (27%) {35%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [31%] (35%) {33%} [34%] Independent; 10% [10%] (10%) {9%} [11%] (12%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [7%] Other/Don't know. Race: 74% [75%] (72%) {73%} [73%] (74%) {73%} [74%] (74%) {72%} [72%] White; 11% [11%] (12%) {12%} [13%] (12%) {13%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; 7% [7%] (8%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [8%] Hispanic; 9% [7%] (8%) {8%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] Other. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 6-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 8, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 4, 2013 are in square brackets.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

    • Hillary Clinton 45% (55%) {57%} [60%] (56%) {57%} [58%] (65%) {66%} [61%] (65%)
    • Bernie Sanders 22% (17%) {15%} [8%] (4%) {4%}
    • Joe Biden 18% (13%) {9%} [10%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {8%} [11%] (13%) 
    • Martin O'Malley 1% (1%) {1%} [3%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
    • Jim Webb 1% (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {1%}
    • Lincoln Chafee 0% (0%) {1%} [0%] 
    • Don't know 11% (11%) {14%} [14%] (14%) {14%} [15%] (13%) {12%} [15%] (14%)
    National survey of 647 registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted August 20-25, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 25-29, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

    Quinnipiac 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
    • Donald Trump 28% (20%) {5%}
    • Ben Carson 12% (6%) {10%} [3%] (7%) {9%}
    • Jeb Bush 7% (10%) {10%} [13%] (16%) {14%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
    • Ted Cruz 7% (5%) {6%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [8%] (9%) {13%} [10%]
    • Marco Rubio 7% (6%) {10%} [15%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [12%] (19%)
    • Scott Walker 6% (13%) {10%} [11%] (18%) {6%} [8%] (6%) {5%} [4%] (2%) 
    • John Kasich 5% (5%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%}
    • Carly Fiorina 5% (1%) {2%} [1%] 
    • Chris Christie 4% (3%) {4%} [7%] (8%) {11%} [10%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (14%)
    • Mike Huckabee 3% (6%) {10%} [7%] (8%) {7%} [10%]
    • Rand Paul 2% (6%) {7%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [11%] (13%) {14%} [17%] (15%) 
    • Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {0%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%]
    • Rick Perry 1% (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) {3%} [3%]   
    • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%)
    • Bobby Jindal 0% (2%) {1%} [1%] (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
    • George Pataki 0% (1%) {0%}
    • Lindsey Graham 0% (1%) {1%} [2%] (1%)
    • Don't know 11% (12%) {20%} [14%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (18%)
    Survey of 666 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted August 20-25, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-21, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26 - April 1, 2013 are in parentheses.

    Wednesday, August 26, 2015

    Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

    PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll
    • John Kasich (R) 43%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
    • Donald Trump (R) 44%
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
    • Carly Fiorina (R) 42%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (49%) {49%} [49%]
                • Jeb Bush (R) 39% (36%) {38%} [40%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (51%) {43%} [43%]
                • Chris Christie (R) 38% (36%) {39%} [39%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (50%) (52%)
                • Marco Rubio (R) 39% (38%) (38%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (49%)
                • Scott Walker (R) 39% (40%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (51%)
                • Ben Carson (R) 40% (38%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (49%) {50%} [51%] (52%)
                • Rand Paul (R) 37% (40%) {37%} [41%] (41%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (52%) {51%} [50%]
                • Ted Cruz (R) 38% (37%) {32%} [38%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (51%)
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 36% (38%)
                If the candidates for President next time were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Jeb Bush, and Donald Trump running as an independent who would you vote for?
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
                • Donald Trump (I) 28%
                • Jeb Bush (R) 22%
                Survey of 841 New Hampshire voters was conducted August 21-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 31% (30%) {27%} [30%] (29%) Republican; 31% (28%) {28%} [31%] (32%) Democrat; 38% (43%) {44%} [39%] (39%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% (32%) {34%} [33%] (31%) Moderate; 22% (20%) {25%} [21%] (23%) Somewhat conservative; 21% (21%) {18%} [19%] (18%) Somewhat liberal; 14% (12%) {13%} [15%] (15%) Very conservative; 12% (15%) {10%} [12%] (13%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 9-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                • Hillary Clinton 50% [59%] (62%) {70%} [77%] (63%)
                • Bernie Sanders 24% [4%] 
                • Lincoln Chafee 2%
                • Martin O'Malley 2% [2%] (2%)
                • Jim Webb 2% [3%] (2%)
                • Some other candidate 10% [5%]
                • Undecided 10% [9%]
                Survey of 536 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted August 23-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 7-8, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 16-17, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2013 are in parentheses.

                Tuesday, August 25, 2015

                Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) 2016 National Presidential Survey

                Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) 2016 National Presidential Poll
                • Donald Trump (R) 54%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
                • Ben Carson (R) 52%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                • John Kasich (R) 52%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                • Jeb Bush (R) 51%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
                • Chris Christie (R) 50%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
                • Carly Fiorina (R) 50%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
                • Rand Paul (R) 50%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
                • Marco Rubio (R) 50%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                • Ted Cruz (R) 49%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                • Mike Huckabee (R) 49%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                • Rick Perry (R) 49%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
                • Rick Santorum (R) 49%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
                • Bobby Jindal (R) 48%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
                • George Pataki (R) 48%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
                • Scott Walker (R) 48%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
                • Lindsey Graham (R) 46%
                National survey of 3,567 registered voters was conducted August 21-22, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 32% Republican; 29% Independent/Other.

                Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
                • Hillary Clinton 53.7% [54.9%] (55%)
                • Bernie Sanders 21.0% [18.4%] (13%)
                • Joe Biden 13.4% [8.0%] (14%)
                • Elizabeth Warren 7.1% [9.0%] (9%) 
                • Jim Webb 2.1% [5.1%] (5%)
                • Martin O'Malley 2.1% [2.8%] (2%)
                • Lincoln Chafee 0.7% [1.8%] (2%)
                Survey of registered Democratic voters was conducted August 21-22, 2015. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 1-2, 2015 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                • Donald Trump 40.1% [30.8%] (15%)
                • Ben Carson 13.0% [6.1%] (10%)
                • Jeb Bush 10.0% [13.3%] (22%)
                • Ted Cruz 7.0% [5.6%] (5%) 
                • Carly Fiorina 5.2% [1.9%] (3%)
                • John Kasich 4.8% [5.1%]
                • Marco Rubio 4.7% [5.4%] (8%)
                • Mike Huckabee 3.7% [5.6%] (10%)
                • Scott Walker 3.5% [12.5%] (8%)
                • Rick Perry 1.5% [3.0%] (4%) 
                • Rand Paul 1.5% [4.4%] (4%) 
                • Chris Christie 1.4% [3.4%] (5%) 
                • George Pataki 1.1% [0.2%] (1%)
                • Rick Santorum 1.0% [1.6%] (1%)
                • Bobby Jindal 0.9% [0.6%] (2%) 
                • Lindsey Graham 0.6% [0.7%] (2%)
                National survey of registered Republican voters was conducted August 21-22, 2015. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 1-2, 2015 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

                Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
                • Hillary Clinton 53.8% [66.49%] (62.96%)
                • Bernie Sanders 19.8%
                • Joe Biden 11.2% [7.85%] (9.63%)
                • Martin O'Malley 4.4% [2.09%] 
                • Jim Webb 0.6%
                • Lincoln Chafee 0.4%
                • Undecided 9.4% [7.85%] (11.85%)
                Survey of 500 likely Iowa Democratic caucus voters was conducted August 20-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted August 23-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Roanoke College Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

                • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
                • Jeb Bush (R) 40%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
                • Marco Rubio (R) 40%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
                • Scott Walker (R) 38%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
                • Donald Trump (R) 32%
                Survey of 535 registered voters was conducted August 10-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.24 percentage points.  Click here to view topline results.

                Poll Watch: Monmouth University South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                Monmouth University South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                • Donald Trump 30%
                • Ben Carson 15%
                • Jeb Bush 9%
                • Carly Fiorina 6%
                • Marco Rubio 6%
                • Ted Cruz 5%
                • Lindsey Graham 4%
                • Scott Walker 4%
                • Mike Huckabee 3%
                • John Kasich 3%
                • Rand Paul 3%
                • Chris Christie 2%
                • Rick Santorum 1%
                • Bobby Jindal 0% 
                • George Pataki 0%
                • Rick Perry 0%
                • Jim Gilmore 0%
                • Undecided (vol.) 11%
                Survey of 453 likely GOP primary voters was conducted August 20-23, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.

                Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
                • Bernie Sanders 42% (12%) 
                • Hillary Clinton 35% (45%) {65%} [57%] (68%) {60%} [55%] (52%)
                • Jim Webb 6% (1%)
                • Martin O'Malley 4% (3%) {1%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [1%] 
                • Lincoln Chafee 2% (1%)
                • Lawrence Lessig 1%
                • Not sure 10% (9%) {9%} [11%] (9%) {15%} [17%] (16%)
                Survey of 370 usual Democratic primary voters was conducted August 21-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points. Party ID: 65% (62%) {64%} [68%] (70%) {66%} [66%] Democrat; 3% (2%) {1%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [2%] Republican; 33% (36%) {35%} [30%] (27%) {33%} [32%] Independent/Other.  Ideology: 39% (36%) {31%} [34%] (33%) {35%} [34%] Somewhat liberal; 30% (28%) {36%} [34%] (34%) {34%} [39%] Moderate; 24% (30%) {20%} [26%] (26%) {19%} [19%] Very liberal; 5% (4%) {9%} [4%] (5%) {9%} [6%] Somewhat conservative; 2% (1%) {4%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [1%] Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted April 9-13, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in parentheses.

                Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                PPP (D) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                • Donald Trump 35%
                • John Kasich 11%
                • Carly Fiorina 10%
                • Jeb Bush 7% [10%] (15%) {12%}
                • Scott Walker 7% [24%] {3%} 
                • Ben Carson 6% [7%] (15%)
                • Chris Christie 4% [8%] (11%) {24%}
                • Ted Cruz 4% [14%] (10%) {9%}
                • Marco Rubio 4% [8%] (7%) {8%}
                • Rand Paul 3% [12%] (10%) {12%}
                • Rick Perry 2% [4%] (3%) 
                • Lindsey Graham 1%
                • George Pataki 1%
                • Rick Santorum 1%
                • Jim Gilmore 0%
                • Mike Huckabee 0% [7%] (11%) {11%}
                • Bobby Jindal 0% {3%} 
                • Undecided 4% [7%] (11%) {13%} 
                Survey of 436 usual Republican primary voters was conducted August 21-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Party ID: 58% [62%] (61%) Republican; 40% [38%] (38%) Independent/Other; 3% [0%] (2%) Democrat.  Political ideology: 38% [39%] (40%) Somewhat conservative; 29% [31%] (26%) Moderate; 26% [22%] (25%) Very conservative; 5% [6%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [3%] (2%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 9-13, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 1-3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets.