Thursday, May 26, 2016

Poll Watch: Civitas (R) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

If the election for President were being held today and you had to make a choice, for whom would you vote between Donald Trump, the Republican, Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, or Gary Johnson, the Libertarian?
  • Donald Trump (R) 40.5%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38.2%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 8.2%
  • Undecided 9.5%
Survey of 600 likely North Carolina voters was conducted May 21-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% [42%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (38%)
  • Some other candidate 14% [13%] (15%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
  • Undecided 7% [7%] (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted May 23-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 17-18, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
Clinton earns 77% of the Democratic vote, while 72% of Republicans favor Trump. Each candidate draws 12% support from voters in the opposing party. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Trump leads 34% to 30%, but 37% prefer someone else or are undecided.
Clinton posts a 16-point advantage among women, but Trump leads by 12 points among men.
Those under 40 have been a key element of the Democratic base vote in recent elections, but these voters are closely divided given a hypothetical Clinton-Trump contest.
Clinton continues to benefit from overwhelming support among blacks. Trump leads among whites but trails among other minority voters.

Poll Watch: PPIC California 2016 Presidential Survey

PPIC California 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% 
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 61%
  • Donald Trump (R) 30%
Survey of 996 likely voters was conducted May 13-22, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson University New Jersey 2016 Presidential Survey

FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Donald Trump (R) 37%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
  • Donald Trump (R) 26% 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 43% / 52% {-9%}
  • Donald Trump 33% / 62% {-29%}
Survey of 702 registered voters was conducted May 18-22, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 48% Democrat; 35% Republican; 17% Independent/Don't know/Refused.

Wednesday, May 25, 2016

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

If the candidates for President this fall were Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein, who would you vote for?
  • Donald Trump (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 3%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2%
  • Not sure 11%
If the candidates for President this fall were just Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
  • Donald Trump (R) 47% {42%} [44%] (45%) {47%} [48%] (47%) {45%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {44%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [47%]
Survey of 928 registered North Carolina voters was conducted May 20-22, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 5-7, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 23-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 12-16, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in square brackets.

Monday, May 23, 2016

Poll Watch: Roanoke College Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {52%} [50%] (43%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% {35%} [36%] (32%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 30% / 50% {-20%}
  • Donald Trump 23% / 56% {-33%}
Survey of 610 likely voters was conducted May 9-17, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.Results from the poll conducted January 18-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 9-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 10-20, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Donald Trump (R) 42%
  • Unsure 12%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 40% / 52% {-12%}
  • Donald Trump 38% / 54% {-16%}
Survey of 2,542 registered voters was conducted May 17-18, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Democrat; 35% Republican; 28% Independent/Other.