Friday, February 12, 2016

Poll Watch: Opinion Savvy (R) South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Opinion Savvy (R) South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 36% [32%] (28.3%)
  • Ted Cruz 19% [18%] (21.1%)
  • Marco Rubio 15% [11%] (11.6%)
  • Jeb Bush 11% [13%] (9.6%)
  • John Kasich 9% [3%] (1.4%)
  • Ben Carson 5% [9%] (9.5%)
Survey of 779 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 10-11, 2016 for the Morris News Service, The Augusta Chronicle, and Fox 5 Atlanta. Results from the poll conducted January 15, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16, 2015 are in parentheses.

Monday, February 08, 2016

Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Tracking Survey

  • Bernie Sanders 53% (53%) {53%} [53%] (54%) {54%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton 44% (41%) {42%} [41%] (38%) {38%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (46%)
  • Undecided 3% (6%) {5%} [6%] (8%) {8%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
Among Democrats
  • Bernie Sanders 49% (50%) {50%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton 49% (46%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [48%]
  • Undecided 2% (5%) {4%} [5%] (7%) {8%} [4%]
Among Independents
  • Bernie Sanders 60% (59%) {59%} [60%] (61%)  {61%} [59%]
  • Hillary Clinton 35% (35%) {35%} [34%] (32%) {31%} [33%]
  • Undecided 5% (6%) {5%} [6%] (7%) {7%} [5%]
Among Definite Voters
  • Bernie Sanders 53% (53%) {53%} [52%] (52%) {52%} [47%]
  • Hillary Clinton 44% (42%) {43%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [46%]
  • Undecided 3% (5%) {4%} [5%] (7%) {6%} [3%]
Survey of 409 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 7-8, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID: 64% (61%) {63%} [64%] (64%) {64%} [65%] Democrat; 36% (39%) {37%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [35%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted February 6-7, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 3-4, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 23-25, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 7-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 20-22, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Poll
  • Donald Trump 33% (30%) {31%} [34%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (31%) {27%} [25%] (21%)
  • John Kasich 17% (16%) {17%} [17%] (14%) {13%} [16%] (17%) {20%} [14%] (13%)
  • Marco Rubio 14% (16%) {17%} [16%] (15%) {14%} [11%] (9%) {10%} [14%] (15%)
  • Ted Cruz 10% (10%) {9%} [9%] (12%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {9%} [9%] (10%)
  • Jeb Bush 9% (9%) {9%} [8%] (8%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
  • Chris Christie 8% (6%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (12%)
  • Carly Fiorina 3% (3%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (5%)
  • Ben Carson 1% (1%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (6%)
  • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Undecided 6% (9%) {8%} [6%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (5%)
Among Republicans
  • Donald Trump 32% (29%) {29%} [33%] (34%) {33%} [32%]
  • John Kasich 15% (15%) {16%} [16%] (12%) {11%} [12%]
  • Marco Rubio 13% (17%) {19%} [18%] (16%) {15%} [13%]
  • Jeb Bush 12% (11%) {11%} [9%] (9%) {11%} [11%]
  • Ted Cruz 10% (9%) {9%} [8%] (12%) {14%} [11%]
  • Chris Christie 9% (8%) {6%} [6%] (7%) {7%} [8%]
  • Carly Fiorina 4% (3%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [3%]
  • Ben Carson 1% (1%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%]
  • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%]
  • Undecided 6% (8%) {8%} [7%] (6%) {7%} [4%]
Among Independents
  • Donald Trump 34% (34%) {35%} [36%] (38%) {37%} [37%]
  • John Kasich 20% (19%) {19%} [19%] (18%) {18%} [23%]
  • Marco Rubio 16% (15%) {15%} [14%] (13%) {13%} [7%]
  • Ted Cruz 10% (11%) {11%} [12%] (12%) {10%} [9%]
  • Jeb Bush 7% (7%) {7%} [7%] (6%) {5%} [5%]
  • Chris Christie 6% (5%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [4%]
  • Carly Fiorina 3% (3%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%]
  • Ben Carson 2% (2%) {1%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [2%]
  • Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%]
  • Undecided 6% (7%) {8%} [6%] (6%) {8%} [9%]
Survey of 418 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 7-8, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID: 59% (61%) {62%} [61%] (61%) {63%} [60%] Republican; 41% (39%) {38%} [39%] (39%) {37%} [40%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted February 6-7, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 3-4, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 23-25, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 7-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 20-22, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 28% (29%) {35%} [29%] (31.5%) {32%} [12%] 
  • John Kasich 17% (13%) {15%} [5%] (10.0%) {15%}
  • Marco Rubio 15% (19%) {9%} [10%] (8.3%) {3%} [9%] (11%) {7%} [8%] (8%)
  • Jeb Bush 14% (8%) {7%} [8%] (7.5%) {7%} [21%] (18%) {18%} [16%] (16%
  • Ted Cruz 11% (15%) {10%} [12%] (5.3%) {3%} [4%] (10%) {6%} [6%] (12%)
  • Chris Christie 6% (6%) {8%} [8%] (2.9%) {9%} [4%] (5%) {10%} [12%] (15%)
  • Carly Fiorina 5% (4%) {5%} [4%] (8.2%) {2%} [5%] (3%) {4%} 
  • Ben Carson 3% (4%) {1%} [7%] (12.5%) {8%} [5%] (4%) {6%}
Survey of 705 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 7, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 11, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 5-6, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 31 - August 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 2-3, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 21-22, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 18-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-30, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Emerson College New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Survey

Emerson College New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 30.8% (35%)
  • Jeb Bush 15.5% (18%)
  • John Kasich 13.3% (14%)
  • Marco Rubio 11.9% (9%)
  • Ted Cruz 11.4% (8%)
  • Carly Fiorina 6.6% (3%)
  • Chris Christie 5.9% (5%)
  • Ben Carson 2.9% (3%)
  • Jim Gilmore 0.7%
Survey of 686 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 4-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 25-26, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Tracking Survey

CNN/UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Poll
  • Donald Trump 31% [33%] (28%) {29%} [29%] (30%) {34%} [32%] (26%) {24%} [11%] (5%) {2%}
  • Marco Rubio 17% [16%] (17%) {18%} [11%] (11%) {10%} [14%] (9%) {3%} [6%] (12%) {5%} [3%] (8%) {2%} [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Ted Cruz 14% [14%] (13%) {13%} [12%] (12%) {14%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [6%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • John Kasich 10% [11%] (13%) {12%} [10%] (9%) {6%} [7%] (7%) {6%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [0%] (0%)
  • Jeb Bush 7% [7%] (9%) {10%} [9%] (6%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {12%} [16%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (11%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Carly Fiorina 5% [6%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [5%] (16%) {1%} [6%] (4%) {0%}
  • Chris Christie 4% [4%] (4%) {4%} [9%] (8%) {6%} [9%] (5%) {7%} [5%] (3%) {9%} [12%] (19%) {12%} [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Ben Carson 3% [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [5%] (8%) {5%} [5%] (4%) {8%} 
  • Jim Gilmore 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
Survey of 362 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 4-8, 2016 by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center.  The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 3-6, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 (FULL) are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 (EARLY) are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29 - February 1, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27-30, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 13-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 7, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 22-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24 - May 3, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 22 - February 3, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19 - July 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 1-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UMass Lowell/7News New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Tracking Survey

  • Marco Rubio (R) 44% {45%} [43%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {40%} [42%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [46%] (44%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% {39%} [39%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [46%] (44%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 40% {39%} [39%] (41%) 

  • Bernie Sanders (D) 54% {55%} [54%] (51%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 34% {35%} [35%] (37%)
  • Bernie Sanders (D) 55% {55%} [54%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 34% {33%} [34%] (35%)
  • Bernie Sanders (D) 56% {57%} [57%] (54%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 31% {30%} [30%] (33%)
Survey of 1,411 registered voters was conducted February 5-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.99 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 4-6, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 3-5, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UMass Lowell/7News New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Tracking Survey

UMass Lowell/7News New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Tracking Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 56% (57%) {55%} [55%] (58%) {61%} [63%] (61%)
  • Hillary Clinton 40% (40%) {41%} [40%] (36%) {32%} [30%] (30%)
Survey of 407 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 5-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.52 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 4-6, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 3-5, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 1, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UMass Lowell/7News New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Tracking Survey

UMass Lowell/7News New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Poll
  • Donald Trump 34% (36%) {35%} [34%] (36%) {38%} [38%] (38%)
  • Ted Cruz 13% (13%) {13%} [14%] (14%) {14%} [14%] (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 13% (14%) {14%} [15%] (15%) {12%} [10%] (8%)
  • Jeb Bush 10% (10%) {10%} [8%] (8%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
  • John Kasich 10% (9%) {10%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [9%] (9%)
  • Chris Christie 5% (4%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {6%} [5%] (7%)
  • Carly Fiorina 4% (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%)
  • Ben Carson 3% (3%) {3%} [4%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
Survey of 464 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 5-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.13 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 4-6, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 3-5, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 1, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Bernie Sanders 50.8% {56.8%} [54.7%] (48.1%) {48.1%}
  • Hillary Clinton 44.4% {36.8%} [38.8%] (45.9%) {38.1%}
  • Someone else 1.1% {0.9%} [1.6%] (1.3%) {5.0%}
  • Unsure 3.7% {3.1%} [3.0%] (2.8%) {5.2%}
Survey of 407 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 2-6, 2016 by RKM Research and Communications.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted January 26-30, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-24, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 13-17, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Sunday, February 07, 2016

Poll Watch: Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Boston Herald/Franklin Pierce University New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Donald Trump 31.0% {37.6%} [33.0%] (26%) {28%} [18%]
  • Ted Cruz 15.5% {12.7%} [14.1%] (12%) {5%} [10%] (9%)
  • Marco Rubio 15.1% {9.7%} [8.2%] (12%) {6%} [4%] (4%)
  • John Kasich 10.6% {8.2%} [11.8%] (8%) {6%} [12%] (1%)
  • Jeb Bush 9.7% {9.5%} [9.2%] (10%) {9%} [13%] (15%)
  • Chris Christie 5.1% {4.9%} [7.4%] (11%) {3%} [3%] (10%) 
  • Carly Fiorina 4.0% {5.3%} [4.5%] (6%) {10%} [9%] (0%)
  • Ben Carson 3.1% {2.5%} [3.5%] (5%) {16%} [4%] (4%)
  • Other 2.9% {1.7%} [1.4%] (1%) {2%} [3%] (5%)
  • Unsure 3.0% {2.1%} [2.9%] (5%) {7%} [9%] (10%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Marco Rubio 66% {59%} [56%] (65%) {59%} [62%] (55%) / 30% {32%} [37%] (26%) {19%} [21%] (15%) {+36%}
  • Carly Fiorina 62% {57%} [54%] (56%) {60%} [55%] (25%) / 26% {28%} [29%] (31%) {18%} [12%] (9%) {+36%}
  • Ben Carson 58% {59%} [55%] (56%) {69%} [55%] (35%) / 32% {31%} [34%] (36%) {14%} [13%] (11%) {+26%}
  • Chris Christie 57% {47%} [51%] (64%) {46%} [49%] (43%) / 38% {43%} [43%] (30%) {39%} [41%] (46%) {+19%}
  • John Kasich 51% {46%} [51%] (43%) {46%} [50%] (24%) / 34% {36%} [30%] (39%) {22%} [16%] (7%) {+17%}
  • Donald Trump 55% {56%} [58%] (55%) {55%} [46%] / 42% {39%} [39%] (41%) {42%} [46%] {+13%}
  • Ted Cruz 58% {57%} [54%] (57%) {45%} [47%] (55%) / 46% {39%} [39%] (33%) {29%} [29%] (22%) {+12%}
  • Jeb Bush 49% {48%} [51%] (53%) {57%} [62%] (53%) / 46% {47%} [44%] (42%) {37%} [31%] (37%) {+3%}
Survey of 433 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 2-6, 2016 by RKM Research and Communications.  The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted January 26-30, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-24, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 13-17, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 22-25, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Tracking Survey

  • Bernie Sanders 53% {53%} [53%] (54%) {54%} [49%] (49%) {49%} [47%] (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton 41% {42%} [41%] (38%) {38%} [43%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (46%)
  • Undecided 6% {5%} [6%] (8%) {8%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
Among Democrats
  • Bernie Sanders 50% {50%} [50%] (51%) {50%} [44%]
  • Hillary Clinton 46% {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [48%]
  • Undecided 5% {4%} [5%] (7%) {8%} [4%]
Among Independents
  • Bernie Sanders 59% {59%} [60%] (61%)  {61%} [59%]
  • Hillary Clinton 35% {35%} [34%] (32%) {31%} [33%]
  • Undecided 6% {5%} [6%] (7%) {7%} [5%]
Among Definite Voters
  • Bernie Sanders 53% {53%} [52%] (52%) {52%} [47%]
  • Hillary Clinton 42% {43%} [43%] (41%) {42%} [46%]
  • Undecided 5% {4%} [5%] (7%) {6%} [3%]
Survey of 408 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted February 6-7, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID: 61% {63%} [64%] (64%) {64%} [65%] Democrat; 39% {37%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [35%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 3-4, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 23-25, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 7-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 20-22, 2015 are in parentheses.