Wednesday, October 29, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Nathan Deal (R) 49% (49%) {45%} [44%] (41%)
  • Jason Carter (D) 43% (43%) {44%} [45%] (48%) 
  • Some other candidate 2% (2%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
  • Undecided 6% (6%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
Survey of 977 likely voters was conducted October 25-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 15-16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-24, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 21-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll
  • David Perdue (R) 46% (46%) {46%} [46%] (42%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 46% (42%) {41%} [40%] (45%)
  • Some other candidate 3% (3%) {4%} [4%] (7%)
  • Undecided 5% (9%) {9%} [10%] (6%)
Survey of 977 likely voters was conducted October 25-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 30 - October 1, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 15-16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-24, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 21-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Rick Snyder (R) 45% (47%) {45%} [43%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (44%)
  • Mark Schauer (D) 43% (39%) {39%} [45%] (43%) {38%} [39%] (36%)
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2014 for the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ-TV. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 17-19, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 25-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 22-25, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 5-11, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
  • Gary Peters (D) 50% (45%) {42%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [38%] (38%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 35% (34%) {33%} [39%] (36%) {38%} [41%] (37%)
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2014 for the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ-TV. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 17-19, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 25-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 22-25, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 5-11, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Scott Walker (R) 49.9% {47.0%} [50.5%] (49.4%) {46.5%} [46.3%] (47.9%) {48%} [47%] (47%) 
  • Mary Burke (D) 42.7% {47.0%} [44.7%] (45.8%) {48.6%} [46.8%] (45.2%) {41%} [41%] (45%) 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Scott Walker 51.4% {49.8%} [52.1%] (52.4%) / 46.5% {48.3%} [45.8%] (45.8%) {+4.9%}
  • Mary Burke 39.1% {43.7%} [39.6%] (40.9%) / 49.0% {44.3%} [44.2%] (39.2%) {-9.9%}
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Walker is handling his job as Governor of Wisconsin?
  • Approve 52.0% {49.8%} [51.5%] (51.5%)
  • Disapprove 45.6% {48.5%} [47.0%] (47.6%)
Survey of 1,164 likely voters was conducted October 23-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 9-12, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25-28, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 21-24, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-18, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll
  • Mike Rounds (R) 45% [44%] (51%)
  • Rick Weiland (D) 31% [29%] (31%)
  • Larry Pressler (I) 21% [18%]
  • Undecided 3% [7%] (11%)
Survey of 908 likely voters was conducted October 22-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 4-5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 25-26, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

  • Nathan Deal (R) 48%
  • Jason Carter (D) 42%
  • Andrew Hunt (L) 5%
  • Undecided 5% 
Among Men
  • Nathan Deal (R) 53%
  • Jason Carter (D) 37%
  • Andrew Hunt (L) 6%
  • Undecided 5%
Among Women
  • Jason Carter (D) 46%
  • Nathan Deal (R) 45%
  • Andrew Hunt (L) 4%
  • Undecided 6%
Survey of 436 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • David Perdue (R) 49%
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 41%
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 3%
  • Undecided 7%
Among Men
  • David Perdue (R) 52%
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 38%
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 4%
  • Undecided 6%
Among Women
  • David Perdue (R) 47%
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 43%
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 3%
  • Undecided 7%
Survey of 436 likely voters was conducted October 26-28, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Kansas 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Kansas 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Paul Davis (D) 46% {47%} [47%] (48%) {48%} [47%] (43%)
  • Sam Brownback (R) 43% {42%} [40%] (40%) {40%} [41%] (39%)
  • Keen Umbehr (L) 5% {4%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [5%]
  • Undecided 7% {7%} [7%] (6%) {7%} [7%] (6%) 
Survey of 623 likely and actual voters was conducted October 22-26, 2014 for KSN News Wichita.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 2-5, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-7, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 17-22, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 23-24, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Rick Snyder (R) 48.3% [48.0%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (46%) {47%} [47%] (43%) {46%} [49%]
  • Mark Schauer (D) 43.4% [45.7%] (44%) {46%} [42%] (41%) {46%} [42%] (39%) {41%} [37%]
Survey of 1,159 likely voters was conducted October 27, 2014 for Fox 2 News (WJBK-TV) in Detroit. The margin of error is +/- 2.88 percentage points.  Party ID: 42.0% [41.9%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (38%) {39%} [38%] Democrat; 38.0% [37.3%] (37%) {38%} [37%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (33%) {35%} [36%] Republican. Results from the poll conducted October 19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 6, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9, 2014 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Fox 2 Detroit/Mitchell Research (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
  • Gary Peters (D) 52.2% [51.1%] (50%) {48%} [49%] (43%) {46%} [45%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (33%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 38.1% [37.5%] (39%) {43%} [36%] (41%) {44%} [44%] (38%) {42%} [44%] (32%)
  • Jim Fulner (L) 3.2% [2.2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (3%)
  • Richard Matkin (UST) 0.8% [1.0%] (0.5%) {0.5%} [1%] (2%)
  • Chris Wahmhoff (G) 0.6% [1.2%] (1%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
  • Undecided 5.2% [7.0%] (8%) {6%} [9%] (9%) {10%} [11%] (19%) {14%} [18%] (35%)
Among Independents
  • Gary Peters (D) 59.1% [50.4%] (49%) {43%} [49%] (36%) {38%} [46%] (33%) {40%}
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 26.8% [31.2%] (26%) {37%} [23%] (40%) {44%} [41%] (34%) {35%}
Among Men
  • Gary Peters (D) 48.8% [49.3%] (49%) {47%} [49%] (44%) {43%} [44%] (44%) {44%}
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 42.2% [37.6%] (42%) {44%} [40%] (44%) {49%} [48%] (41%) {44%}
Among Women
  • Gary Peters (D) 55.3% [52.8%] (50%) {49%} [50%] (42%) {49%} [46%] (46%) {45%}
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 34.3% [37.5%] (36%) {42%} [33%] (37%) {40%} [41%] (32%) {40%}
Survey of 1,159 likely voters was conducted October 27, 2014 for Fox 2 News (WJBK-TV) in Detroit. The margin of error is +/- 2.88 percentage points.  Party ID: 42.0% [41.9%] (42%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {43%} [43%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (41%) Democrat; 38.0% [37.3%] (37%) {38%} [37%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (33%) {35%} [36%] (37%) Republican. Results from the poll conducted October 19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 14, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 27, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 7-17, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 6, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 19-21, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Connecticut 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

If the election for Governor were being held today, and the candidates were Dan Malloy the Democrat, Tom Foley the Republican, and Joe Visconti running as an independent, for whom would you vote?
  • Dan Malloy (D) 43% {43%} [43%] (40%)
  • Tom Foley (R) 43% {42%} [43%] (46%)
  • Joe Visconti (I) 7% {9%} [9%] (7%)
Recalculated matchup, with Visconti supporters asked for their second choice:
  • Tom Foley (R) 46% {45%} [46%] (49%) {43%} [42%] (43%)
  • Dan Malloy (D) 45% {45%} [46%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (40%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Tom Foley 43% {40%} [41%] (42%) {36%} [38%] (35%) / 43% {46%} [39%] (33%) {23%} [21%] (18%) {0%}
  • Dan Malloy 41% {42%} [41%] (40%) {46%} [46%] (46%) / 52% {50%} [51%] (53%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {-11%}
Survey of 838 likely voters was conducted October 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% {33%} [34%] (31%) {32%} [31%] (34%) Democrat; 25% {26%} [26%] (26%) {21%} [20%] (21%) Republican; 33% {34%} [35%] (38%) {42%} [42%] (40%) Independent; 5% {6%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [6%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 14-20, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-6, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 1-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 12-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

  • Bob Beauprez (R) 45% (44%) {46%} [40%] (44%) {39%}
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 40% (45%) {42%} [50%] (43%) {48%}
  • Matthew Hess (L) 4% (1%) {5%} [3%]
  • Harry Hempy (G) 2% (2%) {1%} [3%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Bob Beauprez 47% (45%) {45%} [49%] (31%) {27%} / 34% (39%) {36%} [31%] (25%) {20%} {+13%}
  • John Hickenlooper 46% (51%) {48%} [43%] (43%) {51%} / 46% (42%) {44%} [51%] (42%) {37%} {0%}
Survey of 844 likely voters was conducted October 22-27, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 32% (32%) {33%} [34%] (29%) {26%} Republican; 27% (29%) {29%} [27%] (27%) {28%} Democrat; 34% (32%) {32%} [33%] (37%) {37%} Independent; 7% (7%) {6%} [6%] (6%) {10%} Other. Results from the poll conducted October 15-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Joni Ernst (R) 49% {48%} [47%] (50%) {40%} [29%] (38%)
  • Bruce Braley (D) 45% {46%} [45%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (44%)
Among Men
  • Joni Ernst (R) 56% {55%} [56%] (56%) {44%} [33%] (44%)
  • Bruce Braley (D) 39% {38%} [38%] (39%) {40%} [40%] (39%)
Among Women
  • Bruce Braley (D) 50% {53%} [52%] (50%) {47%} [44%] (49%)
  • Joni Ernst (R) 42% {40%} [39%] (44%) {36%} [27%] (31%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Joni Ernst 45% {48%} [47%] (45%) {34%} [13%] / 43% {42%} [41%] (39%) {28%} [6%] {+2%}
  • Bruce Braley 40% {43%} [42%] (38%) {35%} [35%] / 43% {43%} [44%] (41%) {26%} [18%] {-3%}
Survey of 817 likely voters was conducted October 22-27, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 35% {31%} [29%] (28%) {27%} [25%] (28%) Republican; 31% {32%} [30%] (26%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Democrat; 30% {32%} [34%] (41%) {40%} [39%] (40%) Independent; 4% {6%} [7%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, October 28, 2014

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll
  • Mike Rounds (R) 43% {35%} [39%] (44%)
  • Rick Weiland (D) 32% {28%} [28%] (30%)
  • Larry Pressler (I) 19% {32%} [25%] (17%)
  • Gordon Howie (I) 2% {3%} [3%] (3%)
  • Undecided 4% {2%} [5%] (5%)
Survey of 611 likely voters was conducted October 21-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 1-5, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 3-7, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 6-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Kansas 2014 Senate Poll
  • Greg Orman (I) 44% [47%] (37%) {20%} [14%] (7%)
  • Pat Roberts (R) 42% [42%] (36%) {37%} [38%] (43%)
  • Randall Batson (L) 4% [4%] (6%) {4%} [4%] (5%)
  • Undecided 10% [7%] (11%) {6%} [10%] (12%)
Survey of 623 likely and actual voters was conducted October 22-26, 2014 for KSN News Wichita. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 47% [50%] (50%) {46%} [56%] (56%) Republican; 29% [29%] (30%) {32%} [26%] (28%) Democrat; 24% [20%] (18%) {18%} [18%] (16%) Independent. Ideology: 47% [44%] (42%) {39%} [38%] (40%) Moderate; 37% [39%] (38%) {38%} [42%] (39%) Conservative; 12% [16%] (14%) {14%} [17%] (14%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 2-5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-22, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll

If the 2014 election for U.S. Senate was held today, would you vote for Republican Bill Cassidy or Democrat Mary Landrieu or Republican Rob Maness?
  • Mary Landrieu (D) 43% (41%)
  • Bill Cassidy (R) 36% (38%)
  • Rob Maness (R) 13% (14%)
  • Some other candidate 3% (2%)
  • Undecided 6% (5%) 
If none of the candidates get more than 50% of the vote on November 4th, Louisiana will hold a runoff election on December 6, 2014 between the top two vote-getters. Suppose the candidates in that runoff are Republican Bill Cassidy and Democrat Mary Landrieu. For whom would you vote?
  • Bill Cassidy (R) 50% (52%) {44%} [43%] (44%)
  • Mary Landrieu (D) 46% (43%) {41%} [46%] (40%)
Survey of 988 likely voters was conducted October 22-23, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 13-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 2-3, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 8-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

  • Nathan Deal (R) 46% {45%} [46%] (46%) {44%} [45%] (48%) {44%} [43%] (41%)
  • Jason Carter (D) 44% {43%} [46%] (44%) {45%} [44%] (39%) {38%} [37%] (37%)
  • Andrew Hunt (L) 3% {4%} [4%] (4%) {4%} [4%] (4%) {7%} [7%] (9%)
Survey of 611 likely and actual voters was conducted October 24-27, 2014 for WXIA-TV Atlanta. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 17-20, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-13, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 2-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-22, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 8-12, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 24-27, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Colorado 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Bob Beauprez (R) 49% {46%} [45%] (44%)
  • John Hickenlooper (D) 47% {50%} [44%] (44%)
Survey of 966 likely voters was conducted October 21-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 29-30, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 3-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 25-26, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • David Perdue (R) 48% {44%} [45%] (46%) (46%) {47%} [50%] (43%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 45% {46%} [48%] (45%) (45%) {44%} [41%] (38%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 3% {4%} [3%] (3%) (4%) {5%} [3%] (6%)
  • Undecided 5% {7%} [4%] (6%) (6%) {4%} [6%] (14%)
Among Men
  • David Perdue (R) 50% {50%} [49%] (51%) (50%) {55%} [56%] (50%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 41% {41%} [46%] (40%) (40%) {36%} [37%] (33%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 4% {4%} [3%] (3%) (4%) {6%} [2%] (6%)
  • Undecided 5% {5%} [3%] (6%) (6%) {3%} [4%] (11%)
Among Women
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 48% {51%} [50%] (49%) (49%) {52%} [46%] (44%)
  • David Perdue (R) 46% {38%} [41%] (41%) (41%) {40%} [44%] (35%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 2% {3%} [3%] (4%) (4%) {3%} [3%] (5%)
  • Undecided 5% {8%} [5%] (5%) (6%) {4%} [7%] (16%)
Survey of 611 likely and actual voters was conducted October 24-27, 2014 for WXIA-TV Atlanta.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID: 40% {39%} [38%] (38%) (37%) {40%} [38%] (35%) Democrat; 39% {39%} [39%] (35%) (38%) {37%} [40%] (38%) Republican; 21% {22%} [22%] (25%) (23%) {23%} [21%] (25%) Independent.  Ideology: 42% {40%} [43%] (41%) (41%) {36%} [38%] (38%) Moderate; 37% {40%} [39%] (38%) (36%) {42%} [44%] (40%) Conservative; 15% {15%} [14%] (14%) (17%) {17%} [13%] (15%) Liberal.  Gender: 52% {52%} [51%] (52%) (50%) {51%} [48%] (47%) Female; 48% {48%} [49%] (48%) (50%) {49%} [52%] (53%) Male.  Race: 62% {63%} [61%] (62%) (63%) {62%} [63%] (65%) White; 31% {28%} [27%] (30%) (27%) {29%} [26%] (24%) Black. Results from the poll conducted October 17-20, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 10-13, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 2-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 19-22, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 5-8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Bruce Braley (D) 45.3% {42.1%} [45.3%] (41.7%)
  • Joni Ernst (R) 44.2% {42.4%} [40.5%] (48.0%)
  • Other candidate 2.3% {3.7%}
  • Undecided 8.2% {11.8%} [14.2%] (10.3%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Joni Ernst 42.6% {42.5%} [36.9%] (42.2%) / 41.7% {37.2%} [39.5%] (29.2%) {+0.9%}
  • Bruce Braley 39.2% {37.0%} [36.3%] (35.8%) / 40.0% {35.8%} [33.7%] (25.7%) {-0.8%}
Survey of 1,121 likely voters was conducted October 21-24, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 2.93 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 1-3, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 2-5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 4-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Glengariff Group Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Glengariff Group Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Rick Snyder (R) 45.2% {44.9%} [43.6%] (45.0%)
  • Mark Schauer (D) 39.5% {37.1%} [41.8%] (35.2%)
Survey of 600 definite voters was conducted October 22-24, 2014 for The Detroit News and WDIV.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 2-4, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 3-5, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Monmouth University North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll
  • Kay Hagan (D) 48%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 46%
  • Sean Haugh (L) 1%
  • Undecided 4%
Among Men
  • Thom Tillis (R) 49%
  • Kay Hagan (D) 45%
  • Sean Haugh (L) 2%
  • Undecided 4%
Among Women
  • Kay Hagan (D) 50%
  • Thom Tillis (R) 44%
  • Sean Haugh (L) 1%
  • Undecided 5%
Survey of 432 likely voters was conducted October 23-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.7 percentage points.

Monday, October 27, 2014

Poll Watch: NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Maggie Hassan (D) 47.2% {50.7%} [48.7%] (51.4%) {47.9%} [52.0%] (51.3%)
  • Walt Havenstein (R) 46.9% {42.5%} [43.5%] (41.3%) {44.1%} [39.6%] (36.2%)
  • Another candidate 2.2% {2.6%} [2.7%] (3.0%) {2.9%} [3.8%] (3.9%)
  • Not sure 3.7% {4.2%} [5.1%] (4.4%) {5.1%} [4.6%] (8.6%)
Survey of 1,132 likely voters was conducted October 24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.91 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

NH1/New England College New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
  • Scott Brown (R) 48.3% {47.7%} [48.0%] (45.9%) {46.6%} [42.8%] (40.2%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 46.8% {47.3%} [46.9%] (48.5%) {47.1%} [50.1%] (51.0%)
  • Another candidate 2.5% {2.7%} [2.8%] (3.2%) {3.3%} [4.0%] (4.5%)
  • Not sure 2.4% {2.3%} [2.3%] (2.3%) {2.9%} [3.2%] (4.2%)
Among Independents
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 47.9% {44.0%} [43.7%] (49.8%) {45.1%} [47.9%] (45%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 45.2% {48.7%} [47.5%] (41.8%) {48.7%} [42.4%] (39%)
  • Another candidate 3.1% {4.3%} [4.6%] (3.8%) {3.5%} [5.5%] (5%)
  • Not sure 3.7% {3.0%} [4.3%] (4.5%) {2.7%} [4.1%] (12%)
Among Men
  • Scott Brown (R) 51.6% {50.2%} [53.5%] (50.4%) {52.7%} [45.4%] (45%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 42.9% {45.7%} [41.3%] (45.6%) {41.2%} [48.0%] (46%)
  • Another candidate 3.5% {2.8%} [3.7%] (2.5%) {3.6%} [4.0%] (5%)
  • Not sure 2.0% {1.2%} [1.5%] (1.5%) {2.5%} [2.6%] (4%)
Among Women
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 50.2% {48.7%} [51.7%] (51.1%) {53.0%} [52.2%] (56%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 45.5% {45.4%} [43.1%] (41.9%) {40.6%} [40.2%] (36%)
  • Another candidate 1.5% {2.5%} [2.0%] (3.9%) {3.1%} [3.9%] (4%)
  • Not sure 2.8% {3.3%} [3.1%] (3.1%) {3.3%} [3.8%] (5%)
Survey of 1,132 likely voters was conducted October 24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.91 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 3, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 26, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Georgia 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

  • Nathan Deal (R) 48% (46%)
  • Jason Carter (D) 45% (41%)
  • Andrew Hunt (L) 4% (4%)
  • Undecided 3% (9%)
Survey of 771 likely voters was conducted October 23-24, 2014 for The League of Conservation Voters. Party ID: 40% (38%) Republican; 37% (37%) Democrat; 24% (25%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 53% (53%) Women; 47% (47%) Men. Race: 64% (64%) White; 29% (28%) Black; 7% (8%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 2-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • David Perdue (R) 47% (45%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 47% (43%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 3% (5%)
  • Undecided 4% (8%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • David Perdue 43% (39%) / 39% (43%) {+4%}
  • Michelle Nunn 45% (41%) / 45% (42%) {0%}
Survey of 771 likely voters was conducted October 23-24, 2014 for The League of Conservation Voters. Party ID: 40% (38%) Republican; 37% (37%) Democrat; 24% (25%) Independent/Other.  Gender: 53% (53%) Women; 47% (47%) Men. Race: 64% (64%) White; 29% (28%) Black; 7% (8%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 2-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Jeb Bush (R) 46% [36%] (37%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [37%] (39%)
  • Unsure 10% [28%] (24%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Paul Ryan (R) 44%
  • Unsure 10%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [43%] (44%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 39% [35%] (35%)
  • Unsure 15% [22%] (21%)
Survey of 861 likely voters was conducted October 22-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% [37%] (37%) Democrat; 36% [36%] (36%) Republican; 27% [27%] (27%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 11-12, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Charlie Crist (D) 44% [42%] (37%) {39%} [43%] (47%)
  • Rick Scott (R) 42% [44%] (37%) {41%} [44%] (44%)
  • Unsure 14% [14%] (26%) {15%} [9%] (6%)
Survey of 861 likely voters was conducted October 22-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% [37%] (37%) {36%} [36%] (36%) Democrat; 36% [36%] (36%) {37%} [37%] (37%) Republican; 27% [27%] (27%) {27%} [27%] (27%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 11-12, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 14-24, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 23-25, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30-31, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Oregon 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Oregon 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • John Kitzhaber (D) 48% {49%} [48%] (52%)
  • Dennis Richardson (R) 42% {42%} [42%] (42%)
Survey of 1,421 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Arkansas 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Arkansas 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Asa Hutchinson (R) 47% {49%} [45%] (48%)
  • Mike Ross (D) 38% {38%} [38%] (45%)
Survey of 1,567 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Maggie Hassan (D) 47% {49%} [51%] (53%)
  • Walt Havenstein (R) 38% {39%} [34%] (38%)
Survey of 1,042 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Alaska 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Alaska 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Sean Parnell (R) 42% {40%}
  • Bill Walker (I) 39% {45%}
Survey of 561 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 9 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Massachusetts 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CBS News/New York Times/YouGov Massachusetts 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Martha Coakley (D) 45% {47%} [43%] (51%)
  • Charlie Baker (R) 41% {41%} [35%] (36%)
Survey of 2,218 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 20 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 18 - September 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5-24, 2014 are in parentheses.