Friday, April 18, 2014

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 65% [74%] (64%) {62%} [61%] (63%)
  • Joe Biden 6% [10%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (10%)  
  • Andrew Cuomo 4% [2%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%)
  • Mark Warner 2% [1%] (0%) {0%} [2%] (0%) 
  • Brian Schweitzer 0% [0%] [0%] (1%)
  • Martin O'Malley 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Someone else 5% [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (1%)
  • Don't know yet 18% [10%] (18%) {19%} [22%] (16%)
(Open-Ended) If the Democratic primary for president were held today, who would you support for the Democratic nomination?

NOTE: This question was asked prior to respondents hearing the names of any potential candidates.    
  • Hillary Clinton 41%
  • Elizabeth Warren 2%
  • Barack Obama 2%
  • Chris Christie 2%
  • Joe Biden 2%
  • Someone else 0%
  • Did not give name 51%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 78% [88%] (84%) {85%} [88%] (87%) / 11% [8%] (8%) {13%} [5%] (7%) {+67%}
  • Andrew Cuomo 37% [38%] (35%) {41%} [53%] (56%) / 19% [24%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (16%) {+18%}
  • Joe Biden 53% [53%] (54%) {61%} [64%] (73%) / 37% [27%] (31%) {30%} [25%] (22%) {+16%}
  • Martin O'Malley 10% [9%] (5%) {8%} [8%] (9%) / 5% [8%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {+5%}
  • Brian Schweitzer 10% [3%] [5%] (12%) / 6% [11%] [12%] (6%) {+4%
  • Mark Warner 13% [16%] (11%) {15%} [18%] (14%) / 14% [16%] (13%) {11%} [18%] (14%) {-1%}
Survey of 184 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 1-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 7.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

UNH/WMUR New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Rand Paul 15% [16%] (17%) {16%} [15%] (8%)
  • Kelly Ayotte 13% [13%] [5%] (10%)
  • Paul Ryan 13% [6%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (11%)
  • Chris Christie 12% [9%] (16%) {21%} [11%] (14%)
  • Jeb Bush 7% [3%] (8%) {10%} [5%] (5%)
  • Ted Cruz 7% [3%] (6%) {4%} [2%] (1%)
  • Donald Trump 5% [4%]
  • Bobby Jindal 3% [2%] (2%)
  • Scott Walker 3% [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (3%)
  • Marco Rubio 2% [6%] (4%) {6%} [15%] (12%)
  • Rick Perry 1% [2%] (1%) {4%} 
  • Rick Santorum 1% (4%) {4%} [4%] (3%)
  • Rob Portman 0% [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%] (0%)
  • Someone else 3% [6%] (3%) {3%} [0%] (2%)
  • Don't know yet 15% [18%] (21%) {20%} [23%] (20%)
(Open-Ended) If the Republican primary for president were held today, who would you support for the Republican nomination?

NOTE: This question was asked prior to respondents hearing the names of any potential candidates.  
  • Rand Paul 9%
  • Chris Christie 7%
  • Ted Cruz 6%
  • Mitt Romney 3%
  • Scott Brown 3%
  • Paul Ryan 2%
  • Jeb Bush 2%
  • Someone else 6%
  • Did not give name 62%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Paul Ryan 60% [48%] (54%) {66%} [68%] (61%) / 15% [20%] (17%) {18%} [13%] (19%) {+45%}
  • Marco Rubio 52% [42%] (41%) {47%} [59%] (56%) / 12% [11%] (18%) {14%} [8%] (6%) {+40%}
  • Rand Paul 56% [49%] (52%) {57%} [54%] (45%) / 21% [14%] (24%) {20%} [19%] (26%) {+35%}
  • Kelly Ayotte 61% [48%] [71%] (68%) / 27% [27%] [14%] (24%) {+34%}
  • Scott Walker 38% [30%] (29%) {42%} [38%] (37%) / 12% [9%] (8%) {13%} [8%] (14%) {+26%}
  • Ted Cruz 42% [37%] (32%) {29%} [21%] (18%) / 18% [18%] (19%) {17%} [12%] (14%) {+24%} 
  • Bobby Jindal 30% {39%} [30%] (31%) / 17% {12%} [16%] (21%) {+13%}
  • Jeb Bush 45% [46%] (47%) {53%} [48%] (53%) / 35% [25%] (27%) {27%} [34%] (31%) {+10%}
  • Rick Perry 36% [32%] (36%) {39%} / 30% [27%] (30%) {37%} {+6%}
  • Rick Santorum 36% (39%) {44%} [39%] (40%) / 31% (27%) {37%} [38%] (42%) {+5%}
  • Chris Christie 43% [43%] (49%) {59%} [56%] (60%) / 42% [33%] (23%) {24%} [26%] (21%) {+1%}   
  • Rob Portman 11% [15%] (14%) {15%} [13%] (20%) / 15% [8%] (8%) {19%} [11%] (14%) {-4%}
  • Donald Trump 23% [29%] / 66% [59%] {-43%}
Survey of 187 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 1-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 7.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 7-16, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-29, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-9, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 27 - February 3, 2013 are in parentheses.

Thursday, April 17, 2014

Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage (R) Georgia 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

InsiderAdvantage (R) Georgia 2014 GOP Senate Primary Poll
  • David Perdue 19%
  • Jack Kingston 15%
  • Karen Handel 13%
  • Paul Broun 11%
  • Phil Gingrey 9%
  • Undecided 33%
Survey of 804 voters who intend to vote in the Republican primary was conducted April 13-15, 2014 for Morris News and Fox5 of Atlanta. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: The Polling Company/WomanTrend (R) Iowa 2014 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

  • Joni Ernst 22.5%
  • Mark Jacobs 20.4% 
  • Matt Whitaker 6.7%
  • Sam Clovis 5.8%
  • Scott Schaben 2.1%
  • Paul Lunde 0.4%
  • Undecided 40.0%
Survey of 223 likely GOP primary voters was conducted April 13-14, 2014 on behalf of The Washington Free Beacon.

Poll Watch: The Polling Company/WomanTrend (R) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Rand Paul (R) 44.3%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.3% 
  • Undecided/Don't know 12.5%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 44.1%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.8% 
  • Undecided/Don't know 12.1%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.4%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 42.3% 
  • Undecided/Don't know 14.2%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41.8%
  • Chris Christie (R) 38.9%
  • Undecided/Don't know 19.3%  
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44.3%
  • Bobby Jindal (R) 39.6%
  • Undecided/Don't know 16.1%  
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.8%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 39.0%
  • Undecided/Don't know 17.2%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45.9%
  • Scott Walker (R) 40.4%
  • Undecided/Don't know 13.7%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.8%
  • Mike Pence (R) 32.0%
  • Undecided/Don't know 24.2%
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted April 13-14, 2014 on behalf of The Washington Free Beacon. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party registration: 37.0% Republican; 36.0% Democrat; 27.0% Independent/Unaffiliated. Party ID: 33.1% Republican; 29.8% Democrat; 36.6% Independent.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Texas 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Rand Paul (R) 50% {48%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {44%}
  • Jeb Bush (R) 50% {49%} [46%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {42%} [43%]
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 50%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
      • Ted Cruz (R) 50% {48%} [49%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {45%} [44%]
      • Rick Perry (R) 49% {45%} [44%] (42%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {47%} [48%] (50%)
      • Chris Christie (R) 44% {44%} [47%] (43%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {39%} [38%] (45%)
      Among Independents
      • Rand Paul (R) 48% {41%} 
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% {48%}
      • Jeb Bush (R) 42% {42%} [44%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {39%} [36%]
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 46%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
      • Ted Cruz (R) 47% {40%} [47%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {53%} [37%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {54%} [44%] (56%)
      • Rick Perry (R) 41% {31%} [40%] (34%)
      • Chris Christie (R) 40% {37%} [50%] (37%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {33%} [26%] (43%)
      Among Moderates
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% {72%} 
      • Rand Paul (R) 26% {19%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {68%} [58%]
      • Jeb Bush (R) 28% {23%} [24%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 62% 
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 21%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 65% {77%} [60%]
      • Ted Cruz (R) 20% {17%} [25%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 69% {76%} [66%] (76%)
      • Rick Perry (R) 21% {10%} [20%] (17%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% {61%} [47%] (63%)
      • Chris Christie (R) 23% {25%} [29%] (18%)
      Among Men
      • Rand Paul (R) 55% {51%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {41%}
      • Jeb Bush (R) 53% {54%} [52%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {38%} [38%]
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 52%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 40%
      • Ted Cruz (R) 54% {52%} [55%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {40%} [39%]
      • Rick Perry (R) 51% {53%} [47%] (47%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {39%} [44%] (45%)
      • Chris Christie (R) 46% {49%} [53%] (48%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {37%} [32%] (41%)
      Among Women
      • Rand Paul (R) 45% {45%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {47%} 
      • Jeb Bush (R) 47% {44%} [40%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {46%} [48%]
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 47%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
      • Ted Cruz (R) 48% {44%} [43%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {49%} [49%]
      • Rick Perry (R) 47% {37%} [41%] (38%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {55%} [51%] (54%)
      • Chris Christie (R) 43% {39%} [41%] (40%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {42%} [45%] (48%)
      Do you think Ted Cruz should run for President in 2016, or not?
      • He should 32% {29%} [26%]
      • He should not 54% {59%} [59%] 
      Among Republicans
      • He should 45% {43%} [41%]
      • He should not 37% {42%} [39%]
      Among Independents
      • He should 32% {33%} [27%]
      • He should not 55% {54%} [64%] 
      Among Moderates
      • He should 14% {13%} [9%]
      • He should not 71% {74%} [76%]
      Do you think Rick Perry should run for President in 2016, or not?
      • He should 23% {15%} [18%]
      • He should not 66% {73%} [74%] 
      Among Republicans
      • He should 37% {22%} [26%]
      • He should not 47% {60%} [59%] 
      Among Independents
      • He should 17% {17%} [11%]
      • He should not 72% {75%} [85%]
      Among Moderates
      • He should 13% {5%} [17%]
      • He should not 81% {86%} [78%]
      Survey of 559 registered voters was conducted April 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 44% {42%} [38%] (43%) Republican; 32% {35%} [34%] (32%) Democrat; 24% {24%} [28%] (25%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 29% {26%} [21%] (22%) Somewhat conservative; 23% {25%} [28%] (25%) Very conservative; 23% {26%} [26%] (30%) Moderate; 17% {14%} [16%] (15%) Somewhat liberal; 8% {8%} [10%] (8%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted November 1-4, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 24-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

      • Ted Cruz 25% {32%} [27%]
      • Jeb Bush 14% {13%} [15%] (11%)
      • Rick Perry 10% {3%} [7%] (4%)
      • Mike Huckabee 10% (14%)
      • Rand Paul 10% {10%} [11%] (13%) 
      • Chris Christie 5% {13%} [11%] (9%)
      • Paul Ryan 5% {5%} [9%] (11%)
      • Bobby Jindal 4% {6%} [3%] (4%)
      • Marco Rubio 4% {5%} [6%] (21%)
      • Someone else/Not sure 12% {10%} [8%] (10%)
      Survey of 294 Republican primary voters was conducted April 10-13, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 40% {36%} [30%] (34%) Somewhat conservative; 34% {44%} [51%] (42%) Very conservative; 17% {15%} [15%] (15%) Moderate; 6% {3%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 4% {2%} [1%] (2%) Very liberalResults from the poll conducted November 1-4, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 1, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 24-27, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

      Harper Polling (R) Colorado 2014 Senate Poll
      • Mark Udall (D) 45%
      • Cory Gardner (R) 43%
      • Not sure 12%
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Cory Gardner 30% / 38% {-8%}
      Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Udall is handling his job as Senator?
      • Approve 38%
      • Disapprove 46%
      Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points.

      Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senatorial Survey

      Harper Polling (R) Montana 2014 Senate Poll
      • Steve Daines (R) 42% (43%)
      • John Walsh (D) 35% (29%)
      • Not sure 23% (28%)
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Steve Daines 43% (40%) / 31% (26%) {+12%}
      • John Walsh 33% (25%) / 22% (13%) {+11%}
      Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

      Harper Polling (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
      • Terri Lynn Land (R) 43% (42%)
      • Gary Peters (D) 40% (37%)
      • Not sure 18% (21%)
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Terri Lynn Land 32% (32%) / 32% (22%) {0%}
      • Gary Peters 25% (18%) / 35% (23%) {-10%}
      Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Louisiana 2014 Senatorial Survey

      Harper Polling (R) Louisiana 2014 Senate Poll
      • Bill Cassidy (R) 47% [45%] (47%)
      • Mary Landrieu (D) 43% [44%] (45%)
      • Not sure 10% [11%] (8%)
      Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mary Landrieu is handling her job as Senator?
      • Approve 39% [40%] (44%)
      • Disapprove 51% [51%] (37%)
      Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.2 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 19-20, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-15, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Harper Polling (R) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

      Harper Polling (R) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll
      • Mark Pryor (D) 39% [36%] (41%)
      • Tom Cotton (R) 39% [42%] (43%)
      • Not sure 22% [22%] (16%)
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Tom Cotton 31% [38%] (34%) / 39% [23%] (26%) {-8%}
      Do you approve or disapprove of the way Mark Pryor is handling his job as Senator?
      • Approve 38% [37%] (32%)
      • Disapprove 44% [40%] (42%)
      Survey of likely voters was conducted April, 2014 for American Crossroads. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 26-27, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 4-5, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Wednesday, April 16, 2014

      Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

      • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% (49%)
      • Chris Christie (R) 42% (38%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (51%)
      • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (38%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
      • Rand Paul (R) 42%
      Among Independents
      • Chris Christie (R) 41% (31%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (40%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (42%)
      • Jeb Bush (R) 40% (31%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
      • Rand Paul (R) 41%
      Among Men
      • Chris Christie (R) 46% (41%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (43%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (44%)
      • Jeb Bush (R) 44% (41%)
      • Rand Paul (R) 47%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
      Among Women
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (55%)
      • Chris Christie (R) 38% (35%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% (57%)
      • Jeb Bush (R) 40% (36%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 56%
      • Rand Paul (R) 38%
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Hillary Clinton 49% / 45% {+4%}
      • Chris Christie 36% / 38% {-2%}
      • Rand Paul 32% / 34% {-2%}
      • Jeb Bush 32% / 40% {-8%}
      • Ted Cruz 23% / 31% {-8%}
      National survey of 1,012 registered voters was conducted April 13-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (40%) Democrat; 38% (34%) Republican; 20% (23%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

      Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
      • Hillary Clinton 69% (68%)
      • Joe Biden 14% (12%)
      • Elizabeth Warren 6% (7%)
      • Andrew Cuomo 2% (4%)
      • Martin O'Malley 1% (1%)
      National survey of 395 registered Democrats was conducted April 13-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

      Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
      • Chris Christie 15% (16%)
      • Jeb Bush 14% (12%)
      • Rand Paul 14% (11%)
      • Paul Ryan 9% (12%)
      • Marco Rubio 8% (8%)
      • Ted Cruz 7% (12%)
      • Scott Walker 5% (6%)
      • Rick Santorum 5% (3%)
      • Rick Perry 5% (3%)
      • Bobby Jindal 2%
      National survey of 384 registered Republicans was conducted April 13-15, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Survey on Hillary Clinton

      Rasmussen (R) Poll on Hillary Clinton

      Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Hillary Clinton?  
      • Very favorable 27% [33%] (27%) {29%} [27%] (25%)
      • Somewhat favorable 24% [23%] (26%) {33%} [31%] (34%)
      • Somewhat unfavorable 15% [18%] (20%) {19%} [17%] (20%)
      • Very unfavorable 29% [22%] (22%) {18%} [21%] (16%)
      Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
      • Hillary Clinton 51% [56%] (53%) {62%} [58%] (59%) / 44% [40%] (42%) {37%} [38%] (36%) {+7%}
      National survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted April 13-14, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 20-21, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-9, 2012 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 1, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 16-17, 2011 are in parentheses.