Wednesday, March 25, 2015

Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Howie Carr Show (R) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Insights/Howie Carr Show (R) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Rand Paul (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Scott Walker (R) 43%
Survey of New Hampshire voters was conducted March 18-19, 2015.

Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Howie Carr Show (R) New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Gravis Insights/Howie Carr Show (R) New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 49%
  • Elizabeth Warren 20%
  • Bernie Sanders 12%
  • Joe Biden 5%
  • Jim Webb 2%
  • Martin O'Malley 2%
Survey of 427 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted March 18-19, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Howie Carr (R) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Gravis Insights/Howie Carr (R) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Scott Walker 19% [23%] (7%)
  • Jeb Bush 18% [16%] (16%)
  • Chris Christie 10% [12%] (15%)
  • Rand Paul 10% [11%] (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 7% [8%] (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 6% [6%] (12%)
  • Ben Carson 6%
  • Carly Fiorina 4%
  • Mike Huckabee 4% [6%] (11%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% [3%] (3%)  
Survey of 683 registered Republican primary voters was conducted March 18-19, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-30, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Massachusetts 2016 Presidential Survey

Emerson College Massachusetts 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58.0%
  • Scott Walker (R) 38.0%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58.6%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 38.0%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 60.7%
  • Rand Paul (R) 36.0%
Survey of 798 adults was conducted March 14-19, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Massachusetts 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Emerson College Massachusetts 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 42.6%
  • Elizabeth Warren 16.2%
  • Joe Biden 10.2% 
  • Bernie Sanders 5.8%
  • Martin O'Malley 1.7%
Survey of 430 Democratic primary voters was conducted March 14-19, 2015.

Tuesday, March 24, 2015

Poll Watch: Emerson College Massachusetts 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Emerson College Massachusetts 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Jeb Bush 18.7%
  • Scott Walker 18.5%
  • Ben Carson 12.5% 
  • Rand Paul 7.3%
  • Chris Christie 5.9%
  • Ted Cruz 5.6%
  • Mike Huckabee 3.3%
Survey of 216 Republican primary voters was conducted March 14-19, 2015.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (49%) {48%} [56%] (50%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 46% (42%) {44%} [40%] (46%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (46%) {46%} [53%] (49%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 44% (44%) {45%} [40%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (48%) {48%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 42% (40%) {42%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (49%) {48%}
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 44% (40%) {41%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (46%) {46%}
  • Chris Christie (R) 41% (38%) {38%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (51%) {50%}
  • Ted Cruz (R) 42% (36%) {39%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Rick Perry (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Ben Carson (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Scott Walker (R) 41%

  • Joe Biden (D) 43%
  • Scott Walker (R) 43%
  • Elizabeth Warren (D) 42%
  • Scott Walker (R) 41%
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Marco Rubio's job performance?
  • Approve 45% (44%) {45%} [44%] (49%)
  • Disapprove 40% (41%) {40%} [43%] (36%)
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Jeb Bush?
  • Favorable 45% (50%) {51%} [50%] (51%)
  • Unfavorable 42% (35%) {35%} [37%] (35%)
Do you think Jeb Bush should run for President in 2016, or not?
  • He should 37% (31%) {35%} [33%] (32%)
  • He should not 52% (53%) {50%} [51%] (53%)
Do you think Marco Rubio should run for President in 2016, or not?
  • He should 35% (32%) {27%} [37%] (38%)
  • He should not 51% (53%) {59%} [53%] (49%)
Survey of 923 likely voters was conducted March 19-22, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 41% (40%) {38%} [42%] (44%) Democrat; 41% (38%) {37%} [37%] (38%) Republican; 19% (22%) {25%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 32% (31%) {28%} [32%] (33%) Moderate; 24% (23%) {25%} [21%] (21%) Somewhat conservative; 17% (13%) {15%} [17%] (18%) Very conservative; 16% (19%) {22%} [17%] (17%) Somewhat liberal; 11% (13%) {11%} [13%] (12%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 58% [66%] (62%) {65%} [61%] (67%)
  • Joe Biden 14% [7%] (12%) {15%} [14%] (11%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10% [8%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (2%)
  • Bernie Sanders 3%
  • Martin O'Malley 2% [0%] (1%) {0%} [3%] (0%) 
  • Jim Webb 1%
  • Someone else/Undecided 11% [9%] (14%) {11%} [9%] (11%)
Survey of 371 Democratic primary voters was conducted March 19-22, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5.1 percentage points.  Political ideology: 32% [27%] (42%) {39%} [33%] (41%) Moderate; 30% [42%] (28%) {28%} [30%] (27%) Somewhat liberal; 22% [17%] (18%) {18%} [22%] (16%) Very liberal; 11% [10%] (9%) {11%} [10%] (12%) Somewhat conservative; 5% [5%] (3%) {3%} [5%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted June 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2016 Republican Presidential Primary Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll
  • Jeb Bush 25% [30%] (30%) {26%} [28%] (22%) 
  • Scott Walker 17% [7%]
  • Marco Rubio 15% [14%] (29%) {31%} [22%] (24%
  • Ben Carson 12%
  • Mike Huckabee 7% [7%] (9%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
  • Ted Cruz 6% [9%]
  • Chris Christie 4% [8%] (8%) {7%} [9%] (10%)
  • Rand Paul 4% [11%] (11%) {5%} [3%] (4%)
  • Rick Perry 3% (1%) {2%}
  • Not sure 6% [10%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (4%)
Survey of 425 Republican primary voters was conducted March 19-22, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Political ideology: 39% [41%] (40%) {36%} [42%] (40%) Somewhat conservative; 34% [28%] (27%) {35%} [34%] (33%) Very conservative; 20% [22%] (24%) {19%} [19%] (20%) Moderate; 5% [6%] (6%) {9%} [3%] (5%) Somewhat liberal; 2% [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-13, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Quinnipiac New York 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 51%
  • Elizabeth Warren 11% 
  • Joe Biden 8%
  • Andrew Cuomo 7%
  • Bernie Sanders 5%
  • Martin O'Malley 1%
  • Jim Webb 1%
Survey of 521 registered Democrats was conducted March 11-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Quinnipiac New York 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Jeb Bush 13%
  • Scott Walker 13% 
  • Chris Christie 12%
  • Marco Rubio 10%
  • Rand Paul 8%
  • George Pataki 6%
  • Ben Carson 6%  
  • Ted Cruz 3%
  • Mike Huckabee 3%
  • Bobby Jindal 1%
  • Rick Perry 1% 
  • John Kasich 1% 
  • Rick Santorum 1%
  • Lindsey Graham 0%
Survey of 327 registered Republicans was conducted March 11-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac New York 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% (57%) {54%} [58%] (59%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 34% (31%) {34%} [31%] (32%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 31%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
  • Scott Walker (R) 31%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% (60%) {60%}
  • Jeb Bush (R) 30% (29%) {29%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% (61%) {61%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 31% (26%) {30%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 29%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 60%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 27%
Survey of 1,228 New York State voters was conducted March 11-16, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (43%) {40%} [40%] (44%) Democrat; 20% (19%) {22%} [21%] (19%) Republican; 31% (29%) {28%} [32%] (32%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted December 17-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 11-17, 2013 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, March 18, 2015

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {58%} [58%] (54%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 43% {38%} [38%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% (56%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 42% (37%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% {59%} [57%] (55%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 41% {38%} [38%] (39%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% {56%} [56%] (47%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 40% {39%} [37%] (47%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
  • Scott Walker (R) 40%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% {54%} [59%] (58%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 40% {41%} [36%] (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% {56%}
  • Ben Carson (R) 40% {35%}
National survey of 1,009 adults was conducted March 13-15, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-19, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 62% (61%) {66%} [65%] (67%) {64%} [63%] (65%)
  • Joe Biden 15% (14%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {13%} [12%] (10%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10% (10%) {9%} [10%] (10%) [7%] (7%)
  • Bernie Sanders 3% (3%) {3%} [5%]
  • Martin O'Malley 1% (1%) {1%} [0%] (2%) {4%} [2%] (2%)
  • Jim Webb 1% (2%) {1%} [1%]
If Elizabeth Warren does not run:
  • Hillary Clinton 67%
  • Joe Biden 16%
  • Bernie Sanders 5%
  • Martin O'Malley 1%
  • Jim Webb 1%
Survey of 466 Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted March 13-15, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 21-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Jeb Bush 16% (14%) {23%} [14%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
  • Scott Walker 13% (11%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%]
  • Rand Paul 12% (10%) {6%} [8%] (12%) {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%) 
  • Mike Huckabee 10% (16%) {6%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
  • Ben Carson 9% (8%) {7%} [11%]
  • Chris Christie 7% (7%) {13%} [9%] (13%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%
  • Marco Rubio 7% (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
  • Ted Cruz 4% (3%) {4%} [7%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
  • Rick Perry 4% (3%) {4%} [5%] (11%) {6%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
  • John Kasich 2% (2%) {3%} [3%]
  • Lindsey Graham 1% (1%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1% (1%) {4%} [1%] 
  • Rick Santorum 1% (3%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
  • Carly Fiorina 0% (1%)
Survey of 450 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted March 13-15, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 21-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.