Saturday, October 25, 2014

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

  • Hillary Clinton 60% {64%} [67%] (66%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 13% {15%} [5%]
  • Joe Biden 10% {8%} [7%] (11%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 2% {2%} [1%] (1%)
  • Brian Schweitzer 1% {1%} [1%] (0%)
  • Jim Webb 1%
  • Martin O'Malley 0% {0%} [1%] (0%)
Internet survey of 429 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted October 10-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.73 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 8, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: UT/TT Texas 2016 Republican Primary Survey

  • Ted Cruz 27% (33%) {28%} [32%] (25%)
  • Rick Perry 14% (7%) {10%} [10%] (10%)
  • Ben Carson 10% 
  • Jeb Bush 7% (7%) {8%} [9%]
  • Rand Paul 7% (9%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
  • Mike Huckabee 7% (8%)
  • Paul Ryan 4% (6%) {8%} [7%] (8%)  
  • Marco Rubio 3% (6%) {6%} [6%] (11%) 
  • Chris Christie 3% (3%) {4%} [4%] (8%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2% (2%) {6%} [3%] (2%)
  • Scott Walker 2% (4%) {6%} [1%]
  • Rick Santorum 1% (1%) {4%} [3%] (2%)
  • John Kasich 0%
Internet survey of 560 likely GOP primary voters was conducted October 10-19, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.14 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 8, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 7-17, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-27, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 9, 2013 are in parentheses.

Friday, October 24, 2014

Poll Watch: Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

Landmark Communications (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Poll
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 47.4% {45.7%} [46.0%] (47%) {46.6%} [48%] (33.0%)
  • David Perdue (R) 47.3% {46.0%} [43.4%] (40%) {43.0%} [42%] (37.5%)  
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 3.3% {3.9%} [6.4%] (3%) {3.8%}
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014 for Channel 2 Action News. The margin of error is +/- 2.75 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 7-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 20-21, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 25, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 1, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Maine 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) Maine 2014 Gubernatorial Poll

The candidates for Governor are independent Eliot Cutler, Republican Paul LePage, and Democrat Mike Michaud. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
  • Mike Michaud (D) 40% (43%)
  • Paul LePage (R) 40% (42%)
  • Eliot Cutler (I) 17% (11%)
  • Undecided 3% (3%)
If you had to choose between just Republican Paul LePage and Democrat Mike Michaud for Governor, who would you vote for?
  • Mike Michaud (D) 49% (50%)
  • Paul LePage (R) 44% (46%)
  • Not sure 7% (4%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mike Michaud 47% / 46% {+1%}
  • Eliot Cutler 39% / 38% {+1%}
  • Paul LePage 43% / 53% {-10%}
Survey of 660 likely voters was conducted October 22-23, 2014 on behalf of Maine Conservation Voters Action Fund.  The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID: 36% (35%) Democrat; 31% (34%) Republican; 33% (30%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted September 8-9, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Michigan 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Rick Snyder (R) 49% [47%] (45%) 
  • Mark Schauer (D) 46% [41%] (42%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 20-22, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 17-18, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 28-29, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Atlanta Journal-Constitution Georgia 2014 Senatorial Survey

AJC Georgia 2014 Senate Poll
  • David Perdue (R) 44% [45%] (45%)
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 42% [41%] (46%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 6% [6%] 
Among Men
  • David Perdue (R) 51% [52%]
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 35% [37%]
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 5% [6%]
Among Women
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 49% [44%]
  • David Perdue (R) 36% [39%]
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 7% [6%]
Among Whites
  • David Perdue (R) 63% [61%]
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 23% [25%]
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 8% [6%]
Among Blacks
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 83% [79%]
  • David Perdue (R) 5% [8%]
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 3% [3%]
Survey of 1,170 likely voters was conducted October 16-23, 2014 by Abt SRBI . The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted September 8-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC Georgia 2014 Senate Survey

If the election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Michelle Nunn, the Democrat, David Perdue, the Republican, and Amanda Swafford, the Libertarian, who would you be more likely to vote for?
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 47%
  • David Perdue (R) 44%
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 5%
Among Men
  • David Perdue (R) 49%
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 38%
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 8%
Among Women
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 56%
  • David Perdue (R) 38%
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 2%
If no candidate gets more than fifty percent of the vote in November, Georgia will hold a run-off election for U.S. Senate between the two candidates with the most votes in November. If that run-off election for U.S. Senate were held today and the candidates were Michelle Nunn, the Democrat, and David Perdue, the Republican, who would you be more likely to vote for?
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 51%
  • David Perdue (R) 47%
Among Men
  • David Perdue (R) 54%
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 44%
Among Women
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 59%
  • David Perdue (R) 39%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Michelle Nunn 53% / 37% {+16%}
  • David Perdue 49% / 41% {+8%}
Survey of 565 likely GOP primary voters was conducted October 19-22, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 38% Democrat; 30% Republican; 32% Independent.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Colorado 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Cory Gardner (R) 46% {47%} [48%] (44%) {44%}
  • Mark Udall (D) 41% {41%} [40%] (42%) {45%} 
  • Steve Shogan (I) 6% {8%} [8%] 
Among Independents
  • Cory Gardner (R) 42% {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%}
  • Mark Udall (D) 40% {39%} [40%] (43%) {41%} 
  • Steve Shogan (I) 9% {13%} [15%]  
Among Men
  • Cory Gardner (R) 51% {53%} [53%] (48%) {53%}
  • Mark Udall (D) 38% {34%} [34%] (36%) {38%}
  • Steve Shogan (I) 6% {9%} [9%]  
Among Women
  • Mark Udall (D) 45% {49%} [46%] (49%) {52%} 
  • Cory Gardner (R) 41% {40%} [43%] (40%) {35%}
  • Steve Shogan (I) 5% {7%} [7%]  
Recalculated Matchup, asking Shogan voters: Who is your second choice?
  • Cory Gardner (R) 48% {49%} [52%]
  • Mark Udall (D) 44% {44%} [42%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Cory Gardner 49% {47%} [47%] (34%) {30%} / 42% {41%} [37%] (31%) {18%} {+7%}
  • Mark Udall 44% {42%} [42%] (40%) {43%} / 49% {49%} [50%] (43%) {38%} {-5%
Among Independents
  • Cory Gardner 48% {45%} [43%] (28%) {29%} / 41% {41%} [40%] (33%) {17%} {+7%}
  • Mark Udall 46% {44%} [40%] (39%) {43%} / 47% {48%} [53%] (44%) {36%} {-1%
Among Men
  • Cory Gardner 55% {52%} [55%] (39%) {40%} / 39% {35%} [32%] (26%) {16%} {+16%}
  • Mark Udall 39% {35%} [37%] (32%) {37%} / 56% {56%} [57%] (48%) {47%} {-17%}
Among Women
  • Mark Udall 50% {49%} [47%] (46%) {49%} / 42% {42%} [43%] (38%) {31%} {+8%}
  • Cory Gardner 43% {42%} [40%] (30%) {21%} / 44% {47%} [42%] (35%) {21%} {-1%}
Survey of 974 likely voters was conducted October 15-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 32% {33%} [34%] (29%) {26%} Republican; 29% {29%} [27%] (27%) {28%} Democrat; 32% {32%} [33%] (37%) {37%} Independent; 7% {6%} [6%] (6%) {10%} Other. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 10-14, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

CNN/ORC New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Maggie Hassan (D) 51%
  • Walt Havenstein (R) 45%
Among Men
  • Walt Havenstein (R) 50%
  • Maggie Hassan (D) 47%
Among Women
  • Maggie Hassan (D) 55%
  • Walt Havenstein (R) 40%
Survey of 645 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 28% Republican; 24% Democrat; 48% Independent.

Poll Watch: UMass Lowell/7News New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

UMass Lowell/7News New Hampshire 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Maggie Hassan (D) 49%
  • Walt Havenstein (R) 45%
Among Men
  • Walt Havenstein (R) 53%
  • Maggie Hassan (D) 40%
Among Women
  • Maggie Hassan (D) 56%
  • Walt Havenstein (R) 38%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Maggie Hassan 55% / 36% {+19%}
  • Walt Havenstein 44% / 25% {+19%}
Survey of 643 likely voters was conducted October 15-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Thursday, October 23, 2014

Poll Watch: UMass Lowell/7News New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

UMass Lowell/7News New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49%
  • Scott Brown (R) 46%
Among Men
  • Scott Brown (R) 53%
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 41%
Among Women
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 56%
  • Scott Brown (R) 39%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Jeanne Shaheen 54% / 42% {+12%}
  • Scott Brown 44% / 49% {-5%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Jeanne Shaheen is handling her job as U.S. Senator?
  • Approve 48%
  • Disapprove 47%
Survey of 643 likely voters was conducted October 15-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
  • Gary Peters (D) 53% (49%) {47%} [45%] (41%) {41%} [40%] (41%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 39% (42%) {40%} [40%] (36%) {36%} [42%] (36%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Gary Peters 45% (41%) [35%] (26%) {26%} [22%] (18%) / 36% (41%) [36%] (28%) {27%} [21%] (16%) {+9%}
  • Terri Lynn Land 35% (36%) {35%} [32%] (32%) {28%} [34%] (29%) / 52% (43%) {47%} [49%] (42%) {31%} [23%] (21%) {-17%}
Survey of 723 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014 on behalf of the League of Conservation Voters. Party ID: 36% Democrat; 28% Republican; 36% Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted October 2-3, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-19, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 4-7, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 26-29, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 30 - June 2, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Illinois 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Bruce Rauner (R) 48% {42%} [44%] (43%)
  • Pat Quinn (D) 47% {44%} [39%] (40%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 24-25, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 29-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 9-10, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senatorial Survey

Civitas Institute (R) North Carolina 2014 Senate Poll

If the election for U.S. Senate were being held today, for whom would you vote between: Thom Tillis, the Republican, Kay Hagan, the Democrat, or Sean Haugh, the Libertarian?
  • Thom Tillis (R) 42% (41%) {41%} [37%] (41%)
  • Kay Hagan (D) 41% (46%) {42%} [44%] (37%)
  • Sean Haugh (L) 6% (4%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
  • Undecided 9% (7%) {7%} [9%] (10%)
And now suppose only two candidates were running for U.S. Senate. For whom would you vote between: Thom Tillis, the Republican, or Kay Hagan, the Democrat?
  • Thom Tillis (R) 44% (43%) {47%} [46%] (48%)
  • Kay Hagan (D) 44% (50%) {46%} [48%] (43%)
  • Undecided 10% (6%) {5%} [5%] (9%)
Survey of 600 registered voters was conducted October 15-18, 2014 by National Research Inc.  The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 25 and 27-28, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 28-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 18-19 and 22, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: InsiderAdvantage/Opinion Savvy (R) Georgia 2014 Senate Survey

  • Michelle Nunn (D) 47.3% {42.6%} [39.8%] (40%)
  • David Perdue (R) 44.9% {47.0%} [50.1%] (47%)
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 4.1% {3.6%} [5.0%] (8%)
  • Undecided 3.7% {6.8%} [5.1%] (5%)
Among Men
  • David Perdue (R) 48.9% {47.3%} [57.7%]
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 42.5% {42.9%} [35.4%]
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 6.7% {5.1%} [4.0%]
  • Undecided 1.9% {4.7%} [2.9%]
Among Women
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 51.2% {41.6%} [41.6%]
  • David Perdue (R) 41.7% {47.5%} [45.8%]
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 2.0% {2.3%} [5.7%]
  • Undecided 5.1% {8.6%} [6.8%]
Among Whites
  • David Perdue (R) 63.1% {60.4%} [69.8%]
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 25.6% {28.9%} [22.0%]
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 6.2% {4.8%} [4.5%]
  • Undecided 5.1% {5.9%} [3.7%]
Among Blacks
  • Michelle Nunn (D) 93.1% {70.2%} [70.5%]
  • David Perdue (R) 6.0% {20.2%} [15.6%]
  • Amanda Swafford (L) 0.0% {1.0%} [5.9%]
  • Undecided 0.9% {8.6%} [7.9%]
Survey of 704 likely GOP primary voters was conducted October 21-22, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Political ID: 38.2% {38.1%} [37.3%] Republican; 36.6% {37.1%} [37.5%] Democrat; 25.3% {24.7%} [25.2%] Independent. Gender: 55.4% {54.7%} [55.3%] Female; 44.6% {45.3%} [44.7%] Male. Race: 66.6% {65.9%} [64.7%] White; 30.6% {32.1%} [33.4%] Black; 1.7% {1.0%} [0.9%] Hispanic/Latino; 1.1% {1.0%} [0.9%] Other. Results from the poll conducted September 29 - October 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 10-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 12-13, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Kansas 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Rand Paul (R) 50%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37%
  • Unsure 14%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 49%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Unsure 13%
Survey of 1,124 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 54% Republican; 25% Democrat; 21% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Kansas 2014 Senate Poll
  • Greg Orman (I) 47%
  • Pat Roberts (R) 45%
  • Unsure 8%
Survey of 1,124 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 54% Republican; 25% Democrat; 21% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Jeb Bush (R) 43.5% (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42.6% (41%)
  • Uncertain 14.0% (18%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (44%)
  • Paul Ryan (R) 44% (44%)
  • Uncertain 11% (13%)
Survey of 964 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% (32%) Democrat; 30% (32%) Republican; 33% (35%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted September 29-30, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Human Events (R) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Joni Ernst (R) 49% [50%] (43%) 
  • Bruce Braley (D) 43% [41%] (44%)
  • Unsure 8% [10%] (13%)
Survey of 964 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 37% [32%] (33%) Democrat; 30% [32%] (32%) Republican; 33% [35%] (34%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted September 29-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 17-18, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Kansas 2014 Senate Poll
  • Greg Orman (I) 49% [52%] (45%)
  • Pat Roberts (R) 44% [40%] (40%)
Survey of 960 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted October 7-8, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 16-17, 2014 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers: 
Ninety percent (90%) of the state’s voters say they are certain to vote in this election, and among these voters, it’s Orman 50%, Roberts 46%.

Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% [53%] (50%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 48% [43%] (45%)
  • Undecided 3% [4%] (5%)
Among Men
  • Scott Brown (R) 52% [49%]
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 45% [46%]
  • Undecided 3% [5%]
Among Women
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 53% [59%] 
  • Scott Brown (R) 44% [38%]
  • Undecided 3% [3%]
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 19-22, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% [35%] Republican; 31% [32%] Democrat; 35% [33%] Undeclared. Results from the poll conducted September 27-29, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

EPIC-MRA Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
  • Gary Peters (D) 45% {42%} [45%] (45%) {44%} [38%] (38%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 34% {33%} [39%] (36%) {38%} [41%] (37%)
Among Men
  • Gary Peters (D) 46%
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 39%
Among Women 
  • Gary Peters (D) 44%
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 30%
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted October 17-19, 2014 for the Detroit Free Press and WXYZ-TV. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted September 25-29, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 22-25, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 5-11, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC New Hampshire 2014 Senatorial Survey

CNN/ORC New Hampshire 2014 Senate Poll
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% (48%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 47% (48%)
Among Democrats
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 99% (97%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 1% (3%)
Among Republicans
  • Scott Brown (R) 92% (86%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 6% (12%)
Among Independents
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 49% (43%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 45% (48%)
Among Men
  • Scott Brown (R) 51% (54%)
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 44% (41%)
Among Women
  • Jeanne Shaheen (D) 54% (54%)
  • Scott Brown (R) 44% (42%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Jeanne Shaheen 52% (54%) / 45% (42%) {+7%}
  • Scott Brown 48% (46%) / 50% (48%) {-2%}
Survey of 645 likely voters was conducted October 18-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 28% (30%) Republican; 24% (27%) Democrat; 48% (43%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 8-11, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Joni Ernst (R) 48% [47%] (50%) {40%} [29%] (38%)
  • Bruce Braley (D) 46% [45%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (44%)
Among Men
  • Joni Ernst (R) 55% [56%] (56%) {44%} [33%] (44%)
  • Bruce Braley (D) 38% [38%] (39%) {40%} [40%] (39%)
Among Women
  • Bruce Braley (D) 53% [52%] (50%) {47%} [44%] (49%)
  • Joni Ernst (R) 40% [39%] (44%) {36%} [27%] (31%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Joni Ernst 48% [47%] (45%) {34%} [13%] / 42% [41%] (39%) {28%} [6%] {+6%}
  • Bruce Braley 43% [42%] (38%) {35%} [35%] / 43% [44%] (41%) {26%} [18%] {0%}
Survey of 964 likely voters was conducted October 15-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 32% [30%] (26%) {29%} [28%] (27%) Democrat; 31% [29%] (28%) {27%} [25%] (28%) Republican; 32% [34%] (41%) {40%} [39%] (40%) Independent; 6% [7%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (4%) Other. Results from the poll conducted October 8-13, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 10-15, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 12-16, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 5-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-15, 2013 are in parentheses.