Wednesday, August 27, 2014

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 66.49% (62.96%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 9.95% (11.85%)
  • Joe Biden 7.85% (9.63%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 4.19% (0.74%)
  • Martin O'Malley 2.09%
  • Undecided 7.85% (11.85%)
Survey of 191 Democratic caucus-goers was conducted August 23-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 7.09 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
  • Mike Huckabee 13.11% (11.02%)
  • Chris Christie 10.68% (7.09%)
  • Rick Perry 8.74% (3.15%)
  • Jeb Bush 7.28 (10.24%)
  • Rand Paul 6.80% (10.24%)
  • Paul Ryan 6.31% (6.30%)
  • Rick Santorum 5.83% (5.51%)
  • Marco Rubio 5.34% (5.51%)
  • Ted Cruz 4.85% (9.45%)
  • Scott Walker 4.37% (5.51%)
  • Bobby Jindal 2.91% (3.15%)
  • Jon Huntsman 0.97%
  • John Kasich 0.97%
  • Other 4.37%
  • Undecided 16.99% (3.15%)
Survey of 206 GOP caucus-goers was conducted August 23-36, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 6.83 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 3-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Bruce Braley (D) 40.2%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 40.0%
  • Rick Stewart (I) 2.2%
  • Douglas Butzier (L) 1.0%
  • Ruth Smith 1.0%
  • Bob Quast 0.6%
  • Undecided 14.8%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Bruce Braley 40.6% / 35.2% {+5.4%}
  • Joni Ernst 41.4% / 41.4% {0%}
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted August 23-26, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 31.6% Democrat; 31.6% Republican; 36.8% Independent/No party.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Survey

Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2014 Gubernatorial Poll
  • Mary Burke (D) 48.6% [46.8%] (45.2%) {41%} [41%] (45%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 46.5% [46.3%] (47.9%) {48%} [47%] (47%)
Survey of 609 likely voters was conducted August 21-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 17-20, 2014 are in square brackets.
Results from the poll conducted May 15-18, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 20-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 21-24, 2013 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll
  • Mark Pryor (D) 44% [43%] (40%)
  • Tom Cotton (R) 43% [47%] (45%)
  • Some other candidate 6% [4%] (5%)
  • Undecided 6% [6%] (10%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted August 25-26, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 27-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

SurveyUSA Kansas 2014 Senate Poll
  • Pat Roberts (R) 37% [38%] (43%)
  • Chad Taylor (D) 32% [33%] (33%)
  • Greg Orman (I) 20%  [14%] (7%)
  • Randall Batson (L) 4% [4%] (5%)
  • Undecided 6% [10%] (12%)
Survey of 560 likely voters was conducted August 20-23, 2014 for KSN News Wichita. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 46% [56%] (56%) Republican; 32% [26%] (28%) Democrat; 18% [18%] (16%) Independent. Ideology: 39% [38%] (40%) Moderate; 38% [42%] (39%) Conservative; 14% [17%] (14%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted July 17-22, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Kansas 2014 Senate Poll

The candidates for Senate this fall are Republican Pat Roberts, Democrat Chad Taylor, independent Greg Orman, and Libertarian Randall Batson. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
  • Pat Roberts (R) 32%
  • Chad Taylor (D) 25%
  • Greg Orman (I) 23% 
  • Randall Batson (L) 3%
  • Undecided 17%
If the candidates for Senate this fall were just Republican Pat Roberts and Democrat Chad Taylor, who would you vote for?
  • Pat Roberts (R) 43%
  • Chad Taylor (D) 39%
  • Not sure 17%
If the candidates for Senate this fall were just Republican Pat Roberts and independent Greg Orman, who would you vote for?
  • Greg Orman (I) 43% 
  • Pat Roberts (R) 33%
  • Not sure 24%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Greg Orman 24% / 12% {+12%}
  • Chad Taylor 15% / 14% {+1%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Pat Roberts’ job performance? 
  • Approve 27%
  • Disapprove 44%
Survey of 903 likely voters was conducted August 14-17, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 50% Republican; 30% Democrat; 20% Independent/Other. Ideology: 31% Moderate; 24% Very conservative; 22% Somewhat conservative; 16% Somewhat liberal; 7% Very liberal.

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2014 Senatorial Survey

The candidates for U.S. Senate are Democrat Bruce Braley, Republican Joni Ernst, Libertarian Douglas Butzier, Bob Quast, Ruth Smith, and independent Rick Stewart. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
  • Bruce Braley (D) 41%
  • Joni Ernst (R) 40%
  • Rick Stewart (I) 2%
  • Douglas Butzier (L) 2%
  • Ruth Smith 1%
  • Bob Quast 0%
  • Undecided 14%
Horse race, with Butzier, Quast, Smith, and Stewart supporters asked if they'd vote Braley or Ernst
  • Bruce Braley (D) 42% [45%] (41%)
  • Joni Ernst (R) 42% [39%] (35%)
  • Not sure 16% [16%] (23%)
Among Men
  • Joni Ernst (R) 50% [48%] (43%)
  • Bruce Braley (D) 40% [39%] (41%)
  • Not sure 9% [12%] (16%)
Among Women
  • Bruce Braley (D) 44% [50%] (42%)
  • Joni Ernst (R) 35% [31%] (28%)
  • Not sure 21% [20%] (30%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Bruce Braley 37% [29%] (31%) / 41% [29%] (25%) {-4%}
  • Joni Ernst 36% [27%] (9%) / 46% [32%] (12%) {-10%}
Survey of 915 likely voters was conducted August 22-24, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 35% [38%] (37%) Democrat; 34% [34%] (31%) Republican; 31% [28%] (32%) Independent/Other.  Ideology: 29% [27%] (30%) Moderate; 23% [22%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 20% [18%] (22%) Somewhat liberal; 17% [19%] (14%) Very conservative; 11% [14%] (10%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV Minnesota 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Al Franken (D) 51% [48%] (50%)
  • Mike McFadden (R) 42% [42%] (40%)
  • Steve Carlson (IP) 2%
  • Other 2% [1%]
  • Undecided 3% [5%] (11%)
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted August 19-21, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 5-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 25-27, 2014 are in parentheses.

Monday, August 25, 2014

Poll Watch: Suffolk University/Boston Herald Massachusetts 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Suffolk/Boston Herald Massachusetts 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Chris Christie 11.00%
  • Paul Ryan 11.00%
  • Jeb Bush 10.75%
  • Rand Paul 10.50%
  • Mike Huckabee 7.00%
  • Scott Walker 6.75%
  • Marco Rubio 5.75%
  • Rick Perry 4.75%
  • Ted Cruz 4.25%
  • Bobby Jindal 3.50%
  • Rick Santorum 2.75%
  • Jon Huntsman 1.75%
  • John Kasich 1.00%
  • Undecided 18.25%
Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted August 21-24, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University/Boston Herald Massachusetts 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Suffolk University/Boston Herald Massachusetts 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 55.00%
  • Elizabeth Warren 17.25%
  • Joe Biden 7.75%
  • Andrew Cuomo 4.75%
  • Martin O'Malley 1.50%
  • Undecided 12.25%
Survey of 400 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted August 21-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Alaska 2014 Senatorial Survey

  • Dan Sullivan (R) 47% (44%)
  • Mark Begich (D) 45% (44%
  • Some other candidate 3%
  • Undecided 4%
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted August 20-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.