Thursday, June 30, 2016

Poll Watch: IBD/TIPP 2016 Presidential Survey

IBD/TIPP 2016 Presidential Poll 

If the 2016 election for the President of United States were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {45%} [47%] (47%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% {40%} [40%] (35%)
If the 2016 election for the president of the United States were held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, and Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein of the Green Party, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {39%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 36% {35%}
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9% {11%}
  • Jill Stein (G) 5%
National survey of 837 registered voters was conducted June 24-29, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 5, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 22-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 2, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Donald Trump (R) 43% (39%) {39%} [38%] (38%) {39%} [42%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (44%) {44%} [42%] (39%) {40%} [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
  • Some other candidate 12% (11%) {14%} [15%] (18%) {14%} [13%] (15%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
  • Undecided 5% (6%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted June 28-29, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 20-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 14-15, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 6-7, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 17-18, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Trump now earns 75% support among his fellow Republicans and picks up 14% of the Democratic vote. Seventy-six percent (76%) of Democrats like Clinton, as do 10% of GOP voters.

Trump how holds a 14-point lead among men, while Clinton leads by six among women. The candidates are tied among those under 40, while Trump leads among older voters.

Clinton continues to hold a wide lead among blacks. Trump leads among whites and other minority voters.

Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Trump leads by 18 points, but 28% of these voters like some other candidates or are undecided.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) 2016 National Presidential Survey

PPP (D) 2016 National Presidential Poll

The candidates for President are Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (42%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 41% (38%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5% (4%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% (2%)
  • Undecided 7% (13%)
If you had to choose between just Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (47%) {48%} [47%] (46%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {50%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 44% (41%) {41%} [40%] (43%) {44%} [44%] (44%) {37%} 
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 52%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% 
National survey of 947 registered voters was conducted June 20-21, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID: 39% (43%) {40%} [42%] (41%) {41%} [42%] (43%) {41%} Democrat; 34% (36%) {36%} [34%] (32%) {34%} [34%] (33%) {33%} Republican; 27% (21%) {24%} [24%] (26%) {25%} [24%] (23%) {26%} Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted May 6-9, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 24-26, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-17, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 16-17, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 1-4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 28-30, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-21, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Wednesday, June 29, 2016

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [42%] (42%) {48%} [49%] (47%) {44%} [49%] (41%) [40%] [46%] (47%) {51%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% [39%] (45%) {41%} [38%] (42%) {47%} [38%] (46%) [45%] [42%] (42%) {34%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% [48%] (55%) {51%} [43%] (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [33%] (33%) {40%} [43%] (39%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [50%] (50%) {55%} [53%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 32% [32%] (36%) {33%} [34%] (35%)
How would you vote if the candidates were:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [39%] (39%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 36% [36%] (42%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 10% [12%] (10%) 
National survey of 1,017 registered voters was conducted June 26-28, 2016 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 5-8, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-17, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 11-13, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 20-22, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 15-17, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-17, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll 

If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% [45%] (46%) {44%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (45%) {45%} [48%] (50%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% [41%] (40%) {43%} [41%] (40%) {41%} [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (32%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 47% [51%] (44%) {47%} [48%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (50%) {47%} [43%] (37%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% [35%] (41%) {39%} [39%] (39%) {39%} [36%] (37%) {39%} [42%] (46%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [54%] (51%) {48%} [52%] (54%) {56%} [55%] (53%) {51%} [54%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 33% [30%] (35%) {39%} [36%] (33%) {33%} [35%] (36%) {36%} [29%] (28%)
If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [40%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% [38%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 8% [5%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 4% [3%]
National survey of 1,610 registered voters was conducted June 21-27, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 24-30, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 16-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 10-15, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-20, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 23-30, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 17-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 20-25, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 23-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 19-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, June 28, 2016

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (45%) {43%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% (43%) {40%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 49% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 32%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Donald Trump (R) 31%
Survey of 897 registered Iowa voters was conducted June 22-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted December 10-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-9, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [50%] (47%) {47%} [46%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% [36%] (41%) {41%} [44%]
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 50% 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Donald Trump (R) 30%
Survey of 578 registered New Hampshire voters was conducted June 22-23, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 4-6, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 16-18, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21-24, 2015 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%) {45%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% (42%) {40%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 43% (51%) {46%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% (37%) {39%}
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (52%) {50%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% (34%) {35%}
Survey of 708 registered Ohio voters was conducted June 22-23, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID: 40% (38%) {37%} Republican; 39% (41%) {39%} Democrat; 22% (21%) {24%} Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted April 26-27, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 4-6, 2016 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (44%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% (44%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (33%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (54%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% (34%)
Survey of 980 registered Pennsylvania voters was conducted June 22-23, 2016 on behalf of Americans United for Change. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Arizona 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 44% (45%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (41%)
  • Not sure 16% (14%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 51% (53%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% (34%)
  • Not sure 15% (13%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (47%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% (39%)
  • Not sure 17% (14%)
Survey of 691 registered Arizona voters was conducted June 22-23, 2016 on behalf of Americans United for Change.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 13-15, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Donald Trump (R) 39%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 45%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Donald Trump (R) 33%
Survey of 843 registered Wisconsin voters was conducted June 22-23, 2016 on behalf of Americans United for Change.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points.