Wednesday, July 30, 2014

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Michigan 2014 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Michigan 2014 Senate Poll
  • Gary Peters (D) 45% (35%)
  • Terri Lynn Land (R) 39% (37%)
  • Some other candidate 6% (8%)
  • Undecided 10% (20%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted July 28-29, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted January 14-15, 2014 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, July 29, 2014

Poll Watch: Talk Business & Politics/Hendrix College Arkansas 2014 Senatorial Survey

Talk Business/Hendrix College Arkansas 2014 Senate Poll
  • Tom Cotton (R) 44% [42.5%] (41%)
  • Mark Pryor (D) 42% [45.5%] (42%)
  • Mark Swaney (G) 4% [2%]
  • Nathan LaFrance (L) 3% [2%]
  • Undecided 7% [8%] (17%)
Survey of 1,780 likely voters was conducted July 22-25, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.3 percentage points. Party ID: 32.5% Democrat; 30.0% Republican; 30.5% Independent; 7.0% Other. Results from the poll conducted April 3-4, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 8, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Colorado 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% {44%} [47%] (45%) 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {47%} [45%] (48%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {49%} [48%]
    • Ted Cruz (R) 43% {40%} [45%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {48%} [47%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 40% {39%} [43%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {48%}
    • Mike Huckabee (R) 43% {41%}
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [39%]
    • Chris Christie (R) 39% {38%} [46%]
    Among Independents
    • Rand Paul (R) 41% {45%} [46%] (45%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {40%} [41%] (45%)
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {43%} [45%]
    • Ted Cruz (R) 38% {39%} [39%]
    • Jeb Bush (R) 35% {36%} [40%]
    • Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {43%} [42%]
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 42% {40%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {42%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {36%} [30%]
      • Chris Christie (R) 33% {38%} [45%]
      Among Moderates
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {56%} [54%] (58%)
      • Rand Paul (R) 32% {30%} [35%] (32%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {56%} [59%]
      • Ted Cruz (R) 30% {26%} [31%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {50%} [54%]
      • Jeb Bush (R) 29% {27%} [30%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {56%}
        • Mike Huckabee (R) 30% {29%}
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {47%} [42%] 
        • Chris Christie (R) 30% {31%} [39%]
        Among Men
        • Rand Paul (R) 51% {48%} [56%] (50%)
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {45%} [37%] (41%)
        • Ted Cruz (R) 50% {42%} [53%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {49%} [40%]
        • Jeb Bush (R) 45% {46%} [51%]
        • Hillary Clinton (D) 33% {45%} [39%]
          • Mike Huckabee (R) 51% {44%}
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 38% {46%}
          • Chris Christie (R) 44% {46%} [51%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% {43%} [31%]
          Among Women
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {49%} [53%] (53%)
          • Rand Paul (R) 40% {40%} [39%] (41%)
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {50%} [56%]
          • Ted Cruz (R) 36% {38%} [38%]
          • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {50%} [54%]
          • Jeb Bush (R) 36% {33%} [34%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% {50%}
            • Mike Huckabee (R) 36% {39%}
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {48%} [47%] 
            • Chris Christie (R) 35% {31%} [41%]
            Survey of 653 Colorado voters was conducted July 17-20, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 35% {33%} [34%] (34%) Democrat; 34% {34%} [35%] (34%) Republican; 31% {33%} [31%] (32%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% {27%} [29%] (26%) Moderate; 23% {23%} [27%] (25%) Somewhat conservative; 17% {20%} [16%] (19%) Somewhat liberal; 16% {16%} [14%] (15%) Very conservative; 10% {15%} [14%] (15%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted March 13-16, 2013 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-4, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

            Monday, July 28, 2014

            Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

            • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% [50%] (49%)
            • Chris Christie (R) 40% [42%] (38%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [51%]
            • Rand Paul (R) 41% [42%]
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [51%] (51%)
            • Jeb Bush (R) 39% [42%] (38%)
            • Hillary Clinton (D) 54%
            • John Kasich (R) 35%
              Among Independents
              • Chris Christie (R) 43% [41%] (31%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [40%] (40%)
              • Rand Paul (R) 48% [41%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [44%]
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [45%] (42%)
              • Jeb Bush (R) 38% [40%] (31%)
              • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
              • John Kasich (R) 34%
                Among Men
                • Chris Christie (R) 45% [46%] (41%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [44%] (43%)
                • Rand Paul (R) 47% [47%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [45%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [45%] (44%)
                • Jeb Bush (R) 44% [44%] (41%)
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
                • John Kasich (R) 40%
                  Among Women
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [55%] (55%)
                  • Chris Christie (R) 36% [38%] (35%)
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [56%]
                  • Rand Paul (R) 36% [38%]
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 57% [56%] (57%)
                  • Jeb Bush (R) 35% [40%] (36%)
                  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
                  • John Kasich (R) 30%
                    National survey of 1,057 registered voters was conducted July 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 43% [39%] (40%) Democrat; 35% [38%] (34%) Republican; 18% [20%] (23%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

                    Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
                    • Hillary Clinton 64% [69%] (68%)
                    • Joe Biden 12% [14%] (12%)
                    • Elizabeth Warren 9% [6%] (7%)
                    • Andrew Cuomo 5% [2%] (4%)
                    • Martin O'Malley 1% [1%] (1%)
                    National survey of 438 registered Democrats was conducted July 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

                    Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
                    • Jeb Bush 12% [14%] (12%)
                    • Rick Perry 12% [5%] (3%)
                    • Rand Paul 11% [14%] (11%) 
                    • Chris Christie 10% [15%] (16%
                    • Paul Ryan 9% [9%] (12%)
                    • Marco Rubio 9% [8%] (8%)
                    • Ted Cruz 9% [7%] (12%)
                    • Scott Walker 4% [5%] (6%)
                    • Bobby Jindal 4% [2%] 
                    • Rick Santorum 3% [5%] (3%)
                    • John Kasich 2%
                    National survey of 358 registered Republicans was conducted July 20-22, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: SurveyUSA Kentucky 2014 Senatorial Survey

                    SurveyUSA Kentucky 2014 Senate Poll

                    Among Likely Voters
                    • Mitch McConnell (R) 47% [42%] (42%)
                    • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 45% [43%] (46%)
                    • Undecided 8% [7%] (12%)
                    Among Men
                    • Mitch McConnell (R) 49% [42%] (46%)
                    • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 43% [41%] (43%)
                    • Undecided 8% [6%] (11%)
                    Among Women
                    • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 47% [45%] (49%)
                    • Mitch McConnell (R) 46% [41%] (37%)
                    • Undecided 8% [9%] (14%)
                    What if Libertarian David Patterson enters the race? Who would you vote for?
                    • Mitch McConnell (R) 41%  [42%]
                    • Alison Lundergan Grimes (D) 39%  [43%]
                    • David Patterson (L) 7% [4%]
                    • Undecided 13% [7%]
                    Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

                    Among Registered Voters
                    • Alison Lundergan Grimes 36% [35%] (26%) / 33% [27%] (27%) {+3%}
                    • Mitch McConnell 36% [29%] (27%) / 43% [49%] (50%) {-7%}
                    Survey of 714 registered voters, including 604 likely voters, was conducted July 18-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 4.1 percentage points among likely voters. Party ID (among likely voters): 42% [44%] (51%) Democrat; 41% [43%] (37%) Republican; 18% [11%] (9%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted May 14-16, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 4, 2014 are in parentheses.