Monday, August 03, 2015

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 59% (75%)
  • Bernie Sanders 25% (15%)
  • Jim Webb 3% (4%)
  • Martin O'Malley 3% (2%)
  • Lincoln Chafee 1% (0%)
Survey of 253 Democrats and those who lean Democratic was conducted July 26-30, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.16 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 51% [59%] (61%) {57%} [63%] (62%) {61%} [55%] (62%) {64%} [69%] (68%)
  • Bernie Sanders 22% [19%] (15%) {11%} [6%] (4%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
  • Joe Biden 13% [8%] (11%) {8%} [6%] (9%) {12%} [17%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%)   
  • Jim Webb 1% [1%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) 
  • Lincoln Chafee 1% [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%) 
  • Martin O'Malley 1% [1%] (1%) {4%} [0%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
National survey of 499 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted July 30 - August 2, 2015 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 13-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 2, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Donald Trump 26% (18%) {11%} [4%] (4%) {5%} [3%] 
  • Jeb Bush 15% (14%) {15%} [12%] (13%) {9%} [12%] (15%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
  • Scott Walker 9% (15%) {9%} [12%] (11%) {12%} [15%] (9%) {4%} [5%] (6%)
  • Ben Carson 7% (6%) {10%} [11%] (13%) {6%} [11%] (10%) 
  • Ted Cruz 6% (4%) {4%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [10%] (4%) {9%} [7%] (12%)
  • Mike Huckabee 6% (4%) {6%} [6%] (10%) {9%} [10%] (13%) 
  • Marco Rubio 5% (7%) {8%} [7%] (9%) {13%} [8%] (5%) {9%} [8%] (8%)
  • Rand Paul 5% (8%) {9%} [9%] (7%) {10%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [14%] (11%) 
  • Chris Christie 3% (3%) {2%} [5%] (6%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {10%} [15%] (16%)
  • John Kasich 3% (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%] (2%) {2%}
  • Carly Fiorina 2% (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {0%} [1%]
  • Rick Santorum 2% (2%) {3%} [2%] (2%) {1%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (3%)
  • Rick Perry 1% (1%) {2%} [4%] (2%) {2%} [3%] (4%) {12%} [5%] (3%) 
  • Bobby Jindal 1% (0%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%]
  • George Pataki 0% (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [1%]
  • Lindsey Graham 0% (0%) {1%} [2%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (1%) 
  • Jim Gilmore 0%
National survey of 475 likely Republican primary voters was conducted July 30 - August 2, 2015, under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 13-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 19-21, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Monmouth University 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Donald Trump 26.0% {13%} [2%] (7%)
  • Jeb Bush 12.2% {15%} [9%] (13%)
  • Scott Walker 11.1% {7%} [10%] (11%)
  • Ted Cruz 5.8% {9%} [5%] (11%)
  • Mike Huckabee 5.7% {7%} [8%] (9%)
  • Ben Carson 4.6% {6%} [11%] (7%)
  • Chris Christie 4.4% {2%} [4%] (5%)
  • Rand Paul 4.4% {6%} [6%] (6%) 
  • Marco Rubio 4.4% {6%} [9%] (5%)
  • John Kasich 3.2% {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Carly Fiorina 1.9% {1%} [2%] (1%)
  • Rick Perry 1.8% {2%} [4%] (5%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1.2% {2%} [1%] (1%) 
  • Rick Santorum 1.0% {2%} [3%] (1%)
  • Lindsey Graham 0.7% {0%} [2%] (1%) 
  • George Pataki 0.4% {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Jim Gilmore 0.0% {0%}
  • No one (vol.) 1% {1%} [2%] (2%)
  • Undecided (vol.) 10% {18%} [20%] (14%)
National survey of 423 registered voters who identify themselves as Republicans or lean toward the Republican Party was conducted July 30 - August 2, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 9-12, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 11-14, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 2, 2015 are in parentheses.

Sunday, August 02, 2015

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Donald Trump 19% [1%]
  • Scott Walker 15% [17%] (14%)
  • Jeb Bush 14% [22%] (23%)
  • Ben Carson 10% [11%] (7%) 
  • Ted Cruz 9% [4%] (11%)
  • Mike Huckabee 6% [9%] (5%)
  • Rand Paul 6% [7%] (11%)
  • Marco Rubio 5% [14%] (18%)
  • Chris Christie 3% [4%] (5%)  
  • Rick Perry 3% [5%] (2%)
  • John Kasich 3% [1%]
  • Bobby Jindal 1% [0%]
  • Rick Santorum 1% [0%]
  • Carly Fiorina 0% [2%] (1%)
  • Lindsey Graham 0% [1%]
  • George Pataki 0% [0%]
  • Jim Gilmore 0%
Survey of 252 Republican primary voters was conducted July 26-30, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6.17 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 26-30, 2015 are in parentheses.

Saturday, August 01, 2015

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 54.9% (55%)
  • Bernie Sanders 18.4% (13%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 9.0% (9%)
  • Joe Biden 8.0% (14%)
  • Jim Webb 5.1% (5%)
  • Martin O'Malley 2.8% (2%)
  • Lincoln Chafee 1.8% (2%)
Survey of 803 registered Democratic voters was conducted July 29, 2015. Results from the poll conducted July 1-2, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Donald Trump 30.8% (15%)
  • Jeb Bush 13.3% (22%)
  • Scott Walker 12.5% (8%)
  • Ben Carson 6.1% (10%)
  • Mike Huckabee 5.6% (10%)
  • Ted Cruz 5.6% (5%) 
  • Marco Rubio 5.4% (8%)
  • John Kasich 5.1%
  • Rand Paul 4.4% (4%) 
  • Chris Christie 3.4% (5%)
  • Rick Perry 3.0% (4%)
  • Carly Fiorina 1.9% (3%)
  • Rick Santorum 1.6% (1%)
  • Lindsey Graham 0.7% (2%)
  • Bobby Jindal 0.6% (2%)
  • George Pataki 0.2% (1%)
National survey of 732 registered Republican voters was conducted July 29, 2015. Results from the poll conducted July 1-2, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 50.8% (59%)
  • Bernie Sanders 24.0% (15%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 10.7% 
  • Joe Biden 6.3%
  • Martin O'Malley 4.7% (3%)
  • Lincoln Chafee 2.1% (1%)
  • Jim Webb 1.3% (3%) 
Survey of 236 Democratic caucus participants was conducted July 29, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 28-29, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Gravis Marketing/OAN (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
  • Donald Trump 30.9%
  • Scott Walker 15.4% (17%) {13%} [24%] (10%)  
  • Jeb Bush 10.0% (10%) {16%} [10%] (14%)
  • Bobby Jindal 7.2%
  • Ben Carson 5.1% (12%) {9%} [5%]
  • John Kasich 5.0%
  • Mike Huckabee 6.0% (8%) {8%} [7%] (9%)
  • Ted Cruz 5.5% (6%) {6%} [4%] (7%)
  • Carly Fiorina 4.3% (5%) {3%} [3%]
  • Rick Santorum 2.9% (6%) {2%} [6%]
  • Marco Rubio 2.8% (13%) {12%} [7%] (4%)
  • Rick Perry 1.7% 
  • Lindsey Graham 1.0%
  • Chris Christie 0.8% (4%) {5%} [9%] (5%)  
  • Rand Paul 0.8% (4%) {9%} [10%] (8%) 
  • George Pataki 0.6%
Survey of 277 Republican caucus participants was conducted July 29, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 28-29, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 13, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 5-7, 2015 are in parentheses.