Thursday, June 16, 2016

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [42%] (39%) {40%} [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% [38%] (38%) {39%} [42%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (38%)
  • Some other candidate 14% [15%] (18%) {14%} [13%] (15%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
  • Undecided 4% [5%] (5%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted June 14-15, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 6-7, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 17-18, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Among voters who consider the mass murders in Orlando, Florida this past weekend primarily a terrorist attack, Trump leads Clinton 64% to 16%. Clinton posts an 83% to four percent (4%) lead among those who see the killings as chiefly a gun control issue.
The former secretary of State now earns the support of 83% of her fellow Democrats, while Trump has the backing of 73% of Republicans. That’s a 10-point jump in Democratic support for Clinton from last week. Trump’s GOP support has not changed.
Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Clinton leads 36% to 31%, but one-third (34%) of these voters like someone else or are undecided.
Clinton now has a 15-point lead among women voters. Trump leads by six among men.
Those under 40 are the age group most enthusiastic for Clinton, but younger voters are also the most likely to be undecided.
Eighty-four percent (84%) of blacks support Clinton, while Trump holds modest leads among whites and other minority voters.
In terms of income level, Clinton’s support is strongest among those who earn the least and those who earn the most.

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