Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 41% {36%} [36%] (38%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {41%} [37%] (36%)
• Some other candidate 15% {21%} [22%] (22%)
• Undecided 5% {3%} [5%] (5%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted April 27-28, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Trump now has the support of 73% of Republicans, while 77% of Democrats back Clinton. But Trump picks up 15% of Democrats, while just eight percent (8%) of GOP voters prefer Clinton, given this match-up. Republicans are twice as likely to prefer another candidate.

Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Trump leads 37% to 31%, but 23% like another candidate. Nine percent (9%) are undecided.

Trump leads 48% to 35% among men but trails Clinton by a similar 44% to 34% among women.

Clinton’s narrow 38% to 32% lead among those under 40, traditionally a reliable Democratic group, suggests that younger voters will be a big target in the upcoming campaigning. Twenty-five percent (25%) of these voters like another candidate for now, and five percent (5%) are undecided. Trump has a small advantage among older voters.

Clinton earns 71% of the black vote, 45% support among other minority voters but just 33% of whites. Trump gets only nine percent (9%) of blacks, 33% of other minorities and 48% of white voters.