Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 40% [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
• Donald Trump (R) 39% [42%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (38%)
• Some other candidate 14% [13%] (15%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
• Undecided 7% [7%] (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted May 23-24, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 17-18, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Clinton earns 77% of the Democratic vote, while 72% of Republicans favor Trump. Each candidate draws 12% support from voters in the opposing party. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Trump leads 34% to 30%, but 37% prefer someone else or are undecided.

Clinton posts a 16-point advantage among women, but Trump leads by 12 points among men.

Those under 40 have been a key element of the Democratic base vote in recent elections, but these voters are closely divided given a hypothetical Clinton-Trump contest.

Clinton continues to benefit from overwhelming support among blacks. Trump leads among whites but trails among other minority voters.