Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (39%) {40%} [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
• Donald Trump (R) 38% (38%) {39%} [42%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (38%)
• Some other candidate 15% (18%) {14%} [13%] (15%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
• Undecided 5% (5%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted June 6-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 17-18, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Clinton now earns 74% of the vote from Democrats, up from 68% last week, suggesting that some of Bernie Sanders’ support may be moving her way now that their primary battle is over. Trump has the backing of 72% of Republicans, down from 76% in the previous survey. It remains to be seen whether these are developing trends.

But Clinton has lost ground among voters not affiliated with either major party and is now essentially tied with Trump among this group.

Clinton leads Trump by 14 points among women but trails by eight among men. Women are also more likely to favor another candidate or be undecided.

The Democrat continues to run weakest among those under 40, traditionally an important part of her party’s voter base, but in this election cycle, younger voters have much preferred Sanders and have strongly questioned Clinton’s honesty.

Blacks who have been critical to Clinton’s primary wins continue to overwhelmingly favor the former first lady, while Trump this week has a slight advantage among whites and other minority voters.

Clinton has a near two-to-one lead among government workers but is only barely ahead among those who work in the private sector.