Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Missouri Senatorial Survey

Mason-Dixon Missouri Senatorial Survey

• Roy Blunt (R) 49% [48%]
• Robin Carnahan (D) 40% [42%]
• Jerry Beck (C) 2%
• Jonathan Dine (L) 1%
• Undecided 8% [10%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Roy Blunt 45% [39%] / 35% [23%] {+10%}
• Robin Carnahan 34% [39%] / 48% [38%] {-14%}
• Barack Obama 35% [33%] / 51% [55%] {-16%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama's job performance as President?

• Approve 34% [34%]
• Disapprove 60% [57%]

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama's handling of the economy?

• Approve 29% [33%]
• Disapprove 60% [61%]

Would you say that you generally support the agenda of the Tea Party movement, or not?

• Yes 46% [44%]
• No 37% [39%]

Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted October 18-20, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted July 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Missouri Senatorial Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Missouri Senatorial Survey

• Roy Blunt (R) 49% [50%]
• Robin Carnahan (D) 43% [42%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Robin Carnahan 42% [43%] / 50% [52%] {-8%}
• Roy Blunt 39% [41%] / 50% [44%] {-11%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 41% [38%]
• Disapprove 54% [58%]

Who would you rather have in control of the U.S. Senate next year -- the Republicans or the Democrats?

• Republicans 51% 
• Democrats 41% 
• It makes no difference 4%

Have the policies of the Obama administration helped or hurt Missouri’s economy, or have they not made much of a difference either way?

• Helped 25% [22%]
• Hurt 49% [48%]
• Not made much of a difference 22% [26%]

Have you personally been helped or hurt by the Obama administration’s economic policies?

• Helped 22%
• Hurt 43%
• Not made much of a difference 31%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 2, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage.  Results from the poll conducted October 2, 2010 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Missouri Senatorial Survey

• Roy Blunt (R) 46% {45%} (45%) [42%]
• Robin Carnahan (D) 41% {38%} (41%) [43%]
• Jerry Beck (C) 3% {5%}
• Jonathan Dine (L) 3% {3%}
• Undecided 7% {9%} (13%) [15%]

Favorable/Unfavorable

• Roy Blunt 42% {41%} (25%) [30%] / 45% {42%} (41%) [38%] {-3%}
• Robin Carnahan 39% {41%} (38%) [40%] / 53% {50%} (43%) [36%] {-14%}

Survey of 646 likely voters was conducted October 17-18, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 36% {33%} (36%) [36%] Democrat; 35% {38%} (35%) [32%] Republican; 29% {29%} (29%) [33%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-15, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 27-28, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2009 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Missouri Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Missouri Senatorial Survey

• Roy Blunt (R) 48% {50%} [51%] (51%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [44%] (46%) 
• Robin Carnahan (D) 42% {41%} [40%] (40%) {43%} [43%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {42%} [41%] (42%) {43%} [46%] (46%)

With Leaners

• Roy Blunt (R) 51% {52%} [53%] (54%)
• Robin Carnahan (D) 43% {44%} [43%] (41%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Roy Blunt (R) 53% {57%} [55%] (60%)
• Robin Carnahan (D) 47% {43%} [45%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Roy Blunt 49% {53%} [52%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (55%) {54%} [54%] (56%) {49%} [56%] (54%) {56%} [50%] (57%) / 48% {42%} [42%] (37%) {41%} [41%] (38%) {33%} [38%] (36%) {43%} [37%] (40%) {34%} [43%] (33%) {+1%} 
• Robin Carnahan 42% {45%} [43%] (42%) {45%} [48%] (50%) {51%} [52%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [51%] (52%) / 56% {52%} [54%] (53%) {50%} [49%] (46%) {42%} [40%] (47%) {46%} [48%] (45%) {46%} [43%] (42%) {-14%}

How would you rate the job Jay Nixon has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 14% {15%} [13%] (15%) {17%} [18%] (14%) {18%} [18%] (15%) {14%} [18%] (15%) [17%} [16%] 
• Somewhat approve 41% {38%} [42%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (41%) {42%} [43%] (41%) {45%} [35%] (41%) {44%} [47%] 
• Somewhat disapprove 27% {28%} [26%] (30%) {27%} [23%] (27%) {28%} [25%] (26%) {24%} [28%] (29%) {23%} [20%] 
• Strongly disapprove 14% {15%} [14%] (13%) {12%} [16%] (15%) {9%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [14%] (12%) {11%} [13%]

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 27% {31%} [25%] (23%) {29%} [31%] (27%) {33%} [28%] (28%) {22%} [26%] (25%) {27%} [29%] (30%) 
• Somewhat approve 14% {15%} [15%] (18%) {14%} [13%] (18%) {14%} [18%] (14%) {18%} [16%] (15%) {14%} [18%] (14%) 
• Somewhat disapprove 9% {6%} [9%] (9%) {8%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [12%] (9%) {13%} [11%] (10%) [12%} [10%] (12%) 
• Strongly disapprove 50% {47%} [49%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {46%} [42%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (49%) [46%} [43%] (44%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted October 5, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage.  Party ID breakdown: 40% {39%} Democrat; 38% {39%} Republican; 22% {22%} Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 21, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 7, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 19, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 15, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 21, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Ninety percent (90%) of Missouri Republicans back Blunt, while 86% of the state’s Democrats give their vote to Carnahan. Blunt leads Carnahan 55% to 31% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.

Poll Watch: CNN/Time/Opinion Research Missouri Senatorial Survey

CNN/Time/Opinion Research Missouri Senatorial Survey

• Roy Blunt (R) 53%
• Robin Carnahan (D) 40%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as president?

• Approve 34%
• Disapprove 61%

Survey of 832 likely voters was conducted October 1-5, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage.

Poll Watch: Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Missouri Senatorial Survey

Pulse/Rasmussen/Fox News Missouri Senatorial Survey

• Roy Blunt (R) 50%
• Robin Carnahan (D) 42%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Roy Blunt 41% / 44% {-3%} 
• Robin Carnahan 43% / 52% {-9%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as President?

• Approve 38%
• Disapprove 58%

Have the policies of the Obama administration helped or hurt Missouri’s economy, or have they not made much of a difference either way?

• Helped 22%
• Hurt 48%
• Not made much of a difference 26%

Thinking about the health care law that was passed earlier this year, would you favor repealing the new law to keep it from going into effect, or would you oppose repealing the new law?

• Favor repealing the health care law 58%
• Oppose repealing the health care law 35%

If the 2012 presidential election were held today, would you vote for the Republican candidate or Democrat Barack Obama?

• Republican candidate 52%
• Barack Obama 38%
• Not sure 10%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted October 2, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage.  Party ID breakdown: 38.7% Democrat; 38.4% Republican;  22.9% Independent/Other.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Missouri Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen Missouri Senatorial Survey

• Roy Blunt (R) 50% [51%] (51%) {50%} [49%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (50%) {48%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [44%] (46%) 
• Robin Carnahan (D) 41% [40%] (40%) {43%} [43%] (45%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {42%} [41%] (42%) {43%} [46%] (46%)

With Leaners

• Roy Blunt (R) 52% [53%] (54%)
• Robin Carnahan (D) 44% [43%] (41%)

Among Voters Certain of Their Vote

• Roy Blunt (R) 57% [55%] (60%)
• Robin Carnahan (D) 43% [45%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Roy Blunt 53% [52%] (57%) {54%} [54%] (55%) {54%} [54%] (56%) {49%} [56%] (54%) {56%} [50%] (57%) / 42% [42%] (37%) {41%} [41%] (38%) {33%} [38%] (36%) {43%} [37%] (40%) {34%} [43%] (33%) {+10%} 
• Robin Carnahan 45% [43%] (42%) {45%} [48%] (50%) {51%} [52%] (48%) {47%} [47%] (49%) {49%} [51%] (52%) / 52% [54%] (53%) {50%} [49%] (46%) {42%} [40%] (47%) {46%} [48%] (45%) {46%} [43%] (42%) {-7%}

How would you rate the job Jay Nixon has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 15% [13%] (15%) {17%} [18%] (14%) {18%} [18%] (15%) {14%} [18%] (15%) [17%} [16%] 
• Somewhat approve 38% [42%] (38%) {39%} [38%] (41%) {42%} [43%] (41%) {45%} [35%] (41%) {44%} [47%] 
• Somewhat disapprove 28% [26%] (30%) {27%} [23%] (27%) {28%} [25%] (26%) {24%} [28%] (29%) {23%} [20%] 
• Strongly disapprove 15% [14%] (13%) {12%} [16%] (15%) {9%} [12%] (13%) {13%} [14%] (12%) {11%} [13%]

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 31% [25%] (23%) {29%} [31%] (27%) {33%} [28%] (28%) {22%} [26%] (25%) {27%} [29%] (30%) 
• Somewhat approve 15% [15%] (18%) {14%} [13%] (18%) {14%} [18%] (14%) {18%} [16%] (15%) {14%} [18%] (14%) 
• Somewhat disapprove 6% [9%] (9%) {8%} [7%] (7%) {7%} [12%] (9%) {13%} [11%] (10%) [12%} [10%] (12%) 
• Strongly disapprove 47% [49%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {46%} [42%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (49%) [46%} [43%] (44%)

Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted September 21, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage.  Party ID breakdown: 39% Republican; 39% Democrat; 22% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 7, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 23, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted August 10, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 27, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 13, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 28, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 2, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 9, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 19, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 15, 2009 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 21, 2009 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-eight (88%) of Missouri Republicans back Blunt, while 86% of the state’s Democrats give their vote to Carnahan. Blunt leads Carnahan 59% to 33% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.