Wednesday, February 17, 2016

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 GOP Nomination Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 GOP Nomination Poll 
  • Ted Cruz 28% [20%] (22%) {10%} [9%] (5%) {9%} [4%] (11%)
  • Donald Trump 26% [33%] (27%) {23%} [25%] (21%) {19%} [1%]
  • Marco Rubio 17% [13%] (15%) {11%} [13%] (11%) {5%} [14%] (18%)
  • John Kasich 11% [3%] (2%) {3%} [3%] (6%) {3%} [1%]
  • Ben Carson 10% [12%] (11%) {29%} [22%] (20%) {10%} [11%] (7%)
  • Jeb Bush 4% [5%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (7%) {14%} [22%] (23%)
Second Choice
  • Marco Rubio 23% [17%] (18%) {13%} [13%] (15%) {11%} [20%] (23%)
  • Ted Cruz 17% [27%] (18%) {13%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [7%] (7%)  
  • Ben Carson 16% [7%] (17%) {21%} [22%] (15%) {11%} [8%] (4%)
  • John Kasich 13% [5%] (3%) {3%} [4%] (2%) {1%} [0%]
  • Jeb Bush 12% [7%] (5%) {7%} [9%] (12%) {16%} [18%] (14%)
  • Donald Trump 12% [14%] (12%) {12%} [14%] (10%) {11%} [3%]
Three-Way Scenarios
  • Ted Cruz 32%
  • Donald Trump 30%
  • Marco Rubio 26%
  • Other candidate 7%
  • Ted Cruz 37%
  • Donald Trump 31%
  • John Kasich 18%
  • Other candidate 8%
  • Ted Cruz 36%
  • Donald Trump 29%
  • Ben Carson 12%
  • Other candidate 17%
  • Ted Cruz 38%
  • Donald Trump 32%
  • Jeb Bush 9%
  • Other candidate 15%
Two-Way Scenarios
  • Ted Cruz 56% [51%]
  • Donald Trump 40% [43%]
  • Marco Rubio 57% [45%]
  • Donald Trump 41% [52%]
  • Donald Trump 52%
  • John Kasich 44%
  • Donald Trump 54%
  • Jeb Bush 43% 
National survey of 400 Republican primary voters was conducted February 14-16, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 4.90 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 9-13, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 25-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 15-18, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-24, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 26-30, 2015 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 14-18, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conductedApril 26-30, 2015 are in parentheses.

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