Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Poll

• Donald Trump 30% {31%} [34%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (31%) {27%} [25%] (21%)
• John Kasich 16% {17%} [17%] (14%) {13%} [16%] (17%) {20%} [14%] (13%)
• Marco Rubio 16% {17%} [16%] (15%) {14%} [11%] (9%) {10%} [14%] (15%)
• Ted Cruz 10% {9%} [9%] (12%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {9%} [9%] (10%)
• Jeb Bush 9% {9%} [8%] (8%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
• Chris Christie 6% {5%} [5%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (12%)
• Carly Fiorina 3% {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (5%)
• Ben Carson 1% {1%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (6%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Undecided 9% {8%} [6%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (5%)

Among Republicans

• Donald Trump 29% {29%} [33%] (34%) {33%} [32%]
• Marco Rubio 17% {19%} [18%] (16%) {15%} [13%]
• John Kasich 15% {16%} [16%] (12%) {11%} [12%]
• Jeb Bush 11% {11%} [9%] (9%) {11%} [11%]
• Ted Cruz 9% {9%} [8%] (12%) {14%} [11%]
• Chris Christie 8% {6%} [6%] (7%) {7%} [8%]
• Carly Fiorina 3% {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [3%]
• Ben Carson 1% {1%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%]
• Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%]
• Undecided 8% {8%} [7%] (6%) {7%} [4%]

Among Independents

• Donald Trump 34% {35%} [36%] (38%) {37%} [37%]
• John Kasich 19% {19%} [19%] (18%) {18%} [23%]
• Marco Rubio 15% {15%} [14%] (13%) {13%} [7%]
• Ted Cruz 11% {11%} [12%] (12%) {10%} [9%]
• Jeb Bush 7% {7%} [7%] (6%) {5%} [5%]
• Chris Christie 5% {4%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [4%]
• Carly Fiorina 3% {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [1%]
• Ben Carson 2% {1%} [2%] (3%) {3%} [2%]
• Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%]
• Undecided 7% {8%} [6%] (6%) {8%} [9%]

Survey of 427 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 6-7, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID: 61% {62%} [61%] (61%) {63%} [60%] Republican; 39% {38%} [39%] (39%) {37%} [40%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted February 5-6, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 4-5, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 3-4, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 23-25, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 7-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 20-22, 2015 are in parentheses.