Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Poll

• Donald Trump 34% (36%) {34%} [34%] (31%) {27%} [25%] (21%)
• John Kasich 17% (14%) {13%} [16%] (17%) {20%} [14%] (13%)
• Marco Rubio 16% (15%) {14%} [11%] (9%) {10%} [14%] (15%)
• Ted Cruz 9% (12%) {12%} [10%] (12%) {9%} [9%] (10%)
• Jeb Bush 8% (8%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
• Chris Christie 5% (6%) {6%} [6%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (12%)
• Ben Carson 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (6%)
• Carly Fiorina 2% (2%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (5%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Undecided 6% (6%) {7%} [6%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (5%)

Among Republicans

• Donald Trump 33% (34%) {33%} [32%]
• Marco Rubio 18% (16%) {15%} [13%]
• John Kasich 16% (12%) {11%} [12%]
• Jeb Bush 9% (9%) {11%} [11%]
• Ted Cruz 8% (12%) {14%} [11%]
• Chris Christie 6% (7%) {7%} [8%]
• Ben Carson 2% (2%) {2%} [2%]
• Carly Fiorina 2% (2%) {2%} [3%]
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%]
• Undecided 7% (6%) {7%} [4%]

Among Independents

• Donald Trump 36% (38%) {37%} [37%]
• John Kasich 19% (18%) {18%} [23%]
• Marco Rubio 14% (13%) {13%} [7%]
• Ted Cruz 12% (12%) {10%} [9%]
• Jeb Bush 7% (6%) {5%} [5%]
• Chris Christie 5% (5%) {5%} [4%]
• Ben Carson 2% (3%) {3%} [2%]
• Carly Fiorina 2% (2%) {2%} [1%]
• Jim Gilmore 0% (0%) {0%} [0%]
• Undecided 6% (6%) {8%} [9%]

Survey of 415 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 4-5, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID: 61% (61%) {63%} [60%] Republican; 39% (39%) {37%} [40%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted February 3-4, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 23-25, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 7-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 20-22, 2015 are in parentheses.