Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Poll

• Pat McCrory (R) 46% {49%} [50%] (45%)
• Walter Dalton (D) 41% {35%} [41%] (36%)
• Some other candidate 3% {4%} [1%] (5%)
• Undecided 10% {12%} [8%] (14%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted August 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted June 25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

McCrory has 76% support among his fellow Republicans. Similarly, 72% of Democrats like Dalton. The Republican leads by 30 points among voters not affiliated with either of the major political parties.

McCrory holds an eight-point lead among male voters but leads by just three among female voters. He trails Dalton 29% to 51% among voters under 40 but holds double-digit leads among older voters.

Fifty-eight percent (58%) of whites support McCrory. Seventy-eight percent (78%) of blacks and 56% of voters of other races favor Dalton.

Most married voters prefer the GOP candidate, while the Democrat leads among those who are not married.

McCrory is viewed very favorably by 24% of North Carolina voters and very unfavorably by 14%. Seventeen percent (17%) share a very favorable opinion of Dalton, while 12% regard him very unfavorably.

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

SurveyUSA North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Poll

• Pat McCrory (R) 44%
• Walter Dalton (D) 39%
• Barbara Howe (L) 7%
• Undecided 10%

Among Men

• Pat McCrory (R) 47%
• Walter Dalton (D) 35%
• Barbara Howe (L) 9%
• Undecided 8%

Among Women

• Walter Dalton (D) 42%
• Pat McCrory (R) 41%
• Barbara Howe (L) 4%
• Undecided 12%

Survey of 524 likely voters was conducted May 18-21, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Party ID: 44% Democrat; 29% Republican; 24% Independent.  Political ideology: 41% Moderate; 34% Conservative; 20% Liberal. Gender: 52% Female; 48% Male. 

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Poll

• Pat McCrory (R) 50% (45%)
• Walter Dalton (D) 41% (36%)
• Some other candidate 1% (5%)
• Undecided 8% (14%)

Among Men

• Pat McCrory (R) 47%
• Walter Dalton (D) 42%

Among Women

• Pat McCrory (R) 53%
• Walter Dalton (D) 40%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted May 14, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted April 10, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

The two men are virtually tied among voters not affiliated with either major political party. McCrory picks up 86% of the vote from voters in his own party, while Dalton draws support from 74% of Democrats.

McCrory is viewed very favorably by 31% of North Carolina voters, up from 24% in April. Eleven percent (11%) regard the GOP nominee very unfavorably. Twelve percent (12%) have no opinion of him.

For Dalton, reviews are 12% very favorable, 12% very unfavorable. But 21% of the state’s voters don’t know enough about him to form an opinion, although that’s down from 32% last month.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

If the candidates for Governor next year were Democrat Bev Perdue and Republican Pat McCrory, who would you vote for?

• Pat McCrory 47% [45%] (46%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {47%}
• Bev Perdue 39% [39%] (39%) {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bev Perdue’s job performance?

• Approve 34% [36%] (35%) {35%} [30%] (30%) {33%}
• Disapprove 49% [47%] (49%) {49%} [52%] (48%) {46%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Pat McCrory?

• Favorable 29% [30%] (31%) {33%} [34%] (31%) {33%}
• Unfavorable 23% [29%] (24%) {27%} [22%] (22%) {22%}

Survey of 651 North Carolina voters was conducted July 7-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 8-11, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 46% [47%] (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} Democrat; 33% [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} Republican; 21% [16%] (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} Independent/Other. Political ideology: 30% [31%] (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 25% [27%] (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 20% [17%] (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 16% [17%] (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 9% [9%] (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

If the candidates for Governor next year were Democrat Bev Perdue and Republican Pat McCrory, who would you vote for?

• Pat McCrory 45% (46%) {49%} [50%] (49%) {47%}
• Bev Perdue 39% (39%) {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bev Perdue’s job performance?

• Approve 36% (35%) {35%} [30%] (30%) {33%}
• Disapprove 47% (49%) {49%} [52%] (48%) {46%}

Do you have more faith in Governor Perdue or Legislative Republicans to lead the state?

• Governor Perdue 42% (40%) (37%)
• Legislative Republicans 40% (41%) (44%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Pat McCrory?

• Favorable 30% (31%) {33%} [34%] (31%) {33%}
• Unfavorable 29% (24%) {27%} [22%] (22%) {22%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Richard Burr's job performance?

• Approve 35% (38%) {37%}
• Disapprove 38% (33%) {35%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?

• Approve 39% (41%) {42%}
• Disapprove 39% (38%) {38%}

Survey of 563 North Carolina voters was conducted June 8-11, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 47% (48%) {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} Democrat; 36% (36%) {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} Republican; 16% (16%) {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} Independent/Other. Political ideology: 31% (31%) {32%} [28%] Moderate; 27% (26%) {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 17% (18%) {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 17% (15%) {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 9% (10%) {9%} [9%] Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 Gubernatorial Survey

If the candidates for Governor next year were Democrat Bev Perdue and Republican Pat McCrory, who would you vote for?

• Pat McCrory 46% {49%} [50%] (49%) {47%}
• Bev Perdue 39% {38%} [36%] (37%) {40%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Bev Perdue’s job performance?

• Approve 35% {35%} [30%] (30%) {33%}
• Disapprove 49% {49%} [52%] (48%) {46%}

Do you have more faith in Governor Perdue or Legislative Republicans to lead the state?

• Legislative Republicans 41% (44%)
• Governor Perdue 40% (37%)

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Pat McCrory?

• Favorable 31% {33%} [34%] (31%) {33%}
• Unfavorable 24% {27%} [22%] (22%) {22%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Richard Burr's job performance?

• Approve 38% {37%}
• Disapprove 33% {35%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Kay Hagan's job performance?

• Approve 41% {42%}
• Disapprove 38% {38%}

Survey of 835 North Carolina voters was conducted May 12-15, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 14-17, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-21, 2011 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 20-23, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Party ID breakdown: 48% {46%} [45%] (45%) {47%} Democrat; 36% {36%} [38%] (37%) {36%} Republican; 16% {18%} [17%] (18%) {18%} Independent/Other. Political ideology: 31% {32%} [28%] Moderate; 26% {22%} [23%] Somewhat conservative; 18% {22%} [24%] Very conservative; 15% {14%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% {9%} [9%] Very liberal.