Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arizona 2012 Democratic Senatorial Primary

PPP (D) Arizona 2012 Democratic Senatorial Primary

Given the choices of Dennis Burke, Gabrielle Giffords, Rodney Glassman, Terry Goddard, Phil Gordon, Harry Mitchell, Ed Pastor,and Felecia Rotellini, who would you most like to see as the Democratic Senate candidate next year?

• Gabrielle Giffords 46%
• Terry Goddard 28%
• Harry Mitchell 5%
• Ed Pastor 4%
• Rodney Glassman 4%
• Dennis Burke 2%
• Phil Gordon 2%
• Felecia Rotellini 2%
• Someone else/Not sure 6%

If the choices for a Democratic US Senate candidate next year were just Dennis Burke, Rodney Glassman, Terry Goddard, Phil Gordon, Harry Mitchell, Ed Pastor,and Felecia Rotellini who would you most like to see as the Democratic Senate candidate next year?

• Terry Goddard 50%
• Harry Mitchell 11%
• Phil Gordon 8%
• Felecia Rotellini 6%
• Ed Pastor 5%
• Rodney Glassman 5%
• Dennis Burke 2%
• Someone else/Not sure 14%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Gabrielle Giffords 81% / 6% {+75%}
• Terry Goddard 71% / 15% {+56%}
• Ed Pastor 42% / 17% {+25%}
• Phil Gordon 27% / 24% {+3%}

Survey of 300 usual Democratic primary voters was conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 41% Moderate; 32% Somewhat liberal; 14% Very liberal; 9% Somewhat conservative; 3% Very conservative.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arizona 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Arizona 2012 Senatorial Survey

• Gabrielle Giffords (D) 54%
• Sarah Palin (R) 36%

• Gabrielle Giffords (D) 48%
• Jeff Flake (R) 41%

• Gabrielle Giffords (D) 57%
• JD Hayworth (R) 31%

• Terry Goddard (D) 49%
• Sarah Palin (R) 40%

• Jeff Flake (R) 45%
• Terry Goddard (D) 45%

• Terry Goddard (D) 51%
• JD Hayworth (R) 33%

• Ed Pastor (D) 45%
• Sarah Palin (R) 43%

• Jeff Flake (R) 46%
• Ed Pastor (D) 34%

• Ed Pastor (D) 42%
• JD Hayworth (R) 37%

• Phil Gordon (D) 45%
• Sarah Palin (R) 41%

• Jeff Flake (R) 47%
• Phil Gordon (D) 33%

• Phil Gordon (D) 44%
• JD Hayworth (R) 36%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Gabrielle Giffords 57% / 17% {+40%}
• Terry Goddard 43% / 36% {+7%}
• Jeff Flake 29% / 30% {-1%}
• Ed Pastor 22% / 27% {-5%}
• Phil Gordon 18% / 37% {-19%}
• Sarah Palin 32% / 62% {-30%}
• JD Hayworth 21% / 56% {-35%}

Survey of 623 Arizona voters was conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.9 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 43% Republican; 34% Democrat; 23% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% Moderate; 25% Somewhat conservative; 17% Somewhat liberal; 17% Very conservative; 7% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Arizona Gubernatorial Survey

Rasmussen Arizona Gubernatorial Survey

• Jan Brewer (R) 55% [60%] {57%} (56%) [53%] {52%} (48%) [44%] {36%} (41%) [35%]
• Terry Goddard (D) 39% [38%] {38%} (37%) [35%] {39%} (40%) [40%] {45%} (43%) [44%]

 Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jan Brewer 59% [62%] {63%} (63%) [59%] {60%} [45%] {38%} (42%) [44%] / 40% [37%] {35%} (32%) [36%] {36%} [50%] {57%} (53%) [48%] {+19%}
• Terry Goddard 43% [40%] {45%} (48%) [53%] {48%} (49%) [49%] {54%} (54%) [51%] / 51% [54%] {47%} (41%) [37%] {45%} [42%] {31%} (32%) [35%] {-8%}

How would you rate the job Jan Brewer has been doing as Governor?

• Strongly approve 32% [34%] {40%} (38%) [33%] {29%} (23%) [5%] {8%} (7%) [4%]
• Somewhat approve 28% [30%] {25%} (25%) [25%] {35%} (33%) [35%] {33%} (30%) [35%]
• Somewhat disapprove 8% [6%] {11%} (13%) [16%] {14%} (15%) [30%] {33%} (31%) [33%]
• Strongly disapprove 30% [30%] {23%} (23%) [24%] {21%} (27%) [26%] {22%} (29%) [24%]

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 26% [24%] {23%} (26%) [20%] {25%} [25%] {29%} (30%) [29%]
• Somewhat approve 14% [15%] {16%} (16%) [19%] {14%} [9%] {13%} (13%) [11%]
• Somewhat disapprove 6% [5%] {6%} (8%) [11%] {10%} [9%] {5%} (7%) [8%]
• Strongly disapprove 54% [54%] {53%} (50%) [48%] {50%} [55%] {51%} (50%) [52%]

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 3, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 42% Republican; 30% Democrat; 28% Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 7, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 25, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 29, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 17, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 27, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 16, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 20, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 18, 2009 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Brewer has the support of 91% of Arizona Republicans. Eighty percent (80%) of the state’s Democrats favor Goddard. The candidates are tied among voters not affiliated with either major party.