Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Rand Paul 16% {13%} [13%] (13%)
• Paul Ryan 15% {9%} [11%] (16%)
• Rick Perry 11% {8%} [7%] (6%)
• Mike Huckabee 10% {14%}
• Jeb Bush 9% {10%} [6%] (10%)
• Chris Christie 8% {10%} [24%] (17%)
• Ted Cruz 8% {8%} [10%] (7%)
• Marco Rubio 5% {9%} [9%] (9%)
• Rick Santorum 3% {4%} [6%] (5%)
• Someone else (vol.) 6% {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 4% {3%} [2%] (4%)
• No opinion 5% {4%} [6%] (6%)

Among Republicans

• Paul Ryan 19% {9%} [11%] (17%)
• Jeb Bush 11% {10%} [6%] (13%)
• Rick Perry 11% {8%} [8%] (7%)
• Ted Cruz 11% {5%} [9%] (7%)
• Rand Paul 10% {13%} [12%] (9%)
• Mike Huckabee 9% {17%}
• Chris Christie 6% {8%} [28%] (17%)
• Marco Rubio 5% {12%} [10%] (10%)
• Rick Santorum 4% {5%} [7%] (3%)
• Someone else (vol.) 8% {5%} [6%] (7%)
• None/No one (vol.) 3% {4%} [1%] (4%)
• No opinion 5% {3%} [3%] (5%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Rand Paul 22% {13%} [15%] (17%)
• Rick Perry 12% {7%} [7%] (6%)
• Chris Christie 11% {13%} [20%] (18%)
• Paul Ryan 11% {10%} [12%]  (15%)
• Mike Huckabee 11% {10%}
• Jeb Bush 7% {10%} [6%] (6%)
• Ted Cruz 6% {13%} [12%] (7%)
• Marco Rubio 5% {5%} [7%] (9%)
• Rick Santorum 2% {3%} [5%] (7%)
• Someone else (vol.) 3% {12%} [6%] (4%)
• None/No one (vol.) 6% {2%} [3%] (4%)
• No opinion 5% {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Men

• Rand Paul 17% {17%} [15%] (13%)
• Paul Ryan 15% {12%} [10%] (14%)
• Mike Huckabee 11% {14%}
• Ted Cruz 10% {10%} [12%] (12%) 
• Rick Perry 10% {7%} [8%] (7%)
• Chris Christie 9% {6%} [23%] (16%)
• Jeb Bush 7% {9%} [2%] (9%)
• Marco Rubio 6% {7%} [11%] (11%)
• Rick Santorum 2% {2%} [6%] (6%)
• Someone else (vol.) 7% {8%} [6%] (5%)
• None/No one (vol.) 2% {4%} [2%] (3%)
• No opinion 3% {4%} [4%] (5%)

Among Women

• Rand Paul 14% {9%} [11%] (12%)
• Rick Perry 13% {9%} [6%] (6%)
• Paul Ryan 13% {6%} [13%] (19%)
• Jeb Bush 11% {10%} [10%] (11%)
• Mike Huckabee 9% {14%}
• Chris Christie 7% {15%} [24%] (19%)
• Ted Cruz 6% {7%} [8%] (3%)
• Marco Rubio 5% {11%} [7%] (7%)
• Rick Santorum 4% {7%} [6%] (4%)
• Someone else (vol.) 4% {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 7% {3%} [2%] (6%)
• No opinion 6% {3%} [7%] (7%)

Survey of 367 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted March 7-9, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID: 50% {52%} Republican; 50% {48%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.