Poll Watch: Quinnipiac Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Virginia 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {42%} [46%] (45%)
• Chris Christie (R) 41% {41%} [37%] (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48% {49%} (51%)
• Rand Paul (R) 42% {40%} (37%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Jeb Bush (R) 39%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 41%

Among Independents

• Chris Christie (R) 48% {43%} [41%] (42%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 34% {36%} [36%] (39%)

• Rand Paul (R) 45% {38%} (37%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {46%} (49%)

• Jeb Bush (R) 42%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 41%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 42%

Among Men

• Chris Christie (R) 43% {46%} [42%] (47%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {36%} [40%] (37%)

• Rand Paul (R) 47% {47%} (48%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% {43%} (42%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
• Jeb Bush (R) 43%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 44%

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {49%} [53%] (53%)
• Chris Christie (R) 40% {36%} [33%] (34%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52% {55%} (59%)
• Rand Paul (R) 37% {33%} (28%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51%
• Jeb Bush (R) 36%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 39%

Among Whites

• Chris Christie (R) 51% {51%} [46%] (49%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33% {34%} [38%] (36%)

• Rand Paul (R) 53% {49%} (45%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 36% {41%} (44%)

• Jeb Bush (R) 49%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 35%

• Mike Huckabee (R) 52%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 37%

Among Blacks

• Hillary Clinton (D) 84% {76%} [77%] (84%)
• Chris Christie (R) 11% {11%} [11%] (6%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 89% {85%} (87%)
• Rand Paul (R) 3% {8%} (5%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 91%
• Jeb Bush (R) 2%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 88%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 52% {53%} [57%] (58%) / 44% {42%} [38%] (37%) {+8%} 
• Mike Huckabee 39% / 35% {+4%}
• Rand Paul 36% {38%} (36%) / 35% {33%} (32%) {+1%}
• Chris Christie 38% {55%} [56%] (55%) / 38% {19%} [18%] (17%) {0%} 
• Jeb Bush 35% / 36% {-1%}

Among Independents

• Rand Paul 41% {39%} (40%) / 30% {34%} (30%) {+11%}
• Chris Christie 42% {58%} [59%] (61%) / 34% {17%} [18%] (15%) {+8%}
• Jeb Bush 36% / 28% {+8%} 
• Mike Huckabee 41% / 34% {+7%}
• Hillary Clinton 47% {49%} [50%] (58%) / 49% {44%} [45%] (36%) {-2%} 

Among Men

• Rand Paul 44% {46%} (45%) / 32% {32%} (28%) {+12%} 
• Jeb Bush 39% / 33% {+6%}
• Mike Huckabee 42% / 37% {+5%} 
• Chris Christie 39% {54%} [60%] (56%) / 40% {22%} [20%] (20%) {-1%}
• Hillary Clinton 46% {44%} [52%] (48%) / 50% {52%} [44%] (48%) {-4%}

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton 57% {61%} [62%] (66%) / 39% {32%} [32%] (28%) {+18%}
• Mike Huckabee 37% / 34% {+3%}
• Chris Christie 37% {56%} [52%] (55%) / 36% {16%} [17%] (14%) {+1%} 
• Jeb Bush 32% / 38% {-6%}
• Rand Paul 29% {30%} (28%) / 37% {35%} (36%) {-8%}

Among Whites

• Mike Huckabee 48% / 33% {+15%}
• Rand Paul 44% {46%} (42%) / 30% {28%} (32%) {+14%}
• Jeb Bush 42% / 29% {+13%}
• Chris Christie 42% {61%} [59%] (60%) / 38% {17%} [18%] (17%) {+4%}
• Hillary Clinton 40% {46%} [49%] (51%) / 56% {51%} [47%] (44%) {-16%}

Among Blacks

• Hillary Clinton 93% {84%} [87%] (91%) / 7% {10%} [5%] (4%) {+86%}
• Chris Christie 26% {39%} [49%] (42%) / 37% {20%} [21%] (15%) {-11%}
• Mike Huckabee 13% / 39% {-26%}
• Rand Paul 8% {7%} (6%) / 46% {51%} (37%) {-38%}
• Jeb Bush 12% / 61% {-49%}

Survey of 1,288 registered voters was conducted March 19-24, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 33% {31%} [32%] (31%) Democrat; 24% {26%} [22%] (26%) Republican; 35% {35%} [37%] (36%) Independent; 8% {9%} [10%] (8%) Other/Don't know. Gender: 54% {50%} [52%] (53%) Female; 46% {50%} [48%] (47%) Male.  Race: 72% {70%} [69%] (71%) White; 17% {16%} [17%] (17%) Black; 3% {4%} [4%] (4%) Hispanic; 8% {10%} [10%] (9%) Other/Don't know. Results from the poll conducted September 9-15, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 14-19, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 11-15, 2013 are in parentheses.