Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Poll

• Donald Trump 36% {34%} [34%] (31%) {27%} [25%] (21%)
• Marco Rubio 15% {14%} [11%] (9%) {10%} [14%] (15%)
• John Kasich 14% {13%} [16%] (17%) {20%} [14%] (13%)
• Ted Cruz 12% {12%} [10%] (12%) {9%} [9%] (10%)
• Jeb Bush 8% {8%} [9%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
• Chris Christie 6% {6%} [6%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (12%)
• Ben Carson 2% {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (6%)
• Carly Fiorina 2% {2%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (5%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
• Undecided 6% {7%} [6%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (5%)

Among Republicans

• Donald Trump 34% {33%} [32%]
• Marco Rubio 16% {15%} [13%]
• Ted Cruz 12% {14%} [11%]
• John Kasich 12% {11%} [12%]
• Jeb Bush 9% {11%} [11%]
• Chris Christie 7% {7%} [8%]
• Ben Carson 2% {2%} [2%]
• Carly Fiorina 2% {2%} [3%]
• Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%]
• Undecided 6% {7%} [4%]

Among Independents

• Donald Trump 38% {37%} [37%]
• John Kasich 18% {18%} [23%]
• Marco Rubio 13% {13%} [7%]
• Ted Cruz 12% {10%} [9%]
• Jeb Bush 6% {5%} [5%]
• Chris Christie 5% {5%} [4%]
• Ben Carson 3% {3%} [2%]
• Carly Fiorina 2% {2%} [1%]
• Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%]
• Undecided 6% {8%} [9%]

Survey of 420 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 3-4, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID: 61% {63%} [60%] Republican; 39% {37%} [40%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 23-25, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 7-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 20-22, 2015 are in parentheses.