Thursday, February 04, 2016

Poll Watch: American Research Group New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Survey

ARG New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Tracking Poll
  • Donald Trump 36% {34%} [34%] (31%) {27%} [25%] (21%)
  • Marco Rubio 15% {14%} [11%] (9%) {10%} [14%] (15%)
  • John Kasich 14% {13%} [16%] (17%) {20%} [14%] (13%)
  • Ted Cruz 12% {12%} [10%] (12%) {9%} [9%] (10%)
  • Jeb Bush 8% {8%} [9%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
  • Chris Christie 6% {6%} [6%] (8%) {9%} [10%] (12%)
  • Ben Carson 2% {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (6%)
  • Carly Fiorina 2% {2%} [2%] (3%) {2%} [3%] (5%)
  • Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)
  • Undecided 6% {7%} [6%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (5%)
Among Republicans
  • Donald Trump 34% {33%} [32%]
  • Marco Rubio 16% {15%} [13%]
  • Ted Cruz 12% {14%} [11%]
  • John Kasich 12% {11%} [12%]
  • Jeb Bush 9% {11%} [11%]
  • Chris Christie 7% {7%} [8%]
  • Ben Carson 2% {2%} [2%]
  • Carly Fiorina 2% {2%} [3%]
  • Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%]
  • Undecided 6% {7%} [4%]
Among Independents
  • Donald Trump 38% {37%} [37%]
  • John Kasich 18% {18%} [23%]
  • Marco Rubio 13% {13%} [7%]
  • Ted Cruz 12% {10%} [9%]
  • Jeb Bush 6% {5%} [5%]
  • Chris Christie 5% {5%} [4%]
  • Ben Carson 3% {3%} [2%]
  • Carly Fiorina 2% {2%} [1%]
  • Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%]
  • Undecided 6% {8%} [9%]
Survey of 420 likely Republican primary voters was conducted February 3-4, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID: 61% {63%} [60%] Republican; 39% {37%} [40%] Independent. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 23-25, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 15-18, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 7-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 20-22, 2015 are in parentheses.

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