PPP (D) South Dakota 2014 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) South Dakota 2014 Senate Poll

• Mike Rounds (R) 49%
• Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin (D) 44%

• Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin (D) 48%
• Kristi Noem (R) 47%

• Mike Rounds (R) 53%
• Brendan Johnson (D) 32%

• Kristi Noem (R) 49%
• Brendan Johnson (D) 37%
  

Republican Primary

• Mike Rounds 43%
• Kristi Noem 39%
  

Democratic Primary

• Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin 68%
• Brendan Johnson 16%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mike Rounds 51% / 34% {+17%}
• Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin 52% / 37% {+15%} 
• Brendan Johnson 25% / 17% {+8%}
• Kristi Noem 49% / 42% {+7%}

Survey of 1,069 South Dakota voters, including subsamples of 501 GOP primary voters and 390 Democratic primary voters, was conducted March 18-19, 2013.  The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points among all voters; +/- 4.4 percentage points among GOP primary voters; +/- 5.0 percentage points among Democratic primary voters. Party ID: 49% Republican; 37% Democrat; 15% Independent. 

Poll Watch: Nielson Brothers South Dakota 2012 Congressional Survey

NBP South Dakota 2012 Congressional Poll

• Kristi Noem (R) 50% {49.3%} [50.8%] (47.4%)
• Matt Varilek (D) 44% {43.6%} [42.0%] (45.6%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Congresswoman Kristi Noem's job performance?

• Strongly approve 27% {24.4%} [26.1%]
• Somewhat approve 28% {29.0%} [28.6%]
• Somewhat disapprove 18% {17.7%} [19.7%]
• Strongly disapprove 27% {28.9%} [25.7%]

Survey of 671 likely voters was conducted October 28-31, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.78 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted October 1-5, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 6, 2012 are in square brackets.   Results from the poll conducted July 19-23, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Nielson Brothers South Dakota 2012 Congressional Survey

NBP South Dakota 2012 Congressional Poll

• Kristi Noem (R) 49.3% [50.8%] (47.4%)
• Matt Varilek (D) 43.6% [42.0%] (45.6%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Congresswoman Kristi Noem's job performance?

• Strongly approve 24.4% [26.1%]
• Somewhat approve 29.0% [28.6%]
• Somewhat disapprove 17.7% [19.7%]
• Strongly disapprove 28.9% [25.7%]

Survey of 762 likely voters was conducted October 1-5, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.55 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted August 29 - September 6, 2012 are in square brackets.   Results from the poll conducted July 19-23, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Nielson Brothers South Dakota 2012 Congressional Survey

NBP South Dakota 2012 Congressional Poll

• Kristi Noem (R) 50.8% (47.4%)
• Matt Varilek (D) 42.0% (45.6%)

Do you approve or disapprove of Congresswoman Kristi Noem's job performance?

• Strongly approve 26.1%
• Somewhat approve 28.6%
• Somewhat disapprove 19.7%
• Strongly disapprove 25.7%

Survey of 509 likely voters was conducted August 29 - September 6, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.34 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 19-23, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Nielson Brothers South Dakota 2012 Congressional Survey

NBP South Dakota 2012 Congressional Poll

• Kristi Noem (R) 47%
• Matt Varilek (D) 46%
• Undecided 7%

Survey of 541 likely voters was conducted July 19-23, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4.21 percentage points.

Rep. Kristi Noem (SD) Delivers Weekly Republican Address

Poll Watch: Argus Leader/KELO-TV/Mason-Dixon South Dakota Congressional Survey

Argus Leader/KELO-TV/Mason-Dixon South Dakota Congressional Survey

• Kristi Noem (R) 45%
• Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin (D) 43%
• Other 3%
• Undecided 9%

Do you think John Thune should or should not run for president in 2012?

• Should 41%
• Should not 35%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• John Thune 61% / 13% {+48%}
• Mike Rounds 49% / 18% {+31%}
• Tim Johnson 40% / 32% {+8%}
• Barack Obama 27% / 53% {-26%}

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted October 20-21, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen South Dakota Congressional Survey

Rasmussen South Dakota Congressional Survey

• Kristi Noem (R) 49% {47%} [45%] (51%) {49%} [53%] (43%) {35%} [35%] (34%)
• Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin (D) 44% {44%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [41%] (46%) {50%} [46%] (49%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kristi Noem 51% {53%} [53%] (63%) {60%} [68%] (49%) / 46% {43%} [41%] (26%) {30%} [24%] (32%) {+5%}
• Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin 48% {53%} [60%] (57%) {56%} [57%] (59%) {55%} [52%] / 50% {45%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [41%] (39%) {43%} [43%] {-2%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 23% {24%} [23%] (20%) {20%} [23%] (27%) {27%} [28%] (22%)
• Somewhat approve 18% {16%} [16%] (21%) {20%} [17%] (16%) {18%} [15%] (18%)
• Somewhat disapprove 9% {11%} [15%] (11%) {13%} [13%] (9%) {7%} [10%] (14%)
• Strongly disapprove 50% {48%} [46%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [45%] (45%)

How would you rate the job Mike Rounds has been doing as Governor?    

• Strongly approve 30% {24%} [27%] (26%) {20%} [19%] (20%)
• Somewhat approve 32% {44%} [39%] (43%) {44%} [45%] (42%)
• Somewhat disapprove 21% {19%} [24%] (19%) {18%} [22%] (20%)
• Strongly disapprove 16% {13%} [8%] (10%) {16%} [13%] (15%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 20, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 49% {46%} Republican; 32% {33%} Democrat; 19% {21%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted October 4, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 8, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 27, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 21, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Noem now has the support of 78% of the state's Republicans, while 85% of South Dakota Democrats back Congresswoman Herseth-Sandlin. Noem has an 8-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major party.

Rasmussen South Dakota Congressional Survey

Rasmussen South Dakota Congressional Survey

• Kristi Noem (R) 47% [45%] (51%) {49%} [53%] (43%) {35%} [35%] (34%)
• Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin (D) 44% [47%] (42%) {44%} [41%] (46%) {50%} [46%] (49%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kristi Noem 53% [53%] (63%) {60%} [68%] (49%) / 43% [41%] (26%) {30%} [24%] (32%) {+10%}
• Stephanie Herseth-Sandlin 53% [60%] (57%) {56%} [57%] (59%) {55%} [52%] / 45% [39%] (40%) {41%} [41%] (39%) {43%} [43%] {+8%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President?

• Strongly approve 24% [23%] (20%) {20%} [23%] (27%) {27%} [28%] (22%)
• Somewhat approve 16% [16%] (21%) {20%} [17%] (16%) {18%} [15%] (18%)
• Somewhat disapprove 11% [15%] (11%) {13%} [13%] (9%) {7%} [10%] (14%)
• Strongly disapprove 48% [46%] (47%) {46%} [46%] (47%) {47%} [45%] (45%)

How would you rate the job Mike Rounds has been doing as Governor?    

• Strongly approve 24% [27%] (26%) {20%} [19%] (20%)
• Somewhat approve 44% [39%] (43%) {44%} [45%] (42%)
• Somewhat disapprove 19% [24%] (19%) {18%} [22%] (20%)
• Strongly disapprove 13% [8%] (10%) {16%} [13%] (15%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted October 4, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 46% Republican; 33% Democrat; 21% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted September 8, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 3, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 6, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 10, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 27, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 21, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 25, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 23, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Noem now has the support of 79% of the state's Republicans, while 80% of South Dakota Democrats back Congresswoman Herseth-Sandlin. The incumbent has a 19-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major party.