Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Pennsylvania 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Pennsylvania 2012 Senate Poll

• Bob Casey (D) 48%
• Tom Smith (R) 41%
• Some other candidate 3%
• Undecided 7%

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted May 21, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:

Casey has 84% support among Pennsylvania Democrats, while 79% of Republicans in the state back Smith. Among voters not affiliated with either of the major parties, the Democrat leads by five, but 29% of these voters like another candidate or are undecided.

The Republican leads by nine points among male voters but trails by 18 among female voters. Smith is just slightly ahead among voters who are married, while unmarrieds prefer Casey by a near two-to-one margin.

Most voters under 40 choose the incumbent, while their elders favor the GOP challenger.

Fourteen percent (14%) of Pennsylvania voters share a very favorable opinion of Casey, while 15% view him very unfavorably. Smith is seen very favorably by 15% and very unfavorably by 12%. But 27% don’t know enough about Smith, a political newcomer, to express any opinion of him. By contrast, just nine percent (9%) have no opinion of Casey.