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- Scott Brown (R) 49% {49%}
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 48% {45%}
Among Independents
- Scott Brown (R) 58% {58%}
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 39% {35%}
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 52% {56%}
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 46% {36%}
Among Women
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 50% {51%}
- Scott Brown (R) 45% {44%}
Among Obama Voters
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 81% {71%}
- Scott Brown (R) 16% {22%}
Among Romney Voters
- Scott Brown (R) 97% {93%}
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 2% {6%}
Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted October 31 - November 3, 2012 by Princeton Survey Research Associates. The margin of error is +/- 4.1
percentage points. Party ID: 29% {28%} Democrat; 11% {11%}
Republican; 54% {56%} Independent. Results from
the poll conducted September 13-17, 2012 are in curly brackets.
Inside the numbers:
Sixty percent of Bay State voters now have an unfavorable view of Romney.
In a University of Massachusetts at Lowell/Herald poll last December, Romney was viewed favorably by 40 percent of Bay State voters and unfavorably by 48 percent. But the campaign apparently has taken a toll on the Republican nominee on his home turf.
Obama’s popularity, meanwhile, has not changed in the past year, the poll shows.
In the new survey, conducted Sept. 13-17, Obama is viewed favorably by 60 percent of voters, with just 34 percent viewing him unfavorably. Those numbers are virtually the same as the UMass-Lowell poll last December.
Likely Voters
- Scott Brown (R) 49%
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 45%
Among Independents
- Scott Brown (R) 58% [53%]
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 35% [37%]
Among Men
- Scott Brown (R) 56%
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 36%
Among Women
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 51% [51%]
- Scott Brown (R) 44% [35%]
Among Obama Voters
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 71%
- Scott Brown (R) 22%
Among Romney Voters
- Scott Brown (R) 93%
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 6%
Registered Voters
- Scott Brown (R) 50% [42%] (41%)
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 44% [49%] (38%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Scott Brown 57% [48%] (52%) / 29% [35%] (29%) {+28%}
- Elizabeth Warren 48% [34%] (30%) / 34% [27%] (18%) {+14%}
Among Independents
- Scott Brown 66% [59%] (59%) / 22% [24%] (24%) {+44%}
- Elizabeth Warren 45% [28%] (24%) / 40% [31%] (19%) {+5%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Brown is handling his job as U.S. Senator?
- Approve 58% [45%] (53%)
- Disapprove 26% [36%] (29%)
Among Independents
- Approve 65% [55%] (60%)
- Disapprove 19% [27%] (22%)
In general, do you think Scott Brown’s political views are too conservative, too liberal or about right?
- Too liberal 6% [7%] (11%)
- Too conservative 24% [29%] (29%)
- About right 56% [45%] (49%)
In general, do you think Elizabeth Warren’s political views are too conservative, too liberal or about right?
- Too liberal 30% [25%]
- Too conservative 3% [2%]
- About right 49% [40%]
Do you think that as U.S. Senator, Scott Brown has compromised with Democrats too much, not enough or about the right amount?
- Too much 4% (8%)
- Not enough 27% (32%)
- About the right amount 55% (50%)
Regardless of how you may vote for U.S. Senate next year, who do you think would do a better job of looking out for the economic interests of middle class families?
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 46% (43%)
- Scott Brown (R) 44% (33%)
On social issues such as gay marriage and abortion, in general would you describe your views as:
- Liberal 48%
- Moderate 28%
- Conservative 17%
On fiscal issues such as taxes and spending, in general would you describe your views as:
- Liberal 20%
- Moderate 45%
- Conservative 33%
Survey of 524 registered voters, including a subsample of 497 likely voters, was conducted September 13-17, 2012 by Princeton Survey Research Associates. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 5.5 percentage points among likely voters. Party ID (among likely voters) 28% Democrat; 11% Republican; 56% Independent. Party ID (among registered voters) 28% Democrat; 12% Republican; 56% Independent. Results from
the poll conducted December 1-6, 2011 are in square brackets. Results from
the poll conducted September 22-28, 2011 are in parentheses.
Inside the numbers:
The GOP incumbent holds a 20-point lead among male voters, a huge advantage heading down the stretch. Warren, however, has not built up a similar advantage among female voters, holding just a seven-point lead over Brown. In the Dec. 2011 poll, Warren held an 18-point lead among women.
UMass Lowell/Boston Herald Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 49% (38%)
- Scott Brown (R) 42% (41%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
- Scott Brown 48% (52%) / 35% (29%) {+13%}
- Elizabeth Warren 34% (30%) / 27% (18%) {+7%}
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Scott Brown is handling his job as U.S. senator?
- Approve 45% (53%)
- Disapprove 36% (29%)
In general, do you think Scott Brown's political views are too conservative, too liberal or about right?
- Too liberal 7% (11%)
- Too conservative 29% (29%)
- About right 45% (49%)
In general, do you think Elizabeth Warren’s political views are too conservative, too liberal or about right?
- Too liberal 25%
- Too conservative 2%
- About right 40%
Do you support, oppose or feel neutral about the Tea Party political movement?
- Support 18% (14%)
- Oppose 42% (42%)
- Neutral 29% (36%)
Do you support, oppose or feel neutral about the Occupy Wall Street political movement?
- Support 26%
- Oppose 34%
- Neutral 29%
On social issues such as gay marriage and abortion, in general would you describe your views as liberal, moderate or conservative?
- Liberal 43%
- Moderate 29%
- Conservative 21%
On fiscal issues such as taxes and spending, in general would you describe your views as liberal, moderate or conservative?
- Liberal 16%
- Moderate 44%
- Conservative 34%
Survey of 505 registered voters was conducted December 1-6, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 22-28, 2011 are in parentheses.
UMass Lowell/Boston Herald Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll
-
Scott Brown (R) 41%
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 38%
Has U.S. Senator Scott Brown been an 'independent voice' for Massachusetts?
Are Scott Brown's political views too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
- Too liberal 11%
- Too conservative 29%
- About right 49%
Survey of 1,005 registered voters was conducted September 22-28, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points.