Saturday, August 13, 2016

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Colorado 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 46% (43%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 32% (35%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (39%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 29% (33%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 15% (13%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 6% (4%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 36% (34%) / 59% (62%) {-23%}
  • Donald Trump 26% (27%) / 69% (67%) {-43%}
Survey of 899 registered voters was conducted August 4-10, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 46% (44%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 33% (35%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (41%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 31% (34%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 12% (10%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 5% (2%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 38% (37%) / 56% (58%) {-18%}
  • Donald Trump 29% (29%) / 66% (65%) {-37%}
Survey of 897 registered voters was conducted August 4-10, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 44% [44%] (49%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 39% [37%] (41%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% [41%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 36% [36%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9% [7%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 4% [4%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 40% (37%) / 54% (58%) {-14%}
  • Donald Trump 31% (34%) / 62% (61%) {-31%}
Survey of 862 registered voters was conducted August 4-10, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5-11, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2016 are in parentheses.

Friday, August 12, 2016

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) South Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 41% {47%} [50%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% {42%} [39%] 
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2%
Among Men

  • Donald Trump (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Donald Trump (R) 36%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2%
Among Whites
  • Donald Trump (R) 57%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 20%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Among Blacks
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 80%
  • Donald Trump (R) 5%
  • Jill Stein (G) 3%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 2%
Survey of 1,290 South Carolina voters was conducted August 9-10, 2016 on behalf of the South Carolina Democratic Party. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 7-8, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 3-6, 2015 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Opinion Savvy (R) Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Opinion Savvy (R) Florida 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45.2%
  • Donald Trump (R) 44.3%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5.9%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1.2%
  • Undecided 3.4%
Survey of 622 likely voters was conducted August 10, 2016 for Fox 13 Tampa Bay. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points.

Thursday, August 11, 2016

Poll Watch: KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Texas 2016 Presidential Survey

KTVT-CBS 11/Dixie Strategies Texas 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Donald Trump (R) 46.27%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35.46% 
  • Another candidate 9.04% 
  • Undecided 9.23% 
Survey of 1,018 likely voters was conducted August 8-9, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {43%} [50%] (47%) {47%} [46%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% {39%} [36%] (41%) {41%} [44%]
Survey of 802 registered New Hampshire voters was conducted August 5-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 22-23, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 4-6, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 30 - December 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 16-18, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 21-24, 2015 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (44%) [44%] {42%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 43% (45%) [46%] {48%}
Survey of 938 registered voters was conducted August 5-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2016 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-25, 2016 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-13, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 41.4%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40.0%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 29%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Donald Trump (R) 36%
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Donald Trump (R) 37.0%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35.8%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5.8%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2.8%
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted August 8-10, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {44%} [38%] (38%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% {40%} [40%] (37%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 8% {6%} [9%] (8%) 
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% {3%}
  • Some other candidate 4% {3%} [8%]
  • Undecided 3% {4%} [4%]
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted August 9-10, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Clinton continues to earn more support among voters in her party (82%) than Trump does in his (74%). But the GOP nominee still holds a slight lead – 37% to 32% - among voters not affiliated with either major political party. Both Clinton and Trump draw just over 10% support from voters in the opposing party.
Johnson has nine percent (9%) GOP support, three percent (3%) of the Democratic vote and 15% of unaffiliated voters. Stein gets the votes of one percent (1%) of Republicans, one percent (1%) of Democrats and three percent (3%) of unaffiliateds.
Clinton leads by 12 points among women, while Trump has a five-point advantage among men. The Democrat has a double-digit lead among those under 40. Trump is ahead only slightly among older voters.
Trump gets 20% black support to Clinton’s 72%. She also leads by 13 among other minority voters, while her GOP rival is ahead by six points among whites.

Wednesday, August 10, 2016

Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Donald Trump (R) 44%
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (49%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% (37%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9% (9%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 4%
National survey of 749 likely voters was conducted August 5-8, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 10-13, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (44.7%) {45.8%} [47.1%] (47%) {46.7%} [49.8%] (51.1%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% (40.6%) {36.9%} [36.6%] (37%) {38.3%} [36.4%] (35.4%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (43.2%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 34% (37.3%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9% (8.2%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 3% (2.4%)
Survey of 683 likely Wisconsin voters was conducted August 4-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 6-9, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 24-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 18-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

The candidates for President are Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [43%] (41%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 41% [43%] (43%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7% [4%] (3%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% [2%] (2%)
  • Undecided 8% [7%] (11%)
If you had to choose between just Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [47%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% [48%] (47%) {42%} [44%] (45%) {47%} [48%] (47%) {45%} [44%]
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 57% [55%] (54%) {50%} [52%] (55%) {50%} [53%] (55%) {54%} (53%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [40%] (36%) {39%} [37%] (34%) {40%} [40%] (35%) {32%} (41%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [52%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (52%) {47%} [45%] (47%) {50%} (53%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 35% [43%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (36%) {43%} [44%] (40%) {36%} (36%)
Survey of 830 likely North Carolina voters was conducted August 5-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 20-21, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 5-7, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 23-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 12-16, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [45%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% [36%] (39%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [43%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 36% [35%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9% [8%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 3% [2%]
Survey of 834 registered voters was conducted August 3-7, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 18-20, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [39%] (48%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% [39%] (42%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [38%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 35% [35%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 12% [9%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 4% [3%]
Survey of 889 registered voters was conducted August 3-7, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.Results from the poll conducted July 5-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {42%} [48%] (41%) {43%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% {39%} [40%] (48%) {48%
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% {37%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 35% {37%}
  • Gary Johnson (L) 12% {7%}
  • Jill Stein (G) 6% {4%}
Survey of 899 registered voters was conducted August 3-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5-10, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 2-7, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23-30, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 26 - September 2, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll

If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [41%] (40%) {39%} [42%] (43%) {43%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {38%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 51% [47%] (49%) {51%} [53%] (55%) {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [33%] (32%) {36%} [35%] (32%) {37%}
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [48%] (48%) {43%} [49%] (53%) {48%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% [35%] (31%) {36%} [36%] (30%) {32%}
If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [36%] (38%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% [37%] (36%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 8% [7%] (8%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 3% [6%] (3%) 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 40% [35%] (35%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} / 55% [60%] (59%) {62%} [57%] (56%) {54%} {-15%}
  • Donald Trump 34% [34%] (32%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {32%} / 58% [59%] (59%) {57%} [59%] (58%) {54%} {-24%}
Survey of 812 likely Ohio voters was conducted July 30 - August 7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% [30%] (34%) {29%} [33%] (32%) {30%} Democrat; 30% [30%] (27%) {30%} [33%] (28%) {27%} Republican; 29% [34%] (33%) {34%} [26%] (32%) {35%} Independent; 7% [6%] (7%) {7%} [7%] (7%) {8%} Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 11, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 8, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-20, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [41%] (42%) {43%} [45%] (44%) {45%} 
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% [43%] (41%) {42%} [42%] (42%) {40%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 49% [48%] (50%) {54%} [49%] (47%) {48%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [37%] (33%) {33%} [36%] (38%) {35%}
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% [43%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%) {54%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 36% [39%] (34%) {32%} [35%] (37%) {32%}
If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [34%] (39%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% [40%] (36%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7% [9%] (9%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 3% [3%] (4%) 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 
  • Hillary Clinton 44% [31%] (41%) {37%} [35%] (41%) {38%} / 51% [65%] (56%) {58%} [59%] (54%) {55%} {-7%}
  • Donald Trump 36% [38%] (35%) {39%} [32%] (36%) {34%} / 57% [57%] (60%) {55%} [60%] (56%) {55%} {-21%}
Survey of 815 likely Pennsylvania voters was conducted July 30 - August 7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 11, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 8, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Tuesday, August 09, 2016

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll

If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [39%] (47%) {43%} [46%] (41%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% [42%] (39%) {42%} [41%] (43%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 51% [50%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (51%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [29%] (41%) {36%} [40%] (34%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [48%] (52%) {48%} [51%] (48%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% [36%] (34%) {35%} [35%] (37%)
If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [36%] (42%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 43% [41%] (36%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7% [7%] (7%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 3% [4%] (3%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Donald Trump 39% [38%] (33%) {37%} [35%] (36%) / 54% [54%] (61%) {57%} [57%] (50%) {-15%}
  • Hillary Clinton 39% [35%] (39%) {37%} [44%] (37%) / 55% [59%] (53%) {57%} [51%] (55%) {-16%}
Survey of 1,056 likely Florida voters was conducted July 30 - August 7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 34% [29%] (33%) {32%} [33%] (30%) Democrat; 31% [31%] (31%) {32%} [29%] (32%) Republican; 30% [32%] (30%) {31%} [32%] (29%) Independent; 5% [7%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (9%) Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 11, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 8, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in parentheses.

Monday, August 08, 2016

Poll Watch: Dan Jones & Associates Utah 2016 Presidential Survey

Dan Jones & Associates Utah 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 25% (27%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 16% (10%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 1% (2%)
  • Other 14% (18%)
  • Don't know 7% (8%)
Survey of 858 likely voters was conducted July 18 - August 4, 2016 for UtahPolicy.com.  The margin of error is +/- 3.34 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 8-17, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {45%} [44%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% {43%} [37%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7% {5%} [9%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% {1%} [4%]
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9%
  • Jill Stein (G) 3%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
  • Donald Trump (R) 27%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 42% {35%} / 49% {54%} {-7%}
  • Donald Trump 28% {33%} / 61% {54%} {-33%}
National survey of 683 likely voters was conducted August 4-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted July 14-16, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 15-19, 2016 are in square brackets.

Sunday, August 07, 2016

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Donald Trump (R) 41%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4%
  • Jill Stein (G) 3%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Donald Trump (R) 34%
  • Jill Stein (G) 5%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 2%
Among Whites
  • Donald Trump (R) 50%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Among Hispanics
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
  • Donald Trump (R) 22%
  • Jill Stein (G) 8%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 0%
Survey of 993 likely voters was conducted August 2-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Arizona 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 3%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Donald Trump (R) 39%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4%
  • Jill Stein (G) 0%
Among Whites
  • Donald Trump (R) 53%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 0%
Among Hispanics
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 67%
  • Donald Trump (R) 13%
  • Jill Stein (G) 8%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 2%
Survey of 1,095 likely voters was conducted August 2-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Donald Trump (R) 37%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7%
  • Someone else 2%
Among Men
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Donald Trump (R) 37%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 10%
  • Someone else 3%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
  • Donald Trump (R) 37%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4%
  • Someone else 1%
Among Whites
  • Donald Trump (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9%
  • Someone else 2%
Among Blacks
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 92%
  • Donald Trump (R) 1%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 1%
  • Someone else 2%
Survey of 1,181 likely voters was conducted August 2-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {47%} [51%] (44%) {50%} [50%] (46%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% {43%} [39%] (46%) {41%} [44%] (43%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {42%} [47%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% {38%} [37%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 8% {8%} [7%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 4% {5%} [3%]
Survey of 815 registered voters was conducted August 1-4, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 27% Republican; 35% Independent. Results from the poll conducted July 11-14, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 20-23, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 16-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2015 are in parentheses.

Friday, August 05, 2016

Poll Watch: IBD/TIPP 2016 Presidential Survey

IBD/TIPP 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (44%) {45%} [47%] (47%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% (40%) {40%} [40%] (35%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (37%) {39%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 35% (36%) {35%}
  • Gary Johnson (L) 12% (9%) {11%}
  • Jill Stein (G) 5% (5%)
National survey of 851 registered voters was conducted July 29 - August 4, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 24-29, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 5, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 22-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 2, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Atlanta Journal-Constitution Georgia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 44% (41%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 40% (45%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 46% (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 37% (39%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 51% (44%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 35% (42%)
Among Whites
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 60% (67%)
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 23% (19%)
Among Blacks
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 83% (81%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 5% (9%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 41%
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 38%
  • Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 11%
  • Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (G) 2%
Survey of 847 registered Georgia voters was conducted August 1-4, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2016 are in parentheses.

Thursday, August 04, 2016

Poll Watch: WBUR/MassINC New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 51% (44%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 34% (42%)
Among Men
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (36%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 41% (53%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% (52%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 27% (32%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Donald Trump (R) 32%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 8%
  • Jill Stein (G) 3%
Survey of 609 likely voters was conducted July 29 - August 1, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted May 12-15, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 47% {46%} [46%] (46%) {50%} [51%] (51%) {50%} [50%] {49%}
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 38% {41%} [41%] (43%) {39%} [38%] (41%) {40%} [42%] {39%}
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {41%} [39%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 34% {35%} [38%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 10% {11%} [10%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 5% {6%} [6%] 
Survey of 800 registered voters was conducted July 31 - August 3, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 9-13, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 19-23, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 10-14, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-13, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 25-29, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-24, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 National Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 48% [42%] (50%) {56%} [54%]
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 33% [39%] (41%) {41%} [38%]
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [40%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 31% [35%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 10% [10%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 6% [5%]
National survey of 983 registered voters was conducted August 1-3, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5-9, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 29 - November 4, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-28, 2015 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47.8%
  • Donald Trump (R) 41.6%
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.2%
  • Donald Trump (R) 38.8%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 3.8%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2.6%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 43.8% / 50.0% {-6.2%}
  • Donald Trump 36.6% / 54.0% {-17.4%}
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted August 1-3, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [38%] (38%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% [40%] (37%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6% [9%] (8%) 
  • Jill Stein (G) 3%
  • Some other candidate 3% [8%]
  • Undecided 4% [4%]
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted August 1-2, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Seventy-two percent (72%) of Republicans now support Trump, down from 86% a week ago, while Clinton’s support among Democrats has risen from 79% last week to 82% this week. Fourteen percent (14%) of Republicans now prefer Clinton, while 11% of Democrats support Trump.
Trump once again leads Clinton among voters not affiliated with either party 41% to 29% after Clinton held a five-point lead a week ago.
Johnson draws support from three percent (3%) of Republicans, two percent (2%) of Democrats and 14% of voters not affiliated with either party. Stein picks up five percent (5%) of the vote from unaffiliateds and just two percent (2%) support each from Republicans and Democrats.
Clinton leads Trump 50% to 32% among women this week, a significantly larger gap from last week. Trump leads 49% to 37% among men, also a noticeable jump from a week ago.

Poll Watch: Franklin & Marshall College Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (46%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% (33%)
Survey of 389 likely Pennsylvania registered voters was conducted July 29 - August 1, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 6.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 14-20, 2016 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, August 03, 2016

Poll Watch: Detroit News/WDIV-TV Michigan 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43.4% (43.0%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 36.5% (38.5%)
Including Third-Party Candidates: 
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41.0% (36.8%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 31.6% (32.7%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7.5% (11.5%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 3.4%
Survey of 600 likely voters was conducted July 30 - August 1, 2016 by the Glengariff Group.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 24-26, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 49% {44%} [42%] (42%) {48%} [49%] (47%) {44%} [49%] (41%) [40%] [46%] (47%) {51%}
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 39% {38%} [39%] (45%) {41%} [38%] (42%) {47%} [38%] (46%) [45%] [42%] (42%) {34%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 45% {46%} [48%] (55%) {51%} [43%] (49%)
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 40% {36%} [33%] (33%) {40%} [43%] (39%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 57% {51%} [50%] (50%) {55%} [53%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 34% {32%} [32%] (36%) {33%} [34%] (35%)
How would you vote if the candidates were:
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 44% {41%} [39%] (39%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 35% {36%} [36%] (42%)
  • Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 12% {10%} [12%] (10%) 
National survey of 1,022 registered voters was conducted July 31 - August 2, 2016 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 5-8, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 14-17, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 11-13, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 20-22, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 15-17, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 4-7, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-17, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 16-19, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 20-22, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 11-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 21-23, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Tuesday, August 02, 2016

Poll Watch: Rasmussen Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (38%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% (43%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 10% (8%)
Survey of 750 likely voters was conducted July 29-31, 2016 for KTNV-TV 13 Action News. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 22-24, 2016 are in parentheses.

Monday, August 01, 2016

Poll Watch: Landmark Communications/RosettaStone (R) Georgia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 45.9% [45.5%] (42.3%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45.7% [44.2%] (41.4%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4.2% [5.2%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 1.2% [2.5%]
Among Whites
  • Donald Trump (R) 65.0% [67.6%] (60.8%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 25.4% [21.3%] (25.1%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5.4% [6.0%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 1.0% [3.5%]
Among Blacks
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 83.6% [87.6%] (73.1%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 11.3% [6.2%] (9.4%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 1.9% [0.6%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 0.6% [2.5%]
Survey of 787 likely Georgia voters was conducted August 1, 2016 for WSB-TV. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 24, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 5, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Poll

Suppose that the presidential election were being held today and you had to choose between Hillary Clinton and Tim Kaine as the Democratic Party’s candidates, and Donald Trump and Mike Pence as the Republican Party’s candidates. Who would you be more likely to vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 52% [45%] (49%) {47%} [54%] (53%) {52%} [48%] (49%) {49%} [50%] (48%) {51%} [56%] (59%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 43% [48%] (42%) {42%} [41%] (41%) {44%} [47%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (48%) {45%} [40%] (35%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 51% [52%] (47%) {46%} [47%] (50%) {54%} [57%] (47%) {53%} [49%] (56%) {53%} [46%] (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 44% [40%] (44%) {42%} [47%] (45%) {41%} [39%] (48%) {43%} [46%] (41%) {42%} [50%] (57%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 59% [50%] (52%) {53%} [61%] (60%) {62%} [57%] (50%) {55%} [53%] (55%) {60%} [62%] (61%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 36% [44%] (38%) {38%} [35%] (33%) {34%} [37%] (46%) {40%} [41%] (41%) {37%} [34%] (34%)
Among Whites
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 55% [57%] (52%) {51%} [52%] (48%) {57%} [57%] (55%) {58%} [54%] (57%) {55%} [50%] (44%)
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 41% [36%] (39%) {38%} [43%] (44%) {39%} [38%] (40%) {37%} [40%] (40%) {41%} [46%] (48%)
Among Non-Whites
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 83% [69%] (69%) {71%} [81%] (74%) {80%} [72%] (71%) {76%} [72%] (67%) {71%} [75%] (82%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 12% [23%] (21%) {19%} [14%] (22%) {15%} [22%] (25%) {21%} [25%] (28%) {24%} [21%] (15%) 
Now suppose that the presidential candidates on the ballot in your state included Hillary Clinton as the Democratic Party’s candidate, Donald Trump as the Republican Party’s candidate, Gary Johnson as the Libertarian Party candidate, and Jill Stein as the Green Party candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [39%] (42%) {42%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% [44%] (37%) {38%}
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9% [9%] (13%) {9%}
  • Jill Stein (G) 5% [3%] (5%) {7%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [41%] (43%) {42%} [49%] (42%) {44%} / 54% [55%] (55%) {57%} [49%] (57%) {53%} {-11%}
  • Donald Trump 35% [46%] (39%) {40%} [41%] (33%) {38%} / 61% [51%] (59%) {59%} [56%] (65%) {59%} {-26%}
National survey of 894 registered voters was conducted July 29-31, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 22-24, 2016 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 13-16, 2016 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2016 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2016 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 17-21, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 27 - December 1, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-17, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 4-8, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 22-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 26-28, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [46%] (44%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% [42%] (44%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 53% [45%] (55%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [45%] (33%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [47%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% [40%] (34%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (41%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% (40%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4% (6%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% (3%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 
  • Hillary Clinton 40% (35%) / 53% (56%) {-13%}
  • Donald Trump 36% (34%) / 56% (59%) {-20%}
Survey of 1,505 likely Pennsylvania voters was conducted July 29-31, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 22-23, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CBS News 2016 National Presidential Survey

CBS News 2016 National Presidential Poll

If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (43%) {40%} [47%] (50%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 41% (44%) {40%} [41%] (40%)
If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, and Donald Trump, the Republican, and Gary Johnson, the Libertarian would you vote for Hillary Clinton or Donald Trump or Gary Johnson?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (39%) {36%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% (40%) {36%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 10% (12%) {12%} 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 36% (31%) {28%} (31%) / 50% (56%) {54%} (52%) {-14%}
  • Donald Trump 31% (34%) {30%} (24%) / 52% (53%) {54%} (57%) {-21%}
National survey of 1,131 registered voters was conducted July 29-31, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 22-24, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 8-12, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 13-17, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 17-20, 2016 are in parentheses.