Poll Watch: Emerson College Utah 2016 Presidential Survey

Emerson College Utah 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 39.8% (27.0%)
• Evan McMullin (I) 27.6% (31.3%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 19.6% (24.4%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 3.0% (4.9%)
• Jill Stein (G) 2.2% (0.4%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 40.1% (28.1%)
• Evan McMullin (I) 29.3% (31.6%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 16.6% (22.2%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 4.2% (8.0%)
• Jill Stein (G) 2.2% (0.6%)

Among Women

• Donald Trump (R) 39.4% (26.1%)
• Evan McMullin (I) 26.0% (30.9%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 22.3% (26.4%)
• Jill Stein (G) 2.1% (0.2%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 1.9% (2.1%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Donald Trump 30.6% (23.9%) / 64.2% (71.5%) {-33.6}
• Hillary Clinton 21.4% (23.2%) / 77.3% (73.9%) {-55.9}

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted November 1-2, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 17-19, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University Utah 2016 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University Utah 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 37% (34%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 31% (28%)
• Evan McMullin (I) 24% (20%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 4% (9%)
• Jill Stein (G) 1% (1%)

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 40% (42%)
  
• Hillary Clinton (D) 28% (26%)
• Evan McMullin (I) 25% (14%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 3% (10%)
• Jill Stein (G) 1% (1%)

Among Women

• Hillary Clinton (D) 34% (31%)
• Donald Trump (R) 33% (27%)
• Evan McMullin (I) 23% (26%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 5% (8%)
• Jill Stein (G) 1% (1%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Hillary Clinton 23% (25%) / 66% (69%) {-43}
• Donald Trump 22% (19%) / 67% (71%) {-45}

Survey of 402 likely voters was conducted October 30 - November 2, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted October 10-12, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Tribune Utah 2016 Presidential Survey

Dan Jones & Associates/Salt Lake Tribune Utah 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 32% [30%] (34%) {39%} [37%] (36%)
• Evan McMullin (I) 30% [29%] (12%) {9%}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 24% [25%] (25%) {24%} [25%] (27%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 4% [4%] (13%) {13%} [16%] (10%)
• Jill Stein (G) 1% [1%] (1%) {0%} [1%] (2%)

Survey of 823 likely voters was conducted October 20-27, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.42 percentage points.Results from the poll conducted October 12-18, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 12-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted September 1-9, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18 - August 4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-17, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Emerson College Utah 2016 Presidential Survey

Emerson College Utah 2016 Presidential Poll

• Evan McMullin (I) 31.3%
• Donald Trump (R) 27.0%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 24.4%
• Gary Johnson (L) 4.9%
• Jill Stein (G) 0.4%

Among Men

• Evan McMullin (I) 31.6%
• Donald Trump (R) 28.1%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 22.2%
• Gary Johnson (L) 8.0%
• Jill Stein (G) 0.6%

Among Women

• Evan McMullin (I) 30.9%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 26.4%
• Donald Trump (R) 26.1%
• Gary Johnson (L) 2.1%
• Jill Stein (G) 0.2%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Donald Trump 23.9% / 71.5% {-47.6}
• Hillary Clinton 23.2% / 73.9% {-50.7}

Survey of 700 likely voters was conducted October 17-19, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Dan Jones & Associates Utah 2016 Presidential Survey

Dan Jones & Associates Utah 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 39% [37%] (36%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 24% [25%] (27%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 13% [16%] (10%)
• Evan McMullin (I) 9%
• Darrell Castle (C) 2%
• Jill Stein (G) 0% [1%] (2%)
• Other 6% [14%] (18%)
• Don't know 7% [7%] (8%)

Survey of 605 likely voters was conducted September 1-9, 2016 for UtahPolicy.com.  The margin of error is +/- 3.98 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 18 - August 4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-17, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Utah 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Utah 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 53%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 33%
• Not sure 14%

Among Men

• Donald Trump (R) 57%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 31%
• Not sure 12%

Among Women

• Donald Trump (R) 49%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 34%
• Not sure 16%

Among Mormons

• Donald Trump (R) 61%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 20%
• Not sure 19%

Among Non-Mormons

• Hillary Clinton (D) 57%
• Donald Trump (R) 36%
• Not sure 7%

Including Third-Party Candidates:

• Donald Trump (R) 39%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 24%
• Gary Johnson (L) 12%
• Evan McMullin (I) 9%
• Darrell Castle (C) 2%
• Jill Stein (G) 1%
• Undecided 14%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Donald Trump 31% / 61% {-30%}
• Hillary Clinton  23% / 72% {-49%}

Survey of 1,018 likely voters was conducted August 19-21, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Women 53%; Men 47%. Mormon: 65%; Non-Mormon 35%.

Poll Watch: Dan Jones & Associates Utah 2016 Presidential Survey

Dan Jones & Associates Utah 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 37% (36%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 25% (27%)
• Gary Johnson (L) 16% (10%)
• Jill Stein (G) 1% (2%)
• Other 14% (18%)
• Don't know 7% (8%)

Survey of 858 likely voters was conducted July 18 - August 4, 2016 for UtahPolicy.com.  The margin of error is +/- 3.34 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 8-17, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Utah 2016 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Utah 2016 Presidential Poll

If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump, who would you vote for?

• Donald Trump (R) 36%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 29%
• Other 35%

If you had to vote today in a match-up between Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump and Gary Johnson, who would you vote for?

• Donald Trump (R) 29%
• Hillary Clinton (D) 26%
• Gary Johnson (L) 16%
• Other 29%

Survey of 1,519 registered voters was conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 2.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Deseret News/KSL-TV Utah 2012 Presidential Survey

Deseret News/KSL-TV Utah 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 69% (68%)
• Barack Obama 26% (26%)
• Other 3% (4%)
• Undecided 2% (2%)

Survey of 870 registered voters was conducted October 26 - November 1, 2012, by Dan Jones & Associates. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 15-21, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon Utah 4th Congressional District Survey

Mason-Dixon Utah 4th Congressional District Poll

• Mia Love (R) 52%
• Jim Matheson (D) 40%

Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted October 29-31, 2012 for The Salt Lake Tribune. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. 

Inside the numbers: 

Matheson is trailing badly among women, who favor Love — Matheson’s first female challenger — by a 54 percent to 38 percent margin, according to the Tribune poll. Matheson has routinely won by double digits among women voters.

Of the nearly 291,000 active voters in the 4th District, more than 78,000 have already cast ballots, either by early voting in person or by mail. Half those are Republicans, 37 percent are unaffiliated and 12 percent are Democrats.

Poll Watch: Deseret News/KSL Utah 4th Congressional District Survey

Deseret News/KSL Utah 4th Congressional District Poll

• Mia Love (R) 49%
• Jim Matheson (D) 43%
• Undecided 8%

Survey of 414 registered voters was conducted September 26-29, 2012, by Dan Jones & Associates. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Deseret News/KSL-TV Utah 2012 Presidential Survey

Deseret News/KSL-TV Utah 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 68%
• Barack Obama 26%
• Other 4%
• Don't know 2%

Survey of 1,222 registered voters was conducted June 15-21, 2012, by Dan Jones & Associates. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.

This Week Green Room: Battle Over Super PACs

Poll Watch: Deseret News/KSL-TV Utah 2012 Presidential Survey

Deseret News/KSL-TV Utah 2012 Presidential Poll

Of all the candidates running, whom would you favor for president in November?

• Mitt Romney 66%
• Barack Obama 20%
• Ron Paul 5%
• Rick Santorum 4%
• Newt Gingrich 1%
• Other 1%
• Don't know 3%

Who will win the Republican presidential nomination?

• Mitt Romney 85%
• Rick Santorum 3%
• Newt Gingrich 2%
• Ron Paul 1%
• Other 2%
• Don't know 7%

From what you know or have heard, can President Barack Obama be defeated by:

Mitt Romney

• Yes 71%
• No 22%

Rick Santorum

• Yes 22%
• No 65%

Newt Gingrich

• Yes 16%
• No 75%

Ron Paul

• Yes 7%
• No 84%

Survey of 406 registered voters was conducted February 29 - March 1, 2012, by Dan Jones & Associates. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

Jon Huntsman 2012 Ad: "#1 vs. #47"

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon/Salt Lake Tribune Utah 2012 Senatorial Survey

Mason-Dixon/Salt Lake Tribune Utah 2012 Senate Poll

Republican Primary

• Orrin Hatch 49%
• Jason Chaffetz 39%
• Undecided 12%

General Election

• Orrin Hatch 48%
• Jim Matheson 43%
• Undecided 9%

• Jason Chaffetz 49%
• Jim Matheson 43%
• Undecided 8%

Survey of 625 registered Utah voters, including a subsample of 305 Republican voters, was conducted August 8-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points; +/- 5.7 percentage points among Republican voters.

Follow @ArgoJournal

Poll Watch: Mason-Dixon/Salt Lake Tribune Utah 2012 Republican Primary Survey

Mason-Dixon/Salt Lake Tribune Utah 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Mitt Romney 71%
• Jon Huntsman 13%
• Ron Paul 4%
• Rick Perry 3%
• Tim Pawlenty 2%
• Michele Bachmann 1%
• Sarah Palin 1%
• Someone else 1%
• Unsure 5%

Survey of 305 registered Republican voters was conducted August 8-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points.

Follow @ArgoJournal

PPP (D) Utah Political Survey

PPP (D) Utah Political Survey

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Mike Lee's job performance?

• Approve 35%
• Disapprove 31%

Among Republicans

• Approve 53%
• Disapprove 12%

Among Independents

• Approve 24%
• Disapprove 44%

Among Democrats

• Approve 6%
• Disapprove 60%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bob Bennett?

• Favorable 48%
• Unfavorable 34%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rob Bishop?

• Favorable 32%
• Unfavorable 30%

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 27%
• Illegal 66%

Among Mormons

• Legal 13%
• Illegal 81%

Among Non-Mormons

• Legal 63%
• Illegal 29%

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 23%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 37%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 39%

Among Republicans

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 4%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 38%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 57%

Among Independents

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 30%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 39%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 28%

Among Democrats

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 58%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 29%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 12%

Among Mormons

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 9%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 41%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 49%

Among Non-Mormons

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 58%
• Gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not marry 26%
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 15%

Do you think interracial marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 88%
• Illegal 5%
• Not sure 7%

Do you think polygamy should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 14%
• Illegal 75%
• Not sure 10%

Are you a Mormon or another religion?

• Mormon 70%
• Another religion 30%

What college do you most root for in sports: Brigham Young, Southern Utah, Utah, Utah State, Utah Valley, or Weber State?

• BYU 35%
• Utah 33%
• Utah State 11%
• Southern Utah 5%
• Weber State 4%
• Utah Valley 1%

Among Mormons

• BYU 48%
• Utah 21%
• Utah State 14%
• Southern Utah 4%
• Weber State 4%
• Utah Valley 2%

Among Non-Mormons

• Utah 61%
• Southern Utah 7%
• Utah State 6%
• Weber State 3%
• BYU 3%
• Utah Valley 1%

Survey of 732 Utah voters was conducted July 8-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 50% Republican; 22% Democrat; 28% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% Somewhat conservative; 25% Moderate; 23% Very conservative; 14% Somewhat liberal; 8% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Utah 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Utah 2012 Presidential Survey

• Jon Huntsman 63%
• Barack Obama 23%

• Mitt Romney 63%
• Barack Obama 31%

• Michele Bachmann 49%
• Barack Obama 35%

• Tim Pawlenty 45%
• Barack Obama 34%

• Herman Cain 43%
• Barack Obama 36%

• Sarah Palin 43%
• Barack Obama 41%

Among Mormons

• Mitt Romney 78%
• Barack Obama 17%

• Jon Huntsman 72%
• Barack Obama 12%

• Michele Bachmann 59%
• Barack Obama 21%

• Tim Pawlenty 55%
• Barack Obama 20%

• Herman Cain 52%
• Barack Obama 23%

• Sarah Palin 52%
• Barack Obama 27%

Among Non-Mormons

• Barack Obama 48%
• Jon Huntsman 39%

• Barack Obama 65%
• Mitt Romney 25%

• Barack Obama 67%
• Michele Bachmann 24%

• Barack Obama 68%
• Tim Pawlenty 22%

• Barack Obama 68%
• Herman Cain 21%

• Barack Obama 72%
• Sarah Palin 21%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 63% / 29% {+34%}
• Jon Huntsman 54% / 36% {+18%}
• Herman Cain 19% / 33% {-14%}
• Michele Bachmann 29% / 44% {-15%}
• Tim Pawlenty 17% / 38% {-21%}
• Sarah Palin 32% / 58% {-26%}

Among Mormons

• Mitt Romney 79% / 15% {+64%}
• Jon Huntsman 50% / 40% {+10%}
• Michele Bachmann 32% / 37% {-5%}
• Herman Cain 21% / 29% {-8%}
• Sarah Palin 40% / 49% {-9%}
• Tim Pawlenty 19% / 34% {-15%}

Among Non-Mormons

• Jon Huntsman 65% / 26% {+39%}
• Herman Cain 15% / 44% {-29%}
• Tim Pawlenty 15% / 49% {-34%}
• Mitt Romney 25% / 63% {-38%}
• Michele Bachmann 22% / 62% {-40%}
• Sarah Palin 14% / 79% {-65%}

Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 32%
• Disapprove 62%

Among Mormons

• Approve 18%
• Disapprove 76%

Among Non-Mormons

• Approve 66%
• Disapprove 29%

Are you a Mormon or another religion?

• Mormon 70%
• Another religion 30%

Survey of 732 Utah voters was conducted July 8-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 50% Republican; 22% Democrat; 28% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 29% Somewhat conservative; 25% Moderate; 23% Very conservative; 14% Somewhat liberal; 8% Very liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Utah 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Utah 2012 GOP Primary Survey

• Mitt Romney 63%
• Jon Huntsman 10%
• Michele Bachmann 6%
• Sarah Palin 5%
• Herman Cain 4%
• Rick Perry 4%
• Ron Paul 4%
• Newt Gingrich 3%
• Tim Pawlenty 1%

If you had to choose just between Jon Huntsman and Mitt Romney as the Republican nominee, who would be your pick?

• Mitt Romney 82%
• Jon Huntsman 14%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 83% / 13% {+70%}
• Michele Bachmann 40% / 28% {+12%}
• Sarah Palin 47% / 42% {+5%}
• Herman Cain 28% / 24% {+4%}
• Jon Huntsman 43% / 46% {-3%}
• Tim Pawlenty 24% / 29% {-5%}

Are you a Mormon or another religion?

• Mormon 86%
• Another religion 14%

Survey of 406 usual Utah Republican primary voters was conducted July 8-10, 2011. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 44% Somewhat conservative; 38% Very conservative; 13% Moderate; 3% Somewhat liberal; 2% Very liberal.