Tuesday, June 16, 2015

Poll Watch: Suffolk University New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Suffolk University New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 40.8%
  • Bernie Sanders 31.2%
  • Joe Biden 7.4%
  • Martin O'Malley 3.0%
  • Jim Webb 1.2%
  • Lincoln Chafee 0.6%
  • Other 0.4%
  • Undecided 15.4%
Survey of 500 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted June 11-15, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Monday, June 15, 2015

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Monmouth University 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Ben Carson 11% (7%)
  • Scott Walker 10% (11%)
  • Jeb Bush 9% (13%)
  • Marco Rubio 9% (5%)
  • Mike Huckabee 8% (9%)
  • Rand Paul 6% (6%)
  • Ted Cruz 5% (11%)
  • Chris Christie 4% (5%)
  • Rick Perry 4% (5%)
  • Rick Santorum 3% (1%)
  • Carly Fiorina 2% (1%)
  • Lindsey Graham 2% (1%)
  • Donald Trump 2% (7%) 
  • Bobby Jindal 1% (1%)
  • John Kasich 1% (1%)
  • George Pataki 0% (0%)
  • No one (vol.) 2% (2%)
  • Undecided (vol.) 20% (14%)
National survey of 351 registered voters who identify themselves as Republicans or lean toward the Republican Party was conducted June 11-14, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 2, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Morning Consult South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Morning Consult South Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 56%
  • Joe Biden 15%
  • Bernie Sanders 10%
  • Martin O'Malley 3%
  • Jim Webb 2%
  • Lincoln Chafee 1%
  • Someone else 2%
  • Don't know/No opinion/Refused 11%
Survey of 309 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted May 31 - June 8, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Sunday, June 14, 2015

Poll Watch: Morning Consult South Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Morning Consult South Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Lindsey Graham 14%
  • Ben Carson 12%
  • Jeb Bush 11%
  • Scott Walker 10%
  • Marco Rubio 8%
  • Mike Huckabee 7%
  • Ted Cruz 6%
  • Rand Paul 5%
  • Chris Christie 5% 
  • Donald Trump 2%
  • Carly Fiorina 1%
  • Someone else 2%
  • Don't know/No opinion/Refused 16%
Survey of 389 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 31 - June 8, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Morning Consult Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Morning Consult Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 54%
  • Bernie Sanders 12%
  • Joe Biden 9%
  • Martin O'Malley 1%
  • Jim Webb 1%
  • Lincoln Chafee 0%
  • Someone else 3%
  • Don't know/No opinion/Refused 20%
Survey of 322 likely Democratic caucus-goers was conducted May 31 - June 8, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Morning Consult Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Morning Consult Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
  • Scott Walker 18%
  • Jeb Bush 10%
  • Mike Huckabee 10%
  • Rand Paul 10%
  • Chris Christie 6% 
  • Marco Rubio 6%
  • Ben Carson 5%
  • Donald Trump 5%
  • Ted Cruz 4%
  • Carly Fiorina 2%
  • Someone else 3%
  • Don't know/No opinion/Refused 21%
Survey of 265 likely Republican caucus-goers was conducted May 31 - June 8, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Morning Consult New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Morning Consult New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 44%
  • Bernie Sanders 32%
  • Joe Biden 8%
  • Martin O'Malley 2%
  • Jim Webb 1%
  • Lincoln Chafee 0%
  • Someone else 1%
  • Don't know/No opinion 11%
Survey of 279 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted May 31 - June 8, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 6 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Morning Consult New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Morning Consult New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Jeb Bush 14%
  • Scott Walker 10%
  • Rand Paul 9%
  • Donald Trump 8%
  • Marco Rubio 8%
  • Chris Christie 7%
  • Ben Carson 6%
  • Mike Huckabee 6%
  • Carly Fiorina 5%
  • Ted Cruz 4%
  • Someone else 4%
  • Don't know/No opinion/Refused 19%
Survey of 349 likely Republican primary voters was conducted May 31 - June 8, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Wednesday, June 10, 2015

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll
  • John Kasich (R) 47% (35%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40% (53%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 44% (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (51%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [49%]
  • Scott Walker (R) 43% [41%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
      • Ben Carson (R) 43%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
      • Ted Cruz (R) 43%
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [45%] (50%)
      • Jeb Bush (R) 43% [40%] (36%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%)
      • Chris Christie (R) 41% (36%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 42%
      Survey of 859 Ohio voters was conducted June 4-7, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Party ID: 40% [41%] (42%) Democrat; 37% [36%] (36%) Republican; 23% [22%] (22%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted March 2-3, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Ohio 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

      • Hillary Clinton 61%
      • Bernie Sanders 13%
      • Michael Bloomberg 7% 
      • Lincoln Chafee 2%
      • Martin O'Malley 2%
      • Jim Webb 1% 
      • Not sure 13%
      Survey of 360 Democratic primary voters was conducted June 4-7, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Ideology: 36% Somewhat liberal; 28% Moderate; 22% Very liberal; 10% Somewhat conservative; 4% Very conservative.

      Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Ohio 2016 Republican Primary Survey

      • John Kasich 19% (8%)
      • Ben Carson 13%
      • Scott Walker 13%
      • Jeb Bush 12% (10%)
      • Marco Rubio 12% (9%)
      • Rand Paul 9% (17%)
      • Mike Huckabee 6%
      • Ted Cruz 5% (6%) 
      • Chris Christie 4% (17%)
      • Someone else/Not sure 8% (17%)
      Survey of 411 Republican primary voters was conducted June 4-7, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.  Political ideology: 37% (36%) Somewhat conservative; 34% (34%) Very conservative; 23% (21%) Moderate; 5% (7%) Somewhat liberal; 0% (3%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Tuesday, June 09, 2015

      Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Howie Carr Show (R) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

      Gravis Insights/Howie Carr Show (R) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
      • Jeb Bush 21% (18%) {18%} [16%] (16%)
      • Scott Walker 13% (16%) {19%} [23%] (7%)
      • Rand Paul 13% (15%) {10%} [11%] (12%)
      • Donald Trump 12%
      • Marco Rubio 9% (11%) {7%} [8%] (8%)
      • Carly Fiorina 5% (3%) {4%}
      • Ben Carson 5% (4%) {6%}
      • Mike Huckabee 5% (3%) {4%} [6%] (11%)
      • Chris Christie 4% (5%) {10%} [12%] (15%)
      • Ted Cruz 4% (10%) {6%} [6%] (12%)
      Survey of 487 registered Republican primary voters was conducted June 2-3, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 21-22, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 18-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-30, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Monday, June 08, 2015

      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

      Quinnipiac New York 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
      • Hillary Clinton 55% (51%)
      • Bernie Sanders 15% (5%)
      • Joe Biden 9% (8%)
      • Martin O'Malley 2% (1%)
      • Jim Webb 2% (1%)
      • Lincoln Chafee 1%
      Survey of 508 registered Democrats was conducted May 28 - June 1, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 11-16, 2015 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac New York 2016 Republican Primary Survey

      Quinnipiac New York 2016 GOP Primary Poll
      • George Pataki 11% (6%)
      • Marco Rubio 11% (10%)
      • Jeb Bush 10% (13%)
      • Scott Walker 7% (13%
      • Chris Christie 6% (12%)
      • Rand Paul 6% (8%)
      • Ben Carson 6% (6%)  
      • Donald Trump 6%
      • Mike Huckabee 5% (3%) 
      • Ted Cruz 3% (3%)
      • Carly Fiorina 3%
      • Rick Santorum 2% (1%)
      • Bobby Jindal 1% (1%)
      • Rick Perry 1% (1%)
      • John Kasich 1% (1%) 
      • Lindsey Graham 0% (0%)
      Survey of 356 registered Republicans was conducted May 28 - June 1, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 11-16, 2015 are in parentheses.

      Thursday, June 04, 2015

      Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

      • Mike Huckabee (R) 45% (43%) {40%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (44%) {45%}
      • Rand Paul (R) 44% (43%) {39%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (44%) {44%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (45%)
      • Marco Rubio (R) 43% (42%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (46%) {47%}
      • Scott Walker (R) 44% (41%) {41%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (43%) {43%} [42.6%] (41%)
      • Jeb Bush (R) 40% (40%) {37%} [43.5%] (41%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (44%)
      • Carly Fiorina (R) 40% (37%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%)
      • Ben Carson (R) 41% (37%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% (42%) {45%}
      • Chris Christie (R) 37% (39%) {35%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (47%)
      • Ted Cruz (R) 40% (40%)
      Survey of 1,156 registered Iowa voters was conducted May 28-29, 2015  The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 12-13, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 20-21, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 29-30, 2014 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

      Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
      • Hillary Clinton 59%
      • Bernie Sanders 15%
      • Martin O'Malley 3% 
      • Jim Webb 3% 
      • Bill de Blasio 2%
      • Lincoln Chafee 1%
      • Unsure 17%
      Survey of 434 registered Democratic voters was conducted May 28-29, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.

      Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

      Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
      • Scott Walker 17% {13%} [24%] (10%) 
      • Marco Rubio 13% {12%} [7%] (4%) 
      • Ben Carson 12% {9%} [5%]
      • Jeb Bush 10% {16%} [10%] (14%)
      • Mike Huckabee 8% {8%} [7%] (9%)
      • Ted Cruz 6% {6%} [4%] (7%)
      • Rick Santorum 6% {2%} [6%]
      • Carly Fiorina 5% {3%} [3%]
      • Chris Christie 4% {5%} [9%] (5%)  
      • Rand Paul 4% {9%} [10%] (8%)
      • Unsure 15% {17%} [15%] (18%)
      Survey of 364 registered GOP voters was conducted May 28-29, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 13, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 5-7, 2015 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

      PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% {45%} [46%] [46%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (47%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%) 
      • Rand Paul (R) 44% {45%} [43%] [41%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {43%} [45%] (46%)
      • Scott Walker (R) 45% {46%} [43%] (44%)
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [46%]
      • Marco Rubio (R) 44% {45%} [42%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {43%} [46%] {46%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [48%]
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 44% {48%} [46%] {44%} [46%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [43%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {45%} [45%] (45%) {44%}
                • Ben Carson (R) 44% {44%} [46%] (45%) {44%}
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {43%} [45%] {44%} [45%] (45%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
                • Chris Christie (R) 40% {41%} [42%] {42%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {45%} [46%]
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
                • Carly Fiorina (R) 40%
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {45%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%]
                • Jeb Bush (R) 40% {44%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%] 
                • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% {45%} [47%] [48%] (47%) (47%) {49%} [51%]
                • Ted Cruz (R) 42% {45%} [43%] [40%] (41%) (41%) {41%} [39%]
                    Survey of 561 registered North Carolina voters was conducted May 28-31, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Party ID: 42% {43%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [45%] Democrat; 36% {36%} [35%] (34%) {36%} [34%] (31%) {36%} [35%] (36%) {35%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [33%] Republican; 23% {22%} [21%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (27%) {22%} [23%] (22%) {23%} [27%] (23%) {23%} [21%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.

                    Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

                    • Hillary Clinton 62% [53%] (56%)
                    • Bernie Sanders 14% [2%] (1%)
                    • Jim Webb 5% [3%] (3%)  
                    • Lincoln Chafee 4%
                    • Martin O'Malley 4% [5%] (3%)
                    • Someone else/Undecided 12% [12%] (12%)
                    Survey of 274 Democratic primary voters was conducted May 28-31, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.9 percentage points. Ideology: 33% [31%] (38%) Moderate; 29% [33%] (27%) Somewhat liberal; 22% [21%] (21%) Very liberal; 11% [10%] (8%) Somewhat conservative; 4% [5%] (6%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

                    Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

                    PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll
                    • Jeb Bush 19% (19%) {17%} [14%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (18%) {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
                    • Rand Paul 12% (6%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [15%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
                    • Marco Rubio 12% (11%) {7%} (4%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%)
                    • Scott Walker 12% (16%) {24%} [14%] {5%} (7%) {6%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [1%] 
                    • Ted Cruz 11% (11%) {3%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [17%] (12%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%] 
                    • Mike Huckabee 10% (11%) {15%} [13%] (14%) {17%} [19%] (22%) {19%} [20%] (15%) 
                    • Ben Carson 9% (9%) {12%} [14%] (19%)
                    • Chris Christie 8% (7%) {5%} [5%] (14%) {12%} [9%] (12%) {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
                    • Carly Fiorina 2%
                    • Not sure 5% (7%) {8%} [9%] (7%) {11%} [9%] (6%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)
                    Survey of 277 Republican primary voters was conducted May 28-31, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 39% (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {37%} [35%] (32%) {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 36% (37%) {38%} [35%] (39%) {40%} [45%] (39%) {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 21% (18%) {19%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [13%] (21%) {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 4% (5%) {4%} [4%] (5%) {2%} [4%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 1% (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.