Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Nevada 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Marco Rubio (R) 43%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Donald Trump (R) 42%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
• Scott Walker (R) 41%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
• Jeb Bush (R) 37%

Survey of 677 Nevada voters was conducted July 13-14, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Party ID: 39% Democrat; 34% Republican; 27% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Monmouth University 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 51% [57%] (60%)
• Bernie Sanders 17% [12%] (7%)
• Joe Biden 13% [12%] (16%)
• Jim Webb 1% [2%] (1%)
• Martin O'Malley 1% [1%] (2%)
• Lincoln Chafee 0% [0%]
• No one (vol.) 2% [2%] (2%)
• Undecided (vol.) 15% [14%] (12%)

Survey of 357 registered voters who identify themselves as Democrats or lean toward the Democratic Party was conducted July 9-12, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 11-14, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University 2016 Presidential Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45.6%
• Jeb Bush (R) 41.9%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46.1%
• Marco Rubio (R) 40.0%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48.8%
• Mike Huckabee (R) 40.2%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47.9%
• Rand Paul (R) 37.6%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47.8%
• Scott Walker (R) 36.9%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 48.5%
• Ben Carson (R) 35.6%

• Hillary Clinton (D) 50.8%
• Donald Trump (R) 33.7%

National survey of 1,000 adults was conducted July 9-12, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: USA Today/Suffolk University 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

USA Today/Suffolk University 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Donald Trump 17.19%
• Jeb Bush 14.04%
• Scott Walker 7.74%
• Ted Cruz 5.73%
• Marco Rubio 4.87%
• Ben Carson 4.01%
• Mike Huckabee 3.72%
• Rand Paul 3.72%
• Chris Christie 3.44%
• Rick Perry 1.43%
• Bobby Jindal 1.15%
• Rick Santorum 1.15%
• Carly Fiorina 0.57%
• John Kasich 0.57%
• Lindsey Graham 0.29% 
• George Pataki 0.29%
• Other 0.57%
• Undecided 29.51%

National survey of 349 likely Republican primary/caucus voters was conducted July 9-12, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.25 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Monmouth University 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Jeb Bush 15% [9%] (13%)
• Donald Trump 13% [2%] (7%)
• Ted Cruz 9% [5%] (11%)
• Mike Huckabee 7% [8%] (9%)
• Scott Walker 7% [10%] (11%)
• Ben Carson 6% [11%] (7%)
• Rand Paul 6% [6%] (6%) 
• Marco Rubio 6% [9%] (5%)
• Chris Christie 2% [4%] (5%)
• Bobby Jindal 2% [1%] (1%)
• Rick Perry 2% [4%] (5%)
• Rick Santorum 2% [3%] (1%)
• Carly Fiorina 1% [2%] (1%)
• John Kasich 1% [1%] (1%)
• Lindsey Graham 0% [2%] (1%) 
• George Pataki 0% [0%] (0%)
• Jim Gilmore 0%
• No one (vol.) 1% [2%] (2%)
• Undecided (vol.) 18% [20%] (14%)

National survey of 336 registered voters who identify themselves as Republicans or lean toward the Republican Party was conducted July 9-12, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 11-14, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 2, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: KBUR/Monmouth College Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

KBUR/Monmouth College Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Hillary Clinton 63%
• Bernie Sanders 20%
• Martin O'Malley 5%
• Jim Webb 3%
• Lincoln Chafee 1%
• Undecided 8%

Survey of 1,000 likely Democratic caucus-goers was conducted June 27-29, 2015 by We Ask America (R). The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.

Poll Watch: KBUR/Monmouth College Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

KBUR/Monmouth College Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Scott Walker 18%
• Jeb Bush 12%
• Rand Paul 10%
• Mike Huckabee 10%
• Marco Rubio 9%
• Ted Cruz 8%
• Donald Trump 7%
• Ben Carson 5%
• Chris Christie 5%
• Rick Perry 4%
• Rick Santorum 4%
• Carly Fiorina 3%
• Bobby Jindal 2%
• John Kasich 1%
• Undecided 3%

Note: The following candidates were not included in this poll: Lindsey Graham and George Pataki.   

Survey of 1,000 likely Republican caucus-goers was conducted June 27-29, 2015 by We Ask America (R). The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll

• Mike Huckabee (R) 49% (44%) {48%} [46%] {44%} [46%] (44%) {43%} [43%] (43%) {42%} [43%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (46%) {43%} [46%] {46%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [47%] (48%) {49%} [48%]

• Scott Walker (R) 47% (45%) {46%} [43%] (44%) 
• Hillary Clinton (D) 43% (45%) {43%} [45%] (46%)

• Ben Carson (R) 47% (44%) {44%} [46%] (45%) {44%}
• Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (46%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {44%}

• Rand Paul (R) 46% (44%) {45%} [43%] [41%] (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {44%} [41%] (40%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (44%) {45%} [46%] [46%] (47%) {46%} [45%] (47%) {49%} [47%] (47%) {48%} [50%] (52%) 

• Marco Rubio (R) 47% (44%) {45%} [42%]
• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (45%) {45%} [46%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (46%)
• Carly Fiorina (R) 45% (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (49%) {45%} [47%] [48%] (47%) (47%) {49%} [51%]
• Ted Cruz (R) 46% (42%) {45%} [43%] [40%] (41%) (41%) {41%} [39%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 45% (47%) {45%} [46%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (46%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {47%} [47%] (46%) {46%} [47%]
• Jeb Bush (R) 43% (40%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [42%] (44%) {46%} [43%] (44%) {45%} [43%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (43%) {43%} [45%] {44%} [45%] (45%) {45%} [44%] (46%) {46%} [45%] (42%) {42%} [43%]
• Chris Christie (R) 43% (40%) {41%} [42%] {42%} [38%] (38%) {41%} [40%] (44%) {42%} [42%] (43%) {45%} [46%]

• Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
• Donald Trump (R) 44%

Survey of 529 registered North Carolina voters was conducted July 2-6, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Party ID: 43% (42%) {43%} [44%] (43%) {42%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [39%] (43%) {43%} [45%] Democrat; 35% (36%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {36%} [34%] (31%) {36%} [35%] (36%) {35%} [34%] (33%) {34%} [33%] Republican; 22% (23%) {22%} [21%] (23%) {22%} [21%] (27%) {22%} [23%] (22%) {23%} [27%] (23%) {23%} [21%] Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 11-14, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 14-17, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 12-15, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 55% {62%} [53%] (56%)
• Bernie Sanders 20% {14%} [2%] (1%)
• Jim Webb 7% {5%} [3%] (3%)  
• Lincoln Chafee 4% {4%}
• Martin O'Malley 4% {4%} [5%] (3%)
• Someone else/Undecided 11% {12%} [12%] (12%)

Survey of 286 Democratic primary voters was conducted July 2-6, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.8 percentage points. Ideology: 36% {33%} [31%] (38%) Moderate; 28% {29%} [33%] (27%) Somewhat liberal; 20% {22%} [21%] (21%) Very liberal; 11% {11%} [10%] (8%) Somewhat conservative; 5% {4%} [5%] (6%) Very conservative. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Donald Trump 16%
• Jeb Bush 12% [19%] (19%) {17%} [14%] (15%) {17%} [15%] (18%) {12%} [15%] (14%) {15%} [16%] (9%)
• Scott Walker 12% [12%] (16%) {24%} [14%] {5%} (7%) {6%} [4%] (3%) {5%} [1%]
• Mike Huckabee 11% [10%] (11%) {15%} [13%] (14%) {17%} [19%] (22%) {19%} [20%] (15%)
• Ben Carson 9% [9%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (19%) 
• Marco Rubio 9% [12%] (11%) {7%} (4%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%) {10%} [10%] (21%)
• Rand Paul 7% [12%] (6%) {5%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [15%] (9%) {12%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [12%] (6%)
• Ted Cruz 6% [11%] (11%) {3%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [17%] (12%) {14%} [8%] (11%) {12%} [12%]
• Chris Christie 5% [8%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (14%) {12%} [9%] (12%) {15%} [11%] (17%) {19%} [20%] (10%)
• Carly Fiorina 4% [2%]
• Rick Perry 2% (2%) {3%} [3%] (7%)
• Lindsey Graham 1%
• Bobby Jindal 1% {2%} [4%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {3%} [6%]
• Rick Santorum 1% (4%) {5%} [2%] (5%)
• John Kasich 0%
• George Pataki 0%
• Undecided 4% [5%] (7%) {8%} [9%] (7%) {11%} [9%] (6%) {12%} [9%] (13%) {11%} [13%] (8%)

Survey of 288 Republican primary voters was conducted July 2-6, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.8 percentage points. Political ideology: 47% [36%] (37%) {38%} [35%] (39%) {40%} [45%] (39%) {37%} [35%] (38%) {37%} [36%] (44%) Very conservative; 36% [39%] (39%) {36%} [39%] (38%) {37%} [35%] (32%) {35%} [33%] (40%) {39%} [36%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 14% [21%] (18%) {19%} [20%] (18%) {20%} [13%] (21%) {20%} [22%] (16%) {16%} [21%] (13%) Moderate; 4% [4%] (5%) {4%} [4%] (5%) {2%} [4%] (6%) {4%} [7%] (4%) {7%} [4%] (6%) Somewhat liberal; 0% [1%] (1%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [4%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {1%} [3%] (1%) Very liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 28-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 2-5, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-26, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-7, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 9-11, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-28, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 3-6, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 6-9, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 9-12, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-8, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 8-11, 2013 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 6-9, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Gravis Marketing/OAN 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 55%
• Joe Biden 14%
• Bernie Sanders 13%
• Elizabeth Warren 9% 
• Jim Webb 5%
• Martin O'Malley 2%
• Lincoln Chafee 2%

Survey of 519 registered Democratic voters was conducted July 1-2, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/One America News Network 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Gravis Marketing/OAN 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Jeb Bush 22%
• Donald Trump 15%
• Mike Huckabee 10%
• Ben Carson 10%
• Marco Rubio 8%
• Scott Walker 8%
• Ted Cruz 5%
• Chris Christie 5%
• Rand Paul 4%
• Rick Perry 4%
• Carly Fiorina 3%
• Bobby Jindal 2%
• Lindsey Graham 2%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• George Pataki 1%

National survey of 473 registered Republican voters was conducted July 1-2, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Democratic Primary Poll

• Hillary Clinton 64.8% [52%] (51%)
• Bernie Sanders 20.6%
• Martin O'Malley 2.1% [2%] (4%)
• Bill de Blasio 1.7%
• Jim Webb 0.9% [2%]
• Lincoln Chafee 0.4%
• Unsure 9.5% [18%] (13%)

Survey of 881 registered Democratic voters was conducted June 16-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 24-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Gravis Marketing (R) Florida 2016 GOP Primary Poll

• Jeb Bush 27.5% [23%] (33%)
• Marco Rubio 23.0% [11%] (14%)
• Rand Paul 8.8% [5%] (11%)
• Scott Walker 8.7% [22%] 
• Carly Fiorina 6.2%
• Ted Cruz 5.2% [2%] (11%)
• Mike Huckabee 4.5% [10%] 
• Bobby Jindal 2.4%
• Lindsey Graham 0.3%
• Rick Santorum 0.1% (3%)
• Unsure 13.3% [12%] (13%)

Note: The following candidates were not included in this poll: Ben Carson, Chris Christie, John Kasich, George Pataki, Rick Perry, and Donald Trump.  

If the Florida Republican Primary election for President was held today and the candidates were Jeb Bush and Marco Rubio, whom would you vote for?

• Marco Rubio 39.4% [36%] (34%)
• Jeb Bush 38.7% [40%] (44%)

Survey of 729 registered Republican voters was conducted June 16-20, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 24-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 19-20, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll

• Hillary Clinton 52% [60%] (61%)
• Bernie Sanders 33% [15%] (5%)
• Joe Biden 7% [11%] (7%)
• Martin O'Malley 3% [3%] (0%)
• Jim Webb 1% [3%] (2%)
• Lincoln Chafee 0% [0%]

Survey of 761 likely Iowa Democratic caucus participants was conducted June 20-29, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted April 25 - May 4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-23, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University New Jersey 2016 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University New Jersey 2016 Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [53%] (57%)
• Chris Christie (R) 32% [30%] (32%)

(Among Republicans) Would Chris Christie or Scott Walker make a better president?

• Chris Christie 53% [30%] (51%)
• Scott Walker 20% [44%] (30%)

(Among Republicans) Would Chris Christie or Jeb Bush make a better president?

• Chris Christie 46% [47%] (46%)
• Jeb Bush 32% [34%] (37%)

(Among Republicans) Would Chris Christie or Marco Rubio make a better president?

• Chris Christie 41%
• Marco Rubio 32%

Survey of 453 registered voters, including 119 Republicans, was conducted June 30 - July 1, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points among all voters; +/- 9.0% among Republicans. Party ID: 36% [36%] (38%) Democrat; 21% [22%] (21%) Republican; 43% [42%] (41%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted May 1-3, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 2, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 National Presidential Poll

• Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {51%} [56%] (55%) {54%} [59%] (58%)
• Jeb Bush (R) 41% {43%} [39%] (40%) {41%} [36%] (36%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 55% [58%] (55%) {56%} [56%] (47%)
• Chris Christie (R) 39% [39%] (40%) {39%} [37%] (47%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 56% {49%} [55%] (55%) (56%)
• Marco Rubio (R) 40% {46%} [41%] (42%) (37%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 57% {49%} [59%] (55%)
• Scott Walker (R) 40% {46%} [37%] (40%)

• Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
• Donald Trump (R) 35%

National survey of 890 registered voters was conducted June 26-28, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 16-19, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll

• Hillary Clinton 58% (60%) {69%} [67%]
• Joe Biden 17% (14%) {11%} [16%]
• Bernie Sanders 15% (10%) {5%} [5%] 
• Martin O'Malley 1% (1%) {1%} [1%]
• Jim Webb 1% (2%) {3%} [1%]
• Lincoln Chafee 0% (0%) {1%}

Survey of 428 registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independents was conducted June 26-28, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Jeb Bush 17% (13%) {17%} [16%] (14%) {23%} [14%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
• Donald Trump 12% (3%)
• Ben Carson 8% (7%) {4%} [9%] (8%) {7%} [11%]  
• Rand Paul 8% (8%) {11%} [12%] (10%) {6%} [8%] (12%) {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%) 
• Marco Rubio 7% (14%) {11%} [7%] (5%) {5%} [3%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
• Scott Walker 6% (10%) {12%} [13%] (11%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%]  
• Mike Huckabee 5% (10%) {9%} [10%] (16%) {6%} [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
• Rick Perry 4% (5%) {3%} [4%] (3%) {4%} [5%] (11%) {6%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
• Rick Santorum 4% (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
• Chris Christie 3% (4%) {4%} [7%] (7%) {13%} [9%] (13%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
• Ted Cruz 3% (8%) {7%} [4%] (3%) {4%} [7%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
• John Kasich 3% (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [3%]
• Bobby Jindal 2% (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [1%]
• Carly Fiorina 1% (1%) {2%} [0%] (1%) 
• Lindsey Graham 1% (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%)
• George Pataki 0% (3%) {0%}

Survey of 368 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted June 26-28, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Party ID: 64% Republican; 36% Independent. Results from the poll conducted May 29-31, 2015 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 16-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 13-15, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 18-21, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 21-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Scott Walker 18% [21%] (25%)
• Ben Carson 10% [7%] (11%)
• Donald Trump 10%
• Ted Cruz 9% [12%] (5%)
• Rand Paul 9% [13%] (13%)
• Jeb Bush 8% [5%] (10%)
• Marco Rubio 7% [13%] (4%)
• Mike Huckabee 5% [11%] (11%)
• Rick Perry 4% [3%] (3%)
• Rick Santorum 4% [2%] (4%)
• Carly Fiorina 3% [2%]
• Bobby Jindal 3% [1%] (2%)
• John Kasich 2% [2%] (0%)
• Chris Christie 1% [3%] (4%)
• Lindsey Graham 1% [0%]
• George Pataki 0%

Survey of 666 likely Iowa Republican caucus participants was conducted June 20-29, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Gender: 61% [58%] (60%) Men; 39% [42%] (40%) Women. Political philosophy: 44% [43%] (45%) Very conservative; 29% [27%] (28%) Somewhat conservative; 25% [29%] (25%) Moderate/Liberal. Results from the poll conducted April 25 - May 4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-23, 2015 are in parentheses.