Thursday, August 11, 2016

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (44%) [44%] {42%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 43% (45%) [46%] {48%}
Survey of 938 registered voters was conducted August 5-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 2-5, 2016 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-25, 2016 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 11-13, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 41.4%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 40.0%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 47%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 29%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Donald Trump (R) 36%
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Donald Trump (R) 37.0%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35.8%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5.8%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2.8%
Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted August 8-10, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% {44%} [38%] (38%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% {40%} [40%] (37%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 8% {6%} [9%] (8%) 
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% {3%}
  • Some other candidate 4% {3%} [8%]
  • Undecided 3% {4%} [4%]
Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted August 9-10, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted August 1-2, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 5, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:
Clinton continues to earn more support among voters in her party (82%) than Trump does in his (74%). But the GOP nominee still holds a slight lead – 37% to 32% - among voters not affiliated with either major political party. Both Clinton and Trump draw just over 10% support from voters in the opposing party.
Johnson has nine percent (9%) GOP support, three percent (3%) of the Democratic vote and 15% of unaffiliated voters. Stein gets the votes of one percent (1%) of Republicans, one percent (1%) of Democrats and three percent (3%) of unaffiliateds.
Clinton leads by 12 points among women, while Trump has a five-point advantage among men. The Democrat has a double-digit lead among those under 40. Trump is ahead only slightly among older voters.
Trump gets 20% black support to Clinton’s 72%. She also leads by 13 among other minority voters, while her GOP rival is ahead by six points among whites.

Wednesday, August 10, 2016

Poll Watch: Bloomberg Politics 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Donald Trump (R) 44%
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (49%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% (37%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9% (9%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 4%
National survey of 749 likely voters was conducted August 5-8, 2016 by Selzer & Co. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 10-13, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Marquette University Law School Wisconsin 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% (44.7%) {45.8%} [47.1%] (47%) {46.7%} [49.8%] (51.1%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% (40.6%) {36.9%} [36.6%] (37%) {38.3%} [36.4%] (35.4%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% (43.2%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 34% (37.3%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9% (8.2%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 3% (2.4%)
Survey of 683 likely Wisconsin voters was conducted August 4-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 5.0 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted July 7-10, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 6-9, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 24-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 18-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-28, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 13-16, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Public Policy Polling (D) North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

The candidates for President are Democrat Hillary Clinton, Republican Donald Trump, Libertarian Gary Johnson, and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. If the election was today, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [43%] (41%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 41% [43%] (43%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7% [4%] (3%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% [2%] (2%)
  • Undecided 8% [7%] (11%)
If you had to choose between just Democrat Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump, who would you vote for?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [46%] (43%) {44%} [43%] (43%) {43%} [42%] (42%) {42%} [47%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 46% [48%] (47%) {42%} [44%] (45%) {47%} [48%] (47%) {45%} [44%]
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 57% [55%] (54%) {50%} [52%] (55%) {50%} [53%] (55%) {54%} (53%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36% [40%] (36%) {39%} [37%] (34%) {40%} [40%] (35%) {32%} (41%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 56% [52%] (50%) {49%} [48%] (52%) {47%} [45%] (47%) {50%} (53%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 35% [43%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (36%) {43%} [44%] (40%) {36%} (36%)
Survey of 830 likely North Carolina voters was conducted August 5-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 20-21, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 20-22, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 14-16, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 18-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted December 5-7, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 23-25, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 24-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 12-16, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 2-6, 2015 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [45%] (54%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% [36%] (39%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [43%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 36% [35%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9% [8%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 3% [2%]
Survey of 834 registered voters was conducted August 3-7, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 18-20, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [39%] (48%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 38% [39%] (42%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [38%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 35% [35%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 12% [9%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 4% [3%]
Survey of 889 registered voters was conducted August 3-7, 2016.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.Results from the poll conducted July 5-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 4-10, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Iowa 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41% {42%} [48%] (41%) {43%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% {39%} [40%] (48%) {48%
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35% {37%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 35% {37%}
  • Gary Johnson (L) 12% {7%}
  • Jill Stein (G) 6% {4%}
Survey of 899 registered voters was conducted August 3-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 5-10, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 2-7, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 23-30, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 26 - September 2, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Ohio 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Ohio 2016 Presidential Poll

If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [41%] (40%) {39%} [42%] (43%) {43%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% [41%] (40%) {43%} [44%] (42%) {38%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 51% [47%] (49%) {51%} [53%] (55%) {45%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [33%] (32%) {36%} [35%] (32%) {37%}
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% [48%] (48%) {43%} [49%] (53%) {48%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% [35%] (31%) {36%} [36%] (30%) {32%}
If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [36%] (38%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% [37%] (36%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 8% [7%] (8%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 3% [6%] (3%) 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 40% [35%] (35%) {34%} [37%] (38%) {36%} / 55% [60%] (59%) {62%} [57%] (56%) {54%} {-15%}
  • Donald Trump 34% [34%] (32%) {36%} [35%] (34%) {32%} / 58% [59%] (59%) {57%} [59%] (58%) {54%} {-24%}
Survey of 812 likely Ohio voters was conducted July 30 - August 7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Party ID: 34% [30%] (34%) {29%} [33%] (32%) {30%} Democrat; 30% [30%] (27%) {30%} [33%] (28%) {27%} Republican; 29% [34%] (33%) {34%} [26%] (32%) {35%} Independent; 7% [6%] (7%) {7%} [7%] (7%) {8%} Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 11, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 8, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-20, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Pennsylvania 2016 Presidential Poll

If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52% [41%] (42%) {43%} [45%] (44%) {45%} 
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% [43%] (41%) {42%} [42%] (42%) {40%}
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 49% [48%] (50%) {54%} [49%] (47%) {48%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% [37%] (33%) {33%} [36%] (38%) {35%}
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59% [43%] (50%) {51%} [53%] (50%) {54%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 36% [39%] (34%) {32%} [35%] (37%) {32%}
If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [34%] (39%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% [40%] (36%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7% [9%] (9%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 3% [3%] (4%) 
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 
  • Hillary Clinton 44% [31%] (41%) {37%} [35%] (41%) {38%} / 51% [65%] (56%) {58%} [59%] (54%) {55%} {-7%}
  • Donald Trump 36% [38%] (35%) {39%} [32%] (36%) {34%} / 57% [57%] (60%) {55%} [60%] (56%) {55%} {-21%}
Survey of 815 likely Pennsylvania voters was conducted July 30 - August 7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 11, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 8, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 30 - April 4, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in curly brackets.

Tuesday, August 09, 2016

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Florida 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac Florida 2016 Presidential Poll

If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat and Donald Trump the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [39%] (47%) {43%} [46%] (41%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 45% [42%] (39%) {42%} [41%] (43%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 51% [50%] (45%) {49%} [48%] (51%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% [29%] (41%) {36%} [40%] (34%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 53% [48%] (52%) {48%} [51%] (48%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 40% [36%] (34%) {35%} [35%] (37%)
If the election for President were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Clinton the Democrat, Donald Trump the Republican, Gary Johnson the Libertarian, and Jill Stein the Green party candidate, for whom would you vote?
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43% [36%] (42%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 43% [41%] (36%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7% [7%] (7%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 3% [4%] (3%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Donald Trump 39% [38%] (33%) {37%} [35%] (36%) / 54% [54%] (61%) {57%} [57%] (50%) {-15%}
  • Hillary Clinton 39% [35%] (39%) {37%} [44%] (37%) / 55% [59%] (53%) {57%} [51%] (55%) {-16%}
Survey of 1,056 likely Florida voters was conducted July 30 - August 7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID: 34% [29%] (33%) {32%} [33%] (30%) Democrat; 31% [31%] (31%) {32%} [29%] (32%) Republican; 30% [32%] (30%) {31%} [32%] (29%) Independent; 5% [7%] (6%) {6%} [6%] (9%) Other. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 11, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 8-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted April 27 - May 8, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 25 - October 5, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 7-18, 2015 are in parentheses.

Monday, August 08, 2016

Poll Watch: Dan Jones & Associates Utah 2016 Presidential Survey

Dan Jones & Associates Utah 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 25% (27%)
  • Gary Johnson (L) 16% (10%)
  • Jill Stein (G) 1% (2%)
  • Other 14% (18%)
  • Don't know 7% (8%)
Survey of 858 likely voters was conducted July 18 - August 4, 2016 for UtahPolicy.com.  The margin of error is +/- 3.34 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 8-17, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Monmouth University 2016 Presidential Survey

Monmouth University 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {45%} [44%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% {43%} [37%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7% {5%} [9%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 2% {1%} [4%]
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9%
  • Jill Stein (G) 3%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
  • Donald Trump (R) 27%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Hillary Clinton 42% {35%} / 49% {54%} {-7%}
  • Donald Trump 28% {33%} / 61% {54%} {-33%}
National survey of 683 likely voters was conducted August 4-7, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.8 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted July 14-16, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 15-19, 2016 are in square brackets.

Sunday, August 07, 2016

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Nevada 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Donald Trump (R) 41%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4%
  • Jill Stein (G) 3%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 36%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50%
  • Donald Trump (R) 34%
  • Jill Stein (G) 5%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 2%
Among Whites
  • Donald Trump (R) 50%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 35%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5%
  • Jill Stein (G) 1%
Among Hispanics
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58%
  • Donald Trump (R) 22%
  • Jill Stein (G) 8%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 0%
Survey of 993 likely voters was conducted August 2-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Arizona 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Donald Trump (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 5%
  • Jill Stein (G) 2%
Among Men
  • Donald Trump (R) 48%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 41%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 3%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44%
  • Donald Trump (R) 39%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4%
  • Jill Stein (G) 0%
Among Whites
  • Donald Trump (R) 53%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 34%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 6%
  • Jill Stein (G) 0%
Among Hispanics
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 67%
  • Donald Trump (R) 13%
  • Jill Stein (G) 8%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 2%
Survey of 1,095 likely voters was conducted August 2-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.8 percentage points.

Poll Watch: CBS News/YouGov Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49%
  • Donald Trump (R) 37%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 7%
  • Someone else 2%
Among Men
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Donald Trump (R) 37%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 10%
  • Someone else 3%
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 52%
  • Donald Trump (R) 37%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 4%
  • Someone else 1%
Among Whites
  • Donald Trump (R) 46%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 38%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 9%
  • Someone else 2%
Among Blacks
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 92%
  • Donald Trump (R) 1%
  • Gary Johnson (L) 1%
  • Someone else 2%
Survey of 1,181 likely voters was conducted August 2-5, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 50% {47%} [51%] (44%) {50%} [50%] (46%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 42% {43%} [39%] (46%) {41%} [44%] (43%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {42%} [47%]
  • Donald Trump (R) 37% {38%} [37%]
  • Gary Johnson (L) 8% {8%} [7%]
  • Jill Stein (G) 4% {5%} [3%]
Survey of 815 registered voters was conducted August 1-4, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 33% Democrat; 27% Republican; 35% Independent. Results from the poll conducted July 11-14, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 20-23, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 16-19, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted March 3-6, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 10-13, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted September 7-10, 2015 are in parentheses.

Friday, August 05, 2016

Poll Watch: IBD/TIPP 2016 Presidential Survey

IBD/TIPP 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% (44%) {45%} [47%] (47%)
  • Donald Trump (R) 39% (40%) {40%} [40%] (35%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 39% (37%) {39%}
  • Donald Trump (R) 35% (36%) {35%}
  • Gary Johnson (L) 12% (9%) {11%}
  • Jill Stein (G) 5% (5%)
National survey of 851 registered voters was conducted July 29 - August 4, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 24-29, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 5, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 22-28, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 28 - April 2, 2016 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Atlanta Journal-Constitution Georgia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 44% (41%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 40% (45%)
Among Men
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 46% (48%)
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 37% (39%)
Among Women
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 51% (44%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 35% (42%)
Among Whites
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 60% (67%)
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 23% (19%)
Among Blacks
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 83% (81%)
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 5% (9%)
Including Third-Party Candidates:
  • Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine (D) 41%
  • Donald Trump/Mike Pence (R) 38%
  • Gary Johnson/Bill Weld (L) 11%
  • Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka (G) 2%
Survey of 847 registered Georgia voters was conducted August 1-4, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 9-12, 2016 are in parentheses.