Poll Watch: CBS News/New York Times 2012 Presidential Survey

CBS News/New York Times 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 46% [46%] (44%) {42%} [45%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 43% [46%] (47%) {48%} [45%] (45%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 43% [42%] (43%)
• Barack Obama 36% [41%] (45%)   

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 50% [55%]   
  
• Mitt Romney 39% [35%]

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 45% [49%] (50%)
• Barack Obama 42% [43%] (44%)
  

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 46% [43%] (39%)
• Barack Obama 44% [49%] (50%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 45% [42%] (41%) / 45% [45%] (41%) {0%}
• Mitt Romney 31% [29%] (30%) / 38% [34%] (37%) {-7%}

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 37% [36%] / 48% [46%] {-11%}
• Mitt Romney 29% [22%] / 45% [35%] {-16%}

Does Barack Obama's support of same-sex marriage make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or wouldn't it affect how you will vote one way or another?

• More likely 16%
• Less likely 25%
• No effect 58%

Among Independents

• More likely 14%
• Less likely 22%
• No effect 63%

Does Mitt Romney's opposition to same-sex marriage make you more likely to vote for him, less likely to vote for him, or wouldn't it affect how you will vote one way or another?

• More likely 23%
• Less likely 17%
• No effect 59%

Among Independents

• More likely 20%
• Less likely 20%
• No effect 59%

Survey of 562 registered voters, who were first interviewed for the poll conducted April 13-17, was conducted May 11-13, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% [34%] Democrat; 30% [26%] Republican; 34% [40%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-11, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-13, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 4-8, 2012 are in parentheses.