Poll Watch: PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Survey

PPP/Daily Kos/SEIU (D) 2012 Weekly Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 48% {49%} [49%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 45% {44%} [44%] (44%)

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 46% {41%} [48%] (48%) 
• Mitt Romney 41% {42%} [39%] (41%)

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 60% {55%} [61%] (63%)
• Mitt Romney 33% {36%} [32%] (29%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 46% {46%} [48%] (49%)
• Barack Obama 45% {45%} [46%] (44%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% {52%} [52%] (54%)
• Mitt Romney 45% {43%} [40%] (40%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 47% {49%} [50%] (48%) / 48% {46%} [46%] (47%) {-1%}
• Mitt Romney 39% {38%} [38%] (36%) / 48% {48%} [48%] (51%) {-9%}

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 44% {43%} [51%] (45%) / 46% {49%} [44%] (47%) {-2%}
• Mitt Romney 34% {37%} [33%] (34%) / 45% {41%} [50%] (52%) {-11%}

Among Moderates

• Barack Obama 59% {56%} [63%] (63%) / 34% {36%} [33%] (33%) {+25%}
• Mitt Romney 29% {35%} [31%] (29%) / 58% {52%} [55%] (61%) {-29%}

Among Men

• Barack Obama 45% {45%} [47%] (43%) / 48% {48%} [51%] (51%) {-3%}
• Mitt Romney 41% {40%} [42%] (41%) / 46% {47%} [45%] (46%) {-5%}

Among Women

• Barack Obama 49% {52%} [53%] (52%) / 47% {43%} [42%] (44%) {+2%}
• Mitt Romney 37% {35%} [34%] (32%) / 50% {49%} [51%] (55%) {-13%}

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 45% {48%} [47%] (46%)
• Disapprove 50% {47%} [48%] (48%)

Do you think Barack Obama is too liberal, too conservative, or about right?

• Too liberal 45% {44%} [43%] (45%)
• Too conservative 7% {6%} [7%] (9%)
• About right 44% {44%} [46%] (43%)

Given the following list of choices, who do you think would be the best Republican candidate for Vice President: former Florida Governor Jeb Bush, New Jersey Governor Chris Christie, Arizona Governor Jan Brewer, Florida Senator Marco Rubio, New Hampshire Senator Kelly Ayotte, Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan, Ohio Senator Rob Portman, or New Mexico Governor Susana Martinez?

• Chris Christie 17%
• Marco Rubio 14%
• Jeb Bush 13%
• Jan Brewer 9%
• Paul Ryan 8%
• Susana Martinez 5%
• Rob Portman 3%
• Kelly Ayotte 2%
• Someone else/Not sure 30%

Among Republicans

• Marco Rubio 25%
• Chris Christie 19%
  
• Jeb Bush 16%
  
• Paul Ryan 8%
  
• Jan Brewer 6%
• Susana Martinez 4%
  
• Rob Portman 3%
  
• Kelly Ayotte 0%
  
• Someone else/Not sure 18%

Among Independents

• Chris Christie 19%
  
• Marco Rubio 14%
  
• Jeb Bush 12%
  
• Jan Brewer 10%
  
• Paul Ryan 9%
  
• Susana Martinez 4%
  
• Rob Portman 2%
  
• Kelly Ayotte 1%
  
• Someone else/Not sure 28%

Survey of 1,000 registered voters was conducted May 3-6, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 38% {43%} [40%] (41%) Democrat; 35% {32%} [34%] (36%) Republican; 26% {25%} [26%] (24%) Independent/Other. Political views: 41% {46%} [46%] (43%) Moderate; 40% {37%} [38%] (38%) Conservative; 19% {17%} [16%] (19%) Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.