Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Jeb Bush 14% (8%) {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
• Ben Carson 11%
• Mike Huckabee 10% (12%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
• Chris Christie 9% (13%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
• Paul Ryan 9% (11%) {10%} [12%] (15%) {9%} [11%] (16%)
• Rand Paul 8% (12%) {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
• Ted Cruz 7% (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
• Rick Perry 5% (11%) {6%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
• Scott Walker 5% (5%) {5%} [7%]
• John Kasich 3%
• Marco Rubio 3% (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
• Bobby Jindal 1%
• Mike Pence 1%
• Rob Portman 0%
• Someone else (vol.) 6% (6%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 2% (2%) {2%] [4%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
• No opinion 4% (3%) {5%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (6%)

Among Republicans

• Jeb Bush 20% (10%) {10%} [15%] (11%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
• Chris Christie 11% (13%) {8%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [28%] (17%)
• Mike Huckabee 11% (12%) {14%} [12%] (9%) {17%}
• Paul Ryan 7% (14%) {15%} [14%] (19%) {9%} [11%] (17%)
• Ted Cruz 7% (6%) {9%} [6%] (11%) {5%} [9%] (7%)
• Ben Carson 6% 
• Rand Paul 6% (12%) {8%} [12%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (9%)
• Scott Walker 5% (4%) {4%} [7%] 
• Rick Perry 4% (10%) {7%} [7%] (11%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
• Rick Santorum 2% (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%) {5%} [7%] (3%)
• Bobby Jindal 2%
• Marco Rubio 2% (6%) {9%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [10%] (10%)
• John Kasich 1%
• Mike Pence 0%
• Rob Portman 0%
• Someone else (vol.) 7% (5%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
• None/No one (vol.) 2% (1%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (4%)
• No opinion 4% (3%) {4%} [8%] (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Ben Carson 15%
• Paul Ryan 11% (7%) {5%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [12%]  (15%)
• Mike Huckabee 10% (13%) {8%} [7%] (11%) {10%}
• Rand Paul 10% (13%) {21%} [15%] (22%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
• Jeb Bush 7% (5%) {14%} [10%] (7%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
• Ted Cruz 7% (10%) {9%} [9%] (6%) {13%} [12%] (7%)
• Chris Christie 6% (12%) {7%} [10%] (11%) {13%} [20%] (18%)
• Rick Perry 6% (12%) {5%} [8%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (6%) 
• Scott Walker 6% (5%) {6%} [6%] 
• John Kasich 4%
• Marco Rubio 4% (6%) {7%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%)
• Mike Pence 2%
• Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (7%)
• Bobby Jindal 1%
• Rob Portman 0%
• Someone else (vol.) 6% (7%) {5%} [5%] (3%) {12%} [6%] (4%)
• None/No one (vol.) 1% (3%) {3%} [6%] (6%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
• No opinion 3% (4%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Men

• Ben Carson 12%
• Jeb Bush 11% (7%) {12%} [14%] (7%) {9%} [2%] (9%)
• Rand Paul 10% (14%) {17%} [17%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
• Chris Christie 9% (12%) {7%} [8%] (9%) {6%} [23%] (16%)
• Scott Walker 9% (6%) {7%} [8%]
• Paul Ryan 8% (12%) {9%} [7%] (15%) {12%} [10%] (14%)
• Mike Huckabee 8% (11%) {11%} [8%] (11%) {14%}
• Ted Cruz 8% (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [12%] (12%)
• Rick Perry 5% (9%) {8%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (7%)
• Marco Rubio 3% (5%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {7%} [11%] (11%)  
• Bobby Jindal 2%
• John Kasich 1%
• Rick Santorum 1% (3%) {4%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [6%] (6%)
• Mike Pence 0%
• Rob Portman 0%
• Someone else (vol.) 7% (7%) {5%} [3%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (5%)
• None/No one (vol.) 2% (2%) {1%} [4%] (2%) {4%} [2%] (3%)
• No opinion 5% (1%) {3%} [6%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%)

Among Women

• Jeb Bush 16% (9%) {10%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
• Mike Huckabee 13% (15%) {12%} [12%] (9%) {14%}
• Paul Ryan 10% (9%) {12%} [17%] (13%) {6%} [13%] (19%)
• Chris Christie 9% (13%) {8%} [9%] (7%) {15%} [24%] (19%)
• Ben Carson 9%
• Rand Paul 6% (10%) {10%} [10%] (14%) {9%} [11%] (12%)
• Ted Cruz 6% (6%) {8%} [5%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (3%) 
• Rick Perry 5% (13%) {3%} [4%] (13%) {9%} [6%] (6%)
• John Kasich 4%
• Marco Rubio 4% (7%) {11%} [8%] (5%) {11%} [7%] (7%)
• Mike Pence 2%
• Scott Walker 2% (3%) {3%} [6%]
• Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {3%} [2%] (4%) {7%} [6%] (4%) 
• Bobby Jindal 1%
• Rob Portman 0%
• Someone else (vol.) 6% (5%) {7%} [4%] (4%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 2% (1%) {4%} [3%] (7%) {3%} [2%] (6%)
• No opinion 3% (5%) {8%} [9%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%)

Survey of 510 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted November 21-23, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 62% (59%) {55%} [61%] (50%) {52%} Republican; 38% (41%) {45%} [39%] (50%) {48%} Independent.  Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.