Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Jeb Bush 16% (15%) {13%} [13%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (10%)
• Mike Huckabee 12% [13%] (13%)
• Chris Christie 10% (12%) {13%} [12%] (13%) {16%} [18%] (15%)
• Ben Carson 8%
• Paul Ryan 7% (13%) {9%} [12%] (9%) {12%} [11%] (13%)
• Rand Paul 6% (13%) {7%} [12%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (9%)
• Ted Cruz 5% (4%) {10%} [4%] (5%) {5%} [10%] (7%) 
• Rick Perry 5% (7%) {7%} [3%] (2%) {6%} [3%] (4%) 
• Marco Rubio 3% (6%) {9%} [7%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (12%) 
• Scott Walker 3% (3%) {4%} [5%] (7%) {4%} [4%] (2%) 
• John Kasich 3%
• Rick Santorum 3% (3%) {3%} [3%] (2%) {5%} [4%] (2%) 
• Bobby Jindal 1% (4%) {2%} [4%] {3%} (1%)
• Carly Fiorina 1%
• Undecided 18% (21%) {23%} [14%] (12%) {25%} [13%] (25%)

Among Republicans

• Jeb Bush 17% (14%) {17%} [14%] (11%) {9%} [11%]
• Mike Huckabee 12% [13%] (15%)
• Chris Christie 11% (14%) {10%} [14%] (13%) {17%} [17%]
• Paul Ryan 7% (15%) {11%} [12%] (8%) {12%} [13%]
• Ben Carson 6%
• Rick Perry 6% (8%) {4%} [4%] (3%) {7%} [2%]
• Ted Cruz 5% (2%) {9%} [3%] (5%) {5%} [10%]
• Rand Paul 4% (10%) {6%} [8%] (7%) {10%} [8%]
• Rick Santorum 3% (2%) {3%} [2%] (1%) {7%} [4%]
• John Kasich 2%
• Marco Rubio 2% (6%) {10%} [7%] (12%) {5%} [5%]
• Scott Walker 2% (3%) {5%} [4%] (5%) {3%} [5%]
• Bobby Jindal 1% (3%) {1%} [3%] {2%}  
• Carly Fiorina 0%
• Undecided 20% (23%) {24%} [16%] (13%) {24%} [16%]

Among Independents

• Jeb Bush 14% (17%) {8%} [11%] (4%) {6%} [9%]
• Ben Carson 11%
• Mike Huckabee 11% [12%] (9%)
• Rand Paul 9% (19%) {8%} [19%] (14%) {8%} [20%] 
• Chris Christie 8% (7%) {16%} [8%] (14%) {14%} [20%] 
• Marco Rubio 7% (5%) {6%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [9%]
• Paul Ryan 6% (9%) {7%} [12%] (11%) {13%} [8%]
• Scott Walker 5% (2%) {2%} [7%] (8%) {5%} [3%]  
• John Kasich 4%
• Ted Cruz 4% (8%) {12%} [5%] (5%) {6%} [11%] 
• Carly Fiorina 3%
• Bobby Jindal 2% (6%) {5%} [4%] {4%}
• Rick Perry 2% (5%) {11%} [0%] (0%) {4%} [3%]
• Rick Santorum 2% (4%) {4%} [5%] (2%) {3%} [3%] 
• Undecided 12% (17%) {21%} [9%] (10%) {26%} [8%]

Among Men

• Jeb Bush 22% (15%) {11%} [14%] (6%) {7%} [10%] (14%)
• Mike Huckabee 10% [11%] (10%)
• Ben Carson 8%
• Chris Christie 7% (10%) {15%} [10%] (13%) {19%} [20%] (17%)
• Rand Paul 7% (15%) {8%} [14%] (11%) {12%} [15%] (9%)
• Rick Perry 7% (6%) {8%} [1%] (3%) {6%} [4%] (6%)
• Paul Ryan 6% (17%) {11%} [11%] (10%) {11%} [9%] (12%)
• Ted Cruz 6% (5%) {16%} [4%] (6%) {6%} [12%] (7%)  
• John Kasich 4%
• Scott Walker 4% (2%) {4%} [6%] (10%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
• Marco Rubio 3% (5%) {7%} [5%] (11%) {9%} [6%] (16%) 
• Carly Fiorina 2%
• Rick Santorum 2% (3%) {3%} [4%] (2%) {6%} [1%] (1%)
• Bobby Jindal 1% (5%) {4%} [4%] {3%} (1%)
• Undecided 10% (17%) {14%} [13%] (10%) {16%} [11%] (15%)

Among Women

• Chris Christie 13% (14%) {11%} [14%] (14%) {13%} [16%] (13%) 
• Mike Huckabee 13% [14%] (16%)
• Jeb Bush 11% (14%) {15%} [11%] (11%) {9%} [10%] (6%)
• Paul Ryan 8% (8%) {7%} [12%] (7%) {13%} [13%] (14%)   
• Ben Carson 7%
• Rand Paul 4% (11%) {6%} [10%] (7%) {7%} [9%] (8%) 
• Ted Cruz 4% (3%) {5%} [3%] (3%) {5%} [9%] (6%)
• Marco Rubio 3% (7%) {10%} [9%] (13%) {5%} [8%] (8%) 
• Rick Santorum 3% (3%) {4%} [2%] (1%) {5%} [6%] (4%)
• John Kasich 2%
• Rick Perry 2% (8%) {6%} [4%] (1%) {6%} [1%] (2%)
• Scott Walker 2% (3%) {4%} [3%] (3%) {2%} [4%] (2%) 
• Bobby Jindal 1% (3%) {1%} [4%] {3%} (1%)
• Carly Fiorina 0%
• Undecided 25% (26%) {30%} [14%] (14%) {33%} [15%] (34%)

Survey of 360 registered Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted December 3-9, 2014. The margin of error is +/- 5.2 percentage points. Party ID: 70% (67%) {57%} [63%] (64%) {65%} [62%] (65%) Republican; 30% (33%) {43%} [37%] (36%) {35%} [38%] (35%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted September 24-29, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted August 4-7, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-5, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-18, 2013 are in parentheses.