Poll Watch: CNN/ORC 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

CNN/ORC 2016 GOP Nomination Poll

• Jeb Bush 23% [14%] (8%) {12%} [13%] (9%) {10%} [6%] (10%)
• Chris Christie 13% [9%] (13%) {8%} [9%] (8%) {10%} [24%] (17%)
• Ben Carson 7% [11%]
• Mike Huckabee 6% [10%] (12%) {11%} [10%] (10%) {14%}
• Rand Paul 6% [8%] (12%) {14%} [13%] (16%) {13%} [13%] (13%)
• Marco Rubio 5% [3%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (5%) {9%} [9%] (9%)
• Paul Ryan 5% [9%] (11%) {10%} [12%] (15%) {9%} [11%] (16%)
• Ted Cruz 4% [7%] (8%) {9%} [7%] (8%) {8%} [10%] (7%)
• Bobby Jindal 4% [1%]
• Rick Perry 4% [5%] (11%) {6%} [8%] (11%) {8%} [7%] (6%)
• Scott Walker 4% [5%] (5%) {5%} [7%]
• John Kasich 3% [3%]
• Rick Santorum 2% [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [6%] (5%)
• Mike Pence 0% [1%]
• Rob Portman 0% [0%]
• Someone else (vol.) 5% [6%] (6%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 5% [2%] (2%) {2%] [4%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%)
• No opinion 3% [4%] (3%) {5%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [6%] (6%)

Among Republicans

• Jeb Bush 28% [20%] (10%) {10%} [15%] (11%) {10%} [6%] (13%)
• Chris Christie 14% [11%] (13%) {8%} [8%] (6%) {8%} [28%] (17%)
• Mike Huckabee 9% [11%] (12%) {14%} [12%] (9%) {17%}
• Bobby Jindal 6% [2%]
• Paul Ryan 5% [7%] (14%) {15%} [14%] (19%) {9%} [11%] (17%)
• Marco Rubio 5% [2%] (6%) {9%} [6%] (5%) {12%} [10%] (10%)
• Ted Cruz 5% [7%] (6%) {9%} [6%] (11%) {5%} [9%] (7%)
• Ben Carson 5% [6%] 
• Rand Paul 5% [6%] (12%) {8%} [12%] (10%) {13%} [12%] (9%)
• Scott Walker 4% [5%] (4%) {4%} [7%] 
• Rick Perry 3% [4%] (10%) {7%} [7%] (11%) {8%} [8%] (7%)
• Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (4%) {3%} [2%] (4%) {5%} [7%] (3%)
• John Kasich 1% [1%]
• Mike Pence 0% [0%]
• Rob Portman 0% [0%]
• Someone else (vol.) 2% [7%] (5%) {7%} [3%] (8%) {5%} [6%] (7%)
• None/No one (vol.) 5% [2%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (4%)
• No opinion 3% [4%] (3%) {4%} [8%] (5%) {3%} [3%] (5%)

Among GOP-Leaning Independents

• Jeb Bush 18% [7%] (5%) {14%} [10%] (7%) {10%} [6%] (6%)
• Chris Christie 13% [6%] (12%) {7%} [10%] (11%) {13%} [20%] (18%) 
• Ben Carson 9% [15%]
• Rand Paul 7% [10%] (13%) {21%} [15%] (22%) {13%} [15%] (17%)
• Marco Rubio 6% [4%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (5%) {5%} [7%] (9%)
• Rick Perry 6% [6%] (12%) {5%} [8%] (12%) {7%} [7%] (6%) 
• Paul Ryan 5% [11%] (7%) {5%} [8%] (11%) {10%} [12%]  (15%)
• John Kasich 5% [4%]
• Scott Walker 4% [6%] (5%) {6%} [6%] 
• Rick Santorum 4% [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (7%)
• Bobby Jindal 3% [1%]
• Mike Huckabee 2% [10%] (13%) {8%} [7%] (11%) {10%}
• Ted Cruz 2% [7%] (10%) {9%} [9%] (6%) {13%} [12%] (7%) 
• Mike Pence 1% [2%]
• Rob Portman 0% [0%]
• Someone else (vol.) 7% [6%] (7%) {5%} [5%] (3%) {12%} [6%] (4%)
• None/No one (vol.) 5% [1%] (3%) {3%} [6%] (6%) {2%} [3%] (4%)
• No opinion 2% [3%] (4%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {4%} [8%] (7%)

Among Men

• Jeb Bush 23% [11%] (7%) {12%} [14%] (7%) {9%} [2%] (9%) 
• Chris Christie 14% [9%] (12%) {7%} [8%] (9%) {6%} [23%] (16%)
• Rand Paul 8% [10%] (14%) {17%} [17%] (17%) {17%} [15%] (13%)
• Ben Carson 6% [12%]
• Scott Walker 6% [9%] (6%) {7%} [8%] 
• Ted Cruz 6% [8%] (10%) {10%} [9%] (10%) {10%} [12%] (12%) 
• Paul Ryan 5% [8%] (12%) {9%} [7%] (15%) {12%} [10%] (14%)
• Mike Huckabee 5% [8%] (11%) {11%} [8%] (11%) {14%}
• Rick Perry 4% [5%] (9%) {8%} [11%] (10%) {7%} [8%] (7%) 
• Bobby Jindal 4% [2%]
• John Kasich 4% [1%] 
• Marco Rubio 3% [3%] (5%) {6%} [4%] (6%) {7%} [11%] (11%)
• Rick Santorum 3% [1%] (3%) {4%} [1%] (2%) {2%} [6%] (6%)
• Mike Pence 1% [0%]
• Rob Portman 0% [0%]
• Someone else (vol.) 4% [7%] (7%) {5%} [3%] (7%) {8%} [6%] (5%)
• None/No one (vol.) 3% [2%] (2%) {1%} [4%] (2%) {4%} [2%] (3%)
• No opinion 3% [5%] (1%) {3%} [6%] (3%) {4%} [4%] (5%)

Among Women

• Jeb Bush 24% [16%] (9%) {10%} [12%] (11%) {10%} [10%] (11%)
• Chris Christie 12% [9%] (13%) {8%} [9%] (7%) {15%} [24%] (19%)
• Mike Huckabee 8% [13%] (15%) {12%} [12%] (9%) {14%}
• Ben Carson 7% [9%] 
• Marco Rubio 7% [4%] (7%) {11%} [8%] (5%) {11%} [7%] (7%)
• Paul Ryan 6% [10%] (9%) {12%} [17%] (13%) {6%} [13%] (19%) 
• Bobby Jindal 5% [1%]
• Rick Perry 5% [5%] (13%) {3%} [4%] (13%) {9%} [6%] (6%)
• Rand Paul 5% [6%] (10%) {10%} [10%] (14%) {9%} [11%] (12%)
• Scott Walker 3% [2%] (3%) {3%} [6%]
• Ted Cruz 2% [6%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (6%) {7%} [8%] (3%)
• John Kasich 2% [4%]
• Rick Santorum 2% [2%] (3%) {3%} [2%] (4%) {7%} [6%] (4%) 
• Mike Pence 0% [2%]
• Rob Portman 0% [0%]
• Someone else (vol.) 6% [6%] (5%) {7%} [4%] (4%) {8%} [6%] (6%)
• None/No one (vol.) 6% [2%] (1%) {4%} [3%] (7%) {3%} [2%] (6%)
• No opinion 1% [3%] (5%) {8%} [9%] (6%) {3%} [7%] (7%)

Survey of 453 Republicans and GOP-leaning Independents was conducted December 18-21, 2014.  The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Party ID: 54% [62%] (59%) {55%} [61%] (50%) {52%} Republican; 46% [38%] (41%) {45%} [39%] (50%) {48%} Independent. Results from the poll conducted November 21-23, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 18-20, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 29 - June 1, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 2-4, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted March 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.   Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 2, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 18-20, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 6-8, 2013 are in parentheses.