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MassInsight Massachusetts 2012 Senate Poll
Likely Voters
- Elizabeth Warren (D) 48%
- Scott Brown (R) 44%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
Among Adults
- Scott Brown 55% / 36% {+19%}
- Elizabeth Warren 51% / 39% {+12%}
Survey
of 450 adults, including 329 likely voters, was conducted September 25-30, 2012 by Opinion Dynamics. The margin
of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points among all adults; +/- 5.4 percentage points among likely voters.
Inside the numbers:
Fifty-two percent of registered voters, part of a larger sample size in the same poll, thought it was more important to send a Democrat to the Senate "to help ensure that it doesn't fall under the control of Republicans" than it was to have a moderate Republican senator. Forty percent chose the latter option.
GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney, who governed the state from 2003 to 2007, is less popular. Fully 60 percent hold negative opinions of him, just 36 percent positive ones. President Obama has a 62 percent/35 percent favorable/unfavorable split.
Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Political Survey
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
- Approve 43%
- Disapprove 52%
If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate in your district or the Republican candidate in your district?
- Republican candidate 48%
- Democratic candidate 39%
Some people say Barack Obama’s agenda will help the country and the economy in the long run and should be supported, while others say Obama’s agenda will damage the country and should be stopped -- which comes closer to your view?
- Obama's agenda should be supported 44%
- Obama's agenda should be stopped 49%
If you were voting in the midterm election today, would you be more likely to vote for a candidate who supports President Obama on key issues, opposes President Obama on key issues, or would President Obama not be a major factor in your vote for Congress this year?
- Supports Obama 31%
- Opposes Obama 38%
- Obama not a factor 30%
Do you think the world would be a better place if the United States had more power and influence in the world or if the United States had less power and influence?
- More power and influence 47%
- Less power and influence 29%
I’m going to describe two hypothetical candidates. The first candidate agrees with you on economic issues such as taxes and government spending, but you disagree on social issues such as abortion and gay marriage. For the second candidate, the reverse is true -- you AGREE on social issues, but DISAGREE on economic issues. If you had to choose, would you vote for the candidate who agrees with you on economic issues or the candidate who agrees with you on social issues?
- The candidate who agrees with you on economic issues 60%
- The candidate who agrees with you on social issues 32%
Which of the following do you think should be the highest priority for Congress next year -- cutting taxes, reducing the federal budget deficit by cutting spending on programs, or increasing spending on programs to create jobs?
- Spending to create jobs 36%
- Reducing the budget deficit 34%
- Cutting taxes 17%
Which one of the following comes closest to what you would like to see lawmakers do with the new health care law -- would you like lawmakers to repeal the law entirely, repeal parts of the law, expand the law, or leave it as is?
- Repeal entirely 34%
- Repeal parts of the law 25%
- Expand it 21%
- Leave it as is 14%
Who do you think is more to blame for economic problems in the country today - - President Obama and the Democrats or previous Republican policies?
- Previous Republican policies 45%
- Obama and the Democrats 28%
In the long run, do you think Barack Obama’s economic policies will help the country’s economy or hurt the country’s economy?
Have you personally been helped or hurt by Barack Obama’s economic program?
Do you think the nation’s economy would be in better shape today if President Obama: 1. Had done more on the economy early in his term, instead of focusing on health care and other issues, or if he 2. Had done less on the economy and not passed the stimulus plan and government bailouts and let the economy recover on its own.
- Done more, earlier 35%
- Done less, let economy recover on its own 41%
In general, which do you think better describes government programs that give money to the unemployed -- are these programs a safety net or a paid vacation?
- Safety net 52%
- Paid vacation 31%
Survey of 687 likely voters was conducted October 11-13, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 40% Democrat; 39% Republican; 15% Independent.
Fox News/Opinion Dynamics 2012 Presidential Survey
- Barack Obama (D) 41%
- Mitt Romney (R) 40%
- Barack Obama (D) 43%
- Mike Huckabee (R) 40%
- Barack Obama (D) 45%
- Jeb Bush (R) 37%
- Barack Obama (D) 42%
- Chris Christie (R) 30%
- Barack Obama (D) 48%
- Sarah Palin (R) 35%
- Barack Obama (D) 43%
- A candidate from the Tea Party movement 32%
- Barack Obama (D) 40%
- Sarah Palin (R) 28%
- Michael Bloomberg (I) 18%
- Barack Obama (D) 30%
- Sarah Palin (R) 29%
- Hillary Clinton (I) 27%
Among Democrats
- Barack Obama (D) 80%
- Mitt Romney (R) 7%
- Barack Obama (D) 80%
- Mike Huckabee (R) 11%
- Barack Obama (D) 84%
- Jeb Bush (R) 8%
- Barack Obama (D) 77%
- Chris Christie (R) 9%
- Barack Obama (D) 84%
- Sarah Palin (R) 7%
- Barack Obama (D) 79%
- A candidate from the Tea Party movement 6%
- Barack Obama (D) 77%
- Michael Bloomberg (I) 8%
- Sarah Palin (R) 6%
- Barack Obama (D) 54%
- Hillary Clinton (I) 34%
- Sarah Palin (R) 4%
Among Republicans
- Mitt Romney (R) 78%
- Barack Obama (D) 7%
- Mike Huckabee (R) 77%
- Barack Obama (D) 10%
- Jeb Bush (R) 75%
- Barack Obama (D) 9%
- Chris Christie (R) 57%
- Barack Obama (D) 10%
- Sarah Palin (R) 69%
- Barack Obama (D) 13%
- A candidate from the Tea Party movement 63%
- Barack Obama (D) 11%
- Sarah Palin (R) 57%
- Michael Bloomberg (I) 24%
- Barack Obama (D) 7%
- Sarah Palin (R) 61%
- Hillary Clinton (I) 17%
- Barack Obama (D) 9%
Among Independents
- Mitt Romney (R) 40%
- Barack Obama (D) 29%
- Mike Huckabee (R) 36%
- Barack Obama (D) 32%
- Barack Obama (D) 35%
- Jeb Bush (R) 35%
- Barack Obama (D) 31%
- Chris Christie (R) 28%
- Barack Obama (D) 38%
- Sarah Palin (R) 31%
- A candidate from the Tea Party movement 33%
- Barack Obama (D) 32%
- Michael Bloomberg (I) 26%
- Barack Obama (D) 26%
- Sarah Palin (R) 24%
- Hillary Clinton (I) 29%
- Sarah Palin (R) 28%
- Barack Obama (D) 23%
Who would you prefer to have as Barack Obama’s vice president -- Joe Biden or Hillary Clinton?
- Hillary Clinton 55%
- Joe Biden 25%
Among Democrats
- Hillary Clinton 67%
- Joe Biden 25%
Among Republicans
- Hillary Clinton 44%
- Joe Biden 28%
Among Independents
- Hillary Clinton 52%
- Joe Biden 25%
If the 2012 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Barack Obama, probably vote to re-elect Obama, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?
- Definitely vote to re-elect Obama 19%
- Probably vote to re-elect Obama 20%
- Probably vote for someone else 14%
- Definitely vote for someone else 40%
Among Democrats
- Definitely vote to re-elect Obama 41%
- Probably vote to re-elect Obama 34%
- Probably vote for someone else 8%
- Definitely vote for someone else 9%
Among Republicans
- Definitely vote to re-elect Obama 2%
- Probably vote to re-elect Obama 5%
- Probably vote for someone else 17%
- Definitely vote for someone else 75%
Among Independents
- Definitely vote to re-elect Obama 10%
- Probably vote to re-elect Obama 22%
- Probably vote for someone else 19%
- Definitely vote for someone else 38%
Survey of 900 registered voters was conducted September 28-29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 39% Democrat; 36% Republican; 19% Independent.
Fox News/Opinion Dynamics Political Survey
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
- Approve 42%
- Disapprove 49%
Among Democrats
- Approve 77%
- Disapprove 11%
Among Republicans
- Approve 10%
- Disapprove 86%
Among Independents
- Approve 35%
- Disapprove 56%
If the election for Congress were held today, would you vote for the Democratic candidate in your district or the Republican candidate in your district?
- Republican candidate 44%
- Democratic candidate 38%
Among Democrats
- Democratic candidate 82%
- Republican candidate 7%
Among Republicans
- Republican candidate 89%
- Democratic candidate 3%
Among Independents
- Republican candidate 37%
- Democratic candidate 22%
Among Voters Extremely/Very Interested in the November Elections
- Republican candidate 51%
- Democratic candidate 36%
If Barack Obama campaigns for a candidate, would you be much more likely to vote for that candidate, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely, or much less likely to vote for that candidate?
- Much more likely 17%
- Somewhat more likely 18%
- Somewhat less likely 11%
- Much less likely 37%
Among Democrats
- Much more likely 37%
- Somewhat more likely 31%
- Somewhat less likely 7%
- Much less likely 9%
Among Republicans
- Much more likely 2%
- Somewhat more likely 6%
- Somewhat less likely 15%
- Much less likely 68%
Among Independents
- Much more likely 5%
- Somewhat more likely 14%
- Somewhat less likely 9%
- Much less likely 39%
If Sarah Palin campaigns for a candidate, would you be much more likely to vote for that candidate, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely, or much less likely to vote for that candidate?
- Much more likely 12%
- Somewhat more likely 20%
- Somewhat less likely 13%
- Much less likely 38%
Among Democrats
- Much more likely 6%
- Somewhat more likely 8%
- Somewhat less likely 11%
- Much less likely 63%
Among Republicans
- Much more likely 21%
- Somewhat more likely 36%
- Somewhat less likely 15%
- Much less likely 11%
Among Independents
- Much more likely 8%
- Somewhat more likely 16%
- Somewhat less likely 12%
- Much less likely 32%
If Bill Clinton campaigns for a candidate, would you be much more likely to vote for that candidate, somewhat more likely, somewhat less likely, or much less likely to vote for that candidate?
- Much more likely 17%
- Somewhat more likely 22%
- Somewhat less likely 12%
- Much less likely 28%
Among Democrats
- Much more likely 31%
- Somewhat more likely 36%
- Somewhat less likely 7%
- Much less likely 9%
Among Republicans
- Much more likely 8%
- Somewhat more likely 10%
- Somewhat less likely 18%
- Much less likely 50%
Among Independents
- Much more likely 10%
- Somewhat more likely 15%
- Somewhat less likely 12%
- Much less likely 28%
Thinking about the health care law that was passed earlier this year, would you favor repealing the new law to keep it from going into effect, or would you oppose repealing the new law?
- Favor repealing 46%
- Oppose repealing 42%
Among Democrats
- Favor repealing 24%
- Oppose repealing 63%
Among Republicans
- Favor repealing 72%
- Oppose repealing 20%
Among Independents
- Favor repealing 44%
- Oppose repealing 42%
Thinking about the tax cuts passed during George W. Bush’s term that are set to expire this year, would you favor or oppose continuing the tax cuts for those making less than $250,000 a year?
Among Democrats
Among Republicans
Among Independents
Would you favor or oppose continuing the Bush tax cuts for all Americans -- including those making $250,000 or more a year?
Among Democrats
Among Republicans
Among Independents
If taxes go up on people considered wealthy -- that is, those making $250,000 or more a year -- do you think that would help or hurt the nation’s economy, or would it not make much of a difference either way?
- Help 33%
- Hurt 27%
- No difference 35%
Among Democrats
- Help 47%
- Hurt 12%
- No difference 36%
Among Republicans
- Help 20%
- Hurt 46%
- No difference 31%
Among Independents
- Help 27%
- Hurt 26%
- No difference 44%
Some people believe raising taxes is a necessity because of the size of the federal deficit. Others believe raising taxes is a mistake because it will hurt the economy. Which comes closer to your view -- is raising taxes right now a necessity or a mistake?
- Necessity 19%
- Mistake 71%
Among Democrats
- Necessity 30%
- Mistake 58%
Among Republicans
Among Independents
- Necessity 20%
- Mistake 64%
Thinking about the federal government’s economic stimulus plan, about half of that money -- nearly four hundred billion dollars -- hasn’t been spent yet. Would you favor or oppose legislation that would stop the government from spending the remaining stimulus money?
Among Democrats
Among Republicans
Among Independents
Do you agree or disagree with the following statement: the federal government has gotten totally out of control and will threaten the country’s basic liberties unless American voters clean house and commit to drastic change.
Among Democrats
Among Republicans
Among Independents
Regardless of whether you support the Tea Party movement or not, do you support or oppose the main issues the Tea Party has raised -- specifically calling for lower taxes, less government spending and less government regulation?
Among Democrats
Among Republicans
Among Independents
Survey of 900 registered voters was conducted September 28-29, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 39% Democrat; 36% Republican; 19% Independent.