Tuesday, December 28, 2010

Poll Watch: CNN/Opinion Research 2012 Republican Presidential Nomination Survey

CNN/Opinion Research 2012 Republican Presidential Nomination Survey

I'm going to read you the names of a few people who might run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2012. For each one, please tell me whether you would be very likely, somewhat likely, not very likely, or not likely at all to support them if they decided to run for the Republican nomination in 2012.

MIKE HUCKABEE
  • Very likely 27%
  • Somewhat likely 40%
  • Not very likely 20%
  • Not likely at all 11%
Among Republicans
  • Very likely 30%
  • Somewhat likely 39%
  • Not very likely 20%
  • Not likely at all 12%
Among Independents
  • Very likely 24%
  • Somewhat likely 42%
  • Not very likely 19%
  • Not likely at all 11%
Among Conservatives
  • Very likely 33%
  • Somewhat likely 41%
  • Not very likely 17%
  • Not likely at all 8%
Among Moderates
  • Very likely 17%
  • Somewhat likely 44%
  • Not very likely 23%
  • Not likely at all 12%
MITT ROMNEY
  • Very likely 24%
  • Somewhat likely 35%
  • Not very likely 25%
  • Not likely at all 15%
Among Republicans
  • Very likely 26%
  • Somewhat likely 37%
  • Not very likely 25%
  • Not likely at all 10%
Among Independents
  • Very likely 22%
  • Somewhat likely 32%
  • Not very likely 25%
  • Not likely at all 19%
Among Conservatives
  • Very likely 28%
  • Somewhat likely 34%
  • Not very likely 26%
  • Not likely at all 11%
Among Moderates
  • Very likely 19%
  • Somewhat likely 35%
  • Not very likely 25%
  • Not likely at all 18%
NEWT GINGRICH
  • Very likely 19%
  • Somewhat likely 35%
  • Not very likely 22%
  • Not likely at all 22%
Among Republicans
  • Very likely 17%
  • Somewhat likely 40%
  • Not very likely 22%
  • Not likely at all 18%
Among Independents
  • Very likely 21%
  • Somewhat likely 30%
  • Not very likely 21%
  • Not likely at all 25%
Among Conservatives
  • Very likely 21%
  • Somewhat likely 41%
  • Not very likely 22%
  • Not likely at all 14%
Among Moderates
  • Very likely 18%
  • Somewhat likely 27%
  • Not very likely 24%
  • Not likely at all 29%
SARAH PALIN
  • Very likely 23%
  • Somewhat likely 26%
  • Not very likely 23%
  • Not likely at all 28%
Among Republicans
  • Very likely 28%
  • Somewhat likely 32%
  • Not very likely 21%
  • Not likely at all 19%
Among Independents
  • Very likely 18%
  • Somewhat likely 20%
  • Not very likely 24%
  • Not likely at all 38%
Among Conservatives
  • Very likely 28%
  • Somewhat likely 30%
  • Not very likely 24%
  • Not likely at all 17%
Among Moderates
  • Very likely 12%
  • Somewhat likely 17%
  • Not very likely 22%
  • Not likely at all 50%
Survey of 470 Republicans and Republican-leaning Independents was conducted December 17-19, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.

Monday, December 27, 2010

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 GOP Primary

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 GOP Primary
  • Newt Gingrich 21% [17%] (23%)
  • Sarah Palin 21% [21%] (19%) {30%} [27%] (27%)
  • Mitt Romney 18% [10%] (14%) {27%} [25%] (25%)
  • Mike Huckabee 18% [25%] (19%) {30%} [30%] (33%)
  • Ron Paul 7% [7%]
  • Tim Pawlenty 3% [4%] (4%)
  • John Thune 1% [2%] (0%)
  • Mitch Daniels 1% [1%] (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 12% [12%] (16%)
Among Conservatives
  • Sarah Palin 24% [20%] (19%)
  • Newt Gingrich 22% [19%] (25%)
  • Mike Huckabee 19% [26%] (22%)
  • Mitt Romney 14% [10%] (10%)
  • Ron Paul 6% [7%]
  • Tim Pawlenty 3% [5%] (4%)
  • John Thune 1% [1%] (0%)
  • Mitch Daniels 0% [1%] (3%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 10% [12%] (15%)
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 30% [12%] (31%)
  • Newt Gingrich 15% [12%] (17%)
  • Mike Huckabee 15% [24%] (14%)
  • Sarah Palin 13% [27%] (19%)
  • Ron Paul 8% [7%]
  • Tim Pawlenty 3% [1%] (2%)
  • Mitch Daniels 1% [1%] (0%)
  • John Thune 0% [3%] (0%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 15% [14%] (15%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mike Huckabee 71% [71%] / 16% [13%] {+55%}
  • Sarah Palin 67% [65%] / 25% [20%] {+42%}
  • Newt Gingrich 61% [63%] / 21% [21%] {+40%}
  • Mitt Romney 57% [49%] / 22% [23%] {+35%}
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 79% [76%] / 9% [9%] {+70%}
  • Sarah Palin 77% [72%] / 17% [13%] {+60%}
  • Newt Gingrich 69% [72%] / 13% [13%] {+56%}
  • Mitt Romney 58% [53%] / 23% [21%] {+35%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 54% [42%] / 22% [25%] {+32%}
  • Mike Huckabee 50% [60%] / 34% [21%] {+16%}
  • Newt Gingrich 40% [40%] / 41% [38%] {-1%}
  • Sarah Palin 42% [51%] / 47% [36%] {-5%}
Survey of 400 Republican primary voters was conducted December 17-19, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Political ideology: 71% [72%] Conservative; 27% [24%] Moderate; 2% [3%] Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 8-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2010 are in parentheses. 

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2012 Republican Primary Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2012 GOP Primary Survey 
  • Mike Huckabee 23% {15%} [15%] (21%)
  • Mitt Romney 21% {28%} [31%] (52%)
  • Newt Gingrich 18% {15%} [23%]
  • Sarah Palin 13% {22%} [23%] (18%)
  • Ron Paul 8%
  • Tim Pawlenty 4% {4%}
  • Mitch Daniels 2% {1%}
  • John Thune 1% {1%}
  • Someone else/Undecided 10% {12%} 
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 22% {14%} [16%] (23%)
  • Mitt Romney 21% {25%} [26%] (51%)
  • Newt Gingrich 19% {17%} [26%]
  • Sarah Palin 14% {27%} [26%] (18%)
  • Ron Paul 8% [4%]
  • Tim Pawlenty 5% {3%}
  • Mitch Daniels 2% {2%}
  • John Thune 1% {1%}
  • Someone else/Undecided 8% {8%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 25% {36%} [40%] (54%)
  • Mike Huckabee 23% {18%} [13%] (18%)
  • Newt Gingrich 15% {6%} [15%]
  • Sarah Palin 8% {8%} [16%] (18%)
  • Ron Paul 6% [9%]
  • Mitch Daniels 3% {0%}
  • Tim Pawlenty 2% {8%}
  • John Thune 0% {0%}
  • Someone else/Undecided 18% {24%}
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 23% {31%} [34%] (56%)
  • Mike Huckabee 19% {13%} [12%] (16%)
  • Newt Gingrich 17% {15%} [23%]
  • Sarah Palin 15% {22%} [22%] (21%)
  • Ron Paul 12% [6%]
  • Mitch Daniels 3% {3%}
  • Tim Pawlenty 3% {4%}
  • John Thune 1% {0%}
  • Someone else/Undecided 8% {10%}
Among Women
  • Mike Huckabee 27% {17%} [18%] (26%)
  • Mitt Romney 20% {25%} [26%] (47%)
  • Newt Gingrich 20% {14%} [23%]
  • Sarah Palin 10% {22%} [23%] (15%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 6% {4%}
  • Ron Paul 4% [5%]
  • Mitch Daniels 1% {0%}
  • John Thune 0% {1%}
  • Someone else/Undecided 12% {14%}
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mike Huckabee 67% / 20% {+47%}
  • Mitt Romney 61% / 22% {+39%}
  • Newt Gingrich 59% / 24% {+35%}
  • Sarah Palin 61% / 32% {+29%}
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 75% / 14% {+61%}
  • Sarah Palin 73% / 22% {+51%}
  • Newt Gingrich 66% / 18% {+48%}
  • Mitt Romney 67% / 20% {+47%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 54% / 23% {+31%}
  • Mike Huckabee 51% / 31% {+20%}
  • Newt Gingrich 42% / 34% {+8%}
  • Sarah Palin 34% / 56% {-22%}
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 64% / 27% {+37%}
  • Newt Gingrich 60% / 27% {+33%}
  • Mitt Romney 59% / 28% {+31%}
  • Sarah Palin 62% / 33% {+29%}
Among Women
  • Mike Huckabee 70% / 13% {+57%}
  • Mitt Romney 64% / 17% {+47%}
  • Newt Gingrich 57% / 20% {+37%}
  • Sarah Palin 59% / 31% {+28%}
Survey of 400 Republican primary voters was conducted December 17-20, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Political ideology: 70% Conservative; 25% Moderate; 5% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted July 16-18, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-8, 2010 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, December 22, 2010

Poll Watch: Clarus Research 2012 Presidential Survey

Clarus Research 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama (D) 39%
  • Mitt Romney (R) 36%
  • Michael Bloomberg (I) 13%
  • Barack Obama (D) 42%
  • Sarah Palin (R) 31%
  • Michael Bloomberg (I) 18%
Because of term limits, Bill Clinton cannot run for President again. But, just suppose for a moment, that he could run again––in that case, would you prefer Barack Obama or Bill Clinton to be elected President?
  • Bill Clinton 45%
  • Barack Obama 29%
Even though the President before Obama––George W. Bush––also cannot run for president again because of term limits, just suppose for a moment that he could run again––in that case, would you prefer Barack Obama or George W. Bush to be elected President?
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • George W. Bush 44%
I am now going to read to you a couple of statements about government and politics… please tell me whether you agree or disagree with each one––

In many ways, America is in decline and we need strong, competent leadership to get us back on track.
  • Agree 85%
  • Disagree 11%
It would be good for the country to elect a nonpartisan President who is neither a Democrat nor a Republican.
  • Agree 48%
  • Disagree 38%
THE FOLLOWING QUESTIONS WERE ASKED ONLY OF REPUBLICANS...

As you may know, there are a number of Republicans who are considering running for president in 2012. Please tell me which ONE of the following would you most likely vote for if the presidential primary were held today… Mitt Romney, Sarah Palin, Mike Huckabee, Newt Gingrich, Chris Christie, John Thune, Haley Barbour, Tim Pawlenty, Ron Paul, Bobby Jindal, Marco Rubio, or Mitch Daniels…
  • Mitt Romney 19%
  • Mike Huckabee 18%
  • Sarah Palin 17%
  • Newt Gingrich 10%
  • Chris Christie 9%
  • Marco Rubio 5%
  • Ron Paul 4%
  • Bobby Jindal 4%
  • Tim Pawlenty 3%
  • Haley Barbour 2%
  • John Thune 2%
  • Mitch Daniels 2%
  • Undecided 5%
Thinking more about the 2012 election…

Would you prefer the next Republican presidential candidate be someone with legislative experience in Congress …or… someone with management experience as a governor?
  • Management experience/governor 65%
  • Legislative experience/Congress 15%
If you had to pick between the two––would you prefer the next Republican presidential candidate be someone with experience in government …or… someone with experience in private business?
  • Experience in private business 53%
  • Experience in government 28%
If you had to pick between the two––would you prefer the next Republican presidential candidate be someone known for clear and consistent philosophical principles …or… someone known to be intelligent and competent?
  • Someone who is intelligent and competent 49%
  • Someone with clear and consistent philosophical principles 37%
If you had to pick between the two––would you prefer the next Republican presidential candidate be a moderate conservative who has a good chance of beating Barack Obama …or… someone who is an outspoken conservative who has only a fair chance of beating Barack Obama?
  • A moderate, pragmatic conservative 61%
  • A staunch, outspoken conservative 29%
Do you think someone in his or her early 40s is too young to be President?
  • Yes 20%
  • No 76%
Survey of 1,000 registered voters, including a sub-sample of 365 registered Republicans, was conducted December 10-16, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points among all registered voters; +/- 5.1 percentage points among registered Republicans.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina Presidential Survey

PPP (D) North Carolina Presidential Survey
  • Mike Huckabee 46% (48%)
  • Barack Obama 45% (44%)
  • Barack Obama 46% (44%)
  • Mitt Romney 43% (44%)
  • Barack Obama 48% (46%)
  • Newt Gingrich 42% (45%)
  • Barack Obama 52% (48%)
  • Sarah Palin 38% (43%)
Among Independents
  • Mike Huckabee 47% (46%)
  • Barack Obama 37% (37%)
  • Barack Obama 41% (39%)
  • Newt Gingrich 38% (44%)
  • Barack Obama 44% (37%)
  • Mitt Romney 37% (50%)
  • Barack Obama 51% (42%)
  • Sarah Palin 33% (46%)
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 75% (79%)
  • Barack Obama 16% (15%)
  • Mitt Romney 71% (72%)
  • Barack Obama 18% (16%)
  • Newt Gingrich 69% (75%)
  • Barack Obama 21% (16%)
  • Sarah Palin 67% (68%)
  • Barack Obama 21% (18%)
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 56% (55%)
  • Mike Huckabee 31% (30%)
  • Barack Obama 58% (57%)
  • Mitt Romney 31% (28%)
  • Barack Obama 61% (59%)
  • Newt Gingrich 28% (29%)
  • Barack Obama 68% (61%)
  • Sarah Palin 22% (30%)
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 51% (55%)
  • Barack Obama 38% (36%)
  • Mitt Romney 49% (52%)
  • Barack Obama 39% (37%)
  • Newt Gingrich 45% (55%)
  • Barack Obama 44% (38%)
  • Barack Obama 46% (39%)
  • Sarah Palin 44% (51%)
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 50% (50%)
  • Mike Huckabee 42% (41%)
  • Barack Obama 52% (53%)
  • Newt Gingrich 39% (37%)
  • Barack Obama 53% (50%)
  • Mitt Romney 39% (37%)
  • Barack Obama 56% (55%)
  • Sarah Palin 33% (35%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mike Huckabee 43% (44%) / 34% (31%) {+9%}
  • Mitt Romney 34% (33%) / 39% (38%) {-5%}
  • Newt Gingrich 35% (34%) / 47% (43%) {-12%}
  • Sarah Palin 36% (36%) / 57% (55%) {-21%}
Among Republicans
  • Mike Huckabee 72% (67%) / 15% (11%) {+57%}
  • Sarah Palin 68% (62%) / 24% (24%) {+44%}
  • Newt Gingrich 65% (56%) / 23% (20%) {+42%}
  • Mitt Romney 57% (44%) / 21% (22%) {+36%}
Among Independents
  • Mike Huckabee 39% (51%) / 31% (26%) {+8%}
  • Newt Gingrich 34% (33%) / 43% (41%) {-9%}
  • Mitt Romney 30% (46%) / 39% (32%) {-9%}
  • Sarah Palin 36% (38%) / 52% (50%) {-16%}
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 66% (62%) / 12% (17%) {+54%}
  • Newt Gingrich 58% (56%) / 24% (22%) {+34%}
  • Sarah Palin 60% (58%) / 31% (31%) {+29%}
  • Mitt Romney 45% (44%) / 25% (27%) {+20%}
Among Moderates
  • Mike Huckabee 33% (33%) / 44% (33%) {-11%}
  • Mitt Romney 32% (26%) / 45% (40%) {-13%}
  • Newt Gingrich 21% (18%) / 63% (55%) {-42%}
  • Sarah Palin 21% (22%) / 73% (67%) {-52%}
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 49% (47%) / 40% (31%) {+9%}
  • Newt Gingrich 40% (43%) / 50% (41%) {-10%}
  • Mitt Romney 36% (39%) / 47% (39%) {-11%}
  • Sarah Palin 42% (42%) / 54% (50%) {-12%}
Among Women
  • Mike Huckabee 38% (41%) / 28% (31%) {+10%}
  • Mitt Romney 32% (29%) / 32% (38%) {0%}
  • Newt Gingrich 31% (26%) / 45% (45%) {-14%}
  • Sarah Palin 31% (30%) / 60% (60%) {-29%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 46% (45%)
  • Disapprove 49% (51%)
Do you support or oppose the tax deal President Obama made with Congressional Republicans last week?
  • Support 51%
  • Oppose 35%
Survey of 520 North Carolina voters was conducted December 17-19, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted November 19-21, 2010 are in parentheses. Party ID breakdown: 46% (49%) Democrat; 34% (35%) Republican; 21% (17%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 43% (42%) Conservative; 40% (38%) Moderate; 17% (20%) Liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Mitt Romney 44%
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Newt Gingrich 42%
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Mike Huckabee 44%
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Marco Rubio 40%
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Sarah Palin 38%
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Mitt Romney 28%
  • Barack Obama 56%
  • Newt Gingrich 22%
  • Barack Obama 60%
  • Mike Huckabee 24%
  • Barack Obama 67%
  • Sarah Palin 26%
  • Barack Obama 65%
  • Marco Rubio 21%
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 80%
  • Barack Obama 11%
  • Newt Gingrich 77%
  • Barack Obama 8%
  • Mitt Romney 78%
  • Barack Obama 10%
  • Marco Rubio 73%
  • Barack Obama 12%
  • Sarah Palin 70%
  • Barack Obama 17%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 62%
  • Mitt Romney 28%
  • Barack Obama 69%
  • Newt Gingrich 26%
  • Barack Obama 69%
  • Mike Huckabee 25%
  • Barack Obama 66%
  • Marco Rubio 21%
  • Barack Obama 70%
  • Sarah Palin 19%
Among Men
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Mitt Romney 45%
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Newt Gingrich 45%
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mike Huckabee 46%
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Marco Rubio 39%
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Sarah Palin 40%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Newt Gingrich 40%
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mike Huckabee 41%
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Marco Rubio 40%
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Sarah Palin 36%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 43% / 38% {+5%}
  • Marco Rubio 43% / 42% {+1%}
  • Mike Huckabee 41% / 43% {-2%}
  • Newt Gingrich 36% / 47% {-11%}
  • Sarah Palin 36% / 57% {-21%}
Among Republicans
  • Marco Rubio 68% / 20% {+48%}
  • Mike Huckabee 67% / 22% {+45%}
  • Newt Gingrich 61% / 24% {+37%}
  • Mitt Romney 58% / 26% {+32%}
  • Sarah Palin 62% / 34% {+28%}
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 36% / 51% {-15%}
  • Marco Rubio 28% / 52% {-24%}
  • Newt Gingrich 24% / 60% {-36%}
  • Sarah Palin 30% / 66% {-36%}
  • Mike Huckabee 25% / 62% {-37%}
Among Conservatives
  • Marco Rubio 74% / 14% {+60%}
  • Mike Huckabee 70% / 15% {+55%}
  • Newt Gingrich 64% / 15% {+49%}
  • Mitt Romney 64% / 21% {+43%}
  • Sarah Palin 70% / 29% {+41%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 31% / 43% {-12%}
  • Marco Rubio 27% / 52% {-25%}
  • Mike Huckabee 23% / 57% {-34%}
  • Newt Gingrich 19% / 62% {-43%}
  • Sarah Palin 17% / 71% {-54%}
Among Men
  • Marco Rubio 45% / 43% {+2%}
  • Mitt Romney 44% / 43% {+1%}
  • Mike Huckabee 42% / 50% {-8%}
  • Sarah Palin 42% / 54% {-12%}
  • Newt Gingrich 39% / 53% {-14%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 42% / 32% {+10%}
  • Mike Huckabee 40% / 35% {+5%}
  • Marco Rubio 40% / 41% {-1%}
  • Newt Gingrich 32% / 40% {-8%}
  • Sarah Palin 31% / 60% {-29%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 45%
  • Disapprove 49%
Do you support or oppose the tax deal President Obama made with Congressional Republicans last week?
  • Support 47%
  • Oppose 37%
Do you think President Obama made too many concessions to Republicans with his tax deal last week, not enough concessions to Republicans, or about the right amount of concessions to Republicans?
  • Too many 22%
  • Not enough 34%
  • About right 39%
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Charlie Crist’s job performance?
  • Approve 50%
  • Disapprove 39%
Among Independents
  • Approve 70%
  • Disapprove 26%
Among Democrats
  • Approve 54%
  • Disapprove 30%
Among Republicans
  • Approve 36%
  • Disapprove 54%
If Charlie Crist ran for political office again in the future would you definitely vote for him, consider voting for him, or definitely not vote for him?
  • Would definitely vote for him 26%
  • Would consider voting for him 36%
  • Would definitely not vote for him 35%
Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rick Scott?
  • Favorable 33%
  • Unfavorable 43%
Survey of 1,034 Florida voters was conducted December 17-20, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% Democrat; 40% Republican; 18% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 43% Moderate; 36% Conservative; 22% Liberal.

Friday, December 17, 2010

Poll Watch: Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Survey

Washington Post/ABC News 2012 Presidential Survey

If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat and Sarah Palin, the Republican, for whom would you vote?
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • Sarah Palin 40%
If the 2012 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, Sarah Palin, the Republican, and Michael Bloomberg, an independent candidate, for whom would you vote?
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Sarah Palin 32%
  • Michael Bloomberg 18%
If Sarah Palin runs for president in 2012, would you definitely vote for her, would you consider voting for her, or would you definitely not vote for her?
  • Definitely would 8%
  • Would consider 31%
  • Definitely would not 60%
If Barack Obama runs for re-election in 2012, would you definitely vote for him, would you consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him?
  • Definitely would 26%
  • Would consider 28%
  • Definitely would not 44%
If Michael Bloomberg were an independent candidate for president in 2012, would you definitely vote for him, would you consider voting for him, or would you definitely not vote for him?
  • Definitely would 2%
  • Would consider 45%
  • Definitely would not 43%
Survey of registered voters was conducted December 9-12, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.

Inside the numbers:
Even among Republicans, Palin has detractors, with 29 percent saying they would definitely not back her candidacy. Her highest support comes from Republican women and conservative Republicans. Even so, only about one in five in each group say they would certainly support her presidential bid.

Neither does Palin enjoy wide support among independents: 62 percent say they definitely would not vote for her. Among moderates, 66 percent write off her prospective candidacy.

Still, the survey shows limits to Obama's appeal. Among independents, 40 percent say they would not vote for him, 36 percent say they would consider it and 21 percent say they would certainly back him.

Bloomberg's highest levels of support come from independents and young voters, although Obama far outpaces him in both groups. He also draws 25 percent of the vote from those who disapprove of Obama's handling of the presidency, with Palin taking almost six in 10.

Thursday, December 16, 2010

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Wisconsin GOP Primary

PPP (D) 2012 Wisconsin GOP Primary
  • Sarah Palin 21% (18%)
  • Mike Huckabee 18% (15%)
  • Mitt Romney 17% (12%)
  • Newt Gingrich 13% (14%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 10% (8%)
  • Ron Paul 4%
  • John Thune 3% (1%)
  • Mitch Daniels 2% (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 12% (28%)
Among Conservatives
  • Sarah Palin 23% (20%)
  • Mike Huckabee 18% (14%)
  • Mitt Romney 16% (12%)
  • Newt Gingrich 14% (16%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 9% (8%)
  • Ron Paul 4%
  • John Thune 3% (1%)
  • Mitch Daniels 2% (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 11% (26%)
Among Moderates
  • Mike Huckabee 20% (16%)
  • Mitt Romney 20% (15%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 16% (9%)
  • Sarah Palin 13% (11%)
  • Newt Gingrich 10% (10%)
  • Ron Paul 6%
  • John Thune 1% (0%)
  • Mitch Daniels 0% (3%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 15% (35%)
Among Men
  • Sarah Palin 21% (21%)
  • Mike Huckabee 16% (16%)
  • Newt Gingrich 15% (17%)
  • Mitt Romney 14% (11%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 13% (12%)
  • Ron Paul 5%
  • John Thune 3% (0%)
  • Mitch Daniels 2% (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 10% (19%)
Among Women
  • Sarah Palin 21% (14%)
  • Mike Huckabee 21% (13%)
  • Mitt Romney 19% (13%)
  • Newt Gingrich 11% (10%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 7% (5%)
  • Ron Paul 4%
  • Mitch Daniels 2% (3%)
  • John Thune 2% (1%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 15% (39%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Sarah Palin 71% / 21% {+50%}
  • Mike Huckabee 59% / 22% {+37%}
  • Mitt Romney 57% / 23% {+34%}
  • Newt Gingrich 56% / 24% {+32%}
Among Conservatives
  • Sarah Palin 78% / 14% {+64%}
  • Newt Gingrich 61% / 19% {+42%}
  • Mike Huckabee 60% / 20% {+40%}
  • Mitt Romney 58% / 21% {+37%}
Among Moderates
  • Mike Huckabee 52% / 27% {+25%}
  • Mitt Romney 52% / 27% {+25%}
  • Sarah Palin 49% / 40% {+9%}
  • Newt Gingrich 40% / 41% {-1%}
Survey of 400 Republican primary voters was conducted December 10-12, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 77% Conservative; 21% Moderate; 2% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 26-28, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Ohio GOP Primary

PPP (D) 2012 Ohio GOP Primary
  • Sarah Palin 21% (20%)
  • Mike Huckabee 19% (17%)
  • Newt Gingrich 18% (19%)
  • Mitt Romney 15% (14%)
  • Ron Paul 6%
  • Mitch Daniels 5% (3%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 3% (6%)
  • John Thune 2% (0%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 11% (18%)
Among Conservatives
  • Sarah Palin 24% (21%)
  • Newt Gingrich 21% (21%)
  • Mike Huckabee 18% (19%)
  • Mitt Romney 14% (13%)
  • Mitch Daniels 4% (2%)
  • Ron Paul 4%
  • Tim Pawlenty 4% (6%)
  • John Thune 2% (0%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 10% (15%)
Among Moderates
  • Mike Huckabee 23% (14%)
  • Mitt Romney 21% (19%)
  • Newt Gingrich 13% (14%)
  • Ron Paul 13%
  • Sarah Palin 11% (15%)
  • Mitch Daniels 7% (5%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 1% (8%)
  • John Thune 0 (0%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 12% (26%)
Among Men
  • Sarah Palin 19% (19%)
  • Mitt Romney 19% (16%)
  • Newt Gingrich 18% (22%)
  • Mike Huckabee 17% (16%)
  • Ron Paul 7%
  • Mitch Daniels 5% (5%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 3% (6%)
  • John Thune 2% (1%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 9% (14%)
Among Women
  • Sarah Palin 22% (21%)
  • Mike Huckabee 21% (19%)
  • Newt Gingrich 19% (16%)
  • Mitt Romney 11% (13%)
  • Ron Paul 5%
  • Tim Pawlenty 4% (7%)
  • Mitch Daniels 4% (1%)
  • John Thune 1% (0%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 14% (21%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Sarah Palin 68% / 20% {+48%}
  • Mike Huckabee 64% / 20% {+44%}
  • Mitt Romney 53% / 25% {+28%}
  • Newt Gingrich 53% / 27% {+26%}
Among Conservatives
  • Sarah Palin 76% / 12% {+64%}
  • Mike Huckabee 70% / 17% {+53%}
  • Newt Gingrich 62% / 21% {+41%}
  • Mitt Romney 54% / 24% {+30%}
Among Moderates
  • Mike Huckabee 48% / 26% {+22%}
  • Mitt Romney 48% / 30% {+18%}
  • Sarah Palin 43% / 44% {-1%}
  • Newt Gingrich 30% / 42% {-12%}
Survey of 400 Republican primary voters was conducted December 10-12, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 73% Conservative; 24% Moderate; 3% Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 28-30, 2010 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, December 15, 2010

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC News/Wall Street Journal 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 40%
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • John Thune 27%
  • Barack Obama 55%
  • Sarah Palin 33%
Now I'm going to read you the names of several public figures, and I'd like you to rate your feelings toward each one as very positive, somewhat positive, neutral, somewhat negative, or very negative. If you don't know the name, please just say so.

Barack Obama
  • Very positive 25%
  • Somewhat positive 23%
  • Neutral 14%
  • Somewhat negative 14%
  • Very negative 24%
  • Don't know name/Not sure 0%
Mitt Romney
  • Very positive 10%
  • Somewhat positive 18%
  • Neutral 30%
  • Somewhat negative 10%
  • Very negative 10%
  • Don't know name/Not sure 22%
John Thune
  • Very positive 2%
  • Somewhat positive 3%
  • Neutral 13%
  • Somewhat negative 4%
  • Very negative 3%
  • Don't know name/Not sure 76%
Sarah Palin
  • Very positive 13%
  • Somewhat positive 15%
  • Neutral 20%
  • Somewhat negative 16%
  • Very negative 34%
  • Don't know name/Not sure 2%
In general, do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as president?
  • Approve 45%
  • Disapprove 48%
Do you generally approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing in handling the economy?
  • Approve 42%
  • Disapprove 54%
Which ONE of the following statements best describes your feelings toward Barack Obama?
  • Like personally and approve most policies 37%
  • Like personally but disapprove of many policies 35%
  • Don’t like personally, approve most of policies 4%
  • Don’t like personally, disapprove many policies 21%
As you may know, recently President Obama announced an agreement with the Republican leadership in Congress to accept a continuation for two years of the Bush tax cuts for all taxpayers, including those with incomes over $250,000. In exchange, the Republican leadership in Congress is accepting an extension on unemployment benefits for another year and a two percent reduction of Social Security payroll taxes for all taxpayers for one year. Do you approve or disapprove of this agreement?
  • Approve 59%
  • Disapprove 36%
When it comes to this agreement, do you think President Obama gave up too much, that the Republican leadership in Congress gave up too much -- or that it is a fair compromise on both sides?
  • President Obama gave up too much 23%
  • Republican leadership gave up too much 10%
  • Fair compromise on both sides 61%
Survey of 1,000 adults was conducted December 9-13, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mike Huckabee 41%
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Newt Gingrich 41%
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Sarah Palin 38%
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 43%
  • Mitt Romney 36%
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Mike Huckabee 37%
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Newt Gingrich 35%
  • Barack Obama 54%
  • Sarah Palin 34%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 61%
  • Mitt Romney 25%
  • Barack Obama 63%
  • Mike Huckabee 22%
  • Barack Obama 69%
  • Newt Gingrich 22%
  • Barack Obama 71%
  • Sarah Palin 18%
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 78%
  • Barack Obama 10%
  • Mitt Romney 76%
  • Barack Obama 10%
  • Newt Gingrich 76%
  • Barack Obama 12%
  • Sarah Palin 74%
  • Barack Obama 15%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 45%
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Mike Huckabee 42%
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Newt Gingrich 42%
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Sarah Palin 42%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mike Huckabee 41%
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 40%
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Newt Gingrich 39%
  • Barack Obama 54%
  • Sarah Palin 35%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 33% / 45% {-12%}
  • Mike Huckabee 32% / 45% {-13%}
  • Sarah Palin 35% / 58% {-23%}
  • Newt Gingrich 28% / 54% {-26%}
Among Republicans
  • Sarah Palin 73% / 18% {+55%}
  • Newt Gingrich 61% / 21% {+40%}
  • Mike Huckabee 56% / 21% {+35%}
  • Mitt Romney 56% / 22% {+34%}
Among Independents
  • Mike Huckabee 36% / 43% {-7%}
  • Mitt Romney 34% / 46% {-12%}
  • Sarah Palin 32% / 61% {-29%}
  • Newt Gingrich 23% / 56% {-33%}
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 35% / 46% {-11%}
  • Mitt Romney 35% / 50% {-15%}
  • Sarah Palin 38% / 57% {-19%}
  • Newt Gingrich 34% / 55% {-21%}
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 31% / 41% {-10%}
  • Mike Huckabee 29% / 43% {-14%}
  • Sarah Palin 33% / 60% {-27%}
  • Newt Gingrich 22% / 53% {-31%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 47%
  • Disapprove 46%
Among Independents
  • Approve 47%
  • Disapprove 42%
Survey of 702 Wisconsin voters was conducted December 10-12, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 35% Democrat; 31% Republican; 33% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 41% Moderate; 40% Conservative; 19% Liberal.

Monday, December 13, 2010

Hardball: Moderate Politicians Take Part in 'No Labels' to Move Country Forward


No Labels Livestream


Watch live streaming video from nolabelsorg at livestream.com

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Minnesota GOP Primary

PPP (D) 2012 Minnesota GOP Primary
  • Tim Pawlenty 24% (19%)
  • Sarah Palin 17% (18%)
  • Mike Huckabee 15% (14%)
  • Mitt Romney 13% (11%)
  • Newt Gingrich 11% (11%)
  • Ron Paul 9%
  • John Thune 3% (2%)
  • Mitch Daniels 2% (3%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 6% (18%)
Among Conservatives
  • Tim Pawlenty 24% (18%)
  • Sarah Palin 20% (20%)
  • Mike Huckabee 15% (15%)
  • Newt Gingrich 11% (12%)
  • Mitt Romney 11% (11%)
  • Ron Paul 9%
  • John Thune 3% (3%)
  • Mitch Daniels 2% (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 6% (16%)
Among Moderates
  • Tim Pawlenty 24% (27%)
  • Mitt Romney 20% (13%)
  • Mike Huckabee 15% (13%)
  • Newt Gingrich 11% (6%)
  • Ron Paul 10%
  • Sarah Palin 7% (10%)
  • Mitch Daniels 2% (4%) 
  • John Thune 2% (1%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 8% (24%) 
Among Men
  • Tim Pawlenty 24% (20%)
  • Sarah Palin 19% (17%)
  • Mike Huckabee 15% (15%)
  • Newt Gingrich 13% (11%)
  • Ron Paul 12%
  • Mitt Romney 10% (11%)
  • John Thune 2% (4%)
  • Mitch Daniels 2% (3%) 
  • Someone else/Undecided 3% (14%)
Among Women
  • Tim Pawlenty 23% (18%)
  • Mitt Romney 17% (12%)
  • Mike Huckabee 16% (13%)
  • Sarah Palin 15% (19%)
  • Newt Gingrich 8% (10%)
  • Ron Paul 5%
  • Mitch Daniels 3% (2%)
  • John Thune 3% (1%) 
  • Someone else/Undecided 10% (22%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Sarah Palin 68% / 23% {+45%}
  • Mike Huckabee 63% / 19% {+44%}
  • Newt Gingrich 55% / 22% {+33%}
  • Mitt Romney 54% / 22% {+32%}
Among Conservatives
  • Sarah Palin 75% / 16% {+59%}
  • Mike Huckabee 71% / 14% {+57%}
  • Newt Gingrich 62% / 17% {+45%}
  • Mitt Romney 56% / 20% {+36%} 
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 50% / 25% {+25%}
  • Mike Huckabee 43% / 28% {+15%}
  • Sarah Palin 47% / 43% {+4%}
  • Newt Gingrich 34% / 39% {-5%}
Survey of 387 Republican primary voters was conducted December 4-5, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Political ideology: 74% Conservative; 25% Moderate; 1% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 27-29, 2010 are in parentheses.

Saturday, December 11, 2010

Poll Watch: McClatchy-Marist 2012 Presidential Survey

McClatchy-Marist 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Mitt Romney 46%
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mike Huckabee 43%
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Sarah Palin 40%
Among Independents
  • Mitt Romney 47%
  • Barack Obama 39%
  • Barack Obama 42%
  • Mike Huckabee 40%
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Sarah Palin 35%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 53%
  • Mitt Romney 38%
  • Barack Obama 55%
  • Mike Huckabee 31%
  • Barack Obama 68%
  • Sarah Palin 26%
Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?
  • Approve 42%
  • Disapprove 50%
Among Independents
  • Approve 39%
  • Disapprove 52%
Among Moderates
  • Approve 54%
  • Disapprove 38%
Survey of 873 registered voters was conducted December 2-8, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 37% Democrat; 28% Republican; 33% Independent. Political ideology: 46% Conservative; 34% Moderate; 19% Liberal.

Friday, December 10, 2010

Poll Watch: PPP (D) 2012 Michigan GOP Primary

PPP (D) 2012 Michigan GOP Primary 
  • Mitt Romney 22% [30%] (37%)
  • Mike Huckabee 22% [14%] (12%)
  • Sarah Palin 18% [17%] (24%)
  • Newt Gingrich 15% [16%] (16%)
  • Ron Paul 10% [8%] (6%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 3%
  • Mitch Daniels 2%
  • John Thune 1%
  • Someone else/Undecided 7%
Among Conservatives
  • Mitt Romney 23% [27%] (32%)
  • Mike Huckabee 22% [15%] (13%)
  • Sarah Palin 20% [19%] (29%)
  • Newt Gingrich 17% [19%] (19%)
  • Ron Paul 7% [9%] (6%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 3%
  • Mitch Daniels 2%
  • John Thune 1%
  • Someone else/Undecided 6% 
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 22% [36%] (56%)
  • Mike Huckabee 20% [11%] (14%)
  • Ron Paul 15% [7%] (8%)
  • Sarah Palin 12% [14%] (8%) 
  • Newt Gingrich 11% [12%] (11%)
  • Mitch Daniels 4%
  • John Thune 2%
  • Tim Pawlenty 0%
  • Someone else/Undecided 10% 
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 22% [29%] (31%)
  • Newt Gingrich 18% [17%] (24%)
  • Sarah Palin 18% [17%] (26%)
  • Mike Huckabee 16% [16%] (8%)
  • Ron Paul 11% [9%] (9%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 3%
  • Mitch Daniels 3%
  • John Thune 1%
  • Someone else/Undecided 8%
Among Women
  • Mike Huckabee 27% [13%] (17%)
  • Mitt Romney 22% [30%] (45%)
  • Sarah Palin 17% [17%] (22%)
  • Newt Gingrich 12% [15%] (7%) 
  • Ron Paul 8% [7%] (3%)
  • Tim Pawlenty 3%
  • Mitch Daniels 2%
  • John Thune 0%
  • Someone else/Undecided 11%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 66% / 18% {+48%}
  • Mike Huckabee 63% / 20% {+43%}
  • Sarah Palin 64% / 28% {+36%}
  • Newt Gingrich 52% / 26% {+26%}
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 73% / 14% {+59%}
  • Sarah Palin 75% / 17% {+58%}
  • Mitt Romney 72% / 15% {+57%}
  • Newt Gingrich 60% / 19% {+41%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 53% / 27% {+26%}
  • Mike Huckabee 38% / 35% {+3%}
  • Newt Gingrich 32% / 43% {-11%}
  • Sarah Palin 35% / 56% {-21%}
Survey of 400 Republican primary voters was conducted December 3-6, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Political ideology: 71% [67%] Conservative; 27% [31%] Moderate; 2% [2%] Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted September 17-19, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 25-27, 2010 are in parentheses.

Wednesday, December 08, 2010

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 GOP Primary

PPP (D) Massachusetts 2012 GOP Primary
  • Mitt Romney 47%
  • Sarah Palin 12%
  • Newt Gingrich 11%
  • Mike Huckabee 10%
  • Tim Pawlenty 4%
  • Ron Paul 3%
  • John Thune 2%
  • Mitch Daniels 1%
  • Someone else/Undecided 9%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 39%
  • Newt Gingrich 14%
  • Sarah Palin 13%
  • Mike Huckabee 10%
  • Tim Pawlenty 6%
  • Ron Paul 4%
  • John Thune 4%
  • Mitch Daniels 0%
  • Someone else/Undecided 10%
Among Women
  • Mitt Romney 55%
  • Sarah Palin 12%
  • Mike Huckabee 11%
  • Newt Gingrich 7%
  • Mitch Daniels 3%
  • Ron Paul 2%
  • Tim Pawlenty 2%
  • John Thune 1%
  • Someone else/Undecided 7%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mitt Romney 73% / 20% {+53%}
  • Sarah Palin 60% / 31% {+29%}
  • Mike Huckabee 56% / 27% {+29%}
  • Newt Gingrich 53% / 27% {+26%}
Among Conservatives
  • Mitt Romney 82% / 14% {+68%}
  • Sarah Palin 70% / 19% {+51%}
  • Newt Gingrich 65% / 16% {+49%}
  • Mike Huckabee 67% / 20% {+47%}
Among Moderates
  • Mitt Romney 62% / 26% {+36%}
  • Mike Huckabee 42% / 36% {+6%}
  • Sarah Palin 45% / 47% {-2%}
  • Newt Gingrich 35% / 43% {-8%}
Survey of 300 Republican primary voters was conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 5.7 percentage points. Political ideology: 58% Conservative; 39% Moderate; 2% Liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 43%
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Rick Snyder 38%
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Mike Huckabee 39%
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Newt Gingrich 37%
  • Barack Obama 56%
  • Sarah Palin 35%
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 42%
  • Mitt Romney 41%
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Rick Snyder 35%
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Mike Huckabee 31%
  • Barack Obama 55%
  • Newt Gingrich 28%
  • Barack Obama 62%
  • Sarah Palin 26%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 59%
  • Mitt Romney 29%
  • Barack Obama 61%
  • Rick Snyder 22%
  • Barack Obama 65%
  • Newt Gingrich 20%
  • Barack Obama 67%
  • Mike Huckabee 20%
  • Barack Obama 72%
  • Sarah Palin 17%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50%
  • Barack Obama 42%
  • Mike Huckabee 44%
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Rick Snyder 43%
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Newt Gingrich 43%
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Sarah Palin 39%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 52%
  • Mitt Romney 36%
  • Barack Obama 54%
  • Rick Snyder 32%
  • Barack Obama 59%
  • Mike Huckabee 33%
  • Barack Obama 59%
  • Newt Gingrich 29%
  • Barack Obama 61%
  • Sarah Palin 31%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Rick Snyder 48% / 26% {+22%}
  • Mitt Romney 39% / 37% {+2%}
  • Mike Huckabee 37% / 40% {-3%}
  • Newt Gingrich 28% / 50% {-22%}
  • Sarah Palin 34% / 60% {-26%}
Among Republicans
  • Rick Snyder 68% / 7% {+61%}
  • Mike Huckabee 66% / 18% {+48%}
  • Mitt Romney 63% / 21% {+42%}
  • Sarah Palin 65% / 24% {+41%}
  • Newt Gingrich 57% / 19% {+38%}
Among Independents
  • Rick Snyder 52% / 24% {+28%}
  • Mitt Romney 43% / 34% {+9%}
  • Mike Huckabee 29% / 43% {-14%}
  • Newt Gingrich 20% / 59% {-39%}
  • Sarah Palin 28% / 68% {-40%}
Among Men
  • Rick Snyder 53% / 28% {+25%}
  • Mitt Romney 46% / 41% {+5%}
  • Mike Huckabee 39% / 44% {-5%}
  • Sarah Palin 38% / 57% {-19%}
  • Newt Gingrich 34% / 54% {-20%}
Among Women
  • Rick Snyder 42% / 26% {+16%}
  • Mitt Romney 33% / 32% {+1%}
  • Mike Huckabee 34% / 35% {-1%}
  • Newt Gingrich 21% / 46% {-25%}
  • Sarah Palin 31% / 62% {-31%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 50%
  • Disapprove 45%
Among Men
  • Approve 44%
  • Disapprove 51%
Among Women
  • Approve 56%
  • Disapprove 39%
Survey of 1,224 Michigan voters was conducted December 3-6, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 35% Democrat; 35% Republican; 29% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 45% Moderate; 38% Conservative; 17% Liberal.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Minnesota 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Minnesota 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Tim Pawlenty 43%
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Mike Huckabee 40%
  • Barack Obama 51%
  • Newt Gingrich 38%
  • Barack Obama 54%
  • Sarah Palin 36%
Among Independents
  • Barack Obama 42%
  • Mitt Romney 40%
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Mike Huckabee 35%
  • Barack Obama 50%
  • Tim Pawlenty 38%
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Newt Gingrich 31%
  • Barack Obama 56%
  • Sarah Palin 31%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 62%
  • Mitt Romney 26%
  • Barack Obama 68%
  • Tim Pawlenty 25%
  • Barack Obama 68%
  • Mike Huckabee 22%
  • Barack Obama 68%
  • Newt Gingrich 21%
  • Barack Obama 73%
  • Sarah Palin 19%
Among Conservatives
  • Mitt Romney 79%
  • Barack Obama 8%
  • Tim Pawlenty 81%
  • Barack Obama 11%
  • Mike Huckabee 77%
  • Barack Obama 10%
  • Newt Gingrich 73%
  • Barack Obama 12%
  • Sarah Palin 71%
  • Barack Obama 14%
Among Men
  • Mitt Romney 50%
  • Barack Obama 40%
  • Tim Pawlenty 50%
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Mike Huckabee 45%
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Newt Gingrich 44%
  • Barack Obama 49%
  • Sarah Palin 43%
Among Women
  • Barack Obama 54%
  • Mitt Romney 36%
  • Barack Obama 55%
  • Mike Huckabee 35%
  • Barack Obama 58%
  • Tim Pawlenty 35%
  • Barack Obama 58%
  • Newt Gingrich 32%
  • Barack Obama 59%
  • Sarah Palin 30%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mike Huckabee 37% / 40% {-3%}
  • Mitt Romney 32% / 42% {-10%}
  • Newt Gingrich 30% / 52% {-22%}
  • Sarah Palin 35% / 60% {-25%}
Among Republicans
  • Mike Huckabee 64% / 16% {+48%}
  • Sarah Palin 70% / 23% {+47%}
  • Newt Gingrich 58% / 21% {+37%}
  • Mitt Romney 53% / 23% {+30%}
Among Independents
  • Mike Huckabee 39% / 37% {+2%}
  • Mitt Romney 37% / 35% {+2%}
  • Newt Gingrich 28% / 51% {-23%}
  • Sarah Palin 32% / 62% {-30%}
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 41% / 41% {0%}
  • Mitt Romney 38% / 41% {-3%}
  • Newt Gingrich 38% / 45% {-7%}
  • Sarah Palin 39% / 56% {-17%}
Among Women
  • Mike Huckabee 33% / 38% {-5%}
  • Mitt Romney 27% / 43% {-16%}
  • Sarah Palin 31% / 63% {-32%}
  • Newt Gingrich 22% / 58% {-36%}
Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Tim Pawlenty’s job performance?
  • Approve 43% (43%)
  • Disapprove 53% (50%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 40%
  • Disapprove 56%
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 49% (43%)
  • Disapprove 46% (49%)
Among Independents
  • Approve 48%
  • Disapprove 44%
Survey of 949 Minnesota voters was conducted December 4-5, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 37% (36%) Democrat; 34% (31%) Republican; 29% (33%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 41% (43%) Moderate; 39% (37%) Conservative; 20% (21%) Liberal. Results from the poll conducted October 27-29, 2010 are in parentheses.

Friday, December 03, 2010

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Missouri 2012 Presidential Survey
  • Mike Huckabee 49%
  • Barack Obama 42%
  • Mitt Romney 47%
  • Barack Obama 41%
  • Newt Gingrich 45%
  • Barack Obama 44%
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Sarah Palin 43%
Among Independents
  • Mike Huckabee 49%
  • Barack Obama 37%
  • Mitt Romney 47%
  • Barack Obama 35%
  • Newt Gingrich 43%
  • Barack Obama 41%
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Sarah Palin 40%
Among Conservatives
  • Mike Huckabee 82%
  • Barack Obama 11%
  • Newt Gingrich 78%
  • Barack Obama 11%
  • Mitt Romney 77%
  • Barack Obama 13%
  • Sarah Palin 69%
  • Barack Obama 13%
Among Moderates
  • Barack Obama 55%
  • Mitt Romney 28%
  • Barack Obama 59%
  • Mike Huckabee 29%
  • Barack Obama 63%
  • Newt Gingrich 24%
  • Barack Obama 67%
  • Sarah Palin 25%
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 54%
  • Barack Obama 38%
  • Mitt Romney 52%
  • Barack Obama 36%
  • Newt Gingrich 50%
  • Barack Obama 40%
  • Sarah Palin 48%
  • Barack Obama 43%
Among Women
  • Mike Huckabee 46%
  • Barack Obama 45%
  • Barack Obama 46%
  • Mitt Romney 42%
  • Barack Obama 47%
  • Newt Gingrich 41%
  • Barack Obama 48%
  • Sarah Palin 39%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mike Huckabee 51% / 29% {+22%}
  • Mitt Romney 30% / 42% {-12%}
  • Sarah Palin 39% / 53% {-14%}
  • Newt Gingrich 33% / 48% {-15%}
Among Republicans
  • Mike Huckabee 79% / 11% {+68%}
  • Sarah Palin 69% / 22% {+47%}
  • Newt Gingrich 60% / 25% {+35%}
  • Mitt Romney 49% / 24% {+25%}
Among Independents
  • Mike Huckabee 46% / 27% {+19%}
  • Mitt Romney 26% / 39% {-13%}
  • Sarah Palin 35% / 55% {-20%}
  • Newt Gingrich 27% / 53% {-26%}
Among Moderates
  • Mike Huckabee 39% / 36% {+3%}
  • Mitt Romney 20% / 48% {-28%}
  • Newt Gingrich 17% / 64% {-47%}
  • Sarah Palin 23% / 71% {-48%}
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 55% / 31% {+24%}
  • Sarah Palin 44% / 50% {-6%}
  • Mitt Romney 34% / 42% {-8%}
  • Newt Gingrich 36% / 51% {-15%}
Among Women
  • Mike Huckabee 48% / 27% {+21%}
  • Newt Gingrich 31% / 46% {-15%}
  • Mitt Romney 27% / 42% {-15%}
  • Sarah Palin 36% / 55% {-19%}
Do you approve or disapprove of President Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 43%
  • Disapprove 52%
Among Independents
  • Approve 39%
  • Disapprove 52%
Among Men
  • Approve 39%
  • Disapprove 57%
Among Women
  • Approve 46%
  • Disapprove 48%
Survey of 515 Missouri voters was conducted November 29 - December 1, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.3 percentage points.  Party ID breakdown: 39% Republican; 36% Democrat; 26% Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 44% Conservative; 39% Moderate; 17% Liberal.

Thursday, December 02, 2010

Poll Watch: PPP National 2012 Political Survey

PPP National 2012 Political Survey
Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?
  • Approve 47%
  • Disapprove 50% 
Among Men
  • Approve 44%
  • Disapprove 53%
Among Women
  • Approve 50%
  • Disapprove 47%
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mike Huckabee 39% / 40% {-1%}
  • Mitt Romney 36% / 42% {-6%}
  • Marco Rubio 23% / 33% {-10%}
  • Sarah Palin 38% / 55% {-17%}
  • Michael Bloomberg 19% / 38% {-19%}
  • Newt Gingrich 33% / 53% {-20%}
Among Republicans
  • Mike Huckabee 68% / 18% {+50%}
  • Sarah Palin 67% / 25% {+42%}
  • Mitt Romney 59% / 21% {+38%}
  • Newt Gingrich 58% / 27% {+31%}
  • Marco Rubio 40% / 19% {+21%}
  • Michael Bloomberg 12% / 48% {-36%}
Among Independents
  • Mike Huckabee 36% / 42% {-6%}
  • Marco Rubio 23% / 32% {-9%}
  • Mitt Romney 33% / 46% {-13%}
  • Michael Bloomberg 19% / 37% {-18%}
  • Sarah Palin 37% / 58% {-21%}
  • Newt Gingrich 31% / 54% {-23%}
Among Moderates
  • Michael Bloomberg 24% / 28% {-4%}
  • Mitt Romney 33% / 45% {-12%}
  • Mike Huckabee 24% / 48% {-24%}
  • Marco Rubio 13% / 40% {-27%}
  • Newt Gingrich 18% / 67% {-49%}
  • Sarah Palin 19% / 73% {-54%}
Among Men
  • Mike Huckabee 42% / 40% {+2%}
  • Mitt Romney 39% / 43% {-4%}
  • Marco Rubio 31% / 37% {-6%}
  • Newt Gingrich 40% / 47% {-7%}
  • Sarah Palin 42% / 51% {-9%}
  • Michael Bloomberg 20% / 44% {-24%}
Among Women
  • Mike Huckabee 35% / 40% {-5%}
  • Mitt Romney 34% / 42% {-8%}
  • Marco Rubio 17% / 30% {-13%}
  • Michael Bloomberg 18% / 32% {-14%}
  • Sarah Palin 34% / 59% {-25%}
  • Newt Gingrich 26% / 57% {-31%}
Do you think Sarah Palin could defeat Barack Obama if she ran for President in 2012?
  • Yes 28%
  • No 60%
Among Democrats
  • Yes 12%
  • No 82%
Among Independents
  • Yes 27%
  • No 55%
Among Republicans
  • Yes 48%
  • No 37%
Among Liberals
  • Yes 9%
  • No 87%
Among Moderates
  • Yes 17%
  • No 73%
Among Conservatives
  • Yes 49%
  • No 34%
Among Men
  • Yes 33%
  • No 56%
Among Women
  • Yes 23%
  • No 64%
Survey of 707 registered voters was conducted November 19-21, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 3.7 percentage points. Party ID breakdown: 42% Democrat; 35% Republican; 23% Independent/Other. Political ideology: 45% Moderate; 39% Conservative; 17% Liberal.

Wednesday, December 01, 2010

Poll Watch: PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 GOP Primary

PPP (D) North Carolina 2012 GOP Primary
  • Mike Huckabee 25% (19%) {30%} [30%] (33%)
  • Sarah Palin 21% (19%) {30%} [27%] (27%)
  • Newt Gingrich 17% (23%)
  • Mitt Romney 10% (14%) {27%} [25%] (25%)
  • Ron Paul 7%
  • Tim Pawlenty 4% (4%)
  • John Thune 2% (0%)
  • Mitch Daniels 1% (2%)
  • Someone else/Undecided 12% (16%)
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Mike Huckabee 71% / 13% {+58%}
  • Sarah Palin 65% / 20% {+45%}
  • Newt Gingrich 63% / 21% {+42%}
  • Mitt Romney 49% / 23% {+26%}
Survey of 400 Republican primary voters was conducted November 19-21, 2010.  The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points.  Political ideology: 72% Conservative; 24% Moderate; 3% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted October 30-31, 2010 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 8-11, 2010 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 12-15, 2010 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 12-15, 2010 are in parentheses.