Thursday, July 12, 2012

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Texas 2012 Republican Senatorial Runoff Survey

  • Ted Cruz 49% [34%]
  • David Dewhurst 44% [59%]
  • Not sure 7% [7%]
Among Men
  • Ted Cruz 55% [42%]
  • David Dewhurst 38% [54%]
  • Not sure 8% [4%]
Among Women
  • David Dewhurst 49% [64%]
  • Ted Cruz 44% [26%]
  • Not sure 6% [10%]
Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}
  • Ted Cruz 56% [38%] (31%) {15%} [8%] / 25% [32%] (17%) {14%} [14%] {+31%}
  • David Dewhurst 52% [61%] (47%) {41%} [42%] / 33% [25%] (22%) {19%} [16%] {+19%}
Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?
  • Yes 40% [41%] (34%) {36%}
  • No 50% [45%] (48%) {53%}
Among Tea Party Members
  • Ted Cruz 71% [45%]
  • David Dewhurst 26% [52%]
  • Not sure 3% [3%]
Among Non-Tea Party Republicans
  • David Dewhurst 57% [67%]
  • Ted Cruz 34% [27%]
  • Not sure 8% [6%]
Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?
  • Are an Evangelical 65% [61%]
  • Are not 35% [39%]
Among Evangelical Christians
  • Ted Cruz 50% [37%]
  • David Dewhurst 42% [57%]
  • Not sure 8% [6%]
Among Non-Evangelicals
  • David Dewhurst 47% [63%]
  • Ted Cruz 47% [29%]
  • Not sure 6% [8%]
Would you say you are very excited, somewhat excited, or not that excited about voting in the runoff election?
  • Very excited 48%
  • Somewhat excited 30%
  • Not that excited 22%
Very Excited
  • Ted Cruz 59%
  • David Dewhurst 36%
  • Not sure 5%
Somewhat Excited
  • David Dewhurst 51%
  • Ted Cruz 43%
  • Not sure 6%
Not That Excited
  • David Dewhurst 50%
  • Ted Cruz 36%
  • Not sure 13%
    Survey of 468 likely Republican runoff voters was conducted July 10-11, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Political ideology: 52% [55%] (47%) {41%} [38%] Very conservative; 26% [28%] (33%) {34%} [41%] Somewhat conservative; 13% [8%] (12%) {18%} [14%] Moderate; 7% [1%] (2%) {2%} [3%] Very liberal; 2% [1%] (6%) {5%} [4%] Somewhat liberal. Results from the poll conducted May 22-23, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 15-18, 2011 are in square brackets.

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