Poll Watch: Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Quinnipiac University Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll

• Donald Trump 31% {31%} [31%] (28%) {25%} [20%] (27%) {10%}
• Ted Cruz 24% {29%} [29%] (27%) {23%} [10%] (9%) {9%} [12%] (5%)
• Marco Rubio 17% {13%} [15%] (14%) {13%} [13%] (5%) {7%} [13%] (4%)
• Ben Carson 8% {7%} [7%] (10%) {18%} [28%] (21%) {10%} [7%] (11%)
• Jeb Bush 4% {4%} [3%] (5%) {4%} [5%] (6%) {8%} [5%] (10%)
• Rand Paul 4% {5%} [2%] (4%) {5%} [6%] (4%) {9%} [13%] (13%)
• Mike Huckabee 3% {2%} [3%] (1%) {2%} [2%] (4%) {5%} [11%] (11%)
• Carly Fiorina 2% {1%} [1%] (3%) {3%} [5%] (5%) {3%} [2%]
• John Kasich 2% {1%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (5%) {2%} [2%] (0%) 
• Chris Christie 1% {3%} [4%] (3%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {1%} [3%] (4%)
• Rick Santorum 1% {0%} [1%] (0%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {4%} [2%] (4%)
• Jim Gilmore 0% {0%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [0%] (0%)

Who is your second choice?

• Ted Cruz 19%
• Marco Rubio 17%
• Ben Carson 12%
• Donald Trump 9%
• Jeb Bush 5%
• Chris Christie 5%
• Carly Fiorina 5%
• Rand Paul 5%
• Mike Huckabee 4%
• John Kasich 1%
• Rick Santorum 1%
• Jim Gilmore 0%

Survey of 890 likely Iowa Republican caucus participants was conducted January 25-31, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3.28 percentage points. Gender: 56% {58%} [62%] (58%) {61%} [63%] (57%) {61%} [58%] (60%) Men; 44% {42%} [38%] (42%) {39%} [37%] (43%) {39%} [42%] (40%) Women. Political philosophy: 39% {43%} [40%] (40%) {43%} [45%] (42%) {44%} [43%] (45%) Very conservative; 31% {29%} [30%] (31%) {33%} [28%] (28%) {29%} [27%] (28%) Somewhat conservative; 28% {26%} [28%] (27%) {23%} [26%] (28%) {25%} [29%] (25%) Moderate/Liberal. Results from the poll conducted January 18-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 5-10, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 4-13, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 16-22, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 14-20, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted August 27 - September 8, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 20-29, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 25 - May 4, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 16-23, 2015 are in parentheses.