Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 44% {42%} [43%] (39%) {39%} [38%] (38%) {39%} [42%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (38%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 37% {40%} [39%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (39%) {40%} [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
• Some other candidate 13% {13%} [12%] (11%) {14%} [15%] (18%) {14%} [13%] (15%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
• Undecided 6% {5%} [5%] (6%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted July 12-13, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.Results from the poll conducted July 5, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28-29, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 20-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 14-15, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 6-7, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 17-18, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Trump now has the support of 80% of Republicans and 13% of Democrats. Clinton earns just 72% of the Democratic vote and picks up five percent (5%) of Republicans. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, Trump leads by 13 points, but 27% of these voters either like another candidate or are undecided.

Perhaps more troubling for Clinton is that she now trails by 17 points among white voters after the murder last week of five white policemen in Dallas which Trump has attributed to anti-police rhetoric by President Obama, Clinton and others. This is a noticeably wider gap than we have seen previously, while her support among black and other minority voters remains unchanged.

Clinton is now the candidate with the bigger gender gap problem. She leads by eight points among women voters, but Trump posts a 21-point lead among men.

The Republican continues to lead among those 40 and over, but the candidates are now tied among younger voters. Still, those under 40 are also far more likely than their elders to like another candidate or be undecided.

Trump leads among voters in all income groups now except those who earn under $30,000 a year.