Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2016 Presidential Poll

• Donald Trump (R) 43% (44%) {42%} [43%] (39%) {39%} [38%] (38%) {39%} [42%] (41%) {36%} [36%] (38%)
• Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (37%) {40%} [39%] (44%) {44%} [42%] (39%) {40%} [37%] (39%) {41%} [37%] (36%)
• Some other candidate 11% (13%) {13%} [12%] (11%) {14%} [15%] (18%) {14%} [13%] (15%) {21%} [22%] (22%)
• Undecided 4% (6%) {5%} [5%] (6%) {4%} [5%] (5%) {7%} [7%] (5%) {3%} [5%] (5%)

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted July 18-19, 2016. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted July 12-13, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 5, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 28-29, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 20-21, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 14-15, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 6-7, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 1, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted May 23-24, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 17-18, 2016 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 27-28, 2016 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 29 - March 1, 2016 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 22-23, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted October 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Trump has the backing of 78% of Republicans and a slight 38% to 35% lead among voters not affiliated with either major party. Clinton earns 76% support among Democrats. The GOP nominee now picks up 16% of the Democratic vote, while 10% of Republicans like Clinton.

Trump is ahead by 13 points among men, while Clinton posts a 10-point lead among women.

Clinton runs strongest among those under 40, but voters in this age group are also far more likely than their elders to prefer some other candidate.

The likely Democratic nominee continues to maintain an overwhelming lead among blacks and is slightly ahead among other minority voters. Trump has a double-digit advantage among whites.

Trump is the choice of 70% of conservatives. Eighty percent (80%) of liberals and moderates by a 45% to 33% margin favor Clinton.