Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 47%
• Barack Obama 43%
• Some other candidate 5%
• Undecided 5% 

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted July 31 - August 2, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Poll Watch: Pew Research 2012 Presidential Survey

Pew Research 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% (50%) [50%] {49%} (49%) [54%] {52%} (50%) [49%] {48%}
• Mitt Romney 41% (43%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [42%] {44%} (45%) [47%] {48%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 47% (46%) [53%] {44%} (50%) [46%] {50%}
• Barack Obama 46% (47%) [43%] {46%} (44%) [49%] {45%} 

Among Women

• Barack Obama 56% (53%) [55%] {51%} (53%) [58%] {59%}
• Mitt Romney 37% (40%) [40%] {40%} (40%) [38%] {38%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 45% (45%) [49%] {43%} (48%) [44%] {42%} (50%) [53%] 
• Barack Obama 43% (46%) [44%] {43%} (42%) [47%] {51%} (40%) [41%] 

Battleground States (CO, FL, IA, MI, MO, NV, NH, NC, OH, PA, VA and WI)

• Barack Obama 48% (51%) [51%]
• Mitt Romney 44% (44%) [44%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 50% (50%) [55%] (49%) [50%] / 45% (48%) [43%] (48%) [48%] {+5%}
• Mitt Romney 37% (41%) [29%] (33%) [38%] / 52% (47%) [55%] (47%) [45%] {-15%}

Survey of 1,956 registered voters was conducted July 16-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.2 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% Democrat; 25% Republican; 33% Independent.  Ideology: 39% Conservative; 36% Moderate; 21% Liberal.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 9, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 7-17, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 9 - June 3, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 4-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 7-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 8-12, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 11-16, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 9-14, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22 - October 4, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut Survey on Senator Joe Lieberman

PPP (D) Connecticut Poll on Sen. Joe Lieberman 

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Joe Lieberman's job performance?

• Approve 41% (39%)
• Disapprove 43% (48%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 26% (28%)
• Disapprove 55% (58%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 56% (57%)
• Disapprove 26% (30%)

Among Independents

• Approve 46% (34%)
• Disapprove 41% (53%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 42% (39%)
• Disapprove 41% (51%)

Survey of 771 likely Connecticut voters was conducted July 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 41% (45%) Democrat; 28% (31%) Republican; 30% (24%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 34% (29%) Moderate; 23% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 19% (26%) Somewhat liberal; 14% (10%) Very liberal; 10% (11%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut Survey on Governor Dan Malloy

PPP (D) Connecticut Poll on Gov. Dan Malloy  

Do you approve or disapprove of Governor Dan Malloy’s job performance?

• Approve 33% (36%)
• Disapprove 51% (52%)

Among Democrats

• Approve 52% (49%)
• Disapprove 33% (37%)

Among Republicans

• Approve 15% (16%)
• Disapprove 73% (72%)

Among Independents

• Approve 25% (36%)
• Disapprove 53% (55%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 35% (39%)
• Disapprove 48% (47%)

Generally speaking, if there was an election today, would you vote for Democrat Dan Malloy or his Republican opponent?

• Republican opponent 46%
• Dan Malloy 39%

Among Independents

• Republican opponent 48%
• Dan Malloy 29%

Among Moderates

• Republican opponent 40%
• Dan Malloy 39%

Survey of 771 likely Connecticut voters was conducted July 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 41% (45%) Democrat; 28% (31%) Republican; 30% (24%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 34% (29%) Moderate; 23% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 19% (26%) Somewhat liberal; 14% (10%) Very liberal; 10% (11%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 45% 

Survey of approximately 3,050 registered voters was conducted July 25 - August 1, 2012. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut Survey on Same-Sex Marriage

PPP (D) Connecticut Poll on Gay Marriage

Do you think same-sex marriage should be legal or illegal?

• Legal 55% (55%)
• Illegal 33% (32%)

Among Democrats

• Legal 71% (70%)
• Illegal 18% (17%)

Among Republicans

• Legal 31% (32%)
• Illegal 56% (57%)

Among Independents

• Legal 55% (56%)
• Illegal 34% (30%)

Among Men

• Legal 49% (46%)
• Illegal 40% (41%)

Among Women

• Legal 60% (63%)
• Illegal 28% (24%)

Which of the following best describes your opinion on gay marriage: gay couples should be allowed to legally marry, or gay couples should be allowed to form civil unions but not legally marry, or there should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship?

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 51% (47%)
• Gay couples should be able to form civil unions but not marry 37% (34%)
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 11% (16%)

Among Democrats

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 71% (57%)
• Gay couples should be able to form civil unions but not marry 20% (29%)
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 8% (10%)

Among Republicans

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 24% (22%)
• Gay couples should be able to form civil unions but not marry 59% (57%)
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 17% (20%)

Among Independents

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 50% (48%)
• Gay couples should be able to form civil unions but not marry 39% (30%)
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 9% (18%)

Among Men

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 45% (36%)
• Gay couples should be able to form civil unions but not marry 41% (40%)
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 12% (22%)

Among Women

• Gay couples should be allowed to legally marry 57% (57%)
• Gay couples should be able to form civil unions but not marry 33% (29%)
• There should be no legal recognition of a gay couple's relationship 10% (10%)

Has the legalization of gay marriage in Connecticut had a positive or negative impact on your life, or has it not had any impact at all?

• Positive impact 16% (13%)
• Negative impact 14% (18%)
• No impact at all 70% (70%)

Survey of 771 likely Connecticut voters was conducted July 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 41% (45%) Democrat; 28% (31%) Republican; 30% (24%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 34% (29%) Moderate; 23% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 19% (26%) Somewhat liberal; 14% (10%) Very liberal; 10% (11%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 49% {47%} [51%] (46%) 
• Barack Obama 44% {44%} [43%] (44%)
• Some other candidate 3% {3%} [2%] (4%)
• Undecided 4% {6%} [4%] (6%) 

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 59% {45%} [49%] (38%) 
  
• Barack Obama 29% {38%} [45%] (38%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 52% {54%} (54%)
  
• Barack Obama 37% {38%} (40%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% {49%} (47%)
  
• Mitt Romney 46% {41%} (39%)
  

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 23% {22%} [23%] (16%)
• Somewhat favorable 27% {28%} [31%] (36%)
• Somewhat unfavorable 17% {23%} [20%] (24%)
• Very unfavorable 30% {23%} [23%] (18%)

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 31% {29%} [28%] (31%)
• Somewhat approve 16% {16%} [18%] (17%)
• Somewhat disapprove 5% {10%} [9%] (7%)
• Strongly disapprove 46% {44%} [45%] (43%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted August 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted June 25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 14, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 10, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Presidential Survey on Foreign Policy

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Presidential Poll on Foreign Policy

Whose view comes closest to your own on how to handle the issues in the Middle East?

• Mitt Romney 41%
• Barack Obama 39%
• Undecided 19%

Who is a better leader for the United States when it comes to dealing with its allies?

• Mitt Romney 44%
• Barack Obama 44%

Who is a better leader for the United States when it comes to dealing with its enemies?

• Mitt Romney 44%
• Barack Obama 43%

Survey of 1,000 likely voters was conducted July 31 - August 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind New Jersey 2012 Senatorial Survey

FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2012 Senate Poll

• Bob Menendez (D) 45% [42%] (43%) {43%}
• Joe Kyrillos (R) 33% [33%] (33%) {31%}
• Unsure/Someone else 22% [24%] (23%) {26%} 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Bob Menendez 36% [32%] / 23% [24%] {+13%}
• Joe Kyrillos 16% [10%] / 5% [6%] {+11%}

Survey of 945 registered voters was conducted July 23-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 47% [45%] (49%) Democrat; 33% [32%] (33%) Republican; 21% [23%] (18%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-11, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted January 2-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind New Jersey 2012 Presidential Survey

FDU PublicMind New Jersey 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% [50%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 36% [36%] (37%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 46% [45%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 40% [42%] (43%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% [54%] (57%)
• Mitt Romney 33% [31%] (30%)

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 49% [50%] (51%)
• Disapprove 41% [42%] (42%)

Among Men

• Approve 48% [45%] (43%)
  
• Disapprove 43% [49%] (49%)

Among Women

• Approve 49% [55%] (58%)
  
• Disapprove 38% [35%] (34%)

Survey of 945 registered voters was conducted July 23-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 47% [45%] Democrat; 33% [32%] Republican; 21% [23%] Independent.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-11, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Barack Obama 44%
• Some other candidate 5%
• Undecided 5% 

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted July 30 - August 1, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Poll Watch: PPIC California 2012 Presidential Survey

PPIC California 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% (50%)
• Mitt Romney 40% (39%)
• Someone else 2% (3%)
• Don't know 7% (8%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 50% (49%)
• Mitt Romney 43% (39%)
• Someone else 2%
• Don't know 4%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51% (51%)
• Mitt Romney 38% (38%)
• Someone else 2%
• Don't know 10%

Among Whites

• Mitt Romney 49%
• Barack Obama 44%
• Someone else 2%
• Don't know 5%

Among Latinos

• Barack Obama 68%
• Mitt Romney 19%
• Someone else 1%
• Don't know 12%

Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way that Barack Obama is handling his job as president of the United States?

• Approve 50% (54%)
• Disapprove 47% (42%)

Survey of 1,131 likely voters was conducted July 10-24, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.6 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted May 14-20, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fairleigh Dickinson PublicMind New Jersey Survey on Governor Chris Christie

FDU PublicMind New Jersey Poll on Gov. Chris Christie

Do you approve or disapprove of way Chris Christie is handling his job as governor?

• Approve 55% (56%) [54%] {53%} (51%) [54%] {44%} (51%) [51%] {53%}
• Disapprove 35% (33%) [34%] {37%} (36%) [36%] {44%} (41%) [39%] {36%}

Among Republicans

• Approve 82% (83%) [85%] {90%} (81%) [81%] {75%} (83%) [82%] {80%}
• Disapprove 13% (11%) [9%] {7%} (11%) [16%] {16%} (14%) [15%] {14%}

Among Independents

• Approve 65% (53%) [60%] {52%} (50%) [64%] {47%} (49%) [54%] {50%}
• Disapprove 23% (31%) [27%] {36%} (35%) [26%] {32%} (36%) [28%] {32%}

Among Democrats

• Approve 33% (36%) [30%] {26%} (27%) [31%] {20%} (27%) [27%] {33%}
• Disapprove 56% (51%) [52%] {62%} (60%) [54%] {69%} (63%) [61%] {56%}

Among Men

• Approve 61% (64%) [62%] {63%} (58%) [61%] {52%} (58%) [61%] {59%}
• Disapprove 32% (27%) [27%] {30%} (31%) [31%] {36%} (34%) [32%] {32%}

Among Women

• Approve 49% (48%) [46%] {42%} (45%) [46%] {36%} (45%) [41%] {47%}
• Disapprove 38% (39%) [40%] {45%} (41%) [42%] {53%} (47%) [47%] {40%}

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Chris Christie?

• Very favorable 29%
• Somewhat favorable 24%
• Somewhat unfavorable 12%
• Very unfavorable 27%

I’m going to read you four statements about Chris Christie. Please tell me which comes closest to your own views: 1) I like him, AND I like his policies; 2) I like him, BUT I don’t like his policies; 3) I don’t like him, BUT I like his policies; 4) I don’t like him, AND I don’t like his policies.

• Like him and his policies 36%
• Like him, dislike policies 14%
• Dislike him, like policies 14%
• Dislike him and policies 29%

Would you say that Chris Christie is more interested in governing the state well, or making a name for himself in order to achieve national office?

• Governing well 47%
• Making a name for himself 41%

Are Governor Christie’s town hall meetings an effective or ineffective way for him to communicate directly with people like you?

• Effective 57%
• Ineffective 31%

In your opinion, if Chris Christie becomes vice president and resigns as governor, will his departure help, hurt, or make no difference for effective governing in New Jersey?

• Help 20%
• Hurt 39%
• No difference 29%

Survey of 945 registered voters was conducted July 23-29, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 47% Democrat; 33% Republican; 21% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted April 30 - May 6, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 5-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 2-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted October 17-23, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 19-25, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 16-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 29 - April 4, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% (47%)
• Mitt Romney 43% (45%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 47% (48%)
• Barack Obama 40% (36%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49% (53%)
• Barack Obama 43% (38%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 57% (55%)
• Mitt Romney 38% (37%)

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Condoleezza Rice for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 48%
• Romney-Rice 43%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Bobby Jindal for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 51%
• Romney-Jindal 41%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Rob Portman for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 49%
• Romney-Portman 39%

If the Democratic ticket was Barack Obama for President and Joe Biden for Vice President, and the Republican ticket was Mitt Romney for President and Tim Pawlenty for Vice President, which would you vote for?

• Obama-Biden 51%
• Romney-Pawlenty 40%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 41% (41%) / 53% (42%) {-12%}

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 73% (64%) / 22% (22%) {+51%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 47% (45%) / 44% (37%) {+3%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 35% (43%) / 57% (38%) {-22%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49% (42%) / 45% (44%) {+4%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 35% (40%) / 60% (40%) {-25%} 
  

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Condoleezza Rice?

• Favorable 57%
• Unfavorable 32%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tim Pawlenty?

• Favorable 22%
• Unfavorable 29%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Rob Portman?

• Favorable 15%
• Unfavorable 23%

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Bobby Jindal?

• Favorable 21%
• Unfavorable 32%

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 50% (48%)
• Disapprove 46% (49%)

Among Independents

• Approve 41% (41%)
• Disapprove 43% (53%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 50% (48%)
• Disapprove 45% (46%)

Among Men

• Approve 42% (39%)
• Disapprove 54% (58%)

Among Women

• Approve 57% (56%)
• Disapprove 40% (40%)

Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?

• He should 59%
• He should not 34%

Survey of 771 likely Connecticut voters was conducted July 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points. Party ID: 41% (45%) Democrat; 28% (31%) Republican; 30% (24%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 34% (29%) Moderate; 23% (24%) Somewhat conservative; 19% (26%) Somewhat liberal; 14% (10%) Very liberal; 10% (11%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Romney Adviser Dan Senor Recaps Trip Abroad

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Poll Watch: PPP (D) Florida 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Florida 2012 Senate Poll

REPUBLICAN PRIMARY

• Connie Mack 47% {34%}
• Dave Weldon 14% {6%}
• Mike McCalister 10% {10%}
• Someone else 6% {9%}
• Undecided 23% {28%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}  

• Connie Mack 44% {34%} / 22% {19%} {+22%} 
• Dave Weldon 13% {10%} / 11% {7%} {+2%}
• Mike McCalister 11% {10%} / 11% {10%} {0%} 

GENERAL ELECTION

• Bill Nelson (D) 45% {49%} (47%) [46%]
• Connie Mack (R) 43% {36%} (37%) [35%]

• Bill Nelson (D) 45% {47%} (47%) [47%] {47%}
• Mike McCalister (R) 40% {33%} (35%) [32%] {34%}

• Bill Nelson (D) 46% {47%}
• Dave Weldon (R) 39% {31%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Dave Weldon 9% {8%} / 18% {12%} {-9%}
• Connie Mack 25% {19%} (20%) [23%] / 35% {27%} (27%) [28%] {-10%} 
• Mike McCalister 9% {9%} (6%) [5%] {6%} / 19% {13%} (17%) [21%] {16%} {-10%}  

Do you approve or disapprove of Senator Bill Nelson’s job performance?

• Approve 35% {39%} (36%) [38%] {40%} (38%) [38%] {40%}
• Disapprove 40% {31%} (32%) [37%] {32%} (31%) [34%] {35%}

Survey of 871 Florida voters, including an oversample of 500 usual GOP primary voters, was conducted July 26-29, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points among all voters; +/- 4.4 percentage points among GOP primary voters. Party ID: 42% {41%} (41%) [42%] (40%) {42%} [41%] (42%) Democrat; 40% {40%} (41%) [38%] (37%) {36%} [37%] (40%) Republican; 19% {19%} (18%) [20%] (23%) {21%} [22%] (18%) Independent/Other. Political ideology: 33% {33%} (32%) [36%] (32%) {30%} [30%] Moderate; 20% {25%} (22%) [23%] (27%) {23%} [26%] Somewhat conservative; 20% {16%} (16%) [14%] (16%) {20%} [21%] Very conservative; 17% {16%} (19%) [19%] (14%) {17%} [16%] Somewhat liberal; 10% {10%} (10%) [9%] (10%) {10%} [7%] Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 31 - June 3, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 12-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 16-19, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted March 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 9-10, 2010 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 45% 

Survey of approximately 3,050 registered voters was conducted July 24-31, 2012. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points. 

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arizona 2012 Senatorial Survey

PPP (D) Arizona 2012 Senate Poll

• Richard Carmona (D) 38% {41%} [35%] (35%)
• Jeff Flake (R) 38% {43%} [48%] (46%)
• Undecided 25% {16%} [17%] (19%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Richard Carmona 16% / 20% {-4%}
• Jeff Flake 30% / 37% {-7%}

Survey of 833 Arizona voters was conducted July 23-25, 2012.  Party ID: 42% {42%} [46%] (46%) Republican; 33% {30%} [31%] (31%) Democrat; 25% {28%} [23%] (23%) Independent/Other. Results from the poll conducted June 4-5, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 17-19, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Arizona 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Arizona 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 52% (49%) {50%} [47%] (49%) {48%} [49%] (50%) 
• Barack Obama 41% (46%) {43%} [47%] (42%) {44%} [43%] (43%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 53% (49%) {55%} [51%] (54%) {52%} [52%] (53%)
• Barack Obama 38% (47%) {36%} [44%] (36%) {41%} [38%] (42%)

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 51% (50%) {45%} [43%] (44%) {44%} [47%] (46%)
• Barack Obama 43% (45%) {49%} [49%] (47%) {47%} [46%] (45%)

Survey of 833 Arizona voters voters was conducted July 23-25, 2012. Party ID: 42% (42%) {46%} [46%] (41%) {43%} [40%] (42%) Republican; 33% (30%) {31%} [31%] (38%) {34%} [36%] (37%) Democrat; 25% (28%) {23%} [23%] (21%) {23%} [24%] (22%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted June 4-5, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 17-19, 2012 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 28 - May 1, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 18-21, 2009 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 Republican Senatorial Primary Survey

PPP (D) Wisconsin 2012 GOP Senate Primary Poll

• Eric Hovde 28% {31%}
• Tommy Thompson 25% {29%} [39%]
• Mark Neumann 25% {15%} [22%]
• Jeff Fitzgerald 13% {9%} [22%]
• Undecided 9% {16%} [17%]

If the Republican candidates for Senate were just Eric Hovde, Mark Neumann, and Tommy Thompson, who would you vote for?

• Eric Hovde 33% {35%}
• Tommy Thompson 30% {34%}
• Mark Neumann 27% {18%}
• Not sure 10% {14%}

If the Republican candidates for Senate were just Eric Hovde and Tommy Thompson, who would you vote for?

• Eric Hovde 48% {46%}
• Tommy Thompson 41% {39%}
• Not sure 12% {15%}

If the Republican candidates for Senate were just Mark Neumann and Tommy Thompson, who would you vote for?

• Mark Neumann 47% {38%} [36%]
• Tommy Thompson 42% {46%} [46%]
• Not sure 11% {16%} [18%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Jeff Fitzgerald 43% {42%} [42%] / 21% {12%} [12%] {+22%}
• Eric Hovde 50% {50%} / 30% {9%} {+20%}
• Mark Neumann 49% {43%} [47%] / 35% {21%} [14%] {+14%}
• Tommy Thompson 47% {56%} [66%] / 41% {28%} [17%] {+6%} 

Generally speaking, would you prefer that the Republican Senate nominee next year was Tommy Thompson or someone more conservative?

• Tommy Thompson 29% {34%} [37%]
• Someone more conservative 58% {50%} [47%]
• Not sure 13% {17%} [17%]

Would you say you are very excited, somewhat excited, or not that excited about voting in the primary election?

• Very excited 42%
• Somewhat excited 34%
• Not that excited 24%

Very Excited

• Tommy Thompson 27%
  
• Mark Neumann 26%
• Eric Hovde 24%
• Jeff Fitzgerald 18%
• Undecided 5%

Do you consider yourself to be a member of the Tea Party?

• Yes 26% {25%} [26%]
• No 64% {58%} [54%]
• Not sure 10% {17%} [19%]

Are you an Evangelical Christian, or not?

• Are an Evangelical 51%
• Are not 49%

Survey of 400 likely Republican primary voters was conducted July 30-31, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.9 percentage points. Political ideology: 38% Somewhat conservative; 37% Very conservative; 19% Moderate; 4% Somewhat liberal; 3% Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted July 6-8, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 23-26, 2012 are in square brackets.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Missouri 2012 Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen (R) Missouri 2012 Senate Poll

• John Brunner (R) 49% (51%) {45%} [49%]
• Claire McCaskill (D) 43% (41%) {45%} [42%]

• Sarah Steelman (R) 49% (51%) {49%} [51%] (47%)
• Claire McCaskill (D) 43% (39%) {42%} [41%] (45%)

• Todd Akin (R) 47% (50%) {48%} [50%] (45%)
• Claire McCaskill (D) 44% (42%) {43%} [43%] (47%)

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted July 30, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted June 7, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 17, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 14-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 9, 2011 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

McCaskill earns roughly 38% support from voters not affiliated with either major political party against all three challengers. Those challengers draw 46% to 50% of the vote from unaffiliated voters.

Just 13% of Missouri voters share a very favorable opinion of Steelman, while 19% regard her very unfavorably. For Brunner, very favorables are 16%, very unfavorables 19%. Akin is seen very favorably by 13% and very unfavorably by 22%. Views of all three candidates have grown more negative since June.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Rasmussen (R) 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Mitt Romney 47%
• Barack Obama 44%
• Some other candidate 4%
• Undecided 5% 

Survey of 1,500 likely voters was conducted July 29-31, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Daily tracking results are collected via telephone surveys of 500 likely voters per night and reported on a three-day rolling average basis. To reach those who have abandoned traditional landline telephones, Rasmussen Reports uses an online survey tool to interview randomly selected participants from a demographically diverse panel.

Inside the numbers:

Most voters under 40 prefer Obama while most over 40 support Romney. The gender gap is alive and well. Obama does about 14 points better among women than men. Among white voters, Romney leads 56% to 35%. Obama has an overwhelming lead among black voters and leads by a two-to-one margin among other minority voters. All of these dynamics are similar to Election 2008.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Pennsylvania 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS Pennsylvania 2012 Senate Poll

• Bob Casey (D) 55%
• Tom Smith (R) 37%

Survey of 1,168 likely voters was conducted July 24-30, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% Democrat; 32% Republican; 26% Independent; 4% Other.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Ohio 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS News Ohio 2012 Senate Poll

• Sherrod Brown (D) 51%
• Josh Mandel (R) 39%

Survey of 1,193 likely voters was conducted July 24-30, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% Democrat; 27% Republican; 32% Independent; 5% Other.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Florida 2012 Senatorial Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS News Florida 2012 Senate Poll

• Bill Nelson (D) 47%
• Connie Mack (R) 40%

Survey of 1,177 likely voters was conducted July 24-30, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% Democrat; 27% Republican; 32% Independent; 5% Other.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 53%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 58%
• Mitt Romney 36%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50%
• Barack Obama 47%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 59%
• Mitt Romney 35%

(Among Obama Voters) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?

• Strongly favor Barack Obama 59%
• Like but with reservations 33%
• Dislike Mitt Romney 7%

(Among Romney Voters) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?

• Strongly favor Mitt Romney 41%
• Like but with reservations 37%
• Dislike Barack Obama 22%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 53% / 42% {+11%}  
• Mitt Romney 39% / 47% {-8%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 49%
• Disapprove 46%

Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 58%
• No 39%

Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 39%
• No 54%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 41%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on national security, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 40%

If Barack Obama is reelected, do you think his economic policies would help your personal financial situation, hurt your personal financial situation, or won't make a difference?

• Help 23%
• Hurt 37%
• No difference 37%

If Mitt Romney is elected, do you think his economic policies would help your personal financial situation, hurt your personal financial situation, or won't make a difference?

• Help 26%
• Hurt 32%
• No difference 37%

From what you have read or heard, does Mitt Romney have the right kind of business experience to get the economy creating jobs again or is Romney's kind of business experience too focused on making profits?

• Right experience 42%
• Focused on profits 51%

Which comes closest to your view of Barack Obama's economic policies, A) They are improving the economy now, and will probably continue to do so, OR B) They have not improved the economy yet, but will if given more time, OR C) They are not improving the economy and probably never will.

• A)Improving now 21%
• B)Will improve 35%
• C)Will never improve 42%

Do you think presidential candidates should publicly release several years of tax returns, or is releasing only one or two years of tax returns necessary, or don't you think it is necessary for presidential candidates to release any of their tax returns?

• Several years 54%
• One or two years 17%
• Not necessary 25%

Have you seen any commercials on television for Mitt Romney, or not? (If Yes) Did most of Mitt Romney's television commercials spend more time explaining what Mitt Romney stands for, or did they spend more time attacking Barack Obama?

• Yes/Explained 18%
• Yes/Attacked Obama 51%
• No/Haven't seen 21%

Have you seen any commercials on television for Barack Obama, or not? (If Yes) Did most of Barack Obama's television commercials spend more time explaining what Barack Obama stands for, or did they spend more time attacking Mitt Romney?

• Yes/Explained 24%
• Yes/Attacked Romney 50%
• No/Haven't seen 16%

Survey of 1,168 likely voters was conducted July 24-30, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 38% Democrat; 32% Republican; 26% Independent; 4% Other.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS News Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 52%
• Barack Obama 42%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 58%
• Mitt Romney 37%

(Among Obama Voters) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?

• Strongly favor Barack Obama 60%
• Like but with reservations 31%
• Dislike Mitt Romney 9%

(Among Romney Voters) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?

• Strongly favor Mitt Romney 42%
• Like but with reservations 35%
• Dislike Barack Obama 22%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 51% / 45% {+6%}  
• Mitt Romney 40% / 43% {-3%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 48%
• Disapprove 48%

Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 55%
• No 43%

Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 38%
• No 55%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 46%
• Mitt Romney 45%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on national security, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 41%

If Barack Obama is reelected, do you think his economic policies would help your personal financial situation, hurt your personal financial situation, or won't make a difference?

• Help 26%
• Hurt 38%
• No difference 34%

If Mitt Romney is elected, do you think his economic policies would help your personal financial situation, hurt your personal financial situation, or won't make a difference?

• Help 26%
• Hurt 37%
• No difference 34%

From what you have read or heard, does Mitt Romney have the right kind of business experience to get the economy creating jobs again or is Romney's kind of business experience too focused on making profits?

• Right experience 41%
• Focused on profits 50%

Which comes closest to your view of Barack Obama's economic policies, A) They are improving the economy now, and will probably continue to do so, OR B) They have not improved the economy yet, but will if given more time, OR C) They are not improving the economy and probably never will.

• A)Improving now 24%
• B)Will improve 30%
• C)Will never improve 44%

Do you think presidential candidates should publicly release several years of tax returns, or is releasing only one or two years of tax returns necessary, or don't you think it is necessary for presidential candidates to release any of their tax returns?

• Several years 51%
• One or two years 18%
• Not necessary 28%

Have you seen any commercials on television for Mitt Romney, or not? (If Yes) Did most of Mitt Romney's television commercials spend more time explaining what Mitt Romney stands for, or did they spend more time attacking Barack Obama?

• Yes/Explained 21%
• Yes/Attacked Obama 62%
• No/Haven't seen 7%

Have you seen any commercials on television for Barack Obama, or not? (If Yes) Did most of Barack Obama's television commercials spend more time explaining what Barack Obama stands for, or did they spend more time attacking Mitt Romney?

• Yes/Explained 28%
• Yes/Attacked Romney 55%
• No/Haven't seen 7%

Survey of 1,193 likely voters was conducted July 24-30, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 35% Democrat; 27% Republican; 32% Independent; 5% Other.  Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac/New York Times/CBS News Florida 2012 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac/NY Times/CBS News Florida 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 45%

Among Independents

• Barack Obama 47%
• Mitt Romney 46%

Among Men

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 46%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 44%

(Among Obama Voters) Would you describe your support for Barack Obama as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Mitt Romney?

• Strongly favor Barack Obama 65%
• Like but with reservations 24%
• Dislike Mitt Romney 10%

(Among Romney Voters) Would you describe your support for Mitt Romney as strongly favoring him, or do you like him but with reservations, or do you support him because you dislike Barack Obama?

• Strongly favor Mitt Romney 49%
• Like but with reservations 29%
• Dislike Barack Obama 19%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 50% / 46% {+4%}  
• Mitt Romney 41% / 42% {-1%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?

• Approve 48%
• Disapprove 48%

Would you say that Barack Obama cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 55%
• No 42%

Would you say that Mitt Romney cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

• Yes 42%
• No 49%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on the economy, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Mitt Romney 47%
• Barack Obama 45%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on health care, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Regardless of how you intend to vote, who do you think would do a better job on national security, Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 44%

If Barack Obama is reelected, do you think his economic policies would help your personal financial situation, hurt your personal financial situation, or won't make a difference?

• Help 23%
• Hurt 38%
• No difference 36%

If Mitt Romney is elected, do you think his economic policies would help your personal financial situation, hurt your personal financial situation, or won't make a difference?

• Help 31%
• Hurt 30%
• No difference 34%

From what you have read or heard, does Mitt Romney have the right kind of business experience to get the economy creating jobs again or is Romney's kind of business experience too focused on making profits?

• Right experience 42%
• Focused on profits 48%

Which comes closest to your view of Barack Obama's economic policies, A) They are improving the economy now, and will probably continue to do so, OR B) They have not improved the economy yet, but will if given more time, OR C) They are not improving the economy and probably never will.

• A)Improving now 25%
• B)Will improve 30%
• C)Will never improve 43%

Do you think presidential candidates should publicly release several years of tax returns, or is releasing only one or two years of tax returns necessary, or don't you think it is necessary for presidential candidates to release any of their tax returns?

• Several years 53%
• One or two years 19%
• Not necessary 23%

Have you seen any commercials on television for Mitt Romney, or not? (If Yes) Did most of Mitt Romney's television commercials spend more time explaining what Mitt Romney stands for, or did they spend more time attacking Barack Obama?

• Yes/Explained 20%
• Yes/Attacked Obama 62%
• No/Haven't seen 8%

Have you seen any commercials on television for Barack Obama, or not? (If Yes) Did most of Barack Obama's television commercials spend more time explaining what Barack Obama stands for, or did they spend more time attacking Mitt Romney?

• Yes/Explained 24%
• Yes/Attacked Romney 57%
• No/Haven't seen 7%

Survey of 1,177 likely voters was conducted July 24-30, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 2.9 percentage points.  Party ID: 36% Democrat; 27% Republican; 32% Independent; 5% Other.  Click here to view crosstabs.