Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Capitol Correspondent Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing/Capitol Correspondent Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50.0%
• Mitt Romney 46.2%
• Undecided 3.8%

Survey of  804 likely voters was conducted September 21-22, 2012.  The margin of error is +/- 3.3 percentage points.  Party ID: 33.6% Democrat; 27.9% Republican; 38.4% Independent/Other.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Virginia 2012 Senatorial Survey

Suffolk University Virginia 2012 Senate Poll

• George Allen (R) 44%
• Tim Kaine (D) 44%
• Undecided 12%
  

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• George Allen 43% / 31% {+12%}
• Tim Kaine 40% / 40% {0%}
  

Survey of 600 likely Virginia voters was conducted September 24-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 38.2% Democrat; 35.2% Republican; 26.7% Independent/Other. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: Suffolk University Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

Suffolk University Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama (D) 46%
• Mitt Romney (R) 44%
• Virgil Goode (C) 1%
• Gary Johnson (L) 1%
• Jill Stein (G) 0%
• Undecided 7%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Barack Obama 52% / 44% {+8%}
• Mitt Romney 42% / 45% {-3%}
• Jill Stein 5% / 8% {-3%}
• Gary Johnson 6% / 10% {-4%}
• Virgil Goode 14% / 19% {-5%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job that Barack Obama is doing as president?

• Approve 46%
• Disapprove 48%

Who has the best plan to fix the economy?

• Barack Obama (D) 45%
• Mitt Romney (R) 43%

Who do you better connect with?

• Barack Obama (D) 48%
• Mitt Romney (R) 42%

Who is the better debater?

• Barack Obama (D) 46%
• Mitt Romney (R) 19%

Who will do more for Virginia?

• Mitt Romney (R) 43%
• Barack Obama (D) 42%

Which campaign has been more negative in tone?

• Mitt Romney (R) 38%
• Barack Obama (D) 37%

Despite who you are personally supporting for President, when all the votes are counted in November, who do you think will be elected President - Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

• Barack Obama (D) 53%
• Mitt Romney (R) 30% 

Survey of 600 likely Virginia voters was conducted September 24-26, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Party ID: 38.2% Democrat; 35.2% Republican; 26.7% Independent/Other. Click here to view crosstabs.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Nevada 2012 Senatorial Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Nevada 2012 Senate Poll

Likely Voters

• Dean Heller (R) 49%
• Shelley Berkley (D) 43%
• Undecided 6%

Among Men

• Dean Heller (R) 56%
• Shelley Berkley (D) 38%
• Undecided 5%

Among Women

• Shelley Berkley (D) 49%
• Dean Heller (R) 42%
• Undecided 8%

Registered Voters

• Dean Heller (R) 48% (46%)
• Shelley Berkley (D) 44% (44%)
• Undecided 7% (10%)

Survey of 1,308 registered voters, including 984 likely voters, was conducted September 23-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 3.1 percentage points among likely voters.  Party ID (among likely voters): 38% Democrat; 31% Republican; 30% Independent.  Party ID (among registered voters): 38% (40%) Democrat; 29% (38%) Republican; 32% (21%) Independent.  Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted May 22-24, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2012 Presidential Survey

Fox News 2012 Presidential Poll

Among Likely Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48% (48%) [44%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 43% (43%) [45%]
  

Among Registered Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% (46%) [44%] {49%} (45%) [45%] {43%} (46%) [46%] {44%} (46%) [47%] {46%} (44%) [42%] {45%} (47%) [48%] {48%} 
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 41% (42%) [42%] {40%} (41%) [40%] {43%} (39%) [46%] {46%} (42%) [42%] {45%} {42%} [44%] {42%} (41%) [41%] {41%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47% (48%) [48%] {41%} (43%) [40%] {46%} (46%) [49%] {52%} [47%]
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45% (42%) [40%] {47%} (42%) [45%] {41%} (37%) [45%] {38%} [42%]

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51% (53%) [48%] {51%} (48%) [46%] {46%} (55%) [47%] {49%} [50%]
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 40% (39%) [42%] {39%} (40%) [39%] {40%} (33%) [42%] {41%} [38%]

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Among Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 51% (53%) [51%] / 45% (43%) [46%] {+6%}
• Paul Ryan 43% (46%) [45%] / 39% (38%) [35%] {+4%}
  
• Mitt Romney 48% (49%) [49%] / 47% (45%) [44%] {+1%}
• Joe Biden 44% (47%) [46%] / 44% (44%) [44%] {0%}

Among Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 52% (52%) [52%] {54%} (52%) {54%} (52%) [50%] (50%) {51%} / 43% (44%) [43%] {42%} (46%) {42%} (44%) [48%] (47%) {46%} {+9%}
• Joe Biden 44% (45%) [45%] / 43% (44%) [42%] {+1%}
• Paul Ryan 41% (43%) [41%] / 40% (36%) [34%] {+1%}
• Mitt Romney 46% (48%) [46%] {46%} (52%) {46%} (45%) [42%] (39%) {45%} / 48% (45%) [45%] {45%} (40%) {42%} (43%) [45%] (49%) {38%} {-2%} 

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

Among Likely Voters 

• Approve 49% (50%) [46%]
  
• Disapprove 48% (47%) [50%]

Among Registered Voters

• Approve 49% (48%) [46%] {49%} (47%) [48%] {49%} (49%) [45%] {42%} (47%) [48%] {45%} (44%) [42%] {43%} (45%) [48%] {51%}
  
• Disapprove 46% (48%) [48%] {46%} (49%) [43%] {45%} (47%) [51%] {51%} (45%) [45%] {47%} (51%) [48%] {51%} (46%) [43%] {43%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing on the following issues?

Likely Voters

Terrorism

• Approve 56%
  
• Disapprove 39%

Health Care

• Approve 49%
  
• Disapprove 48%

The Economy

• Approve 44% [42%]
  
• Disapprove 52% [54%]

Libya

• Approve 39%
  
• Disapprove 43%

Regardless of how you plan to vote, do you believe Barack Obama deserves to be re-elected based on the job he has done over the last four years? 

Likely Voters

• Yes 50%
• No 46%

Regardless of how you might vote, which presidential candidate do you trust to do a better job on each of the following issues -- Barack Obama or Mitt Romney?

Likely Voters

Handling foreign policy

• Barack Obama 52% {54%}
• Mitt Romney 41% {39%}

Protecting the U.S. from terrorist attacks

• Barack Obama 50% {49%}
• Mitt Romney 40% {41%}

Providing moral leadership for the country

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 44%

Improving the economy and creating jobs

• Barack Obama 47% {46%}
  
• Mitt Romney 46% {46%}

Managing your tax dollars

• Mitt Romney 46%
• Barack Obama 45%
  

Cutting government spending

• Mitt Romney 55% {52%}
• Barack Obama 38% {39%}
  

Survey of 1,208 registered voters, including a subsample of 1,092 likely voters, was conducted by Anderson Robbins Research (D)/Shaw & Company Research (R) September 24-26, 2012. The margin of error is ± 3 percentage points.  Party ID (among likely voters): 41% (42%) [42%] Democrat; 38% (36%) [38%] Republican; 20% (19%) [18%] Independent.  Party ID (among registered voters): 41% (40%) [42%] {44%} (42%) [41%] {41%} Democrat; 36% (37%) [35%] {35%} (38%) [36%] {37%} Republican; 20% (19%) [21%] {14%} (18%) [19%] {20%} Independent.   Results from the poll conducted September 9-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 19-21, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 5-7, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 15-17, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-26, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 3-5, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 13-15, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 22-24, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 9-11, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 6-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-14, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 5-7, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 13-15, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 25-27, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 17-19, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 5-7, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 7-9, 2011 are in curly brackets.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist New Hampshire 2012 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51% 
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 50%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 45% 

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 57% 
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 37%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51% {45%} [43%] (40%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 43% {45%} [46%] (49%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 54% / 43% {+11%}
• Joe Biden 48% / 44% {+4%}
• Paul Ryan 42% / 46% {-4%}
• Mitt Romney 43% / 52% {-9%}

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 54% {50%} / 43% {44%} {+11%}
• Joe Biden 47% / 44% {+3%}
• Paul Ryan 40% / 46% {-6%} 
• Mitt Romney 42% {45%} / 52% {45%} {-10%}

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

Likely Voters

• Approve 50%
• Disapprove 45%

Registered Voters

• Approve 50% {47%} [40%] (38%)
• Disapprove 45% {45%} [52%] (53%)

Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy:

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 46%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 49% {42%}
• Mitt Romney 45% {46%}

Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy:

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 54%
• Mitt Romney 41%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 54% {49%}
• Mitt Romney 39% {39%}

Survey of 1,306 registered voters, including 1,012 likely voters, was conducted September 23-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 3.1 percentage points among likely voters.  Party ID (among likely voters): 25% Democrat; 25% Republican; 49% Independent. Party ID (among registered voters): 24% Democrat; 24% Republican; 50% Independent.   Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted June 24-25, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 28-30, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist Nevada 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist Nevada 2012 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 47%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 53%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 42% 

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 57% 
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 41%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 51% (48%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 44% (46%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

Likely Voters

• Paul Ryan 45% / 39% {+6%}
• Barack Obama 50% / 47% {+3%}
• Mitt Romney 45% / 48% {-3%} 
• Joe Biden 43% / 47% {-4%}

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 52% (48%) / 45% (46%) {+7%} 
• Paul Ryan 43% / 40% {+3%}
• Joe Biden 42% / 46% {-4%}
• Mitt Romney 42% (44%) / 50% (41%) {-8%} 

Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy?

Likely Voters

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 47%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 48% (44%)
• Mitt Romney 46% (44%)

Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy?

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 48%
• Mitt Romney 45%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 50% (50%)
• Mitt Romney 43% (40%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

Likely Voters

• Approve 47%
• Disapprove 49%

Registered Voters

• Approve 47% (46%)
• Disapprove 47% (47%)

Survey of 1,308 registered voters, including 984 likely voters, was conducted September 23-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 3.1 percentage points among likely voters.  Party ID (among likely voters): 38% Democrat; 31% Republican; 30% Independent.  Party ID (among registered voters): 38% (40%) Democrat; 29% (38%) Republican; 32% (21%) Independent.  Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted May 22-24, 2012 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: NBC News/Marist North Carolina 2012 Presidential Survey

NBC/WSJ/Marist North Carolina 2012 Presidential Poll

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 48%
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 46%
• Other 1%
• Undecided 5%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 51%
• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 44% 

Among Women

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 53% 
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 42%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama-Joe Biden 49% (46%)
• Mitt Romney-Paul Ryan 45% (44%)
• Other 1% (1%)
• Undecided 6% (9%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net} 

Likely Voters

• Paul Ryan 45% / 38% {+7%}
• Barack Obama 50% (48%) / 46% (45%) {+4%}
• Mitt Romney 46% (40%) / 45% (42%) {+1%}
• Joe Biden 45% / 46% {-1%}

Which candidate will do a better job handling the economy:

Likely Voters

• Mitt Romney 47%
• Barack Obama 46%

Registered Voters

• Mitt Romney 45% (43%)
• Barack Obama 45% (43%)

Which candidate will do a better job handling foreign policy:

Likely Voters

• Barack Obama 49%
• Mitt Romney 42%

Registered Voters

• Barack Obama 49% (48%)
• Mitt Romney 41% (37%)

Do you approve or disapprove of the job Barack Obama is doing as president?

Registered Voters

• Approve 47% (47%)
• Disapprove 47% (47%)

Survey of 1,375 registered voters, including 1,035 likely voters, was conducted September 23-25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 2.6 percentage points among registered voters; +/- 3.1 percentage points among likely voters. Party ID (among likely voters): 39% Democrat; 31% Republican; 30% Independent.  Party ID (among registered voters): 38% Democrat; 30% Republican; 31% Independent. Click here to view crosstabs.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-25, 2012 are in parentheses.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's Address to the United Nations

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Virginia 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 49% {51%} [50%] (50%) {51%} [48%] (47%) {51%} [48%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 43% {46%} [45%] (42%) {43%} [42%] (43%) {40%} [42%] (43%)

Among Democrats

• Barack Obama 90% {95%} [93%] (92%) {92%} [88%] (91%) {93%} [89%] (91%)
• Mitt Romney 6% {4%} [5%] (4%) {5%} [9%] (6%) {5%} [5%] (5%)

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 85% {92%} [92%] (86%) {84%} [79%] (84%) {80%} [81%] (82%)
• Barack Obama 12% {7%} [5%] (9%) {9%} [8%] (6%) {7%} [6%] (9%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 50% {47%} [46%] (36%) {46%} [41%] (36%) {37%} [47%] (42%)
• Barack Obama 31% {45%} [43%] (47%) {44%} [45%] (44%) {48%} [39%] (42%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 54% {51%} [50%] (50%) {48%} [45%] (47%) {43%} [48%] (44%)
• Barack Obama 38% {45%} [44%] (43%) {47%} [44%] (41%) {47%} [44%] (45%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 57% {56%} [55%] (55%) {55%} [51%] (51%) {54%} [51%] (50%)
• Mitt Romney 35% {42%} [41%] (36%) {38%} [40%] (39%) {37%} [37%] (41%)

Survey of 2,770 likely Virginia voters was conducted September 17-19, 2012 for the NRDC Action Fund. The margin of error is +/- 1.9 percentage points. Party ID: 40% {35%} [37%] (33%) {39%} [33%] (35%) {37%} [39%] (36%) Democrat; 32% {32%} [30%] (33%) {32%} [36%] (36%) {34%} [34%] (35%) Republican; 28% {33%} [33%] (34%) {29%} [31%] (30%) {29%} [27%] (30%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 13-16, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 16-19, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-8, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted April 26-29, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 11-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 5-8, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 24-27, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 10-13, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Pennsylvania 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 52% (49%) {50%} [49%] (45%) {44%} [42%] (46%)
• Mitt Romney 40% (43%) {42%} [42%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%)

Among Men

• Barack Obama 50% (44%) {43%} [48%] (39%) {44%} [38%] (43%)
• Mitt Romney 43% (50%) {48%} [47%] (49%) {44%} [47%] (46%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 55% (54%) {56%} [50%] (51%) {45%} [46%] (48%)
• Mitt Romney 37% (37%) {36%} [38%] (40%) {43%} [39%] (38%)

Survey of 2,051 likely Pennsylvania voters was conducted September 17-18, 2012 for the NRDC Action Fund. The margin of error is +/- 2.2 percentage points. Party ID: 50% (47%) {46%} [46%] (49%) {50%} [51%] (48%) Democrat; 38% (43%) {42%} [41%] (41%) {39%} [38%] (43%) Republican; 12% (10%) {12%} [13%] (9%) {11%} [11%] (9%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-23, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 17-20, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 8-11, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 17-20, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 30 - July 5, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 7-10, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 3-5, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Ohio 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 50% [50%] (48%) {47%} [50%] (49%) {50%} [46%] (45%) {46%} [46%] (44%)
• Mitt Romney 44% [45%] (45%) {44%} [43%] (42%) {41%} [46%] (43%) {42%} [40%] (42%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 51% [46%] (39%) {42%} [40%] (40%) {45%} [46%] (43%) {44%} [39%] (40%)
• Barack Obama 34% [44%] (49%) {42%} [43%] (45%) {39%} [35%] (38%) {34%} [37%] (34%)
  

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% [48%] (48%) {48%} [50%] (49%) {47%} [54%] (44%) {50%} [47%] (47%)
• Barack Obama 43% [46%] (44%) {41%} [44%] (43%) {45%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [38%] (37%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 55% [53%] (52%) {52%} [55%] (54%) {54%} [53%] (47%) {49%} [52%] (51%)
• Mitt Romney 39% [43%] (43%) {41%} [36%] (36%) {36%} [38%] (43%) {35%} [35%] (37%)

Survey of 2,890 likely Ohio voters was conducted September 14-18, 2012 for the NRDC Action Fund. The margin of error is +/- 1.8 percentage points. Party ID: 41% [41%] (40%) {39%} [41%] (42%) {41%} [47%] (44%) {45%} [43%] (44%) Democrat; 33% [37%] (37%) {37%} [39%] (36%) {35%} [37%] (34%) {35%} [35%] (39%) Republican; 26% [22%] (24%) {24%} [20%] (21%) {24%} [16%] (22%) {20%} [21%] (18%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 9-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted June 21-24, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 28-29, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 4-6, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted October 13-16, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted August 11-14, 2011 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 19-22, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 10-13, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) New Mexico 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 52% {53%} [49%] (54%) {53%} [49%] (53%)
• Mitt Romney 43% {42%} [44%] (40%) {38%} [42%] (37%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 45% {48%} [38%] (39%) {44%} [35%] (29%)
• Barack Obama 39% {43%} [47%] (50%) {48%} [51%] (56%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 47% {47%} [49%] (45%) {42%} [44%] (39%) 
• Barack Obama 46% {48%} [45%] (47%) {48%} [46%] (50%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 57% {57%} [51%] (61%) {57%} [51%] (55%)
• Mitt Romney 39% {39%} [40%] (35%) {35%} [40%] (35%)

Among Whites

• Barack Obama 48% {46%} [38%] (44%) {44%} [40%] (43%) 
• Mitt Romney 47% {50%} [56%] (49%) {48%} [50%] (47%)

Among Hispanics

• Barack Obama 58% {63%} [56%] (67%) {64%} [56%] (65%)
• Mitt Romney 36% {32%} [34%] (30%) {26%} [35%] (25%)

Survey of 3,111 likely New Mexico voters was conducted September 17-20, 2012 for the NRDC Action Fund.  The margin of error is +/- 1.8 percentage points.  Party ID: 51% {51%} [52%] (50%) {52%} [51%] (55%) Democrat; 30% {33%} [33%] (32%) {29%} [32%] (29%) Republican; 19% {16%} [16%] (18%) {19%} [17%] (16%) Independent/Other.  Race: 56% {56%} [50%] (53%) {55%} [49%] (53%) White; 35% {34%} [40%] (38%) {35%} [39%] (39%) Hispanic; 9% {11%} [10%] (9%) {10%} [12%] (8%) Other.  Results from the poll conducted September 7-9, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 13-16, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 19-22, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 10-12, 2011 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 23-26, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 4-6, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Michigan 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 51% (51%) {53%} [53%] (54%) {47%} [48%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 42% (44%) {39%} [39%] (38%) {42%} [41%] (43%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 44% (38%) {37%} [36%] (38%) {45%} [40%] (41%)
• Barack Obama 42% (54%) {50%} [48%] (50%) {34%} [41%] (42%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49% (40%) {45%} [45%] (45%) {46%} [44%] (50%)
• Barack Obama 43% (53%) {48%} [48%] (46%) {43%} [48%] (42%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 58% (49%) {59%} [58%] (61%) {51%} [48%] (52%)
• Mitt Romney 36% (48%) {33%} [34%] (31%) {38%} [38%] (36%)

Survey of 2,386 likely Michigan voters was conducted September 17-19, 2012 for the NRDC Action Fund. The margin of error is +/- 2.0 percentage points. Party ID: 41% (33%) {32%} [38%] (40%) {40%} [41%] (35%) Democrat; 30% (34%) {28%} [28%] (30%) {30%} [28%] (35%) Republican; 29% (33%) {40%} [34%] (30%) {30%} [31%] (29%) Independent/Other.  Results from the poll conducted August 31 - September 2, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 24-27, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 10-12, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 21-24, 2011 are in curly brackets.   Results from the poll conducted March 18-20, 2011 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-6, 2010 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Presidential Survey

PPP (D) Connecticut 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 54% {53%} [51%] (47%)
• Mitt Romney 41% {40%} [43%] (45%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 50% {50%} [47%] (48%)
• Barack Obama 43% {39%} [40%] (36%)

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 49% {50%} [49%] (53%)
• Barack Obama 46% {43%} [43%] (38%)

Among Women

• Barack Obama 61% {62%} [57%] (55%)
• Mitt Romney 33% {32%} [38%] (37%)

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of the economy?

• Barack Obama 51%
• Mitt Romney 43%

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 51%
• Barack Obama 43%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50%
• Barack Obama 45%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 57%
• Mitt Romney 36%

Do you trust Barack Obama or Mitt Romney more on the issue of foreign policy?

• Barack Obama 54%
• Mitt Romney 40%

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 45%

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 48%
• Barack Obama 47%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 61%
• Mitt Romney 31%

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 41% {41%} (41%) / 53% {53%} (42%) {-12%}

Among Republicans

• Mitt Romney 75% {73%} (64%) / 18% {22%} (22%) {+57%}

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 49% {47%} (45%) / 47% {44%} (37%) {+2%}

Among Moderates

• Mitt Romney 35% {35%} (43%) / 58% {57%} (38%) {-23%}

Among Men

• Mitt Romney 50% {49%} (42%) / 47% {45%} (44%) {+3%}

Among Women

• Mitt Romney 33% {35%} (40%) / 59% {60%} (40%) {-26%} 
  

Do you approve or disapprove of Barack Obama’s job performance?

• Approve 52% {50%} (48%)
• Disapprove 44% {46%} (49%)

Among Independents

• Approve 44% {41%} (41%)
• Disapprove 54% {43%} (53%)

Among Moderates

• Approve 60% {50%} (48%)
• Disapprove 37% {45%} (46%)

Among Men

• Approve 46% {42%} (39%)
• Disapprove 51% {54%} (58%)

Among Women

• Approve 59% {57%} (56%)
• Disapprove 37% {40%} (40%)

Are you familiar with comments Mitt Romney has made about the ‘47%’, or not?

• Familiar 87% 
• Not familiar 13%

Mitt Romney recently said, “There are 47 percent of the people who will vote for the president no matter what. All right? There are 47 percent who are with him, who are dependent upon government, who believe that they are victims, who believe the government has a responsibility to care for them, who believe that they are entitled to health care, to food, to housing, to you-name-it, that that's an entitlement. And the government should give it to them. And they will vote for this president no matter what.... These are people who pay no income tax." Do you think Romney’s comments were appropriate or inappropriate?

• Appropriate 38%
• Inappropriate 56%

Do these comments make you more or less likely to vote for Mitt Romney, or do they not make a difference?

• More likely 23%
• Less likely 39%
• No difference 36%
  

Do you think Mitt Romney should release his tax returns for the last 12 years, or not?

• He should 49% {59%}
• He should not 38% {34%}

Survey of 801 likely Connecticut voters was conducted September 24-26, 2012. Party ID: 43% {46%} [41%] (45%) Democrat; 26% {25%} [28%] (31%) Republican; 32% {29%} [30%] (24%) Independent/Other.  Political ideology: 37% [34%] (29%) Moderate; 23% [19%] (26%) Somewhat liberal; 21% [23%] (24%) Somewhat conservative; 11% [14%] (10%) Very liberal; 9% [10%] (11%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted August 22-23, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 26-29, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 22-25, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Survey

Gallup 2012 Daily Presidential Tracking Poll

• Barack Obama 50%
• Mitt Romney 44%  

Survey of approximately 3,050 registered voters was conducted September 20-26, 2012. The margin of error is ±2 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Gravis Marketing/Capitol Correspondent Washington 2012 Presidential Survey

Gravis Marketing/Capitol Correspondent Washington 2012 Presidential Poll

• Barack Obama 56.4%
• Mitt Romney 38.6%
• Undecided 5.0%

Among Men

• Barack Obama 54.9%
• Mitt Romney 35.8%

Among Women

• Barack Obama 57.8%
• Mitt Romney 38.5%

Survey of 625 likely voters was conducted September 21-22, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Rasmussen (R) Arizona 2012 Presidential Survey

Rasmussen (R) Arizona 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 52% {54%} (51%)
  
• Barack Obama 42% {41%} (40%)

Among Independents

• Mitt Romney 56% {53%}
  
• Barack Obama 35% {36%}

Do you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, somewhat unfavorable or very unfavorable impression of Mitt Romney?

• Very favorable 33% {28%}
• Somewhat favorable 20% {28%}
• Somewhat unfavorable 19% {23%}
• Very unfavorable 26% {21%}

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Mitt Romney 53% {56%} / 45% {44%} {+8%}

How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as president?

• Strongly approve 29% {24%} (25%) [28%]
• Somewhat approve 13% {20%} (21%) [13%]
• Somewhat disapprove 10% {10%} (9%) [8%]
• Strongly disapprove 47% {45%} (43%) [48%]

President Obama Job Approval

• Approve 42% {44%} (46%) [41%]
• Disapprove 57% {55%} (52%) [56%]

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 25, 2012. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted June 26, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 13, 2012 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted February 1, 2012 are in square brackets.

Inside the numbers:

Eighty-two percent (82%) of Arizona voters say the issue of immigration is at least somewhat important to how they will vote this November, including 49% who say it is Very Important. Just two percent (2%) say it's Not At All Important. Romney holds a nearly two-to-one lead over the president among voters who consider the issue Very Important. Romney has a 12-point lead over the president among all voters in the state when it comes to whom they trust more to handle immigration.

Romney also holds a 12-point lead when Arizona voters are asked whom they trust more to handle the economy. He leads by smaller margins on the issues of national security, taxes, health care and energy policy.

Poll Watch: Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground 2012 Presidential Survey

Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground 2012 Presidential Poll

• Mitt Romney 52% (49%)
• Barack Obama 40% (40%)

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted September 19-20 and 23, 2012, by Republican pollster Christine Matthews, the president of Alexandria, Va.-based Bellwether Research, and Democratic pollster Fred Yang, of D.C.-based Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% Republican; 38% Democrat; 19% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted March 26-28, 2012 are in parentheses. 

Poll Watch: Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground 2012 Senatorial Survey

Howey/DePauw Indiana Battleground 2012 Senate Poll

• Joe Donnelly (D) 40% (35%)
• Richard Mourdock (R) 38% (35%)
• Andrew Horning (L) 7%

Among Men

• Richard Mourdock (R) 42%
• Joe Donnelly (D) 38% 

Among Women

• Joe Donnelly (D) 41% 
• Richard Mourdock (R) 35% 

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Joe Donnelly 24% / 21% {+3%}
• Richard Mourdock 26% (15%) / 32% (18%) {-6%}

Survey of 800 likely voters was conducted September 19-20 and 23, 2012, by Republican pollster Christine Matthews, the president of Alexandria, Va.-based Bellwether Research, and Democratic pollster Fred Yang, of D.C.-based Garin-Hart-Yang Research Group. The margin of error is +/- 3.5 percentage points.  Party ID: 43% Republican; 38% Democrat; 19% Independent.  Results from the poll conducted March 26-28, 2012 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers: 

While cross tabs show Mourdock’s favorables stood at 45.5% with Republicans, only 18.4% of independents – the voting block likely to determine this race – viewed him favorably while 32.4% were unfavorable.

Mourdock is polling only 71% of the Republican vote while Donnelly is getting 78.3% of the Democratic vote. Among Lugar primary voters, 60.3% are backing Mourdock, with 9.8% of those voters saying they could change their minds. Donnelly is polling 15.3% of Lugar primary voters.

Mourdock is also losing support in the Republican-rich doughnut counties around Indianapolis. His fav/unfavs in the doughnut counties are a troubling 18/43%. He leads Donnelly in the doughnut by only 36-32%.