Wednesday, April 29, 2015

Poll Watch: SurveyUSA North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

SurveyUSA North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Rand Paul (R) 43%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 42%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48%
  • Scott Walker (R) 39%
Survey of 1,070 likely voters was conducted April 22-27, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.1 percentage points. Party ID: 37% Democrat; 31% Republican; 31% Independent.

Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

Loras College Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 57.0% (48.3%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 14.7% (16.5%)
  • Joe Biden 5.9% (12.6%)
  • Martin O'Malley 2.4% (0.4%)
  • Bernie Sanders 2.0% (3.8%)
  • Jim Webb 1.2% (2.3%)
  • Lincoln Chafee 0.0%
  • Undecided 16.7% (16.1%)
Survey of 491 likely Democratic caucus participants was conducted April 21-23, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted January 21-26, 2015 are in parentheses.

Tuesday, April 28, 2015

Poll Watch: Siena College New York 2016 Presidential Survey

Siena College New York 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 54% {64%} [60%] (56%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 34% {28%} [32%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 55%
  • Jeb Bush (R) 32%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 58% {67%}
  • Rand Paul (R) 29% {24%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 30%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 59%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 26%
Survey of 785 registered voters was conducted April 19-23, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.0 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 22-28, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 12-16, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 11-14, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Siena College New York 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Siena College New York 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Chris Christie 25%
  • Jeb Bush 20%
  • Marco Rubio 9%  
  • Rand Paul 8%
  • Ted Cruz 6%
Survey of 223 registered Republican primary voters was conducted April 19-23, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 6.6 percentage points.

Poll Watch: Elon University North Carolina 2016 Presidential Survey

Elon University North Carolina 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47.4% (45.7%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 44.0% (40.2%)
Survey of 677 registered North Carolina voters was conducted April 20-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 3.77 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 16-20, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Loras College Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

Loras College Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
  • Scott Walker 12.6% [9.9%] (4.7%)
  • Marco Rubio 10.0% [4.2%] (4.7%)
  • Jeb Bush 9.6% [13.1%] (10.7%)
  • Mike Huckabee 8.6% [14.4%] (14.7%)
  • Ted Cruz 6.5% [5.4%] (6.2%)
  • Rand Paul 6.3% [7.0%] (8.5%)
  • Ben Carson 6.3% [12.8%]
  • Chris Christie 5.1% [5.4%] (8.0%)
  • Rick Santorum 3.5% [3.8%] (4.7%) 
  • Donald Trump 3.1%
  • Rick Perry 2.6% [3.2%] (3.0%)
  • Bobby Jindal 1.0% [1.6%]
  • John Kasich 1.0% [1.3%] (0.7%)
  • Carly Fiorina 1.0% [1.3%]
  • Lindsey Graham 0.0% [0.6%]
  • Undecided 22.8% [14.7%] (23.8%)
Survey of 509 likely Republican caucus participants was conducted April 21-23, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5.5 percentage points. Click here to view crosstabs. Results from the poll conducted January 21-24, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted April 7-8, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Democratic Caucus Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 62% [59%] (67%) {71%} [68%] (58%) {60%} [62%] (44%)
  • Bernie Sanders 14%
  • Martin O'Malley 6% [1%] (0%) {1%} [0%] (0%) {0%} [1%]
  • Jim Webb 3%
  • Lincoln Chafee 2%
  • Not sure 13% [8%] (10%) {5%} [3%] (13%) {14%} [9%] (21%)
Survey of 466 Democratic primary voters was conducted April 23-26, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points.  Political ideology: 34% [28%] (28%) {35%} [33%] (35%) {38%} [32%] (37%) Moderate; 34% [35%] (41%) {37%} [33%] (32%) {37%} [36%] (33%) Somewhat liberal; 24% [30%] (20%) {18%} [26%] (20%) {14%} [21%] (14%) Very liberal; 6% [5%] (9%) {7%} [6%] (8%) {8%} [8%] (11%) Somewhat conservative; 3% [2%] (2%) {2%} [2%] (5%) {3%} [4%] (4%) Very conservative.  Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 31 - February 3, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 15-17, 2011 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: PPP (D) Iowa 2016 Republican Caucus Survey

PPP (D) Iowa 2016 GOP Caucus Poll
  • Scott Walker 23% (6%) {7%}
  • Marco Rubio 13% (4%) {3%} [11%] (16%) {12%} [10%] (7%)
  • Jeb Bush 12% (12%) {13%} [14%] (14%) {11%} [8%] (10%) 
  • Mike Huckabee 10% (20%) {17%} (16%) {15%} [17%] (16%)
  • Rand Paul 10% (10%) {14%} [18%] (15%) {5%} [11%] (9%)
  • Ted Cruz 8% (15%) {10%} [10%]
  • Ben Carson 7%
  • Chris Christie 5% (9%) {10%} [16%] (12%) {12%} [16%] (15%)
  • Rick Perry 4% (3%)
  • Not sure 8% (13%) {11%} [7%] (7%) {8%} [8%] (10%)
Survey of 462 Republican primary voters was conducted April 23-26, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.  Political ideology: 41% (37%) {39%} [33%] (31%) {39%} [40%] (35%) Somewhat conservative; 34% (42%) {33%} [45%] (43%) {36%} [37%] (46%) Very conservative; 19% (16%) {21%} [16%] (21%) {19%} [16%] (14%) Moderate; 5% (3%) {5%} [5%] (5%) {3%} [6%] (3%) Somewhat liberal; 2% (1%) {2%} [1%] (1%) {3%} [1%] (2%) Very liberal.  Results from the poll conducted May 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted February 20-23, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 5-7, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 1-3, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted November 3-4, 2012 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted July 12-15, 2012 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted May 3-6, 2012 are in parentheses.

Monday, April 27, 2015

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Jeb Bush (R) 48% [43%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [48%] (51%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [49%] (43%)
  • Chris Christie (R) 45% [42%] (41%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [52%] (47%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 47% [42%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [52%] (52%)
  • Mike Huckabee (R) 46% [42%] (37%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% [51%] (48%)
  • Marco Rubio (R) 45% [42%] (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% (46%)
  • Scott Walker (R) 43% (35%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 49% (47%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 44% (37%)
Survey of 658 registered voters was conducted April 13-24, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.6 percentage points.  Party ID: 24% [25%] (27%) Democrat; 22% [21%] (21%) Republican; 52% [51%] (50%) Independent. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 23-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 Democratic Presidential Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 80% [65%] (66%)
  • Jim Webb 6% [10%]
  • Joe Biden 5% [8%] (19%)
  • Bernie Sanders 2% [2%]
  • Martin O'Malley 1% [1%]
  • Lincoln Chafee 0%
Survey of registered Democrats and Democratic-leaning Independent voters was conducted April 13-24, 2015. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 23-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Christopher Newport University Virginia 2016 Republican Primary Survey

CNU Virginia 2016 GOP Presidential Primary Poll
  • Jeb Bush 17% [21%] (18%)
  • Marco Rubio 16% [6%] (4%)
  • Chris Christie 10% [10%] (19%)
  • Rand Paul 10% [6%] (7%)
  • Scott Walker 10% [16%] (3%) 
  • Ben Carson 7% [9%]
  • Ted Cruz 7% [3%] (9%)
  • Mike Huckabee 6% [10%] (13%)
  • Donald Trump 5%
  • Bobby Jindal 2% [2%]
  • Carly Fiorina 1%
  • John Kasich 0% [3%]
  • Rick Perry 0% [1%]
  • Rick Santorum 0% [1%] 
Survey of registered Republican and GOP-leaning Independent voters was conducted April 13-24, 2015. Results from the poll conducted January 30 - February 10, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 23-28, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) New Hampshire 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Scott Walker (R) 47% (43%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (46%)
  • Rand Paul (R) 45% (42%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 44% (45%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 42% (43%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 42% (40%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45%
  • Marco Rubio (R) 44%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 43%
  • Chris Christie (R) 41%
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47%
  • Ted Cruz (R) 44%
Survey of 1,117 registered voters was conducted April 21-22, 2015. Results from the poll conducted March 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Survey

Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 45% (49%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 24% (20%)
  • Bernie Sanders 12% (12%)
  • Joe Biden 7% (5%)
  • Martin O'Malley 4% (2%) 
  • Lincoln Chafee 2%
  • Jim Webb 2% (2%)
  • Bill de Blasio 0.4%
If Elizabeth Warren does not run for president:
  • Hillary Clinton 54%
  • Bernie Sanders 19%
  • Joe Biden 10%
  • Martin O'Malley 5%
  • Jim Webb 4%
  • Lincoln Chafee 2%
  • Bill de Blasio 1%
Survey of 369 registered Democratic primary voters was conducted April 21-22, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 18-19, 2015 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) New Hampshire 2016 Republican Primary Survey

Gravis Insights/Townhall (R) New Hampshire 2016 GOP Primary Poll
  • Jeb Bush 18% {18%} [16%] (16%)
  • Scott Walker 16% {19%} [23%] (7%)
  • Rand Paul 15% {10%} [11%] (12%)
  • Marco Rubio 11% {7%} [8%] (8%)
  • Ted Cruz 10% {6%} [6%] (12%)
  • Chris Christie 5% {10%} [12%] (15%)
  • Ben Carson 4% {6%}
  • Carly Fiorina 3% {4%}
  • Mike Huckabee 3% {4%} [6%] (11%)
  • Rick Santorum 1% {1%} [3%] (3%)  
Survey of 666 registered Republican primary voters was conducted April 21-22, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 18-19, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted February 2-3, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 29-30, 2014 are in parentheses.

Thursday, April 23, 2015

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Presidential Survey

  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {47%} [47%] (51%) {52%} [51%]
  • Rand Paul (R) 43% {45%} [44%] (40%) {41%} [42%]
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% {45%} [48%] (49%) {52%} [51%] (51%)
  • Jeb Bush (R) 41% {45%} [43%] (42%) {39%} [42%] (38%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {47%}
  • Marco Rubio (R) 42% {43%}
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% {48%} (52%)
  • Ted Cruz (R) 42% {42%} (36%)
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% {48%}
  • Scott Walker (R) 40% {42%}
National survey of 1,012 registered voters was conducted April 19-21, 2015 under the joint direction of Anderson Robbins Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R). The margin of error is +/- 3 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 2-4, 2014 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 Democratic Nomination Poll
  • Hillary Clinton 62% {61%} [55%] (62%) {64%} [69%] (68%)
  • Elizabeth Warren 12% {11%} [12%] (12%) {9%} [6%] (7%)
  • Joe Biden 9% {12%} [17%] (10%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
  • Bernie Sanders 4% {3%} [3%] (3%)
  • Andrew Cuomo 3% {3%} [4%] (2%) {5%} [2%] (4%)
  • Martin O'Malley 1% {2%} [2%] (1%) {1%} [1%] (1%)
  • Lincoln Chafee 0%
  • Jim Webb 0% {1%} [1%] (1%)
National survey of 388 likely Democratic primary voters was conducted April 19-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 7-9, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Fox News 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

Fox News 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
  • Marco Rubio 13% [8%] (5%) {9%} [8%] (8%)
  • Scott Walker 12% [15%] (9%) {4%} [5%] (6%)
  • Rand Paul 10% [9%] (13%) {11%} [14%] (11%) 
  • Jeb Bush 9% [12%] (15%) {12%} [14%] (12%)
  • Mike Huckabee 9% [10%] (13%)
  • Ted Cruz 8% [10%] (4%) {9%} [7%] (12%) 
  • Ben Carson 6% [11%] (10%)
  • Chris Christie 6% [4%] (6%) {10%} [15%] (16%)  
  • Donald Trump 5% [3%] 
  • John Kasich 2% [1%] (2%) {2%}
  • Rick Perry 2% [3%] (4%) {12%} [5%] (3%)  
  • Bobby Jindal 1% [2%] (3%) {4%} [2%]
  • Lindsey Graham 1% [0%] (1%)  
  • George Pataki 1% [1%]
  • Rick Santorum 1% [2%] (2%) {3%} [5%] (3%)
  • Carly Fiorina 0% [1%]
National survey of 383 likely Republican primary voters was conducted April 19-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 5 percentage points.  Results from the poll conducted March 29-31, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 25-27, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 20-22, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 13-15, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 14-16, 2013 are in parentheses.

Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Survey

Quinnipiac 2016 Presidential Poll
  • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [46%] [50%]
  • Marco Rubio (R) 43% [41%] [34%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [47%] (46%) {49%} [49%] (48%) {49%} [53%] (50%) {49%}
      • Rand Paul (R) 42% [41%] (41%) {40%} [39%] (41%) {40%} [36%] (38%) {41%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 45% [46%] (43%) {47%} [46%] (41%) {42%} [49%] (46%) [45%]
      • Chris Christie (R) 40% [39%] (42%) {38%} [38%] (42%) {43%} [36%] (40%) [37%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 47% [47%] (46%) {49%}
      • Mike Huckabee (R) 42% [40%] (41%) {40%}
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [48%]
      • Scott Walker (R) 41% [39%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 48% [48%] (48%) [50%] (50%) {51%} [54%]
      • Ted Cruz (R) 41% [38%] (37%) [35%] (37%) {36%} [31%]
      • Hillary Clinton (D) 46% [45%] (46%) {48%} [49%] (48%) {48%}
      • Jeb Bush (R) 39% [42%] (41%) {41%} [38%] (39%) {40%}
      National survey of 1,353 registered voters was conducted April 16-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 2.7 percentage points.  Party ID: 32% [29%] (30%) {31%} [29%] (31%) {32%} [35%] (32%) {33%} [34%] Democrat; 25% [32%] (31%) {26%} [26%] (26%) {26%} [24%] (23%) {27%} [25%] Republican; 34% [28%] (27%) {35%} [36%] (34%) {35%} [31%] (35%) {33%} [34%] Independent; 9% [11%] (12%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [9%] (9%) {7%} [7%] Other/Don't know. Race: 73% [73%] (74%) {73%} [74%] (74%) {72%} [72%] White; 12% [13%] (12%) {13%} [11%] (12%) {12%} [12%] Black; 6% [7%] (7%) {7%} [8%] (7%) {7%} [8%] Hispanic; 8% [7%] (7%) {8%} [7%] (6%) {8%} [8%] Other. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 6-11, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 28 - July 8, 2013 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted May 22-28, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted February 27 - March 4, 2013 are in square brackets.

      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Democratic Nomination Survey

      • Hillary Clinton 60% (56%) {57%} [58%] (65%) {66%} [61%] (65%)
      • Joe Biden 10% (10%) {9%} [9%] (8%) {8%} [11%] (13%)
      • Bernie Sanders 8% (4%) {4%}
      • Martin O'Malley 3% (0%) {1%} [1%] (1%) {0%} [0%] (1%)
      • Jim Webb 1% (1%) {1%} 
      • Lincoln Chafee 0%
      • Don't know 14% (14%) {14%} [15%] (13%) {12%} [15%] (14%)
      If Hillary Clinton does not run for President:
      • Joe Biden 40% (35%) {34%} (45%)
      • Bernie Sanders 11% (7%) {6%} 
      • Martin O'Malley 8% (1%) {2%} (3%)
      • Jim Webb 4% (3%) {2%}
      • Lincoln Chafee 1%
      • Don't know 30% (25%) {28%} (26%)
      National survey of 569 registered Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters was conducted April 16-21, 2015. The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted April 25-29, 2013 are in parentheses.

      Poll Watch: Quinnipiac 2016 Republican Nomination Survey

      Quinnipiac 2016 GOP Nomination Poll
      • Marco Rubio 15% (5%) {3%} [6%] (8%) {7%} [12%] (19%)
      • Jeb Bush 13% (16%) {14%} [10%] (11%) {11%} [11%] (10%)
      • Scott Walker 11% (18%) {6%} [8%] (6%) {5%} [4%] (2%)
      • Ted Cruz 9% (6%) {5%} [8%] (9%) {13%} [10%]
      • Rand Paul 8% (6%) {8%} [11%] (13%) {14%} [17%] (15%)
      • Chris Christie 7% (8%) {11%} [10%] (12%) {17%} [13%] (14%)
      • Mike Huckabee 7% (8%) {7%} [10%]
      • Ben Carson 3% (7%) {9%} 
      • Rick Perry 3% (1%) {3%} [3%]
      • Lindsey Graham 2% (1%)
      • John Kasich 2% (1%) {2%} [2%] (2%) {2%}
      • Rick Santorum 2% (2%) {2%} [2%]
      • Carly Fiorina 1%
      • Bobby Jindal 1% (2%) {3%} [1%] (3%) {3%} [3%] (3%)
      • Don't know 14% (17%) {19%} [20%] (22%) {17%} [19%] (18%)
      Survey of 567 registered Republican and GOP-leaning voters was conducted April 16-21, 2015.  The margin of error is +/- 4.1 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted February 26 - March 2, 2015 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted November 18-23, 2014 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted June 24-30, 2014 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted January 15-19, 2014 are in parentheses.  Results from the poll conducted December 3-9, 2013 are in curly brackets.  Results from the poll conducted September 23-29, 2013 are in square brackets.  Results from the poll conducted March 26 - April 1, 2013 are in parentheses.