Poll Watch: Rasmussen New York Senatorial Survey

Rasmussen New York Senatorial Special Election Survey

• Kirsten Gillibrand (D) 49% (51%) [50%] {49%} (51%)
• Joe DioGuardi (R) 39% (31%) [33%] {38%} (28%)

Favorable / Unfavorable {Net}

• Kirsten Gillibrand 51% (55%) [51%] {49%} (46%) / 38% (35%) [36%] {38%} (34%) {+13%}
• Joe DioGuardi 41% (33%) [36%] {35%} / 29% (25%) [21%] {27%} {+12%}

Survey of 500 likely voters was conducted September 16, 2010. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percentage points. Results from the poll conducted September 1, 2010 are in parentheses. Results from the poll conducted July 29, 2010 are in square brackets. Results from the poll conducted June 16, 2010 are in curly brackets. Results from the poll conducted May 12, 2010 are in parentheses.

Inside the numbers:

Gillibrand is backed by 75% of Democrats. DioGuardi is supported by 76% of Republicans. The Democrat has a slim one-point lead among voters not affiliated with either major political party.